A novel online calculator to predict recurrence risk in patients with distal cholangiocarcinoma after radical pancreaticoduodenectomy

Adjuvant chemotherapy combined with immunotherapy in patients with cholangiocarcinoma after radical resection

BACKGROUND

The malignancy of cholangiocarcinoma is highly pronounced, and it exhibits a propensity for recurrence and metastasis even in the presence of standard chemotherapy. The efficacy of adjuvant chemotherapy combined with immunotherapy in patients with resected cholangiocarcinoma needs to be substantiated.

METHODS

Data from 101 patients with cholangiocarcinoma treated at the Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center between 2015 and 2020 were studied.

RESULTS

After propensity score matching, there were no significant differences in baseline characteristics between patients in the combined adjuvant chemotherapy and immunotherapy group (AC + IM group) and the adjuvant chemotherapy alone group (AC group) (all p > 0.05). The AC + IM group demonstrated a statistically significant improvement in relapse-free survival (RFS) compared to the AC group (p = 0.032). Likewise, the AC + IM group exhibited a significantly superior overall survival (OS) outcome when compared to the AC group (p = 0.044). Multivariate Cox analysis unveiled perineural invasion (p = 0.041), lymph node metastasis (p = 0.006), and postoperative immunotherapy (p = 0.008) as independent prognostic factors exerting a significant impact on the OS of patients. In the cohort of patients with perineural invasion, the AC + IM group exhibited significantly improved OS compared to the AC group (p = 0.0077). Similarly, within the subset of patients with lymph node metastasis, the AC + IM group exhibited a significantly superior OS outcome when compared to the AC group (p = 0.023).

CONCLUSION

Combining postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy with immunotherapy extends the RFS and OS of patients with cholangiocarcinoma following radical resection.

Development and validation of web calculators to predict early recurrence and long-term survival in patients with duodenal papilla carcinoma after pancreaticoduodenectomy

BACKGROUND

Duodenal papilla carcinoma (DPC) is prone to relapse even after radical pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) (including robotic, laparoscopic and open approach). This study aimed to develop web calculators to predict early recurrence (ER) (within two years after surgery) and long-term survival in patients with DPC after PD.

METHODS

Patients with DPC after radical PD were included. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify independent risk factors. Two web calculators were developed based on independent risk factors in the training cohort and then tested in the validation cohort.

RESULTS

Of the 251 patients who met the inclusion criteria, 180 and 71 patients were enrolled in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that tumor size [Odds Ratio (OR) 1.386; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1070-1.797; P = 0.014]; number of lymph node metastasis (OR 2.535; 95% CI 1.114-5.769; P = 0.027), perineural invasion (OR 3.078; 95% CI 1.147-8.257; P = 0.026), and tumor differentiation (OR 3.552; 95% CI 1.132-11.152; P = 0.030) were independent risk factors for ER. Nomogram based on the above four factors achieved good C-statistics of 0.759 and 0.729 in predicting ER in the training and the validation cohorts, respectively. Time-dependent ROC analysis (timeROC) and decision curve analysis (DCA) revealed that the nomogram provided superior diagnostic capacity and net benefit compared with single variable.

CONCLUSIONS

This study developed and validated two web calculators that can predict ER and long-term survival in patients with DPC with high degree of stability and accuracy.

Efficacy and safety of adjuvant chemotherapy in T1N0M0 intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma after radical resection

Objective

Adjuvant chemotherapy is necessary for radical resection of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) with a high risk of recurrence (T2–4, N1). However, its use in the treatment of early-stage ICC remains controversial. This study aimed to investigate the role of adjuvant chemotherapy after radical resection in patients with early-stage ICC (T1N0M0).

Data and methods

The data of 148 patients with pathologically diagnosed ICC (T1N0M0) who underwent radical resection from January 2012 to January 2018 at the Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center were retrospectively analyzed. Using consistent baseline data, Kaplan–Meier survival curves were constructed to compare relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) between patients who received postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy (AC group) and those who received only surgical treatment (non-AC group). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to screen for independent prognostic factors affecting survival. The RFS and OS of patients were analyzed after the administration of three adjuvant chemotherapy regimens (gemcitabine + capecitabine [GX], gemcitabine + cisplatin [GP], and capecitabine monotherapy [X]). Finally, the safety of adjuvant chemotherapy was evaluated based on the incidence of grade 1–4 adverse events.

Results

The median RFS was 18 months in the non-AC group and 25 months in the AC group. The median OS was 34 months in the non-AC group; however, it was not reached in the AC group. The OS of the AC group was significantly higher than that of the non-AC group (P = 0.005). Multivariate Cox analysis demonstrated that nerve invasion (P = 0.001), preoperative elevation of cancer antigen 19–9 (CA 19–9) levels (P = 0.009), and postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy (P = 0.009) were independent prognostic factors for early-stage ICC after radical resection. The OS rates of the GX, GP, X, and non-AC groups were significantly different (P = 0.023) and were higher in the GX group than in the non-AC group (P = 0.0052). Among patients with elevated preoperative CA 19–9 levels, the OS rate was higher in the AC group than in the non-AC group (P = 0.022). In terms of safety, the incidence of grade 3 or 4 adverse reactions was < 18.2% in the GX, GP, and X groups, without the occurrence of death owing to such reactions.

Conclusion

Adjuvant chemotherapy can prolong OS among patients with early-stage ICC who have undergone radical resection. Preoperative elevation of CA 19–9 levels and nerve invasion are independent prognostic factors for poor survival outcomes for early-stage ICC after radical resection. All chemotherapy regimens used in the study are safe.

Robotic versus open pancreaticoduodenectomy for distal cholangiocarcinoma: a multicenter propensity score-matched study

BACKGROUND

Pancreatoduodenectomy is the only potentially curative treatment for distal cholangiocarcinoma (DCC). In this study, we sought to compare the perioperative and oncological outcomes of robotic pancreaticoduodenectomy (RPD) and open pancreaticoduodenectomy (OPD) based on a multicenter propensity score-matched study.

METHODS

Consecutive patients with DCC who underwent RPD or OPD from five centers in China between January 2014 and June 2019 were included. A 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM) was performed. Univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses were used to identify independent prognosis factors for overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) of these patients.

RESULTS

A total of 217 patients and 228 patients underwent RPD and OPD, respectively. After PSM, 180 patients in each group were enrolled. There were no significant differences in operative time, lymph node harvest, intraoperative transfusion, vascular resection, R0 resection, postoperative major morbidity, reoperation, 90-day mortality, and long-term survival between the two groups before and after PSM. Whereas, compared with the OPD group, the RPD group had significantly lower estimated blood loss (150.0 ml vs. 250.0 ml; P < 0.001), and a shorter postoperative length of stay (LOS) (12.0 days vs. 15.0 days; P < 0.001). Multivariable analysis showed carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9), R0 resection, N stage, perineural invasion, and tumor differentiation significantly associated with OS and RFS of these patients.

CONCLUSIONS

RPD was comparable to OPD in feasibility and safety. For patients with DCC, RPD resulted in similar oncologic and survival outcomes as OPD.

A novel online calculator to predict early recurrence and long-term survival of patients with resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma after pancreaticoduodenectomy: A multicenter study

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is prone to relapse even after radical pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) (including robotic, laparoscopic and open approach). This study aimed to develop an online nomogram calculator to predict early recurrence (ER) (within one year after surgery) and long-term survival in patients with PDAC.

METHODS

Patients with PDAC after radical PD were included. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent risk factors. An online nomogram calculator was developed based on independent risk factors in the training cohort and then tested in the internal and external validation cohorts.

RESULTS

Of the 569 patients who met the inclusion criteria, 310, 155, and 104 patients were in the training, internal and external validation cohorts, respectively. Multivariate analysis revealed that preoperative carbohydrate antigen19-9 (CA19-9) [Odds Ratio (OR) 1.002; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.001-1.003; P = 0.001], fibrinogen/albumin (FAR) (OR 1.132; 95% CI 1.012-1.266; P = 0.029), N stage (OR 2.291; 95% CI 1.283-4.092; P = 0.005), and tumor differentiation (OR 3.321; 95% CI 1.278-8.631; P = 0.014) were independent risk factors for ER. Nomogram based on the above four factors achieved good C-statistics of 0.772, 0.767 and 0.765 in predicting ER in the training, internal and external validation cohorts, respectively. Time-dependent ROC analysis (timeROC) and decision curve analysis (DCA) revealed that the nomogram provided superior diagnostic capacity and net benefit compared with other staging systems.

CONCLUSION

This multi-center study developed and validated an online nomogram calculator that can predict ER and long-term survival in patients with PDAC with high degrees of stability and accuracy.

Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting post-operative abdominal infection in patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy

AIM

The aim of this retrospective study is to develop and validate a predictive nomogram for predicting the risk of post-operative abdominal infection (PAI) in patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD).

METHODS

A total of 360 patients who underwent PD were enrolled into this research and randomly divided into the development and validation group. The clinical data of patients were statistically compared and the nomogram was constructed based on the results of multivariate logistic regression analysis and stepwise (stepAIC) selection. The nomogram was internally and crossly validated by the development and validation cohort. The discriminatory ability of the nomogram was estimated by AUC (Area Under the receiver operating characteristic Curve), calibration curve and decision curve analysis.

RESULTS

After PD, post-operative abdominal infection occurred in 33.89% (n = 122) of patients. The nomogram showed that preoperative biliary drainage and C-reactive protein (CRP), direct bilirubin (DB), alkaline phosphatase (AKP) levels on the 3rd postoperative day (POD3) were independent prognostic factors for abdominal infection after PD. The internal and cross validation of Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve was statistically significant (AUC = 0.723 and 0.786, respectively). The calibration curves showed good agreement between nomogram predictions and actual observations. The decision curves showed that the nomogram was of great clinical value.

CONCLUSION

A nomogram based on perioperative risk factors such as preoperative biliary drainage, CRP, DB and AKP could simply and accurately predict the risk degree of PAI in patients undergoing PD.