Survival of patients with metastatic breast cancer diagnosed between 1955 and 1980

Survival of de novo stage IV breast cancer patients over three decades

BACKGROUND

De novo stage IV breast cancer patients (BC_IV) depict a clinical picture not influenced by adjuvant therapy. Therefore, the time-dependent impact of changes in diagnostics and treatments on progression and survival can best be evaluated in this subgroup.

METHODS

BC_IV patients from 1978 to 2013 registered in the Munich Cancer Registry were divided into four periods, and the trends were analysed. Survival was estimated by Kaplan-Meier methods, and prognostic factors were fitted with Cox proportional hazard models.

RESULTS

Between 1978 and 2013, 88,759 patients were diagnosed with 92,807 cases of invasive and non-invasive BC. Of these patients, 4756 patients had distant metastases (MET) at diagnosis. The 5-year survival rate improved from 17.4 to 24.7%, while the pattern of metastases did not change. Improved staging diagnostics, a screening programme and primary systemic therapy changed the composition of prognostic strata. Patients with a similar composition as the 1978-1987 cohort exhibited a median survival difference of 13 months; however, neither univariate nor multivariate analysis showed a survival effect for the four periods as a surrogate indicator for changing treatments. HER2+ patients have with 27.6 months a slightly longer survival than all other BC_IV patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Survival of de novo BC_IV has only modestly improved since the late 1970s, partially masked by changing distributions of prognostic factors due to changes in diagnostics.

Improved survival in metastatic breast cancer 1985-2016

PURPOSE

In the last 25 years new treatment options in breast cancer have evolved. We wanted to determine whether the survival of; patients with metastatic breast cancer have improved during this period.

METHODS

Patients consecutively diagnosed with disseminated breast cancer 1985-2014 in the County of Kalmar, Sweden, were identified and followed to 2016. Survival was calculated for each successive 5 year interval. Separate analyses were performed for pts with ER and/or PR and HER2 positive tumours resp.

RESULTS

Median survival of the 784 patients increased successively from 13 to 33 months. Five year survival increased from 10 to 27%. Patients with high grade primary tumours had the shortest post recurrence survival time but their median survival increased significantly by time from 12 to 30 months, 3 year survival from 16 to 38% and 5 year from 5 to 20%. Median survival for patients with grade 2 tumours was 2 years and did not improve. Only 47 patients had grade 1 tumours and their median survival of 4 years did not change. Median survival for HER2 positive patients treated before the introduction of trastuzumab in year 2000 was 14 months and after 2000 29 months, 5 year survival improved from 2 to 31%.

CONCLUSIONS

Survival in metastatic breast cancer improved 1985-2016. For the first time a significant increase in survival time for patients with metastasis from fast-growing grade 3 tumours was seen. The most striking improvement was achieved in the HER2 positive subset.

The Risk Factors Influencing between the Early and Late Recurrence in Systemic Recurrent Breast Cancer

Purpose

Patients with recurrent breast cancer usually die of their disease, even after radical surgery and adjuvant therapies which could reduce the odds of dying. Many studies analyzed and compared patients who died of recurrent disease with those that died without recurrent disease. However, less attention has been paid to evaluating factors associated with the timing of recurrence. Thus, the objective of this study is to investigate the correlation between various factors and the timing of recurrence.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed the data of 95 recurrent breast cancer patients who underwent curative surgery to determine the prognostic factors such as menopausal status, operation method, stage, nodal status, histologic grade, nuclear grade, extensive intraductal carcinoma component, hormone receptor, p53, c-erbB-2, Ki-67, and molecular subtype. We had attempted to compare the recurrent patients within 2 years after operation and adjuvant chemotherapies as the early recurrence with those over 2 years as the late recurrence.

Results

Histologic grade (p=0.005), nuclear grade (p<0.001), p53 (p=0.022), and Ki-67 (p<0.001) were significant different factors that influenced the systemic recurrence between early recurrence and late recurrence. In stage I/II, histologic grade (p=0.001), nuclear grade (p<0.001), and Ki-67 (p=0.005) were significant factors that influenced the systemic early recurrence. In stage III, nuclear grade (p=0.024), and Ki-67 (p=0.001) were significant factors that influenced the systemic early recurrence. But subtypes (p=0.189, p=0.132, p=0.593, p=0.083) are not associated with the timing of recur rence.

Conclusion

In systemic recurrent breast cancer patients, the risk factors such as histologic grade, nuclear grade, p53 and Ki-67 are also associated with the timing of recurrence. We sug gest that these patients should be proper treated and be closely followed up.

Survival of patients with metastatic breast cancer: twenty-year data from two SEER registries

BACKGROUND

Many researchers are interested to know if there are any improvements in recent treatment results for metastatic breast cancer in the community, especially for 10- or 15-year survival.

METHODS

Between 1981 and 1985, 782 and 580 female patients with metastatic breast cancer were extracted respectively from the Connecticut and San Francisco-Oakland registries of the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. The lognormal statistical method to estimate survival was retrospectively validated since the 15-year cause-specific survival rates could be calculated using the standard life-table actuarial method. Estimated rates were compared to the actuarial data available in 2000. Between 1991 and 1995, further 752 and 632 female patients with metastatic breast cancer were extracted respectively from the Connecticut and San Francisco-Oakland registries. The data were analyzed to estimate the 15-year cause-specific survival rates before the year 2005.

RESULTS

The 5-year period (1981-1985) was chosen, and patients were followed as a cohort for an additional 3 years. The estimated 15-year cause-specific survival rates were 7.1% (95% confidence interval, CI, 1.8-12.4) and 9.1% (95% CI, 3.8-14.4) by the lognormal model for the two registries of Connecticut and San Francisco-Oakland respectively. Since the SEER database provides follow-up information to the end of the year 2000, actuarial calculation can be performed to confirm (validate) the estimation. The Kaplan-Meier calculation for the 15-year cause-specific survival rates were 8.3% (95% CI, 5.8-10.8) and 7.0% (95% CI, 4.3-9.7) respectively. Using the 1991-1995 5-year period cohort and followed for an additional 3 years, the 15-year cause-specific survival rates were estimated to be 9.1% (95% CI, 3.8-14.4) and 14.7% (95% CI, 9.8-19.6) for the two registries of Connecticut and San Francisco-Oakland respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

For the period 1981-1985, the 15-year cause-specific survival for the Connecticut and the San Francisco-Oakland registries were comparable. For the period 1991-1995, there was not much change in survival for the Connecticut registry patients, but there was an improvement in survival for the San Francisco-Oakland registry patients.

Analysis of benefit:risk ratio and mortality reduction for the UK Breast Screening Programme

A quantitative analysis has been performed to predict the benefit:risk ratio and associated mortality reduction for the UK National Health Service Breast Screening Programme. The analysis is based on the results of an established biological simulation method coupled with dosimetric information and population statistics applicable to the UK breast screening programme. As well as the general breast screening population, the benefit:risk ratios for specific subgroups of women thought to be at higher risk are estimated. The effects of alterations in screening strategy are also investigated. The results indicate favourable benefit:risk ratios and mortality reductions for all women in the programme, with a breast cancer mortality reduction of approximately 9% over the whole UK female population, equivalent to a breast cancer mortality reduction in the region of 25% for the age range 55-69 years.

Outcome of patients with metastatic breast carcinoma treated at a private medical oncology clinic

BACKGROUND

Metastatic breast carcinoma usually is fatal. The median survival after recurrence is 2 years. Five-year survival after recurrence is approximately 10-20%. Although encouraging data have been reported from clinical trials, two issues confound the translation of clinical research to the general medical community: patient selection bias and the absence of untreated controls. Therefore, the authors examined their community-based metastatic breast carcinoma patients, comparing their results with reports from clinical trials and with untreated historic controls.

METHODS

This was a nonconcurrent cohort study of 407 community-based metastatic breast carcinoma patients treated at the authors' private medical oncology clinic in northeast Louisiana. Prognostic variables were correlated with survival time.

RESULTS

The median age of the patients at the time of diagnosis of breast carcinoma was 61 years. The median age at the time of first recurrence was 65 years. The median overall survival and median survival after recurrence were 4. 5 years and 20.1 months, respectively. The 5-year and 10-year survival rates were 17% and 2.5%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Although clinical trial participants and the authors' private practice cohort are incommensurable, outcomes in these disparate groups were similar but, unfortunately, not much different from those of untreated historic controls.

Site-specific experimental metastasis patterns of two human breast cancer cell lines in nude rats

Animal models for breast cancer metastasis are valuable tools for studying mechanisms of metastasis and for preclinical testing of anti-metastatic therapy regimens. Using MA-11 and MT-1, two oestrogen and progesterone receptor-negative human breast cancer cell lines, we developed new models in nude rats with patterns of experimental metastasis resembling those frequently observed in humans. MA-11 cells showed a clear preference for growth in the CNS. Fourteen of 15 animals injected with MA-11 cells into the left ventricle of the heart developed hind-leg paralysis, and tumours were observed in the spinal cord. MT-1 cells consistently exhibited bone/bone marrow metastases after intracardial injection, in addition to tumours in the brain and spinal cord. When injected into the cisterna magna, both cell lines gave rise to leptomeningeal neoplastic disease. Injection of MA-11 cells into the tibial bone marrow resulted in tumours in only 2 of 13 rats, whereas all animals injected with MT-1 cells developed tumours. Only 2 of 6 rats injected i.v. with MA-11 cells developed lung colonies compared with all 9 animals injected with MT-1 cells. Cell-surface expression of the following was examined: EGP2; MUC1; EGFr; E- and N-cadherin; the alpha2, alpha3, alpha5, beta1 and beta4 integrins; c-erb-B2; and N-CAM. c-erb-B2 was expressed in a higher percentage of the bone-metastasizing MT-1 cells than the MA-11 cells, whereas E-cadherin was expressed in MA-11 but not MT-1 cells. In animals injected with MA-11 and MT-1 cells in the left cardiac ventricle, treatment with cisplatin and doxorubicin did not improve survival. In summary, these clinically relevant animal models may be used for studies related to site-specific growth and metastasis and for assessing effects of experimental therapy against human breast cancer.

Local recurrence in breast cancer: implications for systemic disease

BACKGROUND

Recurrence in breast carcinoma follows a pattern of growth marked by local, regional, or widespread dissemination. Local recurrence may be the harbinger of systemic disease or failure of local control. Delineation of these processes may have implications in treatment.

METHODS

A retrospective review found 1,171 patients with stages I and II breast cancer from 1978 to 1990 treated at the City of Hope Medical Center.

RESULTS

Twenty-seven percent (n = 313) of patients developed recurrences. These were classified as local, including chest wall and regional nodes (n = 40), local and distant (n = 63), and distant (n = 210). Mean follow-up was 60 months. Multivariate analysis demonstrates tumor size was not different between the three groups, but the presence of positive lymph nodes was: local = 51%, local and distant = 78%, and distant = 64%. The disease-free interval was longest in the local group (42 months) versus the local and distant group (23 months) and distant group (39 months). Median survival was calculated from the time of recurrence: local = 90 months, local and distant = 26 months, and distant = 16 months.

CONCLUSIONS

A group of patients with local recurrence have improved survival and do not develop distant disease. This group may benefit from aggressive surgical treatment to control local disease. These data suggest that a subset of breast tumors can act locally aggressive without metastatic potential.

Vinorelbine: an active, non cross-resistant drug in advanced breast cancer. Results from a phase II study

PURPOSE

To evaluate efficacy and toxicity of vinorelbine and to investigate its cross-resistance with other current drug treatments for metastatic breast cancer.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

From July 1992 to December 1993, 57 histologically proven breast cancer patients entered this Phase II study. Patients were stratified according to their status of previous treatment, namely, no prior chemotherapy or relapse more than 12 months since the end of adjuvant chemotherapy (Group A) and other patients (Group B).

RESULTS

Fifty three patients were evaluable for response, 27 in Group A and 26 in Group B. All patients were evaluable for toxicity. Vinorelbine was initially administered at the dose of 30 mg/sqm weekly by i.v. infusion in 100 ml of normal saline over 20 minutes. A frequency analysis of drug administration in the first 20 cases revealed two main treatment periodicities, corresponding to one week and to three weeks. Thereafter the drug was administered at 30 mg/sqm on day 1 and 8, every 3 weeks. With the new drug schedule, the mean dose intensity increased from 19.7 to 21.1 mg/sqm per week. Overall, an objective response rate of 47% (95% C.I. 33%-61%) was documented. Four patients achieved complete response (7%, CI: 2%-18%) and 21 partial response (40%, CI: 26%-54%). Fifty nine percent of patients in Group A and 35% in Group B showed objective tumor response. The analysis of response rate in previously treated patients failed to show evidence of cross-resistance with vinorelbine. Main side effects, i.e. neutropenia, local pain, and gastrointestinal and flu-like symptoms, were moderate and short lasting.

CONCLUSION

Vinorelbine has clinically significant activity in metastatic breast cancer, and no cross-resistance with prior anthracyclines and CMF treatments. The drug schedule of 30 mg/sqm iv bolus on day 1 and 8 every 3 weeks was found effective and tolerable.