Preoperative assessment of mortality risk in hepatic resection by clinical variables: a multivariate analysis

A Novel Predictive Scoring System for 90-Day Mortality among Patients with Hepatocellular Cell Carcinoma Receiving Major Hepatectomy

Simple Summary

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a major malignancy correlated with many cancer-related deaths. Surgical intervention provides superior long-term survival; however, perioperative mortality is a major concern for clinicians while making treatment decisions, especially for major hepatectomy. Scoring systems for predicting 90-day mortality in patients with HCC undergoing major hepatectomy are not available. By using the stepwise selection of the multivariate Cox proportional hazards model, we divided the patients with HCC receiving major hepatectomy into four risk groups. The Chang Gung-PohAi predictive scoring system showed significant differences in the 90-day mortality rate among the four risk groups (very low risk: 2.42%, low risk: 4.09%, intermittent risk: 17.1%, and high risk 43.6%). The Chang Gung-PohAi predictive scoring system is a promising tool for predicting 90-day perioperative mortality in patients with HCC undergoing major hepatectomy.

Abstract

Purpose: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a major malignancy and the common cause of cancer-related deaths. Surgical intervention provides superior long-term survival outcomes; however, perioperative mortality is a major concern for clinicians while making treatment decisions, especially for major hepatectomy. Scoring systems for predicting 90-day mortality in patients with HCC undergoing major hepatectomy are not available. Methods: This study used the Taiwan Cancer Registry Database that is linked to the National Health Insurance Research Database to analyze data of 60,250 patients with HCC who underwent major hepatectomy and determine risk factors to establish a novel predictive scoring system. By using the stepwise selection of the multivariate Cox proportional hazards model, we divided the patients with HCC undergoing major hepatectomy into four risk groups. Results: The Chang Gung-PohAi predictive scoring system exhibited significant differences in the 90-day mortality rate among the four risk groups (very low risk: 2.42%, low risk: 4.09%, intermittent risk: 17.1%, and high risk: 43.6%). Conclusion: The Chang Gung-PohAi predictive scoring system is a promising tool for predicting 90-day perioperative mortality in patients with HCC undergoing major hepatectomy.

The use of neoadjuvant lobar radioembolization prior to major hepatic resection for malignancy results in a low rate of post hepatectomy liver failure

Background

Neoadjuvant yttrium-90 transarterial radioembolization (TARE) is increasingly being used as a strategy to facilitate resection of otherwise unresectable tumors due to its ability to generate both tumor response and remnant liver hypertrophy. Perioperative outcomes after the use of neoadjuvant lobar TARE remain underinvestigated.

Methods

A single center retrospective review of patients who underwent lobar TARE prior to major hepatectomy for primary or metastatic liver cancer between 2007 and 2018 was conducted. Baseline demographics, radioembolization parameters, pre- and post-radioembolization volumetrics, intra-operative surgical data, adverse events, and post-operative outcomes were analyzed.

Results

Twenty-six patients underwent major hepatectomy after neoadjuvant lobar TARE. The mean age was 58.3 years (17-88 years). 62% of patients (n=16) had primary liver malignancies while the remainder had metastatic disease. Liver resection included right hepatectomy or trisegmentectomy, left or extended left hepatectomy, and sectorectomy/segmentectomy in 77% (n=20), 8% (n=2), and 15% (n=4) of patients, respectively. The mean length of stay was 8.3 days (range, 3-33 days) and there were no grade IV morbidities or 90-day mortalities. The incidence of post hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) was 3.8% (n=1). The median time to progression after resection was 4.5 months (range, 3.3-10 months). Twenty-three percent (n=6) of patients had no recurrence. The median survival was 28.9 months (range, 16.9-46.8 months) from major hepatectomy and 37.6 months (range, 25.2-53.1 months) from TARE.

Conclusions

Major hepatectomy after neoadjuvant lobar radioembolization is safe with a low incidence of PHLF.

Preoperative optimization for major hepatic resection

PURPOSE

Major hepatic resections are performed for primary hepatobiliary malignancies, metastatic disease, and benign lesions. Patients with chronic liver disease, including cirrhosis and steatosis, are at an elevated risk of malnutrition and impaired strength and exercise capacity, deficits which cause increased risk of postoperative complications and mortality. The aims of this report are to discuss the pathophysiology of changes in nutrition, exercise capacity, and muscle strength in patient populations likely to require major hepatectomy, and review recommendations for preoperative evaluation and optimization.

METHODS

Nutritional and functional impairment in preoperative hepatectomy patients, especially those with underlying liver disease, have a complex and multifactorial physiologic basis that is not completely understood.

RESULTS

Recognition of malnutrition and compromised strength and exercise tolerance preoperatively can be difficult, but is critical in providing the opportunity to intervene prior to major hepatic resection and potentially improve postoperative outcomes. There is promising data on a variety of nutritional strategies to ensure adequate intake of calories, proteins, vitamins, and minerals in patients with cirrhosis and reduce liver size and degree of fatty infiltration in patients with hepatic steatosis. Emerging evidence supports structured exercise programs to improve exercise tolerance and counteract muscle wasting.

CONCLUSIONS

The importance of nutrition and functional status in patients indicated for major liver resection is apparent, and emerging evidence supports structured preoperative preparation programs involving nutritional intervention and exercise training. Further research is needed in this field to develop optimal protocols to evaluate and treat this heterogeneous cohort of patients.

Preoperative Phenacetin Metabolism Test in the Prediction of Postoperative Liver Dysfunction of Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND The risk of postoperative liver dysfunction (PLD) in patients with injured livers, such as in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), is still not negligible. Phenacetin metabolism test can reflect hepatic functional reserve in patients with chronic hepatic damage. The aim of this study was to assess the ability of phenacetin metabolism test to predict PLD in patients with HCC receiving partial hepatectomy. MATERIAL AND METHODS Forty-nine patients with HCC undergoing partial hepatectomy between 2014 and 2016 were included at Huashan Hospital, Fudan University. The phenacetin metabolism test was used to assess the hepatic functional reserve. The ratio of total plasma paracetamol to phenacetin was collected in patients at 2 h after oral administration of 1.0 g phenacetin, recorded 5 days prior to surgery and on the fifth postoperative day. Phenacetin metabolism test, Child-Pugh classification, and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score were correlated with PLD. RESULTS Of 49 patients with HCC, 13 patients (26.5%) had PLD. The association between the ratio of total plasma paracetamol to phenacetin and PLD was statistically significant (p=0.0061) and the correlation coefficient was -0.647 (p=0.0082). The phenacetin metabolism test showed a larger area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve value (0.735) than Child-Pugh's classification (0.472) and MELD score (0.419). Using the calculated cutoff of 0.6, the lower ratio of total plasma paracetamol to phenacetin preoperatively was chosen to specifically identify patients with PLD. The sensitivity and specificity were 0.657 and 0.892, respectively. CONCLUSIONS Phenacetin metabolism test could be preoperatively used in predicting PLD in HCC patients receiving partial hepatectomy. It potentially provides better prediction than Child-Pugh classification and MELD score.

Oral glucose tolerance test for preoperative assessment of liver function in liver resection

BACKGROUNDS/AIMS

We intended to determine the role of the Oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT), in addition to volumetry, in preoperative assessment of patients undergoing liver resection.

METHODS

This was a prospective study conducted at a tertiary care hospital, between February 2009 and February 2011. OGTT curve (parabolic/linear), linearity index (LI) and Parenchymal Hepatic Resection Rate (PHRR) were correlated with postoperative outcomes in terms of postoperative liver failure (PLF), by 50-50 criteria, morbidity, mortality and hospital stay.

RESULTS

Of the 33 patients included in the study, 23 (69.7%) patients underwent major liver resections. Hepatocellular carcinoma (30.3%) was the leading indication. The overall postoperative morbidity rate was 72.7%, but major complications occurred in 3 (9.1%) patients only. There was no 90-day mortality. The 50-50 criteria were met by 3 patients undergoing major resection. Significant correlation was noted between the linear OGTT curve and the overall hospital stay (12.1 days vs. 9.6 days in parabolic; p=0.04). Patients with linear OGTT met the 50-50 criteria more often (18%) than those having a parabolic curve (4.5%; p=0.25). Although the OGTT was more often linear with occurrence of morbidity (41.7% vs 11.1%), major morbidity (66.7% vs 30%) and PLF by 50-50 criteria (66.7% vs 30%), it was not statistically significant. The linearity index was marginally lower (0.9 vs 1.2) in the presence of major morbidity and PLF by 50-50 criteria.

CONCLUSIONS

Linear OGTT affects the PLF and major morbidity, therein impacting the hospital stay. OGTT LI and PHRR can help predict postoperative outcome for a given extent of liver resection.

Defining Post Hepatectomy Liver Insufficiency: Where do We stand?

BACKGROUND

Post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) is a major source of morbidity and mortality in patients undergoing liver resection. The aim of this review is to summarize the recent literature available on PHLF including its definition, predictive factors, preoperative risk assessment, severity grading, preventative measures, and management strategies.

METHODS

A systematic literature search was carried out with the search engines PubMed, Medline, and Cochrane Database using the keywords related to "liver failure", "posthepatectomy", and "hepatic resection".

RESULTS

Liver resection is a curative treatment of liver tumors. However, it leads to concurrent death and regeneration of the remaining hepatocytes. Factors related to the patient, liver parenchyma and the extent of surgery can inhibit regeneration leading to PHLF.

CONCLUSION

Given its resistance to treatment and the high postoperative mortality associated with PHLF, great effort has been put in to both accurately identify patients at high risk and to develop strategies that can help prevent its occurrence.

Improving the quality of liver resection: a systematic review and critical analysis of the available prognostic models

BACKGROUND

Liver resection is considered to offer the only hope of cure for patients with liver malignancy. However, there are concerns about its safety, particularly in view of the increasing efficacy of less invasive strategies. No systematic review of prognostic research in liver resections has yet been performed.

METHODS

A systematic search identified articles published between 1999 and 2012 that performed a risk prediction analysis in patients undergoing liver resection. Studies were included if an outcome occurring within 90 days of surgery was identified, multivariable analysis performed and regression coefficients provided. The main endpoints were the outcomes and predictors chosen by the investigators, their definition, the performance and validity of the models, and the quality of the study as assessed using the QUIPS (quality in prognosis studies) tool.

RESULTS

A total of 91 studies were included. Eleven were prospective, but only two of these were registered. Twenty-eight endpoints were identified. These focused on postoperative morbidity or mortality, but many were redundant or ill defined and other relevant patient-reported outcomes were lacking. Predictors were not standardized, were poorly defined and overlapped. Only nine studies assessed the performance of their models and seven made an internal or temporal validation, but none reported an external validation or impact analysis. The median QUIPS score was 34 out of 50, indicating a high risk for bias.

CONCLUSION

Prognostic research in liver resection is still at the developmental stage.

Serum arterial lactate concentration predicts mortality and organ dysfunction following liver resection

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to determine if the post-operative serum arterial lactate concentration is associated with mortality, length of hospital stay or complications following hepatic resection.

METHODS

Serum lactate concentration was recorded at the end of liver resection in a consecutive series of 488 patients over a seven-year period. Liver function, coagulation and electrolyte tests were performed post-operatively. Renal dysfunction was defined as a creatinine rise of >1.5x the pre-operative value.

RESULTS

The median lactate was 2.8 mmol/L (0.6 to 16 mmol/L) and was elevated (≥2 mmol/L) in 72% of patients. The lactate concentration was associated with peak post-operative bilirubin, prothrombin time, renal dysfunction, length of hospital stay and 90-day mortality (P < 0.001). The 90-day mortality in patients with a post-operative lactate ≥6 mmol/L was 28% compared to 0.7% in those with lactate ≤2 mmol/L. Pre-operative diabetes, number of segments resected, the surgeon's assessment of liver parenchyma, blood loss and transfusion were independently associated with lactate concentration.

CONCLUSIONS

Initial post-operative lactate concentration is a useful predictor of outcome following hepatic resection. Patients with normal post-operative lactate are unlikely to suffer significant hepatic or renal dysfunction and may not require intensive monitoring or critical care.

A review of factors predicting perioperative death and early outcome in hepatopancreaticobiliary cancer surgery

OBJECTIVES

In the context of comparisons of surgical outcomes, risk adjustment is the retrospective adjustment of a provider's or a surgeon's results for case mix and/or hospital volume. It allows accurate, meaningful inter-provider comparison. It is therefore an essential component of any audit and quality improvement process. The aim of this study was to review the literature to identify those factors known to affect prognosis in hepatobiliary and pancreatic cancer surgery.

METHODS

PubMed was used to identify studies assessing risk in patients undergoing resection surgery, rather than bypass surgery, for hepatobiliary and pancreatic cancer.

RESULTS

In total, 63 and 68 papers, pertaining to 24 609 and 63 654 patients who underwent hepatic or pancreatic resection for malignancy, respectively, were identified. Overall, 22 generic preoperative factors predicting outcome on multivariate analysis, including demographics, blood results, preoperative biliary drainage and co-morbidities, were identified, with tumour characteristics proving disease-specific factors. Operative duration, transfusion, operative extent, vascular resection and additional intra-abdominal procedures were also found to be predictive of early outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

The development of a risk adjustment model will allow for the identification of those factors with most influence on early outcome and will thus identify potential targets for preoperative optimization and allow for the development of a multicentre risk prediction model.

Effect of leflunomide on liver regeneration after partial hepatectomy in rats

PURPOSE

Partial hepatectomy (PH) can be an inevitable surgical therapy in some conditions, such as hepatic malignancies, trauma or partial liver transplantation. Its capacity for regeneration distinguishes the liver from other essential organs. Regeneration is a complex process involving growth factors, cytokines, transcription factors, hormones, and oxidative stress products. In the event of ineffective or total absent liver regeneration, the life threatening picture of acute liver failure may supervene. In the present research, we studied the effect of leflunomide, a novel immunosuppressive and antiinflammatory agent against autoimmune disease, on hepatic regeneration after PH in Wistar Albino rats.

METHODS

Thirty-five Wistar albino rats were divided into five groups: group 1, control; group 2, sham; group 3, drug control (was treated with leflunomide 10 mg/kg/d/i.g.); group 4, PH; group 5, PH + leflunomide. As for PH, approximately 70% of the rat liver was surgically removed under general anesthesia. On postoperative day 3, all rats were humanely killed. Catalase (CAT), superooxide dismutase (SOD) and myeloperoxidase (MPO) activities with malondialdehyde (MDA), nitric oxide and protein carbonyl (PC) levels were determined in remnant liver tissue. Inflammatory process and liver regeneration were evaluated with H&E and KI67, respectively.

RESULTS

The tissue levels of MDA, PC and MPO were lower in group 5 than levels in group 1. PH significantly decreased the enzymatic activity of CAT (p < 0.05) and SOD. This reduction was significantly improved by the treatment with leflunomide. Histopathologically the enhancement of the liver parenchymal regeneration in the group 5 was significantly greater than the group 4.

CONCLUSION

The findings imply that oxidative stress products play a preventive role in liver regeneration after PH and leflunomide ameliorates the regeneration probably by the radical scavenging and antioxidant activities.

Liver failure after major hepatic resection

INTRODUCTION

The consequence of excessive liver resection is the inexorable development of progressive liver failure characterised by the typical stigmata associated with this condition, including worsening coagulopathy, hyperbilirubinaemia and encephalopathy. The focus of this review will be to investigate factors contributing to hepatocyte loss and impaired regeneration.

METHODS

A literature search was undertaken of Pubmed and related search engines, examining for articles relating to hepatic failure following major hepatectomy.

RESULTS

In spite of improvements in adjuvant chemotherapy and increasing surgical confidence and expertise, the parameters determining how much liver can be resected have remained largely unchanged. A number of preoperative, intraoperative and post-operative factors all contribute to the likelihood of liver failure after surgery.

CONCLUSIONS

Given the magnitude of the surgery, mortality and morbidity rates are extremely good. Careful patient selection and preservation of an obligate volume of remnant liver is essential. Modifiable causes of hepatic failure include avoidance of sepsis, drainage of cholestasis with restoration of enteric bile salts and judicious use of portal triad inflow occlusion intra-operatively. Avoidance of post-operative sepsis is most likely to be achieved by patient selection, meticulous intra-operative technique and post-operative care. Modulation of portal vein pressures post-operatively may further help reduce the risk of liver failure.

Risk factors of liver dysfunction after extended hepatic resection in biliary tract malignancies

BACKGROUND

Postoperative hepatic insufficiency is a critical complication after extended hepatic resection in patients with biliary tract malignancies, the majority of whom suffer from obstructive jaundice. The aim of this study was to assess clinical parameters linked to this type of liver dysfunction.

METHODS

A total of 111 patients were retrospectively reviewed. Patient background, pre- and intraoperative parameters, and a ratio of remnant liver volume/entire liver volume (RLV/ELV) as a volumetric parameter were compared between patients with and without postoperative hyperbilirubinemia and subsequent fatal outcome.

RESULTS

Logistic regression indicated that only RLV/ELV ratio was an independent factor influencing postoperative hyperbilirubinemia, and RLV/ELV ratio and indocyanine green retention rate at 15 minutes (ICG-R15) were factors affecting survival. Patients with RLV/ELV less than 40% had 7.6 times the risk of postoperative hyperbilirubinemia, while no patients with RLV/ELV greater than 40% and ICG-R15 less than 25% died of liver failure.

CONCLUSIONS

The RLV/ELV ratio was the factor with the greatest impact on liver dysfunction after extended hepatectomy in patients with biliary tract malignancies.

Surgical treatment of hepatocellular cancer in the era of hepatic transplantation

BACKGROUND

This study compares liver resection (LR) or transplantation (LTx) in an attempt to reevaluate the indications for treatment.

STUDY DESIGN

One hundred fifty-four LRs and 121 LTxs performed from 1985 to 1999 were considered. Survival and recurrence rate, together with age, gender, liver disease, Child-Pugh classification, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), tumor capsule, vascular invasion, size, number of nodules, histologic grade, and pTNM were considered. Followup was completed in all cases (mean +/- SD = 3.2 +/- 2.9 years).

RESULTS

The 5- and 10-year actuarial survival rates were 61.7% and 59.8% in LTx and 46.9% and 28.0% in LR (p = 0.08). Recurrence-free survival was 85.9% and 85.9%, respectively, in LTx and 42.8% and 30.7% in LR (p < 0.0001). In both groups, size, capsule, AFP, vascular invasion, grade, pTNM, Child-Pugh classification, and age were all significantly related to survival and cancer recurrence. pTNM, AFP, Child-Pugh classification, and age, in LR, and capsule, AFP, and viral cirrhosis, in LTx, were significant independent variables in Cox's regression model for survival. Only AFP, vascular invasion, and grade were significant in both groups for recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

LTx offers better recurrence freedom than LR, but longterm survival is not significantly different in the two series. A strict selection should be made to optimize graft allocation. Size and multifocality should not be considered absolute contraindications for LTx. AFP, vascular invasion, and grade are more likely to reflect the risk of recurrence of the disease. LR should be considered in patients who do not fulfill transplant criteria and also in some categories of patients with certain tumor characteristics (small resectable tumors in well-compensated cirrhosis).

Morbidity and mortality in cirrhotic patients undergoing anesthesia and surgery

Several studies have demonstrated increased morbidity and mortality in patients with cirrhosis undergoing anesthesia and surgery. Cirrhosis is a chronic liver disease, which may affect all body systems. The severity of the disease, assessed by the Child-Pugh classification, has a substantial effect on patient outcome. The extent of surgery and co-morbid conditions also have a major impact. In the past few years, changes have been made in the diagnosis, preoperative preparation, surgical and anesthetic management and perioperative care of patients with liver disease. The aim of this review is to examine whether these changes have resulted in improved perioperative outcomes.