Predictive accuracy of prenatal ultrasound findings for lower urinary tract obstruction: A systematic review and Bayesian meta-analysis

Post-obstructive diuresis after posterior urethral valve treatment in neonates: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

The management of posterior urethral valve (PUV) in neonates requires close monitoring in the intensive care unit because of the risk of post-obstructive diuresis (POD). Our aim was to describe the incidence and factors associated with POD in newborns treated for PUV.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of the medical records of all neonates who underwent surgical intervention for PUV in our neonatal intensive care unit between January 2014 and April 2021.

RESULTS

Of the 40 patients included, 15 (37.5%) had POD defined by urine output > 6 ml.kg-1.h-1 during the first 24 h following urinary tract obstruction relief. At prenatal ultrasound examinations, oligohydramnios was more common in the group with POD than in the group without (53.3% vs. 8%, p = 0.002). Preterm birth was more frequent in neonates with POD (66.7% vs. 8%; p < 0.001). Median serum creatinine (212 [137-246] vs. 95 [77-125] µmol.l-1; p < 0.001) and urea (8.5 [5.2-12.2] vs. 4.1 [3.5-4.7] mmol.l-1; p < 0.001) concentrations on the day of obstruction relief were significantly higher in the group with POD than in the group without. After adjustment for prematurity, logistic regression models confirmed correlation between the occurrence of POD and the severity of the consequences of urethral obstruction (i.e., oligohydramnios and serum creatinine levels; ß = 2.90 [0.88; 5.36], p = 0.013 and ß = 0.014 [0.003; 0.031], p = 0.034, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

In neonates, POD is common after the relief of PUV-related obstruction. Our findings may help to identify patients at highest risk. A higher resolution version of the Graphical abstract is available as Supplementary information.

Trends in Management of Fetuses with Suspected Lower Urinary Tract Obstruction (LUTO): A High-Risk Fetal and Pediatric Center Experience in a Universal-Access-to-Care System

INTRODUCTION

 Neonates with lower urinary tract obstruction (LUTO) experience high morbidity and mortality associated with the development of chronic kidney disease. The prenatal detection rate for LUTO is less than 50%, with late or missed diagnosis leading to delayed management and long-term sequelae in the remainder. We aimed to explore the trends in prenatal detection and management at a high-risk fetal center and determine if similar trends of postnatal presentations were noted for the same period.

METHODS

 Prenatal and postnatal LUTO databases from a tertiary fetal center and its associated pediatric center between 2009 and 2021 were reviewed, capturing maternal age, gestational age (GA) at diagnosis, and rates of termination of pregnancy (TOP). Time series analysis using autocorrelation was performed to investigate time trend changes for prenatally suspected and postnatally confirmed LUTO cases.

RESULTS

 A total of 161 fetuses with prenatally suspected LUTO were identified, including 78 terminations. No significant time trend was found when evaluating the correlation between time periods, prenatal suspicion, and postnatal confirmation of LUTO cases (Durbin-Watson [DW] = 1.99, p = 0.3641 and DW = 2.86, p = 0.9113, respectively). GA at referral was 20.0 weeks (interquartile range [IQR] 12, 35) and 22.0 weeks (IQR 13, 37) for TOP and continued pregnancies (p < 0.0001). GA at initial ultrasound was earlier in terminated fetuses compared to continued (20.0 [IQR 12, 35] weeks vs. 22.5 [IQR 13, 39] weeks, p < 0.0001). While prenatal LUTO suspicion remained consistently higher than postnatal presentations, the rates of postnatal presentations and terminations remained stable during the study years (p = 0.7913 and 0.2338), as were GA at TOP and maternal age at diagnosis (p = 0.1710 and 0.1921).

CONCLUSION

 This study demonstrated that more severe cases of LUTO are referred earlier and are more likely to undergo TOP. No significant trend was detected between time and prenatally suspected or postnatally confirmed LUTO, highlighting the need for further studies to better delineate factors that can increase prenatal detection.

Fetal urinary tract dilation: What to tell the parents

Urinary tract dilation (UTD), which refers to the abnormal dilation of the urinary collection system, is the most common finding on prenatal ultrasound and presents with varying severity, presentation, etiology, and prognosis. Prenatal classification and risk stratification aim to prevent postnatal complications, such as urinary tract infections and further kidney dysfunction. Parents expecting a child with UTD should be counseled by a multidisciplinary team consisting of maternal-fetal medicine specialists, and pediatric urology and nephrology providers. This review summarizes the key points in the diagnostic evaluation and management during the prenatal and initial postnatal period, focusing on the information that should be provided to future parents. We address frequently asked parental questions and concerns that our multidisciplinary clinical practice faces.

Outcomes of fetal lower urinary tract obstruction based on timing of oligohydramnios onset

OBJECTIVE

Fetal Lower Urinary Tract Obstruction (LUTO) is associated with oligohydramnios and significant fetal morbidity, resulting in poor lung development and perinatal death. However, oligohydramnios may develop at different gestational periods, and the impact of timing on fetal outcomes remains unknown. Our objective was to characterize the impact onset of oligohydramnios had on prenatal outcomes.

METHODS

This study is a retrospective cohort study of all patients with a prenatal diagnosis of LUTO at our tertiary referral center from 2014 to 2023. All patients underwent detailed ultrasonography and interdisciplinary counseling and were subsequently delivered at our institution. Data were obtained from electronic medical records and complete extraction was required for final inclusion.

RESULTS

During the study time period, 93 patients met inclusion criteria of which 68 (73.1%) developed oligohydramnios during their pregnancy. 63 (93%) of these pregnancies resulted in livebirths with 28 (41.1%) perinatal deaths. Onset of oligohydramnios was earlier in pregnancies with perinatal death (23 vs. 28 weeks, p = 0.004) and associated with pulmonary hypoplasia.

CONCLUSIONS

Our data show the impact of oligohydramnios timing in pregnancy on pulmonary hypoplasia and ultimately perinatal death. This allows for detailed patient counseling on the impact oligohydramnios may have on pregnancies by the gestational age of onset.

The Toronto nomogram: A Bayesian meta-regression derived prenatal ultrasound index to predict lower urinary tract obstruction and prune belly syndrome

INTRODUCTION

A nomogram for predicting the diagnosis of lower urinary tract obstruction (LUTO) based on an antenatal ultrasound index generated from a Bayesian Meta-regression analysis has been in development and noted with superior diagnostic accuracy compared to the keyhole sign (KHS). We aim to assess the accuracy of the nomogram in expanded diagnostic utilization to predict LUTO.

METHODOLOGY

The validation of the nomogram for expanded diagnostic utilization was based on data from a prospective institutional antenatal clinic database between January 2020 and June 2022. Diagnostic accuracy indices were determined for confirmed postnatal diagnosis of LUTO or prune belly syndrome (PBS). Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves were generated to compare the area under the curve (AUC) of the nomogram versus KHS.

RESULTS

Based on 84 male fetuses with antenatal ultrasound of moderate-severe hydronephrosis (PUV n = 15, PBS n = 4), the KHS had 26.3% (95%CI 9.1-51.2) sensitivity and 100% (95%CI 94.4%-100%) specificity, with 14 false-negatives. The nomogram showed a 84.2 (95%CI 60.4%-96.6%) sensitivity and 95.4 (95%CI 87.1%-99%) specificity with three false-positives. The nomogram also had a superior AUC compared to KHS (0.98 vs. 0.63).

CONCLUSION

The nomogram can be used as a valuable tool to trigger further postnatal screening and provide individualized risk assessments to families during prenatal counseling.

Implementation of a standardized clinical pathway in a dedicated posterior urethral valves clinic: short-term outcomes

BACKGROUND

To determine if the implementation of a posterior urethral valves (PUV) clinic and standardized management pathway improves the short-term kidney outcomes of infants with PUV.

METHODS

From 2016-2022, 50 consecutive patients were divided into groups after the implementation of the clinic (APUV, n = 29) and before (BPUV, n = 21) during a comparable timeframe. Assessed data included age at initial visit, timing and type of surgery, frequency of follow-up visits, medications, nadir creatinine, and development of CKD/kidney failure. Data are shown as median with interquartile range (IQR) and odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI).

RESULTS

APUV had higher rates of prenatal diagnoses (12/29 vs. 1/21; p = 0.0037), earlier initial surgical intervention (8 days; IQR 0, 105 vs. 33 days; IQR 4, 603; p < 0.0001), and higher rates of primary diversions (10/29 vs. 0/21; p = 0.0028). Standardized management led to earlier initiation of alpha blockers (326 days; IQR 6, 860 vs. 991; IQR 149, 1634; p = 0.0019) and anticholinergics (57 days; IQR 3, 860 vs. 1283 days; IQR 477, 1718; p < 0.0001). Nadir creatinine was reached at earlier ages in APUV (105 days; IQR 2, 303 vs. 164 days; IQR 21, 447; p = 0.0192 BPUV). One patient progressed to CKD5 in APUV compared to CKD3, CKD5 and one transplant in BPUV.

CONCLUSION

Implementing the PUV clinic with standardized treatment expedited postnatal management and resulted in a higher number of cases detected prenatally, a shift in primary treatment, younger ages at initial treatment, reduced time to nadir creatinine, and timely initiation of supportive medications. A higher resolution version of the Graphical abstract is available as Supplementary information.

Evaluating treatments in rare indications warrants a Bayesian approach

Evaluating efficacy and real-world effectiveness for novel therapies targeting rare mutations or patient subpopulations with unmet needs is a growing challenge in health economics and outcomes research (HEOR). In these settings it may be difficult to recruit enough patients to run adequately powered randomized clinical trials, resulting in greater reliance on single-arm trials or basket trial designs. Additionally, evidence networks for performing network meta-analysis may be sparse or disconnected when comparing available treatments in narrower patient populations. These challenges create an increased need for use of appropriate methods for handling small sample sizes, structural modelling assumptions and more nuanced decision rules to arrive at "best-available evidence" on comparative and non-comparative efficacy/effectiveness. We advocate for greater use of Bayesian methods to address these challenges as they can facilitate efficient and transparent borrowing of information across varied data sources under flexible modelling assumptions, probabilistic sensitivity analysis to assess model assumptions, and more nuanced decision-making where limited power reduces the utility of classical frequentist hypothesis testing. We illustrate how Bayesian methods have been recently used to overcome several challenges of rare indications in HEOR, including approaches to borrowing information from external data sources, evaluation of efficacy in basket trials, and incorporating non-randomized studies into network meta-analysis. Lastly, we provide several recommendations for HEOR practitioners on appropriate use of Bayesian methods to address challenges in the rare disease setting.

Primary ablation versus urinary diversion in posterior urethral valve: Systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

To determine differences in long-term kidney and bladder outcomes in boys with posterior urethral valves (PUV) managed by a primary valve ablation or primary urinary diversion.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A systematic search was performed in March 2021. Comparative studies were evaluated according to Cochrane collaboration recommendations. Assessed measures included kidney outcomes (chronic kidney disease, end-stage renal disease, kidney function) and bladder outcomes. Odds ratios (OR) and mean difference (MD) with 95% confidence interval (CI) were extrapolated from available data for quantitative synthesis. Random-effects meta-analysis and meta-regression were performed according to study design, and potential covariates were assessed with subgroup analysis. The systematic review was prospectively registered on PROSPERO (CRD42021243967).

RESULTS

Thirty unique studies describing 1547 boys with PUV were included in this synthesis. Overall effect estimates demonstrate that patients undergoing primary diversion have significantly increased odds of developing renal insufficiency [OR 0.60, 95% CI 0.44, 0.80; p < 0.001]. However, when adjusting for baseline kidney function between intervention groups, there was no significant difference in long term kidney outcomes [p = 0.09, 0.35], or the development of bladder dysfunction or requiring clean-intermittent catheterization with primary ablation rather than diversion [OR 0.89, 95% CI 0.49, 1.59; p = 0.68].

CONCLUSIONS

Current low-quality evidence suggests that medium-term kidney outcomes in children are similar between primary ablation and primary diversion after adjusting for baseline kidney function, while bladder outcomes are highly heterogenous. Further research with covariate control is warranted to investigate sources of heterogeneity.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level III.

Fetal Therapy for Renal Anhydramnios

The most severe forms of congenital anomalies of the kidney and urinary tract present in fetal life with early pregnancy renal anhydramnios and are considered lethal due to pulmonary hypoplasia without fetal therapy. Due to the high rate of additional structural anomalies, genetic abnormalities, and associated syndromes, detailed anatomic survey and genetic testing are imperative when stratifying which pregnancies are appropriate for fetal intervention. Restoring amniotic fluid around the fetus is the principal goal of prenatal treatment. The ongoing multi-center Renal Anhydramnios Fetal Therapy (RAFT) trial is assessing the safety and efficacy of serial amnioinfusions to prevent pulmonary hypoplasia so that the underlying renal disease can be addressed.

Prenatal Hydronephrosis: Bridging Pre- and Postnatal Management

Urinary tract dilation (UTD), including hydronephrosis (HN) is the most common prenatally detected anomaly and affects up to 1-2% of pregnancies. Postnatally, it resolves without surgical intervention in approximately 75-80% of children, however this may take several years to occur, necessitating repeated clinic visits and additional invasive testing for many. For the remainder, a surgical intervention will be offered to relieve obstruction or to correct vesicoureteral reflux. During the monitoring period, many of these infants will be offered continuous antibiotic prophylaxis for the prevention of urinary tract infections, however this remains a controversial topic among pediatric urologists and nephrologists. Herein, we present an up-to-date review of the early management of prenatally detected UTD including timing of postnatal imaging, the use of antibiotics, when circumcision may be beneficial and long term outcomes of the most common HN etiologies. We also propose a decision making tool to help guide the care of infants with UTD. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.