Who gets treated for influenza: A surveillance study from the US Food and Drug Administration's Sentinel System

OBJECTIVE

We describe the baseline characteristics and complications of individuals with influenza in the US FDA's Sentinel System by antiviral treatment timing.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort design.

PATIENTS

Individuals aged ≥6 months with outpatient diagnoses of influenza in June 2014-July 2017, 3 influenza seasons.

METHODS

We identified the comorbidities, vaccination history, influenza testing, and outpatient antiviral dispensings of individuals with influenza using administrative claims data from 13 data partners including the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, integrated delivery systems, and commercial health plans. We assessed complications within 30 days: hospitalization, oxygen use, mechanical ventilation, critical care, ECMO, and death.

RESULTS

There were 1,090,333 influenza diagnoses in 2014-2015; 1,005,240 in 2016-2017; and 578,548 in 2017-2018. Between 49% and 55% of patients were dispensed outpatient treatment within 5 days. In all periods >80% of treated individuals received treatment on the day of diagnosis. Those treated on days 1-5 after diagnosis had higher prevalences of diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, asthma, and obesity compared to those treated on the day of diagnosis or not treated at all. They also had higher rates of hospitalization, oxygen use, and critical care. In 2014-2015, among those aged ≥65 years, the rates of hospitalization were 45 per 1,000 diagnoses among those treated on day 0; 74 per 1,000 among those treated on days 1-5; and 50 per 1,000 among those who were untreated.

CONCLUSIONS

In a large, national analysis, approximately half of people diagnosed with influenza in the outpatient setting were treated with antiviral medications. Delays in outpatient dispensed treatment were associated with higher prevalence of comorbidities and higher rates of complication.

The Certainty Framework for Assessing Real-World Data in Studies of Medical Product Safety and Effectiveness

A fundamental question in using real-world data for clinical and regulatory decision making is: How certain must we be that the algorithm used to capture an exposure, outcome, cohort-defining characteristic, or confounder is what we intend it to be? We provide a practical framework to help researchers and regulators assess and classify the fit-for-purposefulness of real-world data by study variable for a range of data sources. The three levels of certainty (optimal, sufficient, and probable) must be considered in the context of each study variable, the specific question being studied, the study design, and the decision at hand.

C-reactive protein as a biomarker of response to inhaled corticosteroids among patients with COPD

AIMS

C-reactive protein (CRP) is an important biomarker in systemic inflammation in COPD; reports have suggested inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) attenuate CRP levels. We evaluated the risk of moderate-to-severe exacerbations, severe exacerbations and all-cause mortality among patients with COPD currently exposed to Inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) stratified by CRP levels compared to never ICS users with low CRP levels.

METHODS

We included subjects age 40 or more who had a diagnosis of COPD from January 1, 2005 to January 31, 2014 from the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD). ICS exposure was determined time-dependently, as current, recent, past or never users. We evaluated the risk of moderate-to-severe exacerbations, severe exacerbations and all-cause mortality among ICS users stratified by CRP levels.

RESULTS

17,722 subjects diagnosed with COPD met the inclusion criteria. Among current or never ICS with elevated CRP levels we found, no significantly reduced risk of moderate-to-severe or severe exacerbations. For patients currently exposed ICS with CRP levels ≥8 mg/L there was no reduced risk of moderate-to-severe exacerbations (adjusted hazard ratio [adj. HR] 0.99; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.76-1.31) or severe exacerbations (adj.HR 1.52; 95% CI 0.71-3.27). However, we found an increased risk of all-cause mortality among COPD patients with CRP levels ≥8 mg/L irrespective of ICS exposure.

CONCLUSION

We did not find a reduced risk of moderate and/or severe COPD exacerbations among COPD patients with varying CRP levels currently exposed to ICS. However, low-grade systemic inflammation was associated with all-cause mortality among COPD patients.