Trends in the Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation Match: Analysis of NRMP Data from 2007 to 2018

The National Resident Matching Program: An Outdated Business Model Due for Reform

INTRODUCTION

This study aims to examine the trends across the entire NRMP application cycles from 2007-2008 to 2022-2023, specifically exploring trends across competitive surgical specialties to assess the efficacy of the existing NRMP business model and provide evidence-based recommendations to better address the current needs of both applicants and programs.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study exploring the trends in the mean number of applicants and mean number of total ranked positions per applicant across surgical, the top 5 most competitive surgical specialties, and non-surgical specialties from 2007-2008 to the 2022-2023 match cycles utilizing data from the NRMP database.

RESULTS

Over the studied 16 match cycles, the mean number of applicants to surgical specialties has increased by 47.99% and the mean number of total ranked positions per applicant has increased by 88.07%. For the top 5 most competitive specialties, the mean number of applicants has increased by 57.66% and the mean number of total ranked positions per applicant has increased by 83.33%.

CONCLUSION

Trends across the 16 most recent NRMP cycles show evidence of increased congestion in the match system, the burden of which is primarily placed on applicants. Our findings support the need for drastic reform in the NRMP to relieve this burden, and we discuss practical solutions to allow the NRMP to better meet the needs of applicants and residency programs alike.

Increasing lengths of rank order lists of applicants and programs of US medical residencies

BACKGROUND

To match medical students into residency training programs, both the program and student create rank order lists (ROLs). We aim to investigate temporal trends in ROL lengths across 7 match cycles between 2014 and 2021 for both matched and unmatched residency applicants and programs.

METHODS

retrospective study of ROLs of 7 match cycles, 2014-2021. Residency match and ROL data were extracted from the NRMP database to assess the number of programs filled and unfilled, length of ROLs, position matched, and average ranks per position for osteopathic (DO) and allopathic (MD) medical programs.

RESULTS

For filled residency programs, the average ROL length consistently increased from 70.72 in 2015 to 88.73 in 2021 (P = .003), with ROL lengths consistently longer for filled vs unfilled residency programs (P < .001). The average ROL length for matched applicants increased consistently from 10.41 in 2015 to 12.35 in 2021 (P = .002), with matched applicants having consistently longer ROLs than unmatched applicants (P < .001). From 2015 to 2021, in both MD and DO applicants, progressively lower proportions of applicants matched their first and second choices.

CONCLUSION

Trends across the past 7 residency match cycles suggest that ROL lengths for both programs and applicants have been increasing with matched programs and applicants submitting significantly longer ROLs than unmatched applicants. Additionally, fewer applicants are matching at their preferred programs over time. Our findings support the mounting evidence that the Match has become increasingly congested and we discuss the possible factors that may be contributing to the current state of the Match as well as potential solutions.