Combining Model-Based Clinical Trial Simulation, Pharmacoeconomics, and Value of Information to Optimize Trial Design

Application of Virtual Drug Study to New Drug Research and Development: Challenges and Opportunity

In recent years, virtual drug study, as an emerging research strategy, has become increasingly important in guiding and promoting new drug research and development. Researchers can integrate a variety of technical methods to improve the efficiency of all phases of new drug research and development, including the use of artificial intelligence, modeling and simulation for target identification, compound screening and pharmacokinetic characteristics evaluation, and the application of clinical trial simulation to carry out clinical research. This paper aims to elaborate on the application of virtual drug study in the key stages of new drug research and development and discuss the opportunities and challenges it faces in supporting new drug research and development.

Achieving big with small: quantitative clinical pharmacology tools for drug development in pediatric rare diseases

Pediatric populations represent a major fraction of rare diseases and compound the intrinsic challenges of pediatric drug development and drug development for rare diseases. The intertwined complexities of pediatric and rare disease populations impose unique challenges to clinical pharmacologists and require integration of novel clinical pharmacology and quantitative tools to overcome multiple hurdles during the discovery and development of new therapies. Drug development strategies for pediatric rare diseases continue to evolve to meet the inherent challenges and produce new medicines. Advances in quantitative clinical pharmacology research have been a key component in advancing pediatric rare disease research to accelerate drug development and inform regulatory decisions. This article will discuss the evolution of the regulatory landscape in pediatric rare diseases, the challenges encountered during the design of rare disease drug development programs and will highlight the use of innovative tools and potential solutions for future development programs.

Methods for Extrapolating Survival Analyses for the Economic Evaluation of Advanced Therapy Medicinal Products

There are two significant challenges for analysts conducting economic evaluations of advanced therapy medicinal products (ATMPs): (i) estimating long-term treatment effects in the absence of mature clinical data, and (ii) capturing potentially complex hazard functions. This review identifies and critiques a variety of methods that can be used to overcome these challenges. The narrative review is informed by a rapid literature review of methods used for the extrapolation of survival analyses in the economic evaluation of ATMPs. There are several methods that are more suitable than traditional parametric survival modelling approaches for capturing complex hazard functions, including, cure-mixture models and restricted cubic spline models. In the absence of mature clinical data, analysts may augment clinical trial data with data from other sources to aid extrapolation, however, the relative merits of employing methods for including data from different sources is not well understood. Given the high and potentially irrecoverable costs of making incorrect decisions concerning the reimbursement or commissioning of ATMPs, it is important that economic evaluations are correctly specified, and that both parameter and structural uncertainty associated with survival extrapolations are considered. Value of information analyses allow for this uncertainty to be expressed explicitly, and in monetary terms.