Training set design in genomic prediction with multiple biparental families

Phenomic Selection for Hybrid Rapeseed Breeding

Phenomic selection is a recent approach suggested as a low-cost, high-throughput alternative to genomic selection. Instead of using genetic markers, it employs spectral data to predict complex traits using equivalent statistical models. Phenomic selection has been shown to outperform genomic selection when using spectral data that was obtained within the same generation as the traits that were predicted. However, for hybrid breeding, the key question is whether spectral data from parental genotypes can be used to effectively predict traits in the hybrid generation. Here, we aimed to evaluate the potential of phenomic selection for hybrid rapeseed breeding. We performed predictions for various traits in a structured population of 410 test hybrids, grown in multiple environments, using near-infrared spectroscopy data obtained from harvested seeds of both the hybrids and their parental lines with different linear and nonlinear models. We found that phenomic selection within the hybrid generation outperformed genomic selection for seed yield and plant height, even when spectral data was collected at single locations, while being less affected by population structure. Furthermore, we demonstrate that phenomic prediction across generations is feasible, and selecting hybrids based on spectral data obtained from parental genotypes is competitive with genomic selection. We conclude that phenomic selection is a promising approach for rapeseed breeding that can be easily implemented without any additional costs or efforts as near-infrared spectroscopy is routinely assessed in rapeseed breeding.

Near-infrared reflectance spectroscopy phenomic prediction can perform similarly to genomic prediction of maize agronomic traits across environments

For nearly two decades, genomic prediction and selection have supported efforts to increase genetic gains in plant and animal improvement programs. However, novel phenomic strategies for predicting complex traits in maize have recently proven beneficial when integrated into across-environment sparse genomic prediction models. One phenomic data modality is whole grain near-infrared spectroscopy (NIRS), which records reflectance values of biological samples (e.g., maize kernels) based on chemical composition. Predictions of hybrid maize grain yield (GY) and 500-kernel weight (KW) across 2 years (2011-2012) and two management conditions (water-stressed and well-watered) were conducted using combinations of reflectance data obtained from high-throughput, F2 whole-kernel scans and genomic data obtained from genotyping-by-sequencing within four different cross-validation (CV) schemes (CV2, CV1, CV0, and CV00). When predicting the performance of untested genotypes in characterized (CV1) environments, genomic data were better than phenomic data for GY (0.689 ± 0.024-genomic vs. 0.612 ± 0.045-phenomic), but phenomic data were better than genomic data for KW (0.535 ± 0.034-genomic vs. 0.617 ± 0.145-phenomic). Multi-kernel models (combinations of phenomic and genomic relationship matrices) did not surpass single-kernel models for GY prediction in CV1 or CV00 (prediction of untested genotypes in uncharacterized environments); however, these models did outperform the single-kernel models for prediction of KW in these same CVs. Lasso regression applied to the NIRS data set selected a subset of 216 NIRS bands that achieved comparable prediction abilities to the full phenomic data set of 3112 bands predicting GY and KW under CV1 and CV00.

Genomic prediction of seed nutritional traits in biparental families of oat (Avena sativa)

Selection for more nutritious crop plants is an important goal of plant breeding to improve food quality and contribute to human health outcomes. While there are efforts to integrate genomic prediction to accelerate breeding progress, an ongoing challenge is identifying strategies to improve accuracy when predicting within biparental populations in breeding programs. We tested multiple genomic prediction methods for 12 seed fatty acid content traits in oat (Avena sativa L.), as unsaturated fatty acids are a key nutritional trait in oat. Using two well-characterized oat germplasm panels and other biparental families as training populations, we predicted family mean and individual values within families. Genomic prediction of family mean exceeded a mean accuracy of 0.40 and 0.80 using an unrelated and related germplasm panel, respectively, where the related germplasm panel outperformed prediction based on phenotypic means (0.54). Within family prediction accuracy was more variable: training on the related germplasm had higher accuracy than the unrelated panel (0.14-0.16 and 0.05-0.07, respectively), but variability between families was not easily predicted by parent relatedness, segregation of a locus detected by a genome-wide association study in the panel, or other characteristics. When using other families as training populations, prediction accuracies were comparable to the related germplasm panel (0.11-0.23), and families that had half-sib families in the training set had higher prediction accuracy than those that did not. Overall, this work provides an example of genomic prediction of family means and within biparental families for an important nutritional trait and suggests that using related germplasm panels as training populations can be effective.

Genomic selection of soybean (Glycine max) for genetic improvement of yield and seed composition in a breeding context

Genomic selection has been utilized for genetic improvement in both plant and animal breeding and is a favorable technique for quantitative trait development. Within this study, genomic selection was evaluated within a breeding program, using novel validation methods in addition to plant materials and data from a commercial soybean (Glycine max) breeding program. A total of 1501 inbred lines were used to test multiple genomic selection models for multiple traits. Validation included cross-validation, inter-environment, and empirical validation. The results indicated that the extended genomic best linear unbiased prediction (EGBLUP) model was the most effective model tested for yield, protein, and oil in cross-validation with accuracies of 0.50, 0.68, and 0.64, respectively. Increasing marker number from 1000 to 3000 to 6000 single nucleotide polymorphism markers leads to statistically significant increases in accuracy. Cross-environment predictions were statistically lower than cross-validation with accuracies of 0.24, 0.54, and 0.42 for yield, protein, and oil, respectively, using the extended genomic BLUP model. Empirical validation, predicting the yield of 510 soybean lines, had a prediction accuracy of 0.34, with the inclusion of a maturity covariate leading to a notable increase in accuracy. Genomic selection identified high-performance lines in inter-environment predictions: 34% of lines within the upper quartile of yield, and 51% and 48% of the highest quartile protein and oil lines, respectively. Statistically similar results occurred comparing rankings in empirical validation and selection for advancements in yield trials. These results indicate that genomic selection is a useful tool for selection decisions.

Genomic prediction of optimal cross combinations to accelerate genetic improvement of soybean (Glycine max)

Improving yield is a primary soybean breeding goal, as yield is the main determinant of soybean's profitability. Within the breeding process, selection of cross combinations is one of most important elements. Cross prediction will assist soybean breeders in identifying the best cross combinations among parental genotypes prior to crossing, increasing genetic gain and breeding efficiency. In this study optimal cross selection methods were created and applied in soybean and validated using historical data from the University of Georgia soybean breeding program, under multiple training set compositions and marker densities utilizing multiple genomic selection models for marker evaluation. Plant materials consisted of 702 advanced breeding lines evaluated in multiple environments and genotyped using SoySNP6k BeadChips. An additional marker set, the SoySNP3k marker set, was tested in this study as well. Optimal cross selection methods were used to predict the yield of 42 previously made crosses and compared to the performance of the cross's offspring in replicated field trials. The best prediction accuracy was obtained when using Extended Genomic BLUP with the SoySNP6k marker set, consisting of 3,762 polymorphic markers, with an accuracy of 0.56 with a training set maximally related to the crosses predicted and 0.4 in a training set with minimized relatedness to predicted crosses. Prediction accuracy was most significantly impacted by training set relatedness to the predicted crosses, marker density, and the genomic model used to predict marker effects. The usefulness criterion selected had an impact on prediction accuracy within training sets with low relatedness to the crosses predicted. Optimal cross prediction provides a useful method that assists plant breeders in selecting crosses in soybean breeding.

Genomic selection for spot blotch in bread wheat breeding panels, full-sibs and half-sibs and index-based selection for spot blotch, heading and plant height

KEY MESSAGE

Genomic selection is a promising tool to select for spot blotch resistance and index-based selection can simultaneously select for spot blotch resistance, heading and plant height. A major biotic stress challenging bread wheat production in regions characterized by humid and warm weather is spot blotch caused by the fungus Bipolaris sorokiniana. Since genomic selection (GS) is a promising selection tool, we evaluated its potential for spot blotch in seven breeding panels comprising 6736 advanced lines from the International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center. Our results indicated moderately high mean genomic prediction accuracies of 0.53 and 0.40 within and across breeding panels, respectively which were on average 177.6% and 60.4% higher than the mean accuracies from fixed effects models using selected spot blotch loci. Genomic prediction was also evaluated in full-sibs and half-sibs panels and sibs were predicted with the highest mean accuracy (0.63) from a composite training population with random full-sibs and half-sibs. The mean accuracies when full-sibs were predicted from other full-sibs within families and when full-sibs panels were predicted from other half-sibs panels were 0.47 and 0.44, respectively. Comparison of GS with phenotypic selection (PS) of the top 10% of resistant lines suggested that GS could be an ideal tool to discard susceptible lines, as greater than 90% of the susceptible lines discarded by PS were also discarded by GS. We have also reported the evaluation of selection indices to simultaneously select non-late and non-tall genotypes with low spot blotch phenotypic values and genomic-estimated breeding values. Overall, this study demonstrates the potential of integrating GS and index-based selection for improving spot blotch resistance in bread wheat.

Unraveling the potential of phenomic selection within and among diverse breeding material of maize (Zea mays L.)

Genomic selection is a well-investigated approach that facilitates and supports selection decisions for complex traits and has meanwhile become a standard tool in modern plant breeding. Phenomic selection has only recently been suggested and uses the same statistical procedures to predict the targeted traits but replaces marker data with near-infrared spectroscopy data. It may represent an attractive low-cost, high-throughput alternative but has not been sufficiently studied until now. Here, we used 400 genotypes of maize (Zea mays L.) comprising elite lines of the Flint and Dent heterotic pools as well as 6 Flint landraces, which were phenotyped in multienvironment trials for anthesis-silking-interval, early vigor, final plant height, grain dry matter content, grain yield, and phosphorus concentration in the maize kernels, to compare the predictive abilities of genomic as well as phenomic prediction under different scenarios. We found that both approaches generally achieved comparable predictive abilities within material groups. However, phenomic prediction was less affected by population structure and performed better than its genomic counterpart for predictions among diverse groups of breeding material. We therefore conclude that phenomic prediction is a promising tool for practical breeding, for instance when working with unknown and rather diverse germplasm. Moreover, it may make the highly monopolized sector of plant breeding more accessible also for low-tech institutions by combining well established, widely available, and cost-efficient spectral phenotyping with the statistical procedures elaborated for genomic prediction - while achieving similar or even better results than with marker data.

The performance of phenomic selection depends on the genetic architecture of the target trait

The phenomic predictive ability depends on the genetic architecture of the target trait, being high for complex traits and low for traits with major QTL. Genomic selection is a powerful tool to assist breeding of complex traits, but a limitation is the costs required for genotyping. Recently, phenomic selection has been suggested, which uses spectral data instead of molecular markers as predictors. It was shown to be competitive with genomic prediction, as it achieved predictive abilities as high or even higher than its genomic counterpart. The objective of this study was to evaluate the performance of phenomic prediction for triticale and the dependency of the predictive ability on the genetic architecture of the target trait. We found that for traits with a complex genetic architecture, like grain yield, phenomic prediction with NIRS data as predictors achieved high predictive abilities and performed better than genomic prediction. By contrast, for mono- or oligogenic traits, for example, yellow rust, marker-based approaches achieved high predictive abilities, while those of phenomic prediction were very low. Compared with molecular markers, the predictive ability obtained using NIRS data was more robust to varying degrees of genetic relatedness between the training and prediction set. Moreover, for grain yield, smaller training sets were required to achieve a similar predictive ability for phenomic prediction than for genomic prediction. In addition, our results illustrate the potential of using field-based spectral data for phenomic prediction. Overall, our result confirmed phenomic prediction as an efficient approach to improve the selection gain for complex traits in plant breeding.