Assessing combining abilities, genomic data, and genotype × environment interactions to predict hybrid grain sorghum performance

Near-infrared reflectance spectroscopy phenomic prediction can perform similarly to genomic prediction of maize agronomic traits across environments

For nearly two decades, genomic prediction and selection have supported efforts to increase genetic gains in plant and animal improvement programs. However, novel phenomic strategies for predicting complex traits in maize have recently proven beneficial when integrated into across-environment sparse genomic prediction models. One phenomic data modality is whole grain near-infrared spectroscopy (NIRS), which records reflectance values of biological samples (e.g., maize kernels) based on chemical composition. Predictions of hybrid maize grain yield (GY) and 500-kernel weight (KW) across 2 years (2011-2012) and two management conditions (water-stressed and well-watered) were conducted using combinations of reflectance data obtained from high-throughput, F2 whole-kernel scans and genomic data obtained from genotyping-by-sequencing within four different cross-validation (CV) schemes (CV2, CV1, CV0, and CV00). When predicting the performance of untested genotypes in characterized (CV1) environments, genomic data were better than phenomic data for GY (0.689 ± 0.024-genomic vs. 0.612 ± 0.045-phenomic), but phenomic data were better than genomic data for KW (0.535 ± 0.034-genomic vs. 0.617 ± 0.145-phenomic). Multi-kernel models (combinations of phenomic and genomic relationship matrices) did not surpass single-kernel models for GY prediction in CV1 or CV00 (prediction of untested genotypes in uncharacterized environments); however, these models did outperform the single-kernel models for prediction of KW in these same CVs. Lasso regression applied to the NIRS data set selected a subset of 216 NIRS bands that achieved comparable prediction abilities to the full phenomic data set of 3112 bands predicting GY and KW under CV1 and CV00.

Evaluating and Predicting the Performance of Sorghum Lines in an Elite by Exotic Backcross-Nested Association Mapping Population

Maintaining or introducing genetic diversity into plant breeding programs is necessary for continual genetic gain; however, diversity at the cost of reduced performance is not something sought by breeders. To this end, backcross-nested association mapping (BC-NAM) populations, in which the recurrent parent is an elite line, can be employed as a strategy to introgress diversity from unadapted accessions while maintaining agronomic performance. This study evaluates (i) the hybrid performance of sorghum lines from 18 BC1-NAM families and (ii) the potential of genomic prediction to screen lines from BC1-NAM families for hybrid performance prior to phenotypic evaluation. Despite the diverse geographical origins and agronomic performance of the unadapted parents for BC1-NAM families, many BC1-derived lines performed significantly better in the hybrid trials than the elite recurrent parent, R.Tx436. The genomic prediction accuracies for grain yield, plant height, and days to mid-anthesis were acceptable, but the prediction accuracies for plant height were lower than expected. While the prediction accuracies increased when including more individuals in the training set, improvements tended to plateau between two and five lines per family, with larger training sets being required for more complex traits such as grain yield. Therefore, genomic prediction models can be optimized in a large BC1-NAM population with a relatively low fraction of individuals needing to be evaluated. These results suggest that genomic prediction is an effective method of pre-screening lines within BC1-NAM families prior to evaluation in extensive hybrid field trials.

Use of genomic prediction to screen sorghum B-lines in hybrid testcrosses

Use of trifluoromethanesulfonamide (TFMSA), a male gametocide, increases the opportunities to identify promising B-lines because large quantities of F1 seed can be generated prior to the laborious task of B-line sterilization. Combining TFMSA technology with genomic selection could efficiently evaluate sorghum B-lines in hybrid combination to maximize the rates of genetic gain of the crop. This study used two recombinant inbred B-line populations, consisting of 217 lines, which were testcrossed to two R-lines to produce 434 hybrids. Each population of testcross hybrids were evaluated across five environments. Population-based genomic prediction models were assessed across environments using three different cross-validation (CV) schemes, each with 70% training and 30% validation sets. The validation schemes were as follows: CV1-hybrids chosen randomly for validation; CV2-B-lines were randomly chosen, and each chosen B-line had one of the two corresponding testcross hybrids randomly chosen for the validation; and CV3-B-lines were randomly chosen, and each chosen B-line had both corresponding testcross hybrids chosen for the validation. CV1 and CV2 presented the highest prediction accuracies; nonetheless, the prediction accuracies of the CV schemes were not statistically different in many environments. We determined that combining the B-line populations could improve prediction accuracies, and the genomic prediction models were able to effectively rank the poorest 70% of hybrids even when genomic prediction accuracies themselves were low. Results indicate that combining genomic prediction models and TFMSA technology can effectively aid breeders in predicting B-line hybrid performance in early generations prior to the laborious task of generating A/B-line pairs.

Genomic prediction of hybrid performance in grain sorghum (Sorghum bicolor L.)

Genomic selection is expected to improve selection efficiency and genetic gain in breeding programs. The objective of this study was to assess the efficacy of predicting the performance of grain sorghum hybrids using genomic information of parental genotypes. One hundred and two public sorghum inbred parents were genotyped using genotyping-by-sequencing. Ninty-nine of the inbreds were crossed to three tester female parents generating a total of 204 hybrids for evaluation at two environments. The hybrids were sorted in to three sets of 77,59 and 68 and evaluated along with two commercial checks using a randomized complete block design in three replications. The sequence analysis generated 66,265 SNP markers that were used to predict the performance of 204 F1 hybrids resulted from crosses between the parents. Both additive (partial model) and additive and dominance (full model) were constructed and tested using various training population (TP) sizes and cross-validation procedures. Increasing TP size from 41 to 163 increased prediction accuracies for all traits. With the partial model, the five-fold cross validated prediction accuracies ranged from 0.03 for thousand kernel weight (TKW) to 0.58 for grain yield (GY) while it ranged from 0.06 for TKW to 0.67 for GY with the full model. The results suggest that genomic prediction could become an effective tool for predicting the performance of sorghum hybrids based on parental genotypes.

Evaluating Introgression Sorghum Germplasm Selected at the Population Level While Exploring Genomic Resources as a Screening Method

To exploit the novel genetic diversity residing in tropical sorghum germplasm, an expansive backcross nested-association mapping (BC-NAM) resource was developed in which novel genetic diversity was introgressed into elite inbreds. A major limitation of exploiting this type of genetic resource in hybrid improvement programs is the required evaluation in hybrid combination of the vast number of BC-NAM populations and lines. To address this, the utility of genomic information was evaluated to predict the hybrid performance of BC-NAM populations. Two agronomically elite BC-NAM populations were chosen for evaluation in which elite inbred RTx436 was the recurrent parent. Each BC₁F₃ line was evaluated in hybrid combination with an elite tester in two locations with phenotypes of grain yield, plant height, and days to anthesis collected on all test cross hybrids. Lines from both populations were found to outperform their recurrent parent. Efforts to utilize genetic distance based on genotyping-by-sequence (GBS) as a predictive tool for hybrid performance was ineffective. However, utilizing genomic prediction models using additive and dominance GBLUP kernels to screen germplasm appeared to be an effective method to eliminate inferior-performing lines that will not be useful in a hybrid breeding program.

Elucidation of gene action and combining ability for productive tillering in spring barley

The purpose of the present study is to identify breeding and genetic peculiarities for productive tillering in spring barley genotypes of different origin, purposes of usage and botanical affiliation, as well as to identify effective genetic sources to further improving of the trait. There were created two complete (6 × 6) diallel crossing schemes. Into the Scheme I elite Ukrainian (MIP Tytul and Avhur) and Western European (Datcha, Quench, Gladys, and Beatrix) malting spring barley varieties were involved. Scheme II included awnless covered barley varieties Kozyr and Vitrazh bred at the Plant Production Institute named after V. Y. Yuriev of NAAS of Ukraine, naked barley varieties Condor and CDC Rattan from Canada, as well as awned feed barley variety MIP Myroslav created at MIW and malting barley variety Sebastian from Denmark. For more reliable and informative characterization of barley varieties and their progeny for productive tillering in terms of inheritance, parameters of genetic variation and general combining ability (GCA) statistical analyses of experimental data from different (2019 and 2020) growing seasons were conducted. Accordingly to the indicator of phenotypic dominance all possible modes of inheritance were detected, except for negative dominance in the Scheme I in 2020. The degree of phenotypic dominance significantly varied depending on both varieties involved in crossing schemes and conditions of the years of trials. There was overdominance in loci in both schemes in both years. The other parameters of genetic variation showed significant differences in gene action for productive tillering between crossing Schemes. In Scheme I in both years the dominance was mainly unidirectional and due to dominant effects. In the Scheme II in both years there was multidirectional dominance. In Scheme I compliance with the additive-dominant system was revealed in 2019, but in 2020 there was a strong epistasis. In Scheme II in both years non-allelic interaction was identified. In general, the mode of gene action showed a very complex gene action for productive tillering in barley and a significant role of non-genetic factors in phenotypic manifestation of the trait. Despite this, the level of heritability in the narrow sense in both Schemes pointed to the possibility of the successful selection of individuals with genetically determined increased productive tillering in the splitting generations. In Scheme I the final selection for productive tillering will be more effective in later generations, when dominant alleles become homozygous. In Scheme II it is theoretically possible to select plants with high productive tillering on both recessive and dominant basis. In both schemes the non-allelic interaction should be taken into consideration. Spring barley varieties Beatrix, Datcha, MIP Myroslav and Kozyr can be used as effective genetic sources for involvement in crossings aimed at improving the productive tillering. The results of present study contribute to further development of studies devoted to evaluation of gene action for yield-related traits in spring barley, as well as identification of new genetic sources for plant improvement.

Enviromic Assembly Increases Accuracy and Reduces Costs of the Genomic Prediction for Yield Plasticity in Maize

Quantitative genetics states that phenotypic variation is a consequence of the interaction between genetic and environmental factors. Predictive breeding is based on this statement, and because of this, ways of modeling genetic effects are still evolving. At the same time, the same refinement must be used for processing environmental information. Here, we present an "enviromic assembly approach," which includes using ecophysiology knowledge in shaping environmental relatedness into whole-genome predictions (GP) for plant breeding (referred to as enviromic-aided genomic prediction, E-GP). We propose that the quality of an environment is defined by the core of environmental typologies and their frequencies, which describe different zones of plant adaptation. From this, we derived markers of environmental similarity cost-effectively. Combined with the traditional additive and non-additive effects, this approach may better represent the putative phenotypic variation observed across diverse growing conditions (i.e., phenotypic plasticity). Then, we designed optimized multi-environment trials coupling genetic algorithms, enviromic assembly, and genomic kinships capable of providing in-silico realization of the genotype-environment combinations that must be phenotyped in the field. As proof of concept, we highlighted two E-GP applications: (1) managing the lack of phenotypic information in training accurate GP models across diverse environments and (2) guiding an early screening for yield plasticity exerting optimized phenotyping efforts. Our approach was tested using two tropical maize sets, two types of enviromics assembly, six experimental network sizes, and two types of optimized training set across environments. We observed that E-GP outperforms benchmark GP in all scenarios, especially when considering smaller training sets. The representativeness of genotype-environment combinations is more critical than the size of multi-environment trials (METs). The conventional genomic best-unbiased prediction (GBLUP) is inefficient in predicting the quality of a yet-to-be-seen environment, while enviromic assembly enabled it by increasing the accuracy of yield plasticity predictions. Furthermore, we discussed theoretical backgrounds underlying how intrinsic envirotype-phenotype covariances within the phenotypic records can impact the accuracy of GP. The E-GP is an efficient approach to better use environmental databases to deliver climate-smart solutions, reduce field costs, and anticipate future scenarios.