Adiponectin and Mortality in Smokers and Non-Smokers of the Ludwigshafen Risk and Cardiovascular Health (LURIC) Study

A case-cohort study of the association between adiponectin and mortality in EPIC-Heidelberg: NT-proBNP may explain the adiponectin paradox

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

NT-proBNP has been hypothesized as a possible explanation for the paradoxical association between adiponectin and cardiovascular and all-cause mortality. We examined the heterogeneities by NT-proBNP, sex, BMI, smoking status, hypertension and diabetes status in the association between adiponectin and cardiovascular disease risk and mortality.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We used a case-cohort design nested within the EPIC-Heidelberg cohort, including 1387 incident cases of myocardial infarction or stroke, 582 deaths from cardiovascular causes and 2352 total deaths. We estimated hazard ratios for the association between 1SD increase in log-transformed total adiponectin levels and cardiovascular disease risk, cardiovascular mortality and mortality using Prentice-weighted Cox-proportional hazard models and assessed heterogeneity of the associations across strata of covariates. Overall, adiponectin was significantly associated with all-cause mortality [HR = 1.09, 95% CI: 1.03-1.16, p = 0.004]. The association with cardiovascular mortality did not reach statistical significance [1.10 (0.99-1.37), p = 0.073]. There was significant heterogeneity by NT-proBNP in the association between total adiponectin and all-cause mortality (phet = 0.019) such that significant increase in hazards of mortality were restricted to participants in the highest tertile of NT-proBNP. Among these participants, adiponectin showed a dose-response relationship with total mortality such that; compared to participants in the lowest quintile, those in the third, fourth and fifth were at 1.22 (0.87-1.70), 1.50 (1.07-2.11), and 1.59 (1.15-2.21) higher hazards of mortality respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Significant association between adiponectin and mortality was only observed in the context of high NT-proBNP. Our findings provide further support for hypothesis that NT-proBNP may explain the adiponectin paradox.

Circulating adiponectin levels are paradoxically associated with mortality rate. A systematic review and meta-analysis

CONTEXT

Some studies have surprisingly indicated that serum adiponectin is positively related to mortality rate, thus casting doubts on its role as a therapeutic target for cardiovascular disease.

OBJECTIVE

To summarize evidence about direction, strength and modulators of this controversial association.

DATA SOURCES

MEDLINE, Web of Science, CINHAL, Cochrane Library and Scopus from inception through June 2018.

STUDY SELECTION

English-language prospective studies reporting the association between adiponectin and all-cause or cardiovascular mortality.

DATA EXTRACTION

Two investigators independently extracted data and assessed study quality using standard criteria following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses and The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale, respectively. Pooled hazard ratios (HRs) (95% confidence intervals-CIs) were derived using a fixed or random effects models when appropriated and were expressed for one standard deviation (SD) increment of adiponectin.

DATA SYNTHESIS

We identified fifty-five (n=61,676 subjects) and twenty-eight (n=43,979 subjects) studies for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, respectively. Pooled HRs, were 1.24 (1.17-1.31) and 1.28 (1.19-1.37) for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, respectively. Similar results were obtained also for High Molecular Weight adiponectin. When meta-analyses were restricted to studies reporting data on natriuretic peptides a 43% and 28% reduction on a log scale of these associations were observed after natriuretic peptides adjustment.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results strongly points to a paradoxical association between high adiponectin levels and increased mortality rate, which is partly modulated by natriuretic peptides.

The Adiponectin Paradox for All-Cause and Cardiovascular Mortality

Basic science studies have shown beneficial effects of adiponectin on glucose homeostasis, chronic low-grade inflammation, apoptosis, oxidative stress, and atherosclerotic processes, so this molecule usually has been considered a salutary adipokine. It was therefore quite unexpected that large prospective human studies suggested that adiponectin is simply a marker of glucose homeostasis, with no direct favorable effect on the risk of type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease. But even more unforeseen were data addressing the role of adiponectin on the risk of death. In fact, a positive, rather than the expected negative, relationship was reported between adiponectin and mortality rate across many clinical conditions, comprising diabetes. The biology underlying this paradox is unknown. Several explanations have been proposed, including adiponectin resistance and the confounding role of natriuretic peptides. In addition, preliminary genetic evidence speaks in favor of a direct role of adiponectin in increasing the risk of death. However, none of these hypotheses are based on robust data, so further efforts are needed to unravel the elusive role of adiponectin on cardiometabolic health and, most important, its paradoxical association with mortality rate.