Predictive model to determine cost/benefit of early detection and intervention in occupational low back pain

Individual recovery expectations and prognosis of outcomes in non-specific low back pain: prognostic factor review

BACKGROUND

Low back pain is costly and disabling. Prognostic factor evidence can help healthcare providers and patients understand likely prognosis, inform the development of prediction models to identify subgroups, and may inform new treatment strategies. Recent studies have suggested that people who have poor expectations for recovery experience more back pain disability, but study results have differed.

OBJECTIVES

To synthesise evidence on the association between recovery expectations and disability outcomes in adults with low back pain, and explore sources of heterogeneity.

SEARCH METHODS

The search strategy included broad and focused electronic searches of MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL, and PsycINFO to 12 March 2019, reference list searches of relevant reviews and included studies, and citation searches of relevant expectation measurement tools.

SELECTION CRITERIA

We included low back pain prognosis studies from any setting assessing general, self-efficacy, and treatment expectations (measured dichotomously and continuously on a 0 - 10 scale), and their association with work participation, clinically important recovery, functional limitations, or pain intensity outcomes at short (3 months), medium (6 months), long (12 months), and very long (> 16 months) follow-up.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

We extracted study characteristics and all reported estimates of unadjusted and adjusted associations between expectations and related outcomes. Two review authors independently assessed risks of bias using the Quality in Prognosis Studies (QUIPS) tool. We conducted narrative syntheses and meta-analyses when appropriate unadjusted or adjusted estimates were available. Two review authors independently graded and reported the overall quality of evidence.

MAIN RESULTS

We screened 4635 unique citations to include 60 studies (30,530 participants). Thirty-five studies were conducted in Europe, 21 in North America, and four in Australia. Study populations were mostly chronic (37%), from healthcare (62%) or occupational settings (26%). General expectation was the most common type of recovery expectation measured (70%); 16 studies measured more than one type of expectation. Usable data for syntheses were available for 52 studies (87% of studies; 28,885 participants). We found moderate-quality evidence that positive recovery expectations are strongly associated with better work participation (narrative synthesis: 21 studies; meta-analysis: 12 studies, 4777 participants: odds ratio (OR) 2.43, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.64 to 3.62), and low-quality evidence for clinically important recovery outcomes (narrative synthesis: 12 studies; meta-analysis: 5 studies, 1820 participants: OR 1.89, 95% CI 1.49 to 2.41), both at follow-up times closest to 12 months, using adjusted data. The association of recovery expectations with other outcomes of interest, including functional limitations (narrative synthesis: 10 studies; meta-analysis: 3 studies, 1435 participants: OR 1.40, 95% CI 0.85 to 2.31) and pain intensity (narrative synthesis: 9 studies; meta-analysis: 3 studies, 1555 participants: OR 1.15, 95% CI 1.08 to 1.23) outcomes at follow-up times closest to 12 months using adjusted data, is less certain, achieving very low- and low-quality evidence, respectively. No studies reported statistically significant or clinically important negative associations between recovery expectations and any low back pain outcome.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

We found that individual recovery expectations are probably strongly associated with future work participation (moderate-quality evidence) and may be associated with clinically important recovery outcomes (low-quality evidence). The association of recovery expectations with other outcomes of interest is less certain. Our findings suggest that recovery expectations should be considered in future studies, to improve prognosis and management of low back pain.

Reducing sickness absence from work due to low back pain: how well do intervention strategies match modifiable risk factors?

OBJECTIVE

To assess, from the review literature, the extent to which effective strategies for reducing work absence after acute low back pain (LBP) match empirical risk factors.

METHODS

From 17 recent review articles (2000-2005), disability risk factors and interventions were cross-tabulated to assess levels of relative concordance.

RESULTS

Potentially modifiable risk factors included 23 variables describing 3 workplace and 3 personal domains. Effective interventions included 25 strategies that were personal (physical or behavioral), engineering, or administrative in nature. There was a strong risk factor concordance for workplace technical and organizational interventions, graded activity exposure, and cognitive restructuring of pain beliefs. There was less risk factor concordance for exercise, back education, and RTW coordination. Few interventions focused on relieving emotional distress or improving job dissatisfaction, two well-supported risk factors.

DISCUSSION

Gaps between the epidemiological and intervention research of back disability prevention could be reduced by testing mediators of intervention effects or by stratifying outcomes according to pre-intervention risk factors.

Predicting return to work. A long-term follow-up study of railroad workers after low back injuries

STUDY DESIGN

Evaluation of the long-term outcomes of 178 railroad employees with low back injury who had completed a multidisciplinary rehabilitation program.

OBJECTIVES

To study two major areas: 1) outcomes of the rehabilitation program in terms of the patient's improvement in function and rate of return to work and 2) factors that predict long-term retention at work, both at the railroad and elsewhere.

SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA

Several studies have been published examining rehabilitation outcomes of individuals covered under workers' compensation law, but few exist that have examined railroad workers covered by the Federal Employers Liability Act, and few studies exist with follow-up periods longer than 3 years.

METHODS

Physical/medical, self-reported, and employment/financial data were collected on each patient from medical and employment records. Follow-up data regarding employment status were obtained either from the employer or from the patient by telephone interview.

RESULTS

On average, the patients improved in all objective and subjective measures after rehabilitation. Improvements in these measures were not predictive of return to work. At follow-up examination, 89% of the contacted patients were employed--61% still at the rail-road. The employment factors of lost work days and length of employment and the financial factor of wage rate were the most predictive of long-term work status.

CONCLUSIONS

The multidisciplinary program in the current study was found to improve patient physical functioning and reduce pain. However, success in these measures was not predictive of long-term work status, suggesting that other factors have an impact on work status. Clinicians must be aware that employment and financial factors may have a strong influence on return-to-work outcomes.

The reliability and validity of a measure of perceived functional capacity for work in chronic back pain

Psychosocial factors, including perceived disability and self-efficacy, are important determinants of outcome for individuals with chronic back pain. Consequently, there is a need for an evaluation and consideration of such factors in occupational rehabilitation. This study evaluated the reliability and validity of a tool, the Spinal Function Sort, as a measure of perceived capacity for work-related tasks with 42 rehabilitation clients with chronic back pain. Results provided support for the internal consistency (Cronbach's alpha of 0.97), test-rest reliability (ICC of 0.89) and construct validity of the Spinal Function Sort as a measure of perceived capacity for work-related tasks in persons with chronic back pain. Measures of similar constructs were significantly correlated with the Spinal Function Sort and were highly predictive of the Spinal Function Sort on multiple regression. Relationships between perceived work capacity and pain intensity and gender are discussed. The need for the consideration of perceived capacity in the evaluation and rehabilitation of persons with chronic back pain is highlighted.

Nonorganic signs of significance in low back pain

STUDY DESIGN

Medical records and imaging studies including one or more interviews and physical examinations by the author were reviewed in 878 people remaining out of work for 13 weeks or more because of occupational low back pain.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the prognostic value of nonorganic signs, including those validated by Waddell et al and two others previously undescribed, limitation of shoulder motion with production of low back pain, and low back pain resulting from movement limited to the cervical spines.

SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA

Review of all records of people evaluated by the author over a 3-year period (1990-1993) provided the material for this study. All available medical, insurance, and legal records were reviewed, including reports or examination results of radiographic films, or both. In the majority, more sophisticated investigation had been performed with complete reports of the studies themselves being available to the author.

METHODS

A complete history and physical examination were accomplished by the author on each individual, including evaluation of each of the test results for nonorganicity. Medical records, including radiographic films, magnetic resonance imaging, computerized axial tomography, myelography, bone scan, electromyography, etc., were collated. Statistical analysis of results followed.

RESULTS

The finding of limitation of shoulder motion resulting in low back pain indicated a worse prognosis for return to work than that of positive Waddell signs alone, 69.6% versus 52.9%. If cervical motion additionally produced low back pain, the outlook was poorer (no return to work in 73.1%).

CONCLUSION

When present with a triad of the signs validated by Waddell, the new signs significantly increase the predictability of failure to return to work by workers with compensable low back pain.

Economic impact of ergonomic intervention-Four case studies

The economy of ergonomic improvements is reported as case studies from four Swedish companies. Poor workplace ergonomics and related musculoskeletal problems were already known and had caused repeated sick- leave periods at these workplaces. Expenses associated with certain preventive activities were accounted for and financial effects were estimated based on interviews with representatives at the companies. When costs were compared to gains, the improvements appeared to be highly profitable.

Workers' compensation managed care: Preliminary findings

The cost of providing care that is effective to return injured workers to the workplace has risen in recent years in a manner that appears to be out of control in the workers' compensation system. In turn, medical care costs are an important component of the rapidly increasing costs of workers' compensation insurance. A model of health care delivery that emphasizes early intervention and return to work is presented. This model focuses on providing aggressive treatment of injuries that historically have been reported to be extraordinarily expensive. This paper is a case study of a managed care treatment model and presents costs of treatment in the first year of utilization. Medical care costs of 295 cases are compared with state and national figures and are found to be substantially better, especially with regard to soft tissue injuries and injuries that involve days lost from work.