Foreign-protein-mediated immunodeficiency in hemophiliacs with and without HIV

The generalized odd log-logistic-G regression with interval-censored survival data

The article proposes a new regression based on the generalized odd log-logistic family for interval-censored data. The survival times are not observed for this type of data, and the event of interest occurs at some random interval. This family can be used in interval modeling since it generalizes some popular lifetime distributions in addition to its ability to present various forms of the risk function. The estimation of the parameters is addressed by the classical and Bayesian methods. We examine the behavior of the estimates for some sample sizes and censorship percentages. Selection criteria, likelihood ratio tests, residual analysis, and graphical techniques assess the goodness of fit of the fitted models. The usefulness of the proposed models is red shown by means of two real data sets.

AIDS denialism and public health practice

In this paper, we respond to AIDS denialist arguments that HIV does not cause AIDS, that antiretroviral drugs are not useful, and that there is no evidence of large-scale deaths from AIDS, and discuss the key implications of the relationship between AIDS denialism and public health practice. We provide a brief history of how the cause of AIDS was investigated, of how HIV fulfills Koch's postulates and Sir Bradford Hil's criteria for causation, and of the inconsistencies in alternatives offered by denialists. We highlight clinical trials as the standard for assessing efficacy of drugs, rather than anecdotal cases or discussions of mechanism of action, and show the unanimous data demonstrating antiretroviral drug efficacy. We then show how statistics on mortality and indices such as crude death rate, life expectancy, child mortality, and population growth are consistent with the high mortality from AIDS, and expose the weakness of statistics from death notification, quoted by denialists. Last we emphasize that when denialism influences public health practice as in South Africa, the consequences are disastrous. We argue for accountability for the loss of hundreds of thousands of lives, the need to reform public health practice to include standards and accountability, and the particular need for honesty and peer review in situations that impact public health policy.

The chemical bases of the various AIDS epidemics: recreational drugs, anti-viral chemotherapy and malnutrition

In 1981 a new epidemic of about two-dozen heterogeneous diseases began to strike non-randomly growing numbers of male homosexuals and mostly male intravenous drug users in the US and Europe. Assuming immunodeficiency as the common denominator the US Centers for Disease Control (CDC) termed the epidemic, AIDS, for acquired immunodeficiency syndrome. From 1981-1984 leading researchers including those from the CDC proposed that recreational drug use was the cause of AIDS, because of exact correlations and of drug-specific diseases. However, in 1984 US government researchers proposed that a virus, now termed human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), is the cause of the non-random epidemics of the US and Europe but also of a new, sexually random epidemic in Africa. The virus-AIDS hypothesis was instantly accepted, but it is burdened with numerous paradoxes, none of which could be resolved by 2003: Why is there no HIV in most AIDS patients, only antibodies against it? Why would HIV take 10 years from infection to AIDS? Why is AIDS not self-limiting via antiviral immunity? Why is there no vaccine against AIDS? Why is AIDS in the US and Europe not random like other viral epidemics? Why did AIDS not rise and then decline exponentially owing to antiviral immunity like all other viral epidemics? Why is AIDS not contagious? Why would only HIV carriers get AIDS who use either recreational or anti-HIV drugs or are subject to malnutrition? Why is the mortality of HIV-antibody-positives treated with anti-HIV drugs 7-9%, but that of all (mostly untreated) HIV-positives globally is only 1.4%? Here we propose that AIDS is a collection of chemical epidemics, caused by recreational drugs, anti-HIV drugs, and malnutrition. According to this hypothesis AIDS is not contagious, not immunogenic, not treatable by vaccines or antiviral drugs, and HIV is just a passenger virus. The hypothesis explains why AIDS epidemics strike non-randomly if caused by drugs and randomly if caused by malnutrition, why they manifest in drug- and malnutrition-specific diseases, and why they are not self-limiting via anti-viral immunity. The hypothesis predicts AIDS prevention by adequate nutrition and abstaining from drugs, and even cures by treating AIDS diseases with proven medications.

AIDS possibly caused by HIV and latent malaria coinfection

The presented hypothesis suggests that chronic latent malaria infection prepares the niche where the otherwise feeble HIV coinfection can thrive and cause AIDS. It is suggested that the roots of the HIV outbreak and AIDS pandemic lay in the urbanization processes in Africa that resulted in the eradication of the Anopheles vector from previously endemic areas, which changed the immunological status of the inhabitants there as they lost their natural immunity to malaria. Since malarial parasites may persist in the lymphatic network for a lifetime and reduce T cell proliferation while adhering to immature dendritic cells, the loss of this natural immunity made the African population, which was chronically affected with scanty parasitemia, vulnerable to opportunistic infections, HIV among them. The specific transmission modes of latent malaria infection elucidate why AIDS flares up in Africa and spreads there evenly in the population, while in the West it expands rather slowly and is restricted mainly to homosexuals and blood recipients.

The Viral Model for AIDS: Paradigmatic Dominance, Politics, or Best Approximation of Reality?

In 1981, a non-infectious disease hypothesis was offered by the Centers for Disease Control to explain the cluster of atypical pneumonias which had appeared among gay men in the United States. Although quickly supplanted by the now widely held viral hypothesis and largely ignored by professional and media sources, that view has persisted. This article raises the question of why one explanation for the epidemic of immune system suppression has dominated the discourse on AIDS, despite the anomalies attributed to it by the proponents of other viewpoints. Alternative responses to the question are set forth drawing upon literatures in the philosophy of science and public policy formulation. Some discussion is provided of what the consequences may be if one of the contrarian hypotheses proves to be the closer approximation to the truth about AIDS etiology.