Prognostic factors in gallbladder and biliary tract cancer

Patients with recurrent biliary tract cancer have a better prognosis than those with unresectable disease: retrospective analysis of a multi-institutional experience with patients of advanced biliary tract cancer who received palliative chemotherapy

BACKGROUND

Prognostic factors for patients with advanced biliary tract cancer (BTC) who received palliative chemotherapy have not been fully established. Especially, the status of unresectable/recurrent disease has not been well studied because of a small number of patients with recurrent BTC in previous studies.

METHODS

This multicenter retrospective study was conducted in 18 institutions in Japan. We retrospectively reviewed data regarding 403 patients with pathologically proven BTC who received palliative chemotherapy between April 2006 and March 2009. One hundred and ninety-two patients with recurrent BTC were included. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify prognostic factors.

RESULTS

The median overall survival was significantly longer in the recurrent BTC patients than in the unresectable BTC patients (398 days vs. 323 days, P = 0.004). After adjustment using multivariate analysis, the status of recurrent/unresectable disease remained an independent prognostic factor (hazard ratio 1.33, 95% confidence interval 1.04-1.70, P = 0.022) in addition to performance status, extent of disease, carbohydrate antigen 19-9 levels, and carcinoembryonic antigen levels.

CONCLUSIONS

The status of unresectable/recurrent disease was shown as an independent prognostic factor in the BTC patients. This result may help to predict life expectancy of BTC patients and design future clinical trials evaluating palliative chemotherapy in BTC.

Determining prognosis and predicting survival in end-of-life care

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

The purpose of this article is to review some recent studies referred to prognosis factors and our capacity to predict death during the final stages of disease.

RECENT FINDINGS

Recent studies show significant approaches through the use of some instruments (especially self-assessment tools), which we will analyze herein.

SUMMARY

In many cases of clinical practice, this prediction capacity based on solid elements may be key to determine or contraindicate certain therapeutic resources. Such is the case, for example, when it is necessary to define the transfer of a patient to a proper specialized center, under family or legal circumstances demanding a clarification on this point, or for handling the dialog with the patients and/or their relatives. According to recent findings, we should include some elements of self-assessment in our instruments to predict death in palliative care.

Prognostic factors and predictive model in patients with advanced biliary tract adenocarcinoma receiving first-line palliative chemotherapy

BACKGROUND

Advanced biliary tract adenocarcinoma (BTA) has been a rare but fatal cancer. If unresectable, palliative chemotherapy improved the quality and length of life, but to the authors' knowledge, prognostic factors in such patients have not been well established to date. In the current study, prognostic factors were investigated in patients with advanced BTA receiving first-line palliative chemotherapy.

METHODS

Data from 213 patients with advanced BTA who were in prospective phase 2 or retrospective studies from September 2000 through October 2007 were used.

RESULTS

With a median follow-up duration of 29.7 months, the median overall survival (OS) was 7.3 months (95% confidence interval [95% CI], 6.3 months-8.3 months). A Cox proportional hazards model indicated that metastatic disease (hazards ratio [HR], 1.521; P=.011), intrahepatic cholangiocellular carcinoma (HR, 1.368; P=.045), liver metastasis (HR, 1.845; P<.001), Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (HR, 1.707; P<.001), and alkaline phosphatase level (IU/L) (HR, 1.001; P<.001) were statistically significant independent predictors of poor prognosis. Patients were classified into 3 risk groups based on the prognostic index (PI), which was constructed using the regression coefficients of each variable. The median OS was 11.5 months (95% CI, 9.6 months-13.5 months) for the low-risk group (PI<or=1.5; n=67), 7.3 months (95% CI, 5.7 months-8.9 months) for the intermediate-risk group (PI>1.5 but <or=2.2; n=75), and 3.6 months (95% CI, 2.9 months-4.1 months) for the high-risk group (PI>2.2; n=70 [P<.001]).

CONCLUSIONS

Five prognostic factors in patients with advanced BTA were identified. The predictive model based on PI appears to be promising and may be used for the management of individual patients and to guide the design of future clinical trials, although external validation is needed.

(1)H and (31)P NMR studies indicate reduced bile constituents in patients with biliary obstruction and infection

Patients with extrahepatic biliary obstruction present with impairment of the normal bile flow, with jaundice and cholangitis as common complications. (1)H and (31)P NMR quantitative analysis of bile specimens from patients with extrahepatic biliary obstruction (n = 80) (with/without jaundice and cholangitis separately and together) was carried out for the chief biliary constituents to determine the relationship between biliary constituents and jaundice (serum bilirubin concentration >or=1.0 mg/dL) and cholangitis (total leucocyte count >11,000 cells/mm(3) and/or fever >38.5 degrees C with/without bile culture positivity). Compared with controls (patients without jaundice and cholangitis), median indices of the chief biliary constituents (total bile acids, cholesterol, phosphatidylcholine and inorganic phosphate) were significantly suppressed in patients with cholangitis and/or jaundice. Quantities of total bile acids, cholesterol and phosphatidylcholine correlated negatively with the quantity of bilirubin and with cholangitis, i.e. total leucocyte count. Suppression of biliary constituents correlated significantly with the severity of jaundice and cholangitis. The decrease in biliary constituents in the presence of jaundice and cholangitis is possibly the result of downregulation of the function of transporters located at the canalicular side of hepatocytes, leading to their suppressed indices in bile. This information may have implications in the examination of bile for clinical studies.