Risk estimation for hypertension based on follow-up health examination data in a small village in Kumamoto prefecture, Japan

Serial study on the association between body mass index and hypertension in rural Japanese

The objective of this study was to examine the association between body mass index (BMI) and blood pressure. Two sets of cross-sectional data were obtained from annual health examinations for adults aged 40 years and over (n=1,327 in 1993; n=1,302 in 2000) in Tsunagi area of Kumamoto Prefecture, Japan. BMI was associated with mean blood pressure and with prevalence of hypertension both in 1993 and 2000. The association was independent of age, smoking status and alcohol consumption. A significant increase in risk of hypertension was found in most categories of BMI 25.0 and above, and a greater than three fold increase in those with BMI of 27 and above compared with those with BMI of 18.5-22.9. Although mean blood pressure and prevalence of hypertension sharply decreased in 2000 compared with that in 1993, BMI was positively and independently associated with increased blood pressure.

Demographic determinants for change in activities of daily living: a cohort study of the elderly people in Beijing

To describe changes in activities of daily living (ADL) of community-dwelling Beijing elderly people, observed for 8 years, and to identify the demographic characteristics that predict the functional change. Four sets of interview data from 1992 to 2000 were used to evaluate changes among Beijing elderly aged 55 years and over. Results revealed that prevalence of disability increased from 3.9% to 7.1% during the 8 years of follow-up with the average increasing rate of disability was 0.41% per year. Meanwhile an increasing likelihood of recovery from disability is observed with age and time. Women, aged 75 or more, experienced higher disability than men though it was in the opposite for younger ages. In addition, certain demographic subgroups (such as women, unmarried, illiterate and living in non urban area) appeared to be at higher risk for ADL impaired. The patterns of ADL change is in both the direction of improvement and declination. Demographic variables emerged as a significant predictor in estimating functional outcomes. Furthermore, it is recommended that the demarcation factor for the evaluation of ADL should be 75 years of age.

Risk factors for the development of hypertension: a 6-year longitudinal study of middle-aged Japanese men

OBJECTIVE

To identify the factors related to the development of hypertension on the basis of annual health examinations at the workplace.

SETTING

A cohort of Japanese male office workers who were reexamined for six successive years after their initial examinations in 1990.

SUBJECTS

The study cohort comprised 1089 hypertension-free subjects aged 30-54 years. Six-year follow-ups were completed for 934 subjects (85.8%)

RESULTS

An analysis using the Kaplan-Meier method showed that the incidence of hypertension above the borderline level increased significantly with increasing age, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, total cholesterol level, uric acid level, total protein level, hematocrit level, and alcohol intake. This increase was significant for systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, and hematocrit level. The highest cumulative incidences both of hypertension above the borderline level and of definite hypertension were observed among those with 85-89 mmHg diastolic blood pressure, and the second highest among those with 130-139 mmHg systolic blood pressure. Multivariate analysis using the Cox proportional hazards model indicated that age, systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, and alcohol intake were independent factors associated with the incidence of hypertension above the borderline level. Systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, and hematocrit level proved to be independently predictive of hypertension, and alcohol intake was of borderline significance as a risk factor for hypertension.

CONCLUSION

High normal blood pressure is the strongest predictor for the development of hypertension among middle-aged Japanese men. In addition, high alcohol intake and high hematocrit level may be contributory factors.