Scoring systems in trauma

Performance of Prognostication Scores for Mortality in Injured Patients in Rwanda

INTRODUCTION

While trauma prognostication and triage scores have been designed for use in lower-resourced healthcare settings specifically, the comparative clinical performance between trauma-specific and general triage scores for risk-stratifying injured patients in such settings is not well understood. This study evaluated the Kampala Trauma Score (KTS), Revised Trauma Score (RTS), and Triage Early Warning Score (TEWS) for accuracy in predicting mortality among injured patients seeking emergency department (ED) care at the Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Kigali (CHUK) in Rwanda.

METHODS

A retrospective, randomly sampled cohort of ED patients presenting with injury was accrued from August 2015-July 2016. Primary outcome was 14-day mortality and secondary outcome was overall facility-based mortality. We evaluated summary statistics of the cohort. Bootstrap regression models were used to compare areas under receiver operating curves (AUC) with associated 95% confidence intervals (CI).

RESULTS

Among 617 cases, the median age was 32 years and 73.5% were male. The most frequent mechanism of injury was road traffic incident (56.2%). Predominant anatomical regions of injury were craniofacial (39.3%) and lower extremities (38.7%), and the most common injury types were fracture (46.0%) and contusion (12.0%). Fourteen-day mortality was 2.6% and overall facility-based mortality was 3.4%. For 14-day mortality, TEWS had the highest accuracy (AUC = 0.88, 95% CI, 0.76-1.00), followed by RTS (AUC = 0.73, 95% CI, 0.55-0.92), and then KTS (AUC = 0.65, 95% CI, 0.47-0.84). Similarly, for facility-based mortality, TEWS (AUC = 0.89, 95% CI, 0.79-0.98) had greater accuracy than RTS (AUC = 0.76, 95% CI, 0.61-0.91) and KTS (AUC = 0.68, 95% CI, 0.53-0.83). On pairwise comparisons, RTS had greater prognostic accuracy than KTS for 14-day mortality (P = 0.011) and TEWS had greater accuracy than KTS for overall (P = 0.007) mortality. However, TEWS and RTS accuracy were not significantly different for 14-day mortality (P = 0.864) or facility-based mortality (P = 0.101).

CONCLUSION

In this cohort of emergently injured patients in Rwanda, the TEWS demonstrated the greatest accuracy for predicting mortality outcomes, with no significant discriminatory benefit found in the use of the trauma-specific RTS or KTS instruments, suggesting that the TEWS is the most clinically useful approach in the setting studied and likely in other similar ED environments.

Predicting mortality, hospital length of stay and need for surgery in pediatric trauma patients

PURPOSE

Pediatric trauma is one of the major health problems around the world which threats the life of children. The survival of injured children depends upon appropriate care, accurate triage and effective emergent surgery. The objective of this study was to determine the predictive values of injury severity score (ISS), new injury severity score (NISS) and revised trauma score (RTS) on children's mortality, hospitalization and need for surgery.

METHODS

In this study, records of trauma patients under 15 years old transported from a trauma scene to emergency department of Poursina hospital from 2010 to 2011 were included. Statistical analysis was applied to determine the ISS, NISS and RTS ability in predicting the outcomes of interest.

RESULTS

There were 588 records in hospital registry system. The mean age of the patients was (7.3 ± 3.8) years, and 62.1% (n = 365) of patients were male. RTS was the more ability score to predict mortality with an area under curve (AUC) of 0.99 (95% CI, 0.99-1). In the hospital length of stay (LOS), ISS was best predictor for both the hospital LOS with AUC of 0.72 (95% CI, 0.67-0.76) and need for surgical surgery with AUC of 0.94 (95% CI, 0.90-0.98).

CONCLUSION

RTS as a physiological scoring system has a higher predicting AUC value in predicting mortality. The anatomic scoring systems of ISS and NISS have good performance in predicting of hospital LOS and need for surgery outcomes.

The utility of the Kampala trauma score as a triage tool in a sub-Saharan African trauma cohort

BACKGROUND

Trauma scoring systems have been developed to assess injury severity and may have triage potential. We sought to evaluate the ability of the Kampala trauma score (KTS) to assess injury severity and its potential as an outcome predictive tool in Malawi.

METHODS

This is a prospective cohort study of trauma patients presenting to Kamuzu Central Hospital in 2012. We recorded admission KTS and Revised trauma score (RTS), emergency department disposition, and hospital length of stay (LOS) and survival. Logistic regression and ROC curve analyses were used to compare the KTS to the widely accepted RTS.

RESULTS

15,617 patients presented with trauma. 2,884 (18 %) were admitted, of which 2,509 (95 %) survived. The mean admission KTS was 14.5 ± 0.6, and RTS was 11.9 ± 0.3. For KTS and RTS, the odds of admission with each increment increase in score was 0.44 and 0.3, respectively. Similarly, odds of mortality is 0.48 and 0.36. Neither KTS (p = 0.96, ROC area 0.5) nor RTS (p = 0.25, ROC area 0.5) correlated significantly with hospital LOS. KTS and RTS performed equally well as predictors of mortality, but KTS was a better predictor of need for admission (KTS ROC area 0.62, RTS ROC area 0.55, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Both the KTS and RTS were significantly associated with need for admission and final outcome on logistic regression analysis; however, they may not be strong enough predictors to merit their use as a screening tool in our setting.

CK/CK-MB ratio as an indirect predictor for survival in polytraumatized patients

BACKGROUND

Accurate assessment of injury severity is critical for decision making related to the prevention, triage, and treatment of several injured patients. Early estimation of mortality risk of critically injured patients is mandatory for adequate therapeutic strategies. Current risk stratification relies on clinical diagnosis and scoring systems. In our study, we hypothesized whether a simple laboratory test, the CK/CK-MB ratio, could help improving risk prediction in severely traumatized patients.

METHODS

In a 9-year period, 328 nonselected trauma patients were included in our retrospective study at a Level I Trauma Center up to September 2002. Data for this study were obtained from our computerized trauma database, established in September 1992.

RESULTS

In our study population, we could show a negative correlation between Injury Severity Score (ISS) and leukocytes. A positive correlation was detected for liver enzymes and CK-MB. The correlation between ISS and Na(+) was significant. No correlation between ISS, K(+), and Hb/Ht could be observed. Exitus was associated with ISS, alteration in thrombocytes, CK, CK-MB, CRP, Crea, and Na(+).

CONCLUSION

In our study population, CK-MB levels showed a significant correlation with overall surveillance in polytraumatized patients. In our opinion, this might suggest that CK-MB levels could be taken as an indirect predictor for survival. Our findings need to be proven in further prospective clinical trials.