[Prevalence of thyroid abnormality: a comparison of ambulatory claims data with data from a population-based study]

Malignancy rates in thyroid nodules: a long-term cohort study of 17,592 patients

Objectives

Ultrasound diagnosis of thyroid nodules has greatly increased their detection rate. Their risk for malignancy is estimated between 7 and 15% in data from specialized centers which are used for guidelines recommendations. This high rate causes considerable anxiety to patients upon first diagnosis. Here, we retrospectively analyzed the malignancy rate of sonographically diagnosed nodules larger than 1 cm from a primary/secondary care center when long-term longitudinal follow-up was included.

Patients/methods

In the study, 17,592 patients were diagnosed with a thyroid nodule larger than 1 cm, of whom 7776 were assessed by fine-needle aspiration cytology (FNAC) and 9816 by sonography alone. 9568 patients were initially discharged due to innocent results of FNAC and/or ultrasound. In 1904 patients, definitive histology was obtained, and 6731 cases were included in the long-term follow-up (up to 23 years, median 5 years).

Results

Malignancy was histologically confirmed in 189 patients (1.1% of all) when excluding accidentally diagnosed papillary microcarcinomas. 155 were diagnosed during the first year of management, 25 in years 2-5 of follow-up, 9 in years 6-10 and nil in 1165 patients followed beyond 10 years.

Conclusions

The malignancy rate of thyroid nodules from primary/secondary care was much lower than that previously reported. During follow-up for more than 5 years, their rate rapidly dropped to less than 1/1000 cases. This low malignancy rate may help to reassure patients first confronted with the diagnosis of a thyroid nodule, substantially reduce their anxiety and avoid unwarranted diagnostic and therapeutic procedures.

Frequency of thyroid function tests and examinations in participants of a population-based study

BACKGROUND

Thyroid disorders are common in the adult German population. Little is known about guideline implementation in clinical practice and the prevalence of diagnostic procedures in ambulatory care. The study aims to investigate the use of thyroid hormone measurements, thyroid ultrasound, thyroid scintiscan and associated costs in ambulatory care at population level.

METHODS

Data were derived from two independent population-based cohorts of the Study of Health In Pomerania (SHIP). Ambulatory billing data from the Association of Statutory Health Insurance Physicians Mecklenburg-Vorpommern were individually linked for the period 2002-2016 with SHIP data. The main outcomes were the frequency of outpatient ultrasound, scintiscan, serum TSH level measurement, free triiodothyronine (fT3) and free thyroxine (fT4) measurement, TSH-receptor-antibodies and microsomal antibodies measurement within 1 year and 3 years prior to the study entrance of the participants. Multinomial logistic regression models were used to assess the association of age, sex, thyroid medication intake and Charlson-Comorbidity-Index with frequency of TSH measurements and ultrasound examinations.

RESULTS

A total of 5552 participants (47% male, median age 55) were included in the analysis. 25% (1409/5552) had a diagnosed thyroid disorder or treatment, 40% (2191/5552) had clinical findings based on ultrasound or laboratory testing in SHIP only and 35% (1952/5552) neither a coded thyroid disorder or clinical finding nor thyroid medication. In the total study population 30% (1626/5552) received at least one TSH measurement, 6.8% (378/5552) at least one thyroid ultrasound and 2.6% (146/5552) at least one scintiscan within the past year before the study examination. Tests were performed more frequently in patients with thyroid medication and coded thyroid disorders. Hence, this group caused the highest expenditures.

CONCLUSIONS

Given the high prevalence of thyroid disorders, diagnostic and monitoring tests should be used rationally with regard to costs. TSH levels should be monitored regularly in patients on thyroid medication. A consensus on monitoring frequency and iteration of monitoring of morphological thyroid disorders with TSH and ultrasound and specific guideline recommendations are needed.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Versorgungsforschung Deutschland (VfD_17_003880).