Lambregts MMC, Molendijk EBD, Meziyerh S, Schippers EF, Delfos NM, Leendertse M, Bernards AT, Visser LG, Dekkers OM, de Boer MGJ. Early differentiation between uncomplicated and complicated Staphylococcus aureus bacteraemia: Potential value and limitations of a clinical risk score.
Int J Clin Pract 2020;
74:e13601. [PMID:
32603544 PMCID:
PMC7685114 DOI:
10.1111/ijcp.13601]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/09/2020] [Accepted: 06/25/2020] [Indexed: 12/29/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE
A cornerstone in the management of Staphylococcus aureus bacteraemia (SAB) is the differentiation between a complicated and an uncomplicated SAB course. The ability to early and accurately identify patients with - and without - complicated bacteraemia may optimise the utility of diagnostics and prevent unnecessary prolonged antibiotic therapy.
METHODS
Development and validation of a prediction score in SAB using demographic, clinical, and laboratory data from two independent Dutch cohorts; estimating the risk of complicated disease at the time of the first positive blood culture. Models were developed using logistic regression and evaluated by c-statistics, ie area under the ROC-curve, and negative predictive values (NPV).
RESULTS
The development- and validation cohorts included 150 and 183 patients, respectively. The most optimal prediction model included: mean arterial pressure, signs of metastatic infection on physical examination, leucocyte count, urea level and time to positivity of blood cultures (c-statistic 0.82, 95% CI 0.74-0.89). In the validation cohort, the c-statistic of the prediction score was 0,77 (95% CI 0.69-0.84). The NPV for complicated disease for patients with a score of ≤2 was 0.83 (95% CI 0.68-0.92), with a negative likelihood ratio of 0.14 (95% CI 0.06-0.31).
CONCLUSION
The early SAB risk score helps to identify patients with high probability of uncomplicated SAB. However, the risk score's lacked absolute discriminative power to guide decisions on the management of all patients with SAB on its own. The heterogenicity of the disease and inconsistency in definitions of complicated SAB are important challenges in the development of clinical rules to guide the management of SAB.
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