Hip fractures cluster in space: an epidemiological analysis in Portugal

Multimorbidity is associated with fragility fractures in women 50 years and older: A nationwide cross-sectional study

INTRODUCTION

Multimorbidity is a worldwide health problem, especially in elderly patients who have a higher risk of fragility fracture. Currently, there is insufficient knowledge about the burden of multimorbidity in patients with previous fragility fracture. The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between multimorbidity and previous fragility fracture, and to assess the effect of fragility fracture and/or multimorbidity in the perception of quality-of-life and physical function, in women 50 years of age and older.

METHODS

Women aged ≥50 years from the EpiReumaPt study (2011-2013), a nationwide population-based study, were evaluated. Self-reported data regarding sociodemographics, health-related quality of life, physical functioning, fragility fracture, and multimorbidity were collected using a semi-structured questionnaire. Multimorbidity was defined as 2 or more chronic non-communicable diseases. Descriptive exploratory analysis of the data was performed using hypothesis testing. Multiple logistic regression modelling was used to assess the association between multimorbidity and fragility fractures, and linear regression was used for the quality-of-life and physical function outcomes.

RESULTS

The estimated prevalence of fragility fracture in women older than 50 years was 17.5%. A higher prevalence of multimorbidity (74.6%) was found in the group of women with previous fragility fracture than in those without previous fragility fracture. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that women with multimorbidity had a higher odds of fragility fracture (adjusted odds ratio, 1.38; 95% confidence interval, 1.12-1.69), compared with women with 1 or no self-reported non-communicable chronic diseases. In women with previous fragility fracture, rheumatic diseases (62.7%) and hypertension (58.6%) were the most frequently self-reported non-communicable chronic diseases. The combination of fragility fracture and multimorbidity was associated with a lower quality of life and higher degree of disability.

CONCLUSIONS

Women 50 years and older with multimorbidity had a significantly increased odds of fragility fracture. Fragility fracture combined with multimorbidity was negatively associated with quality of life and positively associated with disability. This study emphasizes the need to redesign health services to care for patients to prevent non-communicable chronic diseases and fragility fracture, particularly in women 50 years and older, in whom these diseases are likely to potentiate the risk of fragility fracture.

Hip fractures and characteristics of living area: a fine-scale spatial analysis in France

We investigated the association between hip fracture incidence and living area characteristics in France. The spatial distribution of hip fracture incidence was heterogeneous and there was a significant relationship between social deprivation, urbanization, health access, and hip fracture risk.

INTRODUCTION

Several studies have shown great disparities in spatial repartition of hip fractures (HF). The aim of the study was to analyze the association between HF incidence and characteristics of the living area.

METHODS

All patients aged 50 or older, living in France, who were hospitalized for HF between 2012 and 2014 were included, using the French national hospital discharge database. Standardized incidence ratio (SIR) was calculated for each spatial unit and adjusted on age and sex. An ecological regression was performed to analyze the association between HF standardized incidence and ecological variables. We adjusted the model for neighborhood spatial structure. We used three variables to characterize the living areas: a deprivation index (French-EDI); healthcare access (French standardized index); land use (percentage of artificialized surfaces).

RESULTS

A total of 236,328 HF were recorded in the French hospital national database, leading to an annual HF incidence of 333/100,000. The spatial analysis revealed geographical variations of HF incidence with SIR varying from 0.67 (0.52; 0.85) to 1.45 (1.23; 1.70). There was a significant association between HF incidence rates and (1) French-EDI (trend p = 0.0023); (2) general practitioner and nurse accessibility (trend p = 0.0232 and p = 0.0129, respectively); (3) percentage of artificialized surfaces (p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

The characteristics of the living area are associated with significant differences in the risk of hip fracture of older people.

Regional drinking water composition effects on hip fracture risk: a spatial analysis of nationwide hospital admissions in Portugal, from 2000 to 2010

Abstract Geographical variation on hip fractures (HF) may be related to the geographical variation of drinking water composition (DWC); minerals in drinking water may contribute to its fragility. We aim to investigate the effects of DWC on HF risk in Portugal (2000-2010). From National Hospital Discharge Register we selected admissions of patients aged ≥50 years, diagnosed with HF caused by low/moderate energy traumas. Water components and characteristics were selected at the municipality level. A spatial generalized additive model with a negative binomial distribution as a link function was used to estimate the association of HF with variations in DWC. There were 96,905HF (77.3% in women). The spatial pattern of HF risk was attenuated after being adjusted for water parameters. Results show an indirect association between calcium, magnesium, and iron and HF risk but no clear relation between aluminum, cadmium, fluoride, manganese, or color and HF risk. Regarding pH, the 6.7pH and 7pH interval seems to pose a lower risk. Different dose-response relationships were identified. The increase of calcium, magnesium, and iron values in DWC seems to reduce regional HF risk. Long-term exposure to water parameters, even within the regulatory limits, might increase the regional HF risk.

East-west gradient in hip fracture incidence in Spain: how much can we explain by following the pattern of risk factors?

Our objective was to analyze the incidence and trend of hip fracture in Spain and its distribution by Autonomous Community (AC). In Spain, the age-adjusted incidence rate of hip fracture is decreasing. There is great variability in the incidence and tendency of hip fracture among the different ACs. Genetic, demographic, and climatic factors and cohort effect factors of the civil war explain 96% of this variability.

INTRODUCTION

In Spain, there is great variability between the different Autonomous Communities (ACs) in the incidence of hip fracture. The objectives of our study are (1) to estimate the incidence rate and trend of hospital admissions for hip fracture in Spain and by ACs and (2) to analyze risk factors/markers that could explain the variability in the incidence and trend between different ACs.

METHOD

This work includes 2 studies (TREND-HIP and VAR-HIP). TREND-HIP: retrospective, national, observational study based on the administrative database of the National Health System that includes a Minimum Basic Data Set (MBDS) of hospital admissions. VAR-HIP: ecological study based on the analysis of the results obtained in TREND-HIP study, with different risk factors/markers obtained from different sources.

RESULTS

In the 17 years included in the analysis, there were 744,848 patients diagnosed with hip fracture. The global age-adjusted rate of hip fracture at the national level was 315.38/100,000 person*year (95% CI 312.36-317.45); by AC, the rate varied from 213.97 in the Canary Islands to 363.13 in the Valencia and Cataluña communities. We observe an east-west gradient in Spain. The trend for both sexes was - 0.67% (95% CI 0.9990-0.9957) (p < 0.001). In the analysis of risk factors/markers that explain this distribution, we found significant correlations with genetic factors, demographics, climatic factors and the time a region was on the Republican side of the civil war. The linear regression model that includes the factors that show significant correlation explains 96% of the variability observed.

CONCLUSION

In Spain, the age-adjusted incidence rate for hip fracture is decreasing. There is a great variability in the incidence and tendency of hip fracture among the different ACs. Genetic, demographic, climatic factors and the cohort effect of the civil war explain 96% of this variability.

An overview of geospatial methods used in unintentional injury epidemiology

Background

Injuries are a leading cause of death and disability around the world. Injury incidence is often associated with socio-economic and physical environmental factors. The application of geospatial methods has been recognised as important to gain greater understanding of the complex nature of injury and the associated diverse range of geographically-diverse risk factors. Therefore, the aim of this paper is to provide an overview of geospatial methods applied in unintentional injury epidemiological studies.

Methods

Nine electronic databases were searched for papers published in 2000–2015, inclusive. Included were papers reporting unintentional injuries using geospatial methods for one or more categories of spatial epidemiological methods (mapping; clustering/cluster detection; and ecological analysis). Results describe the included injury cause categories, types of data and details relating to the applied geospatial methods.

Results

From over 6,000 articles, 67 studies met all inclusion criteria. The major categories of injury data reported with geospatial methods were road traffic (n = 36), falls (n = 11), burns (n = 9), drowning (n = 4), and others (n = 7). Grouped by categories, mapping was the most frequently used method, with 62 (93%) studies applying this approach independently or in conjunction with other geospatial methods. Clustering/cluster detection methods were less common, applied in 27 (40%) studies. Three studies (4%) applied spatial regression methods (one study using a conditional autoregressive model and two studies using geographically weighted regression) to examine the relationship between injury incidence (drowning, road deaths) with aggregated data in relation to explanatory factors (socio-economic and environmental).

Conclusion

The number of studies using geospatial methods to investigate unintentional injuries has increased over recent years. While the majority of studies have focused on road traffic injuries, other injury cause categories, particularly falls and burns, have also demonstrated the application of these methods. Geospatial investigations of injury have largely been limited to mapping of data to visualise spatial structures. Use of more sophisticated approaches will help to understand a broader range of spatial risk factors, which remain under-explored when using traditional epidemiological approaches.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s40621-016-0097-0) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Cost-Effectiveness of Intervention Thresholds for the Treatment of Osteoporosis Based on FRAX(®) in Portugal

Cost-effective intervention thresholds (ITs) based on FRAX(®) were determined for Portugal. Assuming a willingness to pay (WTP) of €32,000 per quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), treatment with generic alendronate is cost effective for men and women aged 50 years or more, with 10-year probabilities for major osteoporotic fractures and hip above 8.8 and 2.5 %, respectively. The aim of the present study was to identify the 10-year probabilities of a major and hip osteoporotic fracture using FRAX(®) validated for Portugal, above which pharmacologic interventions become cost effective in the Portuguese context. A previously developed and validated state transition Markov cohort model was populated with epidemiologic, economic and quality-of-life fracture data from Portugal. Cost-effectiveness of FRAX(®)-based ITs was calculated for generic alendronate and proprietary zoledronic acid, denosumab and teriparatide were compared to "no intervention", assuming a WTP of €32,000 (two times national Gross Domestic Product per capita) per QALYs. In the Portuguese epidemiological and economic context, treatment with generic alendronate was cost effective for men and women aged 50 years or more, with 10-year probabilities at or above 8.8 % for major osteoporotic fractures and 2.5 % for hip fractures. Cost-effective threshold 10-year probabilities for major osteoporotic and hip fractures were higher for zoledronic acid (20.4 and 10.1 %), denosumab (34.9 and 10.1 %) and teriparatide (77.8 and 62.6 %), respectively. A tool is provided to perform the calculation of cost-effective ITs for different medications, according to age group and diverse levels of WTP. Cost-effective ITs, for different medications, age groups and WTP, based on 10-year probabilities of major and hip fracture probabilities calculated with FRAX are provided.

Development of a measure of multiple physical environmental deprivation. After United Kingdom and New Zealand, Portugal

BACKGROUND

Spatial inequalities in health have been identified, but the contribution of physical environment has been largely ignored. In Portugal, strong spatial differences in morbidity and mortality remain unexplained. Based on previous United Kingdom (UK) and New Zealand (NZ) research, we aimed to develop a Portuguese measure of multiple environmental deprivation (PT-MEDIx) to assist in understanding spatial inequalities in health.

METHODS

PT-MEDIx was built at municipality level in four stages: (i) identify health-relevant environmental factors; (ii) acquire datasets about selected environmental factors and calculate municipality-level measures using Geographical Information Systems; (iii) test associations between selected environmental factors and mortality using negative binomial models, adjusting for age, sex, socioeconomic deprivation and interactions and (iv) construct a summary measure and assess its association with mortality.

RESULTS

We included five dimensions of the physical environment: air pollution, climate, drinking water quality, green space availability and industry proximity. PT-MEDIx score ranged from -1 (least environmental deprivation) to +4 (most) and depicted a clear spatial pattern: least deprived municipalities in the depopulated rural areas and most deprived in urban and industrial settings. Comparing with those in the intermediate category of environment deprivation, less deprived municipalities showed lower mortality rate ratios (MRRs) and vice versa: MRRs for all-cause mortality were 0.962 (95% confidence interval: 0.934-0.991) and 1.209 (1.086-1.344), in the least and most deprived municipalities, respectively, and for cancer, 0.957 (0.911-1.006) and 1.345 (1.123-1.598).

CONCLUSIONS

The methods used to create UK and NZ indexes have good transferability to Portugal. MEDIx might contribute to untangle the complex pathways that link health, socioeconomic and physical environment.

The interactions between municipal socioeconomic status and age on hip fracture risk

SUMMARY

Age modifies the effect of area-level socioeconomic status (SES) in the risk of fragility hip fractures (HF). For older individuals, the risk of HF increases as SES increases. For younger individuals, risk of HF increases as SES decreases. Our study may help decision-makers to better direct the implementation of political decisions.

INTRODUCTION

The effect of socioeconomic status (SES) on hip fracture (HF) incidence remains unclear. The objective of this study is to evaluate the association between HF incidence and municipality-level SES as well as interactions between age and SES.

METHODS

From the Portuguese Hospital Discharge Database, we selected hospitalizations (2000-2010) of patients aged 50+, with HF diagnosis (codes 820.x, ICD9-CM), caused by traumas of low/moderate energy, excluding bone cancer cases and readmissions for aftercare. Municipalities were classified according to SES (deprived to affluent) using 2001 Census data. A spatial Bayesian hierarchical regression model (controlling for data heterogeneity and spatial autocorrelation), using the Poisson distribution, was used to quantify the relative risk (RR) of HF, 95% credible interval (95%CrI), and analyze the interaction between age and SES after adjusting for rural conditions.

RESULTS

There were 96,905 HF, 77.3% of which were on women who, on average, were older than men (mean age 81.2±8.5 vs 78.2±10.1 years) at admission (p<0.001). In women, there was a lower risk associated with better SES: RR=0.83 (95%CrI 0.65-1.00) for affluent versus deprived. There was an inverse association between SES and HF incidence rate in the youngest and a direct association in the oldest, for both sexes, but significant only between deprived and affluent in older ages (≥75 years).

CONCLUSIONS

Interaction between SES and age may be due to inequalities in lifestyles, access to health systems, and preventive actions. These results may help decision-makers to better understand the epidemiology of hip fractures and to better direct the available funding.

Are there still east-to-west differences in the incidence of hip fractures in Germany?

There are large regional differences in the incidence of hip fracture in Germany. These differences were unexpected and do not follow a north-to-south or an east-to-west gradient. But they are of high socioeconomic importance and cannot be explained by geographic location, the age structure of the population, and only to a small extent by the regulation of specific medication.

INTRODUCTION

The most important complications and the major cost factors of osteoporosis are fractures. In order to develop strategies for fracture prevention, knowledge about different incidence rates and possible causes is necessary.

METHODS

In order to detect persistent differences in the incidence of hip fractures between the former eastern and western states of Germany, structured diagnostic data of patients hospitalized between 2000 and 2011 were used to determine the regional incidence of hip fractures in the individual federal states of Germany. To account for error due to repeated admissions and double registrations, the frequency of fractures was corrected by a factor of 0.89.

RESULTS

Our analysis of the 10-year period from 2000 to 2011 did not confirm the difference between eastern and western Germany reported in the national literature, or the north-south gradient for Germany as reported in several European publications. We found significant differences in the incidence of fractures in adjacent territorial states such as Schleswig-Holstein and Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania or Saxony and Thuringia. Particularly, high incidence rates over the entire period were noted in the city-states of Hamburg, Berlin, and Bremen.

CONCLUSION

The reason for such differences is still unclear and, thus, the consequences of urbanization must be considered to explain diverse incidence rates. In general, the investigation of causes should be based on the use of a multivariate model that takes additional factors such as specific drug use, socioeconomic aspects, environmental aspects, education, and health care into account. There are large regional differences in the incidence of hip fracture in Germany. These differences were unexpected and do not follow a north-to-south or an east-to-west gradient. But they are of high socioeconomic importance and cannot be explained by geographic location, the age structure of the population and only to a small extent by the regulation of specific medication.

Geographic and ethnic disparities in osteoporotic fractures

Osteoporotic fractures are a major worldwide epidemic. Here, we review global variability, ethnic differences and secular changes in osteoporotic fractures. Worldwide, age-standardized incidence rates of hip fracture vary >200-fold in women and >140-fold in men when comparing the country in which incidence rates are the highest with that in which they are the lowest. Median age-standardized rates are highest in North America and Europe, followed by Asia, Middle East, Oceania, Latin America and Africa. Globally, rates of hip fracture are greater in women than in men, with an average ratio of ∼2:1. The incidence of radiographic vertebral fractures is much higher than that of hip fractures, whereas the incidence rates of clinical vertebral fractures mirror hip fracture rates in most countries. Methodological challenges of defining and ascertaining vertebral fractures limit the interpretation of these data. Secular declines in hip fracture rates have been reported in populations from North America, Europe and Oceania. These declines are especially notable in women, suggesting that reproductive factors might contribute to this reduction. By contrast, hip fracture rates are increasing in parts of Asia and Latin America. Global indicators of health, education and socioeconomic status are positively correlated with fracture rates suggesting that lifestyles in developed countries might contribute to hip fracture. Improvements in fracture assessment, in particular for nonhip fractures, and identification of factors that contribute to this variability might substantially influence our understanding of osteoporotic fracture aetiology and provide new avenues for prevention.

Temporal trends in the incidence of osteoporotic fractures

Osteoporotic fractures are associated with excess mortality and decreased functional capacity and quality of life. Age-standardized incidence rates of fragility fractures, particularly of the hip and forearm, have been noted to be decreasing in the last decade across many countries with the notable exception of Asia. The causes for the observed changes in fracture risk have not been fully identified but are likely the result of multiple factors, including birth cohort and period effects, increasing obesity, and greater use of anti-osteoporosis medications. Changing rates of fragility fractures would be expected to have an important impact on the burden of osteoporosis.

Age-adjusted incidence rates of hip fractures between 2006 and 2009 in Rabat, Morocco

This study, characterizing the incidence of hip fracture in the province of Rabat, showed that age- and sex-specific rates remained stable between 2006 and 2009. The demographic projections estimated for Morocco indicate that between 2010 and 2030, the expected annual number of hip fractures would increase about twofold.

INTRODUCTION

No data on hip fracture incidence trends exist from Africa. The aim of the study was to determine time trends in hip fracture rates for the province of Rabat and to forecast the number of hip fractures expected in Morocco up to 2030.

METHODS

All hip fracture cases registered during the years 2006-2009 were collected at all the public hospitals and private clinics with a trauma unit and/or a permanent orthopedic surgeon across the province.

RESULTS

Over the 4-year period, 723 (54.3%) hip fractures were recorded in women and 607 (45.6%) in men. The age- and gender-specific incidence of hip fracture rose steeply with advancing age. Hip fractures occurred later in women 75.0 (10.7) years than in men 73.3 (11.0) years (p=0.014), and its incidence was higher in women than in men [85.9 (95% CI 79.7-92.2) per 100,000 person-years vs. 72.7 (95% CI 66.9-78.5)]. The incidence remained globally stable over the period study, and the linear regression analysis showed no significant statistical difference. For the year 2010, there were 4,327 hip fractures estimated in Morocco (53.3% in women). Assuming no change in the age- and sex-specific incidence of hip fracture from 2010 to 2030, the number of hip fractures in men is expected to increase progressively from 2,019 to 3,961 and from 2,308 to 4,259 in women.

CONCLUSION

The age-specific incidence of hip fracture between the years 2006 and 2009 remained stable in Morocco, and the number of expected hip fractures would double between 2010 and 2030.

Hip fracture incidence is decreasing in the high incidence area of Oslo, Norway

This study reports a significant decrease in age-adjusted incidence rates of hip fracture for women in Oslo, Norway, even compared with data from 1978/1979. Use of bisphosphonate may explain up to one third of the decline in the incidence.

INTRODUCTION

The aims of the present study were to report the current incidence of hip fractures in Oslo and to estimate the influence of bisphosphonates on the current incidence.

METHODS

Using the electronic diagnosis registers and lists from the operating theaters of the hospitals of Oslo, all patients with ICD-10 codes S72.0 and S72.1 (hip fracture) in 2007 were identified. Medical records of all identified patients were reviewed to verify the diagnosis. Age- and gender-specific annual incidence rates were calculated using the population of Oslo on January 1, 2007 as the population at risk. Data on the use of bisphosphonates were obtained from official registers.

RESULTS

A total number of 1,005 hip fractures, 712 (71%) in women, were included. The age-adjusted fracture rates per 10,000 for the age group >50 years were 82.0 for women and 39.1 for men in 2007, compared with 110.8 and 41.4 in 1996/1997, 116.5 and 42.9 in 1988/1989, and 97.5 and 34.5 in 1978/1979, respectively. It was estimated that the use of bisphosphonates may explain up to 13% of the decline in incidence in women aged 60-69 years and up to 34% in women aged 70-79 years.

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of hip fractures in women in Oslo has decreased significantly during the last decade and is now at a lower level than in 1978/1979. This reduction was not evident in men. The incidence of hip fractures in Oslo is, however, still the highest in the world.

Incidence and direct hospitalisation costs of hip fractures in Vilnius, capital of Lithuania, in 2010

Background

Few epidemiological data on hip fractures were previously available in Lithuania. The aim of this study was to estimate the incidence and hospital costs of hip fractures in Vilnius in 2010.

Methods

Data were collected from the medical charts of all patients admitted to hospitals in Vilnius (population, 548,835) due to new low-energy trauma hip fracture, during 2010. The estimated costs included ambulance transportation and continuous hospitalisation immediately after a fracture, which are covered by the Lithuanian healthcare system.

Results

The incidence of new low-energy trauma hip fractures was 252 (308 women and 160 men) per 100,000 inhabitants of Vilnius aged 50-years or more. There was an exponential increase in the incidence with increasing age. The overall estimated cost of hip fractures in Vilnius was 1,114,292 EUR for the year 2010. The greatest part of the expenditure was accounted for by fractures in individuals aged 65-years and over. The mean cost per case was 2,526.74 EUR, and cost varied depending on the treatment type. Hip replacement did not affect the overall mean costs of hip fracture. The majority of costs were incurred for acute (53%) and long-term care (35%) hospital stays, while medical rehabilitation accounted for only 12% of the overall cost. The costs of hip fracture were somewhat lower than those found in other European countries.

Conclusion

The data on incidence and costs of hip fractures will help to assess the importance of interventions to reduce the number of fractures and associated costs.

Hip fracture incidence in Lebanon: a national registry-based study with reference to standardized rates worldwide

Crude incidence rates for hip fractures in individuals aged 50 and above in Lebanon were determined using data from the national hip fracture registry. For the years 2006-2008, crude rates varied between 164 and 188/100,000 for females and between 88 and 106 per 100,000 for males. Using the US 2000 white population as a reference, the calculated age-standardized rates were closest to rates derived for southern Europe.

INTRODUCTION

Owing to the demographic explosion, it is projected that the rates of hip fractures would increase the most in the Middle East and Asia. Few are the population-based studies investigating the incidence of hip fractures in the region.

METHODS

Using the Ministry of Health registry data, this population-based study evaluated the incidence of hip fractures in individuals aged 50 and above in Lebanon for the years 2006, 2007, and 2008.

RESULTS

Hip fracture crude incidence rates varied across the years between 164 and 188 per 100,000 for females and between 88 and 106 per 100,000 for males, with a female/male ratio of 1.6-2.1. The overall mean age (SD) for hip fractures was 75.9 (9.2), 76.8 (9.0), and 77.0 (9.9) years in females in 2006, 2007, and 2008, respectively, and 74.4 (11.6), 76.3 (10.3), and 74.0 (12.1) years in males, respectively. Using the US 2000 white population as a reference, the age-standardized rates were 370.4, 335.1, and 329.0 for females and 109.7, 134.1, and 128.7 for males, for the years 2006, 2007, and 2008, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The hip fracture age-standardized incidence rates in the Lebanese subjects receiving Ministry of Health coverage were lower than those found in northern Europe and the US and closest to rates derived for southern Europe.

[Spatial pattern of legionellosis in Spain, 2003-2007]

OBJECTIVES

To analyze the spatial pattern of legionellosis in Spain for men and women during the period 2003-2007 and to identify spatial clustering of risk.

METHODS

We identified the spatial pattern of the distribution of legionellosis rates based on calculation of rates by municipality through the direct method. Smoothing of these rates was performed by the Empirical Bayes method for studying the spatial pattern of disease for both sexes. We used Morańs index to analyze spatial autocorrelation rates globally. To calculate local rates, the Local Moran's Index [known as local indicators of spatial association (LISA)], was used to analyze the clusters of municipalities with the highest risk.

RESULTS

After smoothing the risk, the highest rates (over 50 per 100,000 inhabitants) were grouped in the eastern Mediterranean coastal areas and the north of the mainland, as well as in the Mediterranean islands. Moran's index smoothed rates were 0.15 for men and 0.23 for women. The spatial clusters of statistically significant higher rates calculated by the LISA index were distributed in the north and east for both sexes.

CONCLUSIONS

These methods of spatial analysis allow patterns of disease distribution to be identified. All the methods used yielded similar results. These techniques are a complementary tool for epidemiological surveillance of infectious diseases.

Epidemiology of hip fractures in Okinawa, Japan

This study investigated the current incidence of hip fractures in Okinawa prefecture and compared the data with those obtained in our previous study, which was conducted using similar methods in 1987/1988. All patients, aged 50 years or older and residing in Okinawa, admitted to Okinawa hospitals in 2004 for a fresh hip fracture were identified from hospital registries. Details were obtained from the medical records and radiographs of all patients and classified according to fracture type (cervical or trochanteric), age, sex, and fracture location. Subtrochanteric fractures and pathological fractures were excluded. A total of 1,349 patients (242 men and 1,107 women) were admitted for a fresh hip fracture in 2004. Their average age was 76.9 years for men and 82.4 years for women. There were 671 cervical fractures, 654 trochanteric fractures, and 24 unclassified proximal femoral fractures. Comparing the data from 1987/1988 to those from 2004, the total number of hip fractures increased by 188%, from 469 to 1,349. The age-adjusted incidence rates per 100,000, standardized to the 2000 US population, were 75.7 and 296.1 in 1987/1988 and 123.6 and 420 in 2004 for men and women, respectively. The incidence rates in all age groups (at 5-year intervals) were higher in 2004 than in 1987/1988, indicating that people 50 years of age or older became more susceptible to hip fractures. Accordingly, the accretion of the hip fracture incidence rate was greater than that which could be explained purely by changes in population size and structure.