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Opotowsky AR, Khairy P, Diller G, Kasparian NA, Brophy J, Jenkins K, Lopez KN, McCoy A, Moons P, Ollberding NJ, Rathod RH, Rychik J, Thanassoulis G, Vasan RS, Marelli A. Clinical Risk Assessment and Prediction in Congenital Heart Disease Across the Lifespan: JACC Scientific Statement. J Am Coll Cardiol 2024; 83:2092-2111. [PMID: 38777512 DOI: 10.1016/j.jacc.2024.02.055] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/13/2023] [Revised: 01/12/2024] [Accepted: 02/22/2024] [Indexed: 05/25/2024]
Abstract
Congenital heart disease (CHD) comprises a range of structural anomalies, each with a unique natural history, evolving treatment strategies, and distinct long-term consequences. Current prediction models are challenged by generalizability, limited validation, and questionable application to extended follow-up periods. In this JACC Scientific Statement, we tackle the difficulty of risk measurement across the lifespan. We appraise current and future risk measurement frameworks and describe domains of risk specific to CHD. Risk of adverse outcomes varies with age, sex, genetics, era, socioeconomic status, behavior, and comorbidities as they evolve through the lifespan and across care settings. Emerging technologies and approaches promise to improve risk assessment, but there is also need for large, longitudinal, representative, prospective CHD cohorts with multidimensional data and consensus-driven methodologies to provide insight into time-varying risk. Communication of risk, particularly with patients and their families, poses a separate and equally important challenge, and best practices are reviewed.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alexander R Opotowsky
- Adult Congenital Heart Disease Program, Heart Institute, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center, Cincinnati, Ohio, USA; Department of Pediatrics, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, Cincinnati, Ohio, USA.
| | - Paul Khairy
- Adult Congenital Heart Centre, Montreal Heart Institute, Montréal, Quebec, Canada
| | - Gerhard Diller
- Department of Cardiology III, University Hospital Münster, Münster, Germany
| | - Nadine A Kasparian
- Department of Pediatrics, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, Cincinnati, Ohio, USA; Heart and Mind Wellbeing Center, Cincinnati, Ohio, USA; Heart Institute and Division of Behavioral Medicine and Clinical Psychology, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center, Cincinnati, Ohio, USA
| | - James Brophy
- Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, McGill University, Montréal, Quebec, Canada
| | - Kathy Jenkins
- Department of Cardiology, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Keila N Lopez
- Department of Pediatrics, Section of Cardiology, Texas Children's Hospital & Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas, USA
| | - Alison McCoy
- Vanderbilt Clinical Informatics Core, Department of Biomedical Informatics, Vanderbilt University Medical Center and Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, Tennessee, USA
| | - Philip Moons
- KU Leuven Department of Public Health and Primary Care, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium; Institute of Health and Care Sciences, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden; Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Nicholas J Ollberding
- Department of Pediatrics, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, Cincinnati, Ohio, USA; Division of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center, Cincinnati, Ohio, USA
| | - Rahul H Rathod
- Department of Cardiology, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Jack Rychik
- Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - George Thanassoulis
- Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, McGill University, Montréal, Quebec, Canada
| | - Ramachandran S Vasan
- School of Public Health, University of Texas, San Antonio, Texas, USA; Department of Medicine, Boston University School of Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Ariane Marelli
- McGill Adult Unit for Congenital Heart Disease Excellence, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.
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Leonardi B, Perrone M, Calcaterra G, Sabatino J, Leo I, Aversani M, Bassareo PP, Pozza A, Oreto L, Moscatelli S, Borrelli N, Bianco F, Di Salvo G. Repaired Tetralogy of Fallot: Have We Understood the Right Timing of PVR? J Clin Med 2024; 13:2682. [PMID: 38731211 PMCID: PMC11084704 DOI: 10.3390/jcm13092682] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/17/2024] [Revised: 04/23/2024] [Accepted: 04/26/2024] [Indexed: 05/13/2024] Open
Abstract
Despite many advances in surgical repair during the past few decades, the majority of tetralogy of Fallot patients continue to experience residual hemodynamic and electrophysiological abnormalities. The actual issue, which has yet to be solved, is understanding how this disease evolves in each individual patient and, as a result, who is truly at risk of sudden death, as well as the proper timing of pulmonary valve replacement (PVR). Our responsibility should be to select the most appropriate time for each patient, going above and beyond imaging criteria used up to now to make such a clinically crucial decision. Despite several studies on timing, indications, procedures, and outcomes of PVR, there is still much uncertainty about whether PVR reduces arrhythmia burden or improves survival in these patients and how to appropriately manage this population. This review summarizes the most recent research on the evolution of repaired tetralogy of Fallot (from adolescence onwards) and risk factor variables that may favor or delay PVR.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Marco Perrone
- Clinical Pathways and Epidemiology Unit, Bambino Gesù Children’s Hospital, IRCCS, 00165 Rome, Italy;
- Division of Cardiology and CardioLab, Department of Clinical Sciences and Translational Medicine, University of Rome Tor Vergata, 00133 Rome, Italy
| | | | - Jolanda Sabatino
- Department of Experimental and Clinical Medicine, Magna Graecia University, 88100 Catanzaro, Italy; (J.S.); (I.L.)
| | - Isabella Leo
- Department of Experimental and Clinical Medicine, Magna Graecia University, 88100 Catanzaro, Italy; (J.S.); (I.L.)
| | - Martina Aversani
- Paediatric Cardiology and Congenital Heart Disease, University of Padua and Pediatric Research Institute (IRP), Città Della Speranza, 35127 Padua, Italy; (M.A.); (G.D.S.)
| | - Pier Paolo Bassareo
- School of Medicine, University College of Dublin, Mater Misericordiae University Hospital, D07 R2WY Dublin, Ireland;
| | - Alice Pozza
- Paediatric Cardiology and Congenital Heart Disease, University of Padua and Pediatric Research Institute (IRP), Città Della Speranza, 35127 Padua, Italy; (M.A.); (G.D.S.)
| | - Lilia Oreto
- Dipartimento di Medicina Clinica e Sperimentale, Università di Messina, 98122 Messina, Italy;
| | - Sara Moscatelli
- Institute of Cardiovascular Sciences University College London, London WC1E 6BT, UK and Centre for Inherited Cardiovascular Diseases, Great Ormond Street Hospital, London WC1N 3JH, UK;
| | - Nunzia Borrelli
- Adult Congenital Heart Disease Unit, AO Dei Colli, Monaldi Hospital, 80131 Naples, Italy;
| | - Francesco Bianco
- Cardiovascular Sciences Department, AOU “Ospedali Riuniti”, 60126 Ancona, Italy;
| | - Giovanni Di Salvo
- Paediatric Cardiology and Congenital Heart Disease, University of Padua and Pediatric Research Institute (IRP), Città Della Speranza, 35127 Padua, Italy; (M.A.); (G.D.S.)
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Pinsker BL, Serfas JD, Awerbach JD, Dizon S, Spector ZZ, Campbell MJ, Krasuski RA. Utility of Cardiac Magnetic Resonance Imaging in Predicting Atrial Arrhythmias in Repaired Tetralogy of Fallot. Am J Cardiol 2022; 174:151-157. [PMID: 35473783 DOI: 10.1016/j.amjcard.2022.03.043] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/07/2022] [Revised: 03/08/2022] [Accepted: 03/15/2022] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
Abstract
Arrhythmias are the leading cause of morbidity and mortality in repaired tetralogy of Fallot (TOF), and over 20% of these patients will develop a sustained atrial arrhythmia during their lifetimes. Cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (cMRI) is frequently performed in TOF, although its ability to identify patients at risk of atrial arrhythmias is uncertain. Adult TOF patients (n = 175) with no history of atrial arrhythmia who underwent cMRI between 2003 and 2020 at a single tertiary care center were identified. Clinical characteristics and imaging findings were evaluated to identify a predilection for atrial arrhythmias using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and log-rank testing. Multivariable Cox regression was used to determine independent predictors of atrial arrhythmias. Over a median follow-up of 3.6 years, 29 patients (17%) developed atrial arrhythmias. Independent predictors of atrial arrhythmia included age (hazard ratio [HR] 1.06 per 1-year increase, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.02 to 1.09, p = 0.002), diabetes mellitus (HR 4.26, 95% CI 1.26 to 14.41, p = 0.020), indexed right ventricular end-diastolic volume (RVEDVi), (HR 1.20 per 10-ml/m2 increase, 95% CI 1.05 to 1.39, p = 0.010), and moderate or greater tricuspid regurgitation (TR) (HR 6.32, 95% CI 2.15 to 18.60, p = 0.001). Utilizing Kaplan-Meier analysis, patients with at least mild right ventricular dilation (RVEDVi >100 ml/m2, p = 0.047) and greater than or equal to moderate TR (p <0.001) were found to be significantly more likely to develop atrial arrhythmias. In conclusion, cMRI can help to identify TOF patients at increased risk for atrial arrhythmia beyond standard clinical and imaging data by better quantifying RVEDVi and degree of TR.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bret L Pinsker
- Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, North Carolina
| | - John D Serfas
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine
| | - Jordan D Awerbach
- Division of Cardiology, Phoenix Children's Hospital, Phoenix, Arizona
| | | | - Zebulon Z Spector
- Division of Pediatric Cardiology, Department of Pediatrics, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina
| | - Michael J Campbell
- Division of Pediatric Cardiology, Department of Pediatrics, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina
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Pinsker BL, Serfas JD, Krasuski RA. Burden and Impact of Arrhythmias in Repaired Tetralogy of Fallot. Curr Cardiol Rep 2022; 24:225-234. [PMID: 35138576 DOI: 10.1007/s11886-022-01638-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 11/10/2021] [Indexed: 01/04/2023]
Abstract
PURPOSE OF REVIEW Arrhythmias are a leading cause of morbidity and mortality following repair of tetralogy of Fallot (TOF). This review will highlight current understanding of arrhythmia pathogenesis in this patient population and review novel therapeutic options. RECENT FINDINGS Risk factors for developing ventricular arrhythmias in repaired TOF have thus far been better defined than for atrial arrhythmias. Growing understanding of the pathophysiology of arrhythmias, development of risk stratification models, and novel techniques such as electrophysiologic ultrahigh-density mapping should help to better identify patients that benefit from advanced therapies such as ablation and implantable cardioverter defibrillators. Atrial and ventricular arrhythmias are common in TOF patients. Methods of risk stratification and therapeutic approaches are rapidly evolving, leading to ever improving clinical outcomes in this patient population.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - John D Serfas
- Section of Adult Congenital Heart Disease, Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, Duke University Medical Center, Box 3012, Durham, NC, 27710, USA
| | - Richard A Krasuski
- Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, NC, USA. .,Section of Adult Congenital Heart Disease, Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, Duke University Medical Center, Box 3012, Durham, NC, 27710, USA.
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Cohen MI, Khairy P, Zeppenfeld K, Van Hare GF, Lakkireddy DR, Triedman JK. Preventing Arrhythmic Death in Patients With Tetralogy of Fallot: JACC Review Topic of the Week. J Am Coll Cardiol 2021; 77:761-771. [PMID: 33573746 DOI: 10.1016/j.jacc.2020.12.021] [Citation(s) in RCA: 27] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/03/2020] [Revised: 12/03/2020] [Accepted: 12/07/2020] [Indexed: 01/18/2023]
Abstract
Patients with tetralogy of Fallot are at risk for ventricular arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death. These abnormalities are associated with pulmonary regurgitation, right ventricular enlargement, and a substrate of discrete, slowly-conducting isthmuses. Although these arrhythmic events are rare, their prediction is challenging. This review will address contemporary risk assessment and prevention strategies. Numerous variables have been proposed to predict who would benefit from an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator. Current risk stratification models combine independently associated factors into risk scores. Cardiac magnetic resonance imaging, QRS fragmentation assessment, and electrophysiology testing in selected patients may refine some of these models. Interaction between right and left ventricular function is emerging as a critical factor in our understanding of disease progression and risk assessment. Multicenter studies evaluating risk factors and risk mitigating strategies such as pulmonary valve replacement, ablative strategies, and use of implantable cardiac-defibrillators are needed moving forward.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mitchell I Cohen
- Division of Cardiology, Inova Children's Hospital, Falls Church, Virginia, USA.
| | - Paul Khairy
- Montreal Heart Institute, Montreal, Quebec, Canada
| | - Katja Zeppenfeld
- Department of Cardiology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, the Netherlands
| | - George F Van Hare
- Department of Pediatrics, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis Children's Hospital, St. Louis, Missouri, USA
| | | | - John K Triedman
- Electrophysiology Division, Department of Cardiology, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
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