Efficacy of cell proliferation imaging with 4DST PET/CT for predicting the prognosis of patients with esophageal cancer: a comparison study with FDG PET/CT

The prognostic value of pretreatment [18F]FDG PET/CT parameters in esophageal cancer: a meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

This study aims to evaluate the prognostic implications of pretreatment [18F]FDG-PET metrics in esophageal cancer patients through a meta-analysis of the existing literature.

METHODS

We carefully searched electronic databases, including PubMed and Embase, from inception to April 1, 2024, to identify studies describing the prognostic value of pretreatment PET metrics for advanced esophageal cancer. Clinical endpoints examined were overall survival (OS), recurrence-free survival (RFS)/disease-free survival (DFS), and progression-free survival (PFS). Hazard ratios (HRs) for PFS and OS were taken directly from the original reports.

RESULTS

Forty-seven publications, including 5504 patients, were included in our analysis. OS and PFS were analyzed in 31 and nine studies, respectively, and DFS/RFS was analyzed in 16 studies. The comprehensive pooled analysis revealed significant associations between metabolic parameters derived from positron emission tomography (PET) imaging and clinical outcomes. Expressly, the pooled HR indicated that patients with higher SUVmax were significantly associated with poor PFS (HR: 1.06; 95% CI: 1.01-1.12, p = 0.011) and poor RFS/DFS (HR: 1.09; 95% CI: 1.02-1.18, p = 0.019). Patients with higher SUVmean were significantly associated with poorer OS (HR: 1.07; 95% CI: 1.01-1.14, p = 0.025). High MTV was significantly associated with inferior OS (HR: 1.02; 95% CI: 1.00-1.05, p = 0.049). High TLG was significantly associated with poorer RFS/DFS (HR: 2.02; 95% CI: 1.11-3.68, p = 0.022).

CONCLUSION

This study unveiled pretreatment FDG-derived parameters as valuable prognostic indicators in assessing esophageal cancer outcomes. Specifically, SUVmax is associated with PFS and RFS/DFS. SUVmean and MTV were correlated with OS, and TLG was only associated with RFS/DFS.

KEY POINTS

Question Inconsistent findings on the prognostic value of pretreatment [18F]FDG PET parameters in esophageal cancer require comprehensive analysis to clarify their role in outcome prediction. Findings Higher pretreatment [18F]FDG-PET metrics (SUVmax, SUVmean, MTV, TLG) are associated with poor survival outcomes, emphasizing their potential value in enhancing prognostic assessments for esophageal cancer. Clinical relevance This study highlights the prognostic significance of pretreatment [18F]FDG-PET metrics in esophageal cancer, providing valuable insights for patient outcome prediction and potentially guiding personalized treatment strategies.

Predictive value of local control by 4'-[methyl-11C]-thiotymidine PET volume parameters in p16-negative oropharyngeal, hypopharyngeal, and supraglottic squamous cell carcinoma

PURPOSE

We investigated the potential of baseline 4'-[methyl- 11 C]-thiothymidine ([ 11 C]4DST) PET for predicting loco-regional control of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC).

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was performed using volumetric parameters, such as SUVmax, proliferative tumor volume (PTV), and total lesion proliferation (TLP), of pretreatment [ 11 C]4DST PET for 91 patients with HNSCC with primary lesions in the oral cavity, hypopharynx, supraglottis, and oropharynx, which included p16-negative patients. PTV and TLP were calculated for primary lesions and metastatic lymph nodes combined. We examined the association among the parameters and relapse-free survival and whether case selection focused on biological characteristics improved the accuracy of prognosis prediction.

RESULTS

The area under the curves (AUCs) using PTV and TLP were high for the oropharyngeal/hypopharyngeal/supraglottis groups (0.91 and 0.87, respectively), whereas that of SUVmax was 0.66 ( P  < 0.01). On the other hand, the oral group had lower AUCs for PTV and TLP (0.72 and 0.77, respectively). When all cases were examined, the AUCs using PTV and TLP were 0.84 and 0.83, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Baseline [ 11 C]4DST PET/CT volume-based parameters can provide important prognostic information with p16-negative oropharyngeal, hypopharyngeal, and supraglottic cancer patients.