Developing a prediction model based on MRI for pathological complete response after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in locally advanced rectal cancer

A multiple-time-scale comparative study for the added value of magnetic resonance imaging-based radiomics in predicting pathological complete response after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in locally advanced rectal cancer

Objective

Radiomics based on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) shows potential for prediction of therapeutic effect to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) in locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC); however, thorough comparison between radiomics and traditional models is deficient. We aimed to construct multiple-time-scale (pretreatment, posttreatment, and combined) radiomic models to predict pathological complete response (pCR) and compare their utility to those of traditional clinical models.

Methods

In this research, 165 LARC patients undergoing nCRT followed by surgery were enrolled retrospectively, which were divided into training and testing sets in the ratio of 7:3. Morphological features on pre- and posttreatment MRI, coupled with clinical data, were evaluated by univariable and multivariable logistic regression analysis for constructing clinical models. Radiomic parameters were derived from pre- and posttreatment T2- and diffusion-weighted images to develop the radiomic signatures. The clinical-radiomics models were then generated. All the models were developed in the training set and then tested in the testing set, the performance of which was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Radiomic models were compared with the clinical models with the DeLong test.

Results

One hundred and sixty-five patients (median age, 55 years; age interquartile range, 47-62 years; 116 males) were enrolled in the study. The pretreatment maximum tumor length, posttreatment maximum tumor length, and magnetic resonance tumor regression grade were selected as independent predictors for pCR in the clinical models. In the testing set, the pre- and posttreatment and combined clinical models generated AUCs of 0.625, 0.842, and 0.842 for predicting pCR, respectively. The MRI-based radiomic models performed reasonably well in predicting pCR, but neither the pure radiomic signatures (AUCs, 0.734, 0.817, and 0.801 for the pre- and posttreatment and combined radiomic signatures, respectively) nor the clinical-radiomics models (AUCs, 0.734, 0.860, and 0.801 for the pre- and posttreatment and combined clinical-radiomics models, respectively) showed significant added value compared with the clinical models (all P > 0.05).

Conclusion

The MRI-based radiomic models exhibited no definite added value compared with the clinical models for predicting pCR in LARC. Radiomic models can serve as ancillary tools for tailoring adequate treatment strategies.

MRI restaging of rectal cancer: The RAC (Response-Anal canal-CRM) analysis joint consensus guidelines of the GRERCAR and GRECCAR groups

PURPOSE

To develop guidelines by international experts to standardize data acquisition, image interpretation, and reporting in rectal cancer restaging with magnetic resonance imaging (MRI).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Evidence-based data and experts' opinions were combined using the RAND-UCLA Appropriateness Method to attain consensus guidelines. Experts provided recommendations for reporting template and protocol for data acquisition were collected; responses were analysed and classified as "RECOMMENDED" versus "NOT RECOMMENDED" (if ≥ 80% consensus among experts) or uncertain (if < 80% consensus among experts).

RESULTS

Consensus regarding patient preparation, MRI sequences, staging and reporting was attained using the RAND-UCLA Appropriateness Method. A consensus was reached for each reporting template item among the experts. Tailored MRI protocol and standardized report were proposed.

CONCLUSION

These consensus recommendations should be used as a guide for rectal cancer restaging with MRI.

Introduction to radiomics for a clinical audience

Radiomics is a rapidly developing field of research focused on the extraction of quantitative features from medical images, thus converting these digital images into minable, high-dimensional data, which offer unique biological information that can enhance our understanding of disease processes and provide clinical decision support. To date, most radiomics research has been focused on oncological applications; however, it is increasingly being used in a raft of other diseases. This review gives an overview of radiomics for a clinical audience, including the radiomics pipeline and the common pitfalls associated with each stage. Key studies in oncology are presented with a focus on both those that use radiomics analysis alone and those that integrate its use with other multimodal data streams. Importantly, clinical applications outside oncology are also presented. Finally, we conclude by offering a vision for radiomics research in the future, including how it might impact our practice as radiologists.

Radiomic and Volumetric Measurements as Clinical Trial Endpoints—A Comprehensive Review

Simple Summary

The extraction of quantitative data from standard-of-care imaging modalities offers opportunities to improve the relevance and salience of imaging biomarkers used in drug development. This review aims to identify the challenges and opportunities for discovering new imaging-based biomarkers based on radiomic and volumetric assessment in the single-site solid tumor sites: breast cancer, rectal cancer, lung cancer and glioblastoma. Developing approaches to harmonize three essential areas: segmentation, validation and data sharing may expedite regulatory approval and adoption of novel cancer imaging biomarkers.

Abstract

Clinical trials for oncology drug development have long relied on surrogate outcome biomarkers that assess changes in tumor burden to accelerate drug registration (i.e., Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors version 1.1 (RECIST v1.1) criteria). Drug-induced reduction in tumor size represents an imperfect surrogate marker for drug activity and yet a radiologically determined objective response rate is a widely used endpoint for Phase 2 trials. With the addition of therapies targeting complex biological systems such as immune system and DNA damage repair pathways, incorporation of integrative response and outcome biomarkers may add more predictive value. We performed a review of the relevant literature in four representative tumor types (breast cancer, rectal cancer, lung cancer and glioblastoma) to assess the preparedness of volumetric and radiomics metrics as clinical trial endpoints. We identified three key areas—segmentation, validation and data sharing strategies—where concerted efforts are required to enable progress of volumetric- and radiomics-based clinical trial endpoints for wider clinical implementation.

Artificial intelligence with magnetic resonance imaging for prediction of pathological complete response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in rectal cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Purpose

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of artificial intelligence (AI) models with magnetic resonance imaging(MRI) in predicting pathological complete response(pCR) to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) in patients with rectal cancer. Furthermore, assessed the methodological quality of the models.

Methods

We searched PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, and Web of science for studies published before 21 June 2022, without any language restrictions. The Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies 2 (QUADAS-2) and Radiomics Quality Score (RQS) tools were used to assess the methodological quality of the included studies. We calculated pooled sensitivity and specificity using random-effects models, I² values were used to measure heterogeneity, and subgroup analyses to explore potential sources of heterogeneity.

Results

We selected 21 papers for inclusion in the meta-analysis from 1562 retrieved publications, with a total of 1873 people in the validation groups. The meta-analysis showed that AI models based on MRI predicted pCR to nCRT in patients with rectal cancer: a pooled area under the curve (AUC) 0.91 (95% CI, 0.88-0.93), sensitivity of 0.82(95% CI,0.71-0.90), pooled specificity 0.86(95% CI,0.80-0.91). In the subgroup analysis, the pooled AUC of the deep learning(DL) model was 0.97, the pooled AUC of the radiomics model was 0.85; the pooled AUC of the combined model with clinical factors was 0.92, and the pooled AUC of the radiomics model alone was 0.87. The mean RQS score of the included studies was 10.95, accounting for 30.4% of the total score.

Conclusions

Radiomics is a promising noninvasive method with high value in predicting pathological response to nCRT in patients with rectal cancer. DL models have higher predictive accuracy than radiomics models, and combined models incorporating clinical factors have higher diagnostic accuracy than radiomics models alone. In the future, prospective, large-scale, multicenter investigations using radiomics approaches will strengthen the diagnostic power of pCR.

Systematic Review Registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/, identifier CRD42021285630.

Diagnostic performance of MRI and endoscopy for assessing complete response in rectal cancer after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy: a systematic review of the literature

BACKGROUND

The diagnostic performance of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) modalities and/or endoscopy for assessing complete response in rectal cancer after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) is unclear.

PURPOSE

To summarize existing evidence on the diagnostic performance of diffusion-weighted MRI, perfusion-weighted MRI, T2-weighted MR tumor regression grade, and/or endoscopy for assessing complete tumor response after nCRT.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

MEDLINE and Embase databases were searched. The PRISMA guidelines were followed. Sensitivity, specificity, negative predictive, and positive predictive values were retrieved from included studies.

RESULTS

In total, 81 studies were eligible for inclusion. Evidence suggests that combined use of MRI and endoscopy tends to improve the diagnostic performance compared to single imaging modality. The positive predictive value of a complete response varies substantially between studies. There is considerable heterogeneity between studies.

CONCLUSION

Combined re-staging tends to improve diagnostic performance compared to single imaging modality, but the vast majority of studies fail to offer true clinical value due to the study heterogeneity.

MRI-based delta-radiomics are predictive of pathological complete response after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in locally advanced rectal cancer

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

To investigate the capability of delta-radiomics to predict pathological complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective study enrolled 165 consecutive patients with LARC (training set, n = 116; test set, n = 49) who received nCRT before surgery. All patients underwent pre- and post-nCRT MRI examination from which radiomics features were extracted. A delta-radiomics feature was defined as the percentage change in a radiomics feature from pre- to post-nCRT MRI. A data reduction and feature selection process including the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator algorithm was performed for building T2-weighted imaging (T2WI) and diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) delta-radiomics signature. Logistic regression was used to build a T2WI and DWI combined radiomics model. Receiver operating characteristic analysis was performed to assess diagnostic performance. Delong method was used to compare the performance of delta-radiomics model with that of magnetic resonance tumor regression grade (mrTRG).

RESULTS

Twenty-seven of 165 patients (16.4%) achieved pCR. T2WI and DWI delta-radiomics signature, and the combined model showed good predictive performance for pCR. The combined model achieved the highest areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves of 0.91 (95% confidence interval: 0.85-0.98) and 0.91 (95% confidence interval: 0.83-0.99) in the training and test sets, respectively (significantly greater than those for mrTRG; training set, p < 0.001; test set, p = 0.04).

CONCLUSION

MRI-based delta-radiomics can help predict pCR after nCRT in patients with LARC with better performance than mrTRG.

MRI Assessment of Complete Response to Preoperative Chemoradiation Therapy for Rectal Cancer: 2020 Guide for Practice from the Korean Society of Abdominal Radiology

Objective

To provide an evidence-based guide for the MRI interpretation of complete tumor response after neoadjuvant chemoradiation therapy (CRT) for rectal cancer using visual assessment on T2-weighted imaging (T2) and diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI).

Materials and Methods

PubMed MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library were searched on November 28, 2019 to identify articles on the following issues: 1) sensitivity and specificity of T2 or DWI for diagnosing pathologic complete response (pCR) and the criteria for MRI diagnosis; 2) MRI alone vs. MRI combined with other test(s) in sensitivity and specificity for pCR; and 3) tests to select patients for the watch-and-wait management. Eligible articles were selected according to meticulous criteria and were synthesized.

Results

Of 1615 article candidates, 55 eligible articles (for all three issues combined) were identified. Combined T2 and DWI performed better than T2 alone, with a meta-analytic summary sensitivity of 0.62 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.43–0.77; I² = 80.60) and summary specificity of 0.89 (95% CI, 0.80–0.94; I² = 92.61) for diagnosing pCR. The criteria for the complete response on T2 in most studies had the commonality of remarkable tumor decrease to the absence of mass-like or nodular intermediate signal, although somewhat varied, as follows: (near) normalization of the wall; regular, thin, hypointense scar in the luminal side with (near) normal-appearance or homogeneous intermediate signal in the underlying wall; and hypointense thickening of the wall. The criteria on DWI were the absence of a hyperintense signal at high b-value (≥ 800 sec/mm²) in most studies. The specific algorithm to combine T2 and DWI was obscure in half of the studies. MRI combined with endoscopy was the most utilized means to select patients for the watch-and-wait management despite a lack of strong evidence to guide and support a multi-test approach.

Conclusion

This systematic review and meta-analysis provide an evidence-based practical guide for MRI assessment of complete tumor response after CRT for rectal cancer.

Identification of high-risk carotid plaque with MRI-based radiomics and machine learning

OBJECTIVES

We sought to build a high-risk plaque MRI-based model (HRPMM) using radiomics features and machine learning for differentiating symptomatic from asymptomatic carotid plaques.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

One hundred sixty-two patients with carotid stenosis were randomly divided into training and test cohorts. Multi-contrast MRI including time of flight (TOF), T1- and T2-weighted imaging, and contrast-enhanced imaging was done. Radiological characteristics of the carotid plaques were recorded and calculated to build a traditional model. After extracting the radiomics features on these images, we constructed HRPMM with least absolute shrinkage and selection operator algorithm in the training cohort and evaluated its performance in the test cohort. A combined model was also built using both the traditional and radiomics features. The performance of all the models in the identification of high-risk carotid plaque was compared.

RESULTS

Intraplaque hemorrhage and lipid-rich necrotic core were independently associated with clinical symptoms and were used to build the traditional model, which achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.825 versus 0.804 in the training and test cohorts. The HRPMM and the combined model achieved an AUC of 0.988 versus 0.984 and of 0.989 versus 0.986 respectively in the two cohorts. Both the radiomics model and combined model outperformed the traditional model, whereas the combined model showed no significant difference with the HRPMM.

CONCLUSIONS

Our MRI-based radiomics model can accurately distinguish symptomatic from asymptomatic carotid plaques. It is superior to the traditional model in the identification of high-risk plaques.

KEY POINTS

• Carotid plaque multi-contrast MRI stores other valuable information to be further exploited by radiomics analysis. • Radiomics analysis can accurately distinguish symptomatic from asymptomatic carotid plaques. • The radiomics model is superior to the traditional model in the identification of high-risk plaques.