Predictive value of repeated F-18 FDG PET/CT parameters changes during preoperative chemoradiotherapy to predict pathologic response and overall survival in locally advanced esophageal adenocarcinoma patients

The Prognostic Value of Sequential 18 F-FDG PET/CT Metabolic Parameters in Outcomes of Upper-Third Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Patients Treated with Definitive Chemoradiotherapy

Objective  The aim of this study is to determine prognostic values of sequential 18 F-FDG PET/CT metabolic parameters in locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients treated with definitive chemoradiotherapy. Materials and Methods  Forty locally advanced ESCC patients treated with definitive chemoradiotherapy (dCRT) who received pre-treatment 18 F-FDG PET/CT (PET1) and 3-months post-treatment 18 F-FDG PET/CT (PET2) were enrolled in the prospective study. 18 F-FDG PET parameters of the primary tumor including maximum and mean standardized uptake values (SUVmax, SUVmean), metabolic tumor volume (MTV), and total lesion glycolysis (TLG) were calculated on PET delineated primary tumor. Using Kaplan-Meier curves to estimated overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and local-regional control (LRC). Cox regression analysis was performed to find significant prognostic factors for survival. Results  With a median follow-up of 13.5 months, the 4-year OS, PFS, and LRC rates were 67.3%, 52.6%, and 53.4% respectively. Patients with MTV 2 > 5.7 had lower OS, PFS, and LRC rates than the lower MTV 2 group (p < 0.05). Univariate Cox regression analysis showed that MTV2 was a significant prognostic factor for OS, PFS, and LRC (p < 0.05). Conclusion  MTV parameter of sequential 18 F-FDG PET/CT could be used as a prognostic factor for OS, PFS, and LRC in locally advanced ESCC patients treated with dCRT.

Prognostic Assessment of Interim F18-Fluorodeoxyglucose Positron Emission Tomography in Esophageal Cancer Treated With Chemoradiation With or Without Surgery

Purpose

This study aimed to evaluate if the F18-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (F18-FDG PET) response after two weeks of chemoradiation for locoregionally advanced esophageal cancer (staged Tumor (T) 3 and/or Nodes (N)+ Metastases (M) 0) was linked to the pathologic response for patients undergoing surgery, to disease-free survival (DFS) or overall survival (OS).

Materials and Methods

Between March 2006 and September 2017, 40 patients were prospectively enrolled in our study, gave written consent, and had PET scans performed before treatment and after two weeks of chemoradiation. One patient did not undergo his two-week PET without informing study coordinators and was excluded from analyses.

Results

The median age at diagnosis was 62 years. Seventy-two percent of patients had N+ disease. Median OS for the entire group was 24 months. Five-year overall survival was 17%. Survival curves for patients with no PET response, minor PET response, or good PET response overlapped and were not statistically different. For the 25 patients who underwent surgery, the positive predictive value (PPV) of the PET response relative to the pathologic response was 75% and the negative predictive value (NPV) was 62%. In study patients, the crude recurrence rate was 68% and there was no correlation between PET response and DFS.

Conclusion

In our study, interim PET response after two weeks of chemoradiation for locoregionally advanced esophageal cancer was not predictive of outcome or pathologic response. Based on our data and current literature, interim PET should not be used to alter treatment (whether to escalate neo-adjuvant treatment or omit surgery).

18F-FDG PET/CT Parameters for Predicting Prognosis in Esophageal Cancer Patients Treated With Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy

Background and Aims:

This study evaluated the prognostic value of ¹⁸F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography with integrated computed tomography (¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT) performed before and after concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) in esophageal cancer.

Methods:

We analyzed the prognosis of 50 non-metastatic squamous cell esophageal cancer (T1-4N0-2) patients who underwent CCRT with curative intent at Inje University Busan Paik Hospital and Haeundae Paik Hospital from 2009 to 2019. Median total radiation dose was 54 Gy (range 34-66 Gy). Our aim was to investigate the relationship between PET/CT values and prognosis. The primary end point was progression-free survival (PFS).

Results:

The median follow-up period was 9.9 months (range 1.7-85.7). Median baseline maximum standard uptake value (SUVmax) was 14.2 (range 3.2-27.7). After treatment, 29 patients (58%) showed disease progression. The 3-year PFS and overall survival (OS) were 24.2% and 54.5%, respectively. PFS was significantly lower (P = 0.015) when SUVmax of initial PET/CT exceeded 10 (n = 22). However, OS did not reach a significant difference based on maximum SUV (P = 0.282). Small metabolic tumor volume (≤14.1) was related with good PFS (P = 0.002) and OS (P = 0.001). Small total lesion of glycolysis (≤107.3) also had a significant good prognostic effect on PFS (P = 0.009) and OS (P = 0.025). In a subgroup analysis of 18 patients with follow-up PET/CT, the patients with SUV max ≤3.5 in follow-up PET/CT showed longer PFS (P = 0.028) than those with a maximum SUV >3.5.

Conclusion:

Maximum SUV of PET/CT is useful in predicting prognosis of esophageal cancer patients treated with CCRT. Efforts to find more effective treatments for patients at high risk of progression are still warranted.

Good prediction of treatment responses to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy for esophageal cancer based on preoperative inflammatory status and tumor glucose metabolism

To develop a tool for predicting pathologic complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (neoCRT) in patients with esophageal cancer by combining inflammatory status and tumor glucose metabolic activity. This study included 127 patients with locally advanced esophageal cancer who had received neoCRT followed by esophagectomy from 2007 to 2016. We collected their neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and standardized uptake value (SUV) obtained from fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (PET/CT) before and after neoCRT. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify potential predictive factors for pCR. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) of predictors were calculated. Between pCR and non-pCR groups, there were no statistically significant differences in patient characteristics, such as sex, age, site, and clinical T/N stage. Multivariate analyses identified four independent predictors for pCR, including pre-OP NLR < 5.4 [OR 11.179; 95% CI 8.385–13.495; p = 0.003], NLR change (ΔNLR) < 3 [OR 4.891; 95% CI 2.274–9.180; p = 0.005], changes in SUV (ΔSUV) > 7.2 [OR 3.033; 95% CI 1.354–6.791; p = 0.007], and SUV changes ratio (ΔSUV ratio) > 58% [OR 3.585; 95% CI 1.576–8.152; p = 0.002]. ΔNLR had the highest accuracy and NPV (84.3% and 90.3%, respectively). Combined factors of ΔNLR < 3 and ΔSUV ratio > 58% had the best PPV for pCR (84.8%). Inflammatory status (ΔNLR) and tumor glucose metabolic activity (ΔSUV ratio), when considered together, constitute a promising low-invasive tool with high efficacy for prediction of treatment response before surgery.

Response rate and diagnostic accuracy of early PET-CT during neo-adjuvant therapies in oesophageal adenocarcinoma: A systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

Only 25% of oesophageal adenocarcinoma (OAC) patients have a pathological response to neo-adjuvant therapy (NAT) before oesophagectomy. Early response assessment using PET imaging may help guide management of these patients. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to synthesise the evidence detailing response rate and diagnostic accuracy of early PET-CT assessment.

METHODS

We systematically searched several databases including MEDLINE and Embase. Studies with mixed cohorts of histology, tumour location and a repeat PET-CT assessment after more than one cycle of NAT were excluded. Reference standard was pathological response defined by Becker or Mandard classifications. Primary outcome was metabolic response rate after one cycle of NAT defined by a reduction in maximum standardised uptake value (SUVmax) of 35%. Secondary outcome was diagnostic accuracy of treatment response prediction, defined as the sensitivity and specificity of early PET-CT using this threshold. Quality of evidence was also assessed. Random-effects meta-analysis pooled response rates and diagnostic accuracy. This study was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42019147034).

RESULTS

Overall, 1341 articles were screened, and 6 studies were eligible for analysis. These studies reported data for 518 patients (aged 27-78 years; 452 [87.3%] were men) between 2005 and 2020. Pooled sensitivity of early metabolic response to predict pathological response was 77.2% (95% CI 53.2%-100%). Significant heterogeneity existed between studies (I²  = 80.6% (95% CI 38.9%-93.8%), P = .006). Pooled specificity was 75.0% (95% CI 68.2%-82.5%), however, no significant heterogeneity between studies existed (I²  = 0.0% (95% CI 0.0%-67.4%), P = .73).

CONCLUSION

High-quality evidence is lacking, and few studies met the inclusion criteria of this systematic review. The sensitivity of PET using a SUVmax reduction threshold of 35% was suboptimal and varied widely. However, specificity was consistent across studies with a pooled value of 75.0%, suggesting early PET assessment is a better predictor of treatment resistance than of pathological response. Further research is required to define optimal PET-guided treatment decisions in OAC.

Prognostic and predictive values of interim 18F-FDG PET during neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy for esophageal cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

To determine the prognostic and predictive value of early metabolic response assessed by a change in standardized uptake value (SUV) on interim 18F-FDG PET in patients with esophageal cancer undergoing neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy.

METHODS

PubMed and Embase were searched up until 10 September, 2020, for studies evaluating a change in SUV on interim 18F-FDG PET for predicting a pathologic response, progression-free survival (PFS), or overall survival (OS) in patients with esophageal cancer. The sensitivity and specificity for predicting a pathologic response were pooled using bivariate and hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic (HSROC) models. Meta-analytic pooled hazard ratios (HRs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were derived using a random-effects model.

RESULTS

A total of 11 studies (695 patients) were included in the meta-analysis. For nine studies assessing predictive accuracy, the pooled sensitivity and specificity of an early metabolic response for predicting a pathologic response were 0.80 (95% CI 0.61-0.91) and 0.54 (95% CI 0.45-0.63), respectively. The area under the HSROC curve was 0.64 (95% CI 0.60-0.68). Across the nine studies assessing prognostic value, an early metabolic response determined by interim PET showed pooled HRs for predicting PFS and OS of 0.44 (95% CI, 0.30-0.63) and 0.42 (95% CI, 0.31-0.56), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Change in SUV on interim 18F-FDG PET had significant prognostic value and moderate predictive value for a pathologic response in esophageal cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy. Interim 18F-FDG PET may help prognostic stratification and guide treatment planning in oncologic practice.

Use of 18F Fluorodeoxyglucose Positron Emission Tomography Computed Tomography in Assessing Response to Neoadjuvant Chemoradiation and Its Impact on Survival in Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

To determine the accuracy of ¹⁸F-Fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography computed tomography (FDG-PET CT) in predicting response to neoadjuvant chemoradiation (NACRT) in esophageal squamous cell cancer (SCC) and impact of such response on survival.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of patients with esophageal SCC (cT2-4N0-N+M0) who underwent PET CT before and 6 weeks after NACRT followed by surgery was carried out in this study. Metabolic response was assessed by change in standardized uptake value (ΔSUV_max) after NACRT and the pathological response was graded. A receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was used to identify the optimal cut off value of SUV_max to predict histopathological response. The impact of metabolic response and pathological response on survival was determined.

RESULTS

Of the 73 patients analyzed, 27 had complete metabolic response, while 24 had pathological complete response (PCR). However, only 14 of the 27 complete metabolic responders actually had PCR. At 67% ΔSUV_max, the optimum balance between sensitivity (70.83%) and specificity (69.23%) was achieved and the correlation between metabolic response and pathological complete response achieved statistical significance (p = 0.0009). However, ΔSUV_max of 67% was found to have no significant association with survival (p = 0.51). PCR was the only significant determinant of improved survival (p = 0.04).

CONCLUSION

PCR which is a significant determinant of survival is not ideally predicted by ΔSUV_max on PET CT.

Total Lesion Glycolysis Assessment Identifies a Patient Fraction With a High Cure Rate Among Esophageal Adenocarcinoma Patients Treated With Definitive Chemoradiation

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to determine whether tumor metabolism could be prognostic of cure in L-EAC patients who receive definitive chemoradiation.

SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA

Patients with inoperable localized esophageal adenocarcinoma (L-EAC) often receive definitive chemoradiation; however, biomarkers and/or imaging variables to prognosticate cure are missing.

METHODS

Two hundred sixty-six patients with L-EAC who had chemoradiation but not surgery were analyzed from the prospectively maintained EAC databases in the Department of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology at The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center (Texas, USA) between March 2002 and April 2015. Maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) and total lesion glycolysis (TLG) from the positron emission tomography data were evaluated.

RESULTS

Of 266 patients, 253 (95%) were men; the median age was 67 years (range 20-91 yrs) and 153 had poorly differentiated L-EAC. The median SUVmax was 10.3 (range 0-87) and the median TLG was 85.7 (range 0-3227). Both SUVmax and TLG were higher among those with: tumors >5 cm in length, high clinical stage, and high tumor and node categories by TNM staging (all P < 0.0001). Of 234 patients evaluable for cure, 60 (25.6%) achieved cure. In the multivariable logistic regression model, low TLG (but not low SUVmax) was associated with cure (continuous TLG value: odds ratio 0.70, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.54-0.92). TLG was quantified into 4 quartile categorical variables; first quartile (Q1; <32), second quartile (Q2; 32.0-85.6), third quartile (Q3; 85.6-228.4), and fourth quartile (Q4; >228.4); the cure rate was only 10.3% in Q4 and 5.1% in Q3 but increased to 28.8% in Q2, and 58.6% in Q1. The cross-validation resulted in an average accuracy of prediction score of 0.81 (95% CI, 0.75-0.86).

CONCLUSIONS

In this cross-validated model, 59% of patients in the 1st quartile were cured following definitive chemoradiation. Baseline TLG could be pursued as one of the tools for esophageal preservation.

Spectral Computed Tomographic Parameters Predict the Therapeutic Efficacy and Overall Survival of the Angiogenesis Inhibitor AL3818 in Hepatic Lesions: Preliminary Animal Study

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to investigate the predictive and prognostic values of repeated spectral computed tomographic (CT) parameter changes for the prediction of treatment responses to the angiogenesis inhibitor AL3818 in hepatic tumors.

METHODS

A total of 30 rabbits with VX2 hepatic tumors that underwent spectral contrast-enhanced abdominal CT before and during treatment were included in the study. The percent change (Δ, %) of the normalized iodine concentration (nIC) during the arterial phase (AP) and venous phase (VP) was used to predict the tumor response and to calculate the overall survival (OS). The threshold of the nIC for tumor response prediction and prognostic significance was determined by a receiver operating characteristic curve and Kaplan-Meier analysis.

RESULTS

After treatment, there were 43% (13/30) responders and 57% (17/30) nonresponders. When ΔnICAP ≥ -13.10% was used as the threshold, the sensitivity and specificity for the prediction of tumor response were 82.41% and 92.31%, respectively. ΔnICVP resulted in 88.20% sensitivity and 76.92% specificity for cutoff values ≥10.78%. Kaplan-Meier analyses showed that high ΔnICAP and ΔnICVP were associated with improved OS.

CONCLUSIONS

The current study shows the capability of the changes (Δ) in repeated spectral CT parameters to predict the tumor response during antiangiogenesis therapy in small hepatic tumors. ΔnICAP and ΔnICVP were predictors for treatment response and were associated with OS.

Early response evaluation of neoadjuvant therapy with PET/MRI to predict resectability in patients with adenocarcinoma of the esophagogastric junction

STUDY DESIGN AND PURPOSE

Positron emission tomography (PET)/magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is a new modality that has showed promising results for various clinical indications. Currently, evaluation of neoadjuvant therapy (NT) among patients with adenocarcinoma of the esophagogastric junction has primarily been reserved for PET/computed tomography. Our aim was to evaluate if early response evaluation by PET/MRI is a feasible method to predict resectability.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

Patients with untreated adenocarcinoma of the esophagogastric junction (Siewert types I/II) and fit for NT with no contraindications for PET/MRI were considered eligible. A baseline scan was performed prior to NT induction and an evaluation scan 3 weeks later. For histopathological response evaluation, the Mandard tumor regression grade score was applied. Response on PET/MRI was evaluated with Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST 1.1), and change in ADC and SUV_max values.

RESULTS

Twenty-eight patients were enrolled, and 22 completed both scans and proceeded to final analyses. Seventeen patients were found resectable versus five who were found unresectable. PET/MRI response evaluation had a sensitivity 94%, specificity 80%, and AUC = 0.95 when predicting resectability in patients with adenocarcinoma of the esophagogastric junction. No association with histopathological response (tumor regression grade) was found nor was RECIST correlated with resectability.

CONCLUSION

Response evaluation using PET/MRI was a feasible method to predict resectability in patients with adenocarcinoma of the esophagogastric junction in this pilot study. However, larger studies are warranted to justify the use of the modality for this indication.

Intratreatment Response Assessment With 18F-FDG PET: Correlation of Semiquantitative PET Features With Pathologic Response of Esophageal Cancer to Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy

PURPOSE

This prospective study seeks to extract semiquantitative positron emission tomography (PET) features from 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose PET scans performed before and during neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy for esophageal cancer and to compare their accuracy in predicting histopathologic response.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

From 2012 to 2016, 26 patients with esophageal cancer underwent pretreatment and intratreatment PET scans during chemoradiotherapy followed by surgery. Median patient age was 63 years (interquartile range, 58-68 years); 26 patients had esophageal adenocarcinoma, and 3 had esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. The intratreatment PET scan was performed at a median of 32.4 Gy (interquartile range, 30.6-32.4 Gy). PET features of the primary site including maximum standardized uptake value (SUV), SUV mean, metabolic tumor volume, and total lesion glycolysis were extracted from the pretreatment and intratreatment PET scans. Patients were histopathologic responders if there was complete or near-complete tumor response by modified Ryan scheme. Mean values of PET features were compared between histopathologic responders and nonresponders. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to compare the accuracy of PET features in predicting histopathologic response.

RESULTS

Eleven patients (42%) were histopathologic responders. PET features most discriminatory of histopathologic response on AUC analysis were volumetric PET features from the intratreatment PET including metabolic tumor volume based on manual contour (AUC, 0.73; 95% confidence interval, 0.52-0.93) and total lesion glycolysis based on semiautomatic 40% SUV threshold (AUC, 0.73; 95% confidence interval, 0.53-0.94).

CONCLUSIONS

Volumetric PET features from the intratreatment PET were the most accurate predictors of histopathologic response.

Personalized therapy based on image for esophageal or gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma

Preoperative therapy is the gold standard for esophageal or gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma. Positron emission tomography (PET) is not only essential for tumor staging, but changes in glucose consumption correspond with response to therapy and correlated with prognosis. Therefore, with further refinement, PET parameter can serve as a tool for personalized therapy. For instance, the Municon trials suggested the possibility of PET-response guided therapy for esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) patients, however there are limitations. New PET parameters such as total lesion glycolysis (TLG) or magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) may provide better response prediction. Furthermore, PET parameters combined with genomic profiling might enhance better treatment selection, prediction, and prognostication. Here, we summarized the current state of understanding and future possibilities.

18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission computed tomography for monitoring tumor response in esophageal carcinoma treated with concurrent chemoradiotherapy

The aim of the present study was to explore the value of ^18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (¹⁸F-FDG PET) in monitoring the early tumor response of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) treated with concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CRT). A total of 48 patients with pathologically proven ESCC were retrospectively analyzed. All patients underwent two serial ¹⁸F-FDG PET scans at baseline (pre-CRT) and 40 Gy/4 weeks of starting radiation therapy (inter-CRT). All patients received intensity-modulated radiotherapy (with a total radiation dose of 59.6 Gy) concurrently with cisplatin-based chemotherapy. The maximum standardized uptake value (SUV_max) and metabolic tumor volume (MTV) were measured using ¹⁸F-FDG PET. The percentage changes (Δ) in SUV_max and MTV between two serial scans were calculated and were revealed to be associated with the objective tumor response (oTR), according to the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors 1.1. Among the 48 patients, 20.8% achieved a complete response, 68.8% exhibited a partial response and the oTR rate was 89.6%. On the pre-CRT PET scans, the mean SUV_max and MTV were 14.1±5.8 and 58.2±25.4 cm³, respectively. Following 40 Gy irradiation over 4 weeks, the mean SUV_max and MTV significantly decreased to 4.3±3.5 and 19.0±12.1 cm³, respectively (P<0.001). A significantly higher ΔSUV_max and ΔMTV was observed in the responders compared with that in the non-responders [0.71±0.16 vs. 0.51±0.26 (P=0.015); and 0.64±0.13 vs. 0.42±0.09 (P=0.001), respectively]. Univariate analysis revealed that ΔSUV_max and ΔMTV were significantly associated with oTR (P=0.010 and P=0.001, respectively). ΔMTV was used as a predictor and a cut-off value of 54% discriminated responders from non-responders with a sensitivity of 69.8% and a specificity of 100% (P=0.001). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.837 (95% confidence interval, 0.702-0.928). The results of the present study indicated that interim ¹⁸F-FDG PET scans may provide early prognostic value for determining oTR in patients with ESCC undergoing treatment with CRT.

Interim 18F-FDG-PET/CT during chemo-radiotherapy in the management of oesophageal cancer patients. A systematic review

Oesophageal cancer is an aggressive disease. The possibility to early stratify patients as responsive and non-responsive with a non-invasive method is extremely appealing. The uptake of Fluorodeoxyglucose (¹⁸F-FDG) in tumours, provided by positron emission tomography (PET) images, has been proved to be useful to assess the initial staging of the disease, recurrence, and response to chemotherapy and chemo-radiotherapy (CRT). In the last years, efforts have been focused on the possibility to use ad interim ¹⁸F-FDG-PET/CT (PET_int) to evaluate response during radiation therapy. However, controversial findings have been reported, although some relevant results would support its use for individual therapeutic decision. The present review assembles the comprehensive literature of the last decade to evaluate whether and in which cases PET_int may offer predictive potential in oesophageal cancer. All the analysed studies (13 studies, 697 patients) denoted PET_int as a challenging examination for early assessment of outcomes during CRT. In particular, 8 studies advocated the predictivity of PET_int, whilst 5 did not find any correlation between the interim variation of PET parameters and the pathological complete response and/or the clinical outcome. The reasons that possibly have caused contradictions among the studies demand further research with prospective and uniform protocols and methods of analysis to assess the predictive and prognostic value of PET_int in oesophageal cancer.

Significance of baseline FDG-PET/CT scan as a method of staging regional lymph nodes in patients with operable distal oesophageal or gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

The new American Joint Committee on Cancer eighth edition (AJCC8) staging is the first to describe separate clinical and pathology staging systems, but still has low performance to predict prognosis in patients with oesophageal/gastroesophageal junction (O/GOJ) adenocarcinoma, who are candidates for surgery. Recent studies have demonstrated that O/GOJ cancer patients with 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) avid regional lymph nodes (RLNs) may have poor prognosis. The aim of our study was to examine whether the baseline assessment of the FDG uptake of RLN improves the prognostic accuracy of the new AJCC8 staging.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This single-centre retrospective study included patients with operable FDG avid O/GOJ adenocarcinoma treated with perioperative chemotherapy. All patients were reclassified according to the new AJCC8 clinical staging. Prognostic factors for time-to-progression (TTP) and overall survival (OS) were explored.

RESULTS

Of 430 patients included in the study, 180 (41.9%) had FDG avid RLN at baseline PET/CT scan before starting perioperative chemotherapy. The presence of FDG avid RLN was significantly and independently associated with shorter TTP and OS, especially in clinical stage III patients (p < .001 in both cases). Stage III patients with FDG avid RLN had similar TTP and OS to those with stage IVA. Classifying stage III patients with FDG avid RLN into stage IVA led to a significant improvement of the prognostic accuracy of the new AJCC8 clinical staging system (Harrell's concordance index improved from 0.555 to 0.588, p < .001). Of 430 patients starting perioperative chemotherapy, 332 underwent radical tumour resection. The presence of FDG avid RLN before starting perioperative chemotherapy could additionally predict a significantly shorter postoperative time-to-relapse and OS (p < .001 in both cases).

CONCLUSIONS

We propose that the incorporation of RLN status (by FDG PET/CT scan) into the AJCC8 staging system of O/GOJ adenocarcinoma improves its prognostic accuracy and may also improve treatment stratification.

Practical no-gold-standard evaluation framework for quantitative imaging methods: application to lesion segmentation in positron emission tomography

Recently, a class of no-gold-standard (NGS) techniques have been proposed to evaluate quantitative imaging methods using patient data. These techniques provide figures of merit (FoMs) quantifying the precision of the estimated quantitative value without requiring repeated measurements and without requiring a gold standard. However, applying these techniques to patient data presents several practical difficulties including assessing the underlying assumptions, accounting for patient-sampling-related uncertainty, and assessing the reliability of the estimated FoMs. To address these issues, we propose statistical tests that provide confidence in the underlying assumptions and in the reliability of the estimated FoMs. Furthermore, the NGS technique is integrated within a bootstrap-based methodology to account for patient-sampling-related uncertainty. The developed NGS framework was applied to evaluate four methods for segmenting lesions from F-Fluoro-2-deoxyglucose positron emission tomography images of patients with head-and-neck cancer on the task of precisely measuring the metabolic tumor volume. The NGS technique consistently predicted the same segmentation method as the most precise method. The proposed framework provided confidence in these results, even when gold-standard data were not available. The bootstrap-based methodology indicated improved performance of the NGS technique with larger numbers of patient studies, as was expected, and yielded consistent results as long as data from more than 80 lesions were available for the analysis.