Development and validation of a prognostic model incorporating texture analysis derived from standardised segmentation of PET in patients with oesophageal cancer

Multicentre validation of CT grey-level co-occurrence matrix features for overall survival in primary oesophageal adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Personalising management of primary oesophageal adenocarcinoma requires better risk stratification. Lack of independent validation of proposed imaging biomarkers has hampered clinical translation. We aimed to prospectively validate previously identified prognostic grey-level co-occurrence matrix (GLCM) CT features for 3-year overall survival.

METHODS

Following ethical approval, clinical and contrast-enhanced CT data were acquired from participants from five institutions. Data from three institutions were used for training and two for testing. Survival classifiers were modelled on prespecified variables ('Clinical' model: age, clinical T-stage, clinical N-stage; 'ClinVol' model: clinical features + CT tumour volume; 'ClinRad' model: ClinVol features + GLCM_Correlation and GLCM_Contrast). To reflect current clinical practice, baseline stage was also modelled as a univariate predictor ('Stage'). Discrimination was assessed by area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) analysis; calibration by Brier scores; and clinical relevance by thresholding risk scores to achieve 90% sensitivity for 3-year mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 162 participants were included (144 male; median 67 years [IQR 59, 72]; training, 95 participants; testing, 67 participants). Median survival was 998 days [IQR 486, 1594]. The ClinRad model yielded the greatest test discrimination (AUC, 0.68 [95% CI 0.54, 0.81]) that outperformed Stage (ΔAUC, 0.12 [95% CI 0.01, 0.23]; p = .04). The Clinical and ClinVol models yielded comparable test discrimination (AUC, 0.66 [95% CI 0.51, 0.80] vs. 0.65 [95% CI 0.50, 0.79]; p > .05). Test sensitivity of 90% was achieved by ClinRad and Stage models only.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared to Stage, multivariable models of prespecified clinical and radiomic variables yielded improved prediction of 3-year overall survival.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

Previously identified radiomic features are prognostic but may not substantially improve risk stratification on their own.

KEY POINTS

• Better risk stratification is needed in primary oesophageal cancer to personalise management. • Previously identified CT features-GLCM_Correlation and GLCM_Contrast-contain incremental prognostic information to age and clinical stage. • Compared to staging, multivariable clinicoradiomic models improve discrimination of 3-year overall survival.

A nomogram based on pretreatment radiomics and dosiomics features for predicting overall survival associated with esophageal squamous cell cancer

OBJECTIVES

To propose a nomogram-based survival prediction model for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) treated with definitive chemoradiotherapy using pretreatment computed tomography (CT), positron emission tomography (PET) radiomics and dosiomics features, and common clinical factors.

METHODS

Radiomics and dosiomics features were extracted from CT and PET images and dose distribution from 2 institutions. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) with logistic regression was used to select radiomics and dosiomics features by calculating the radiomics and dosiomics scores (Rad-score and Dos-score), respectively, in the training model. The model was trained in 81 patients and validated in 35 patients at Center 1 using 10-fold cross validation. The model was externally tested in 26 patients at Center 2. The predictive clinical factors, Rad-score, and Dos-score were identified to develop a nomogram model.

RESULTS

Using LASSO Cox regression, 13, 11, and 19 CT, PET-based radiomics, and dosiomics features, respectively, were selected. The clinical factors T-stage, N-stage, and clinical stage were selected as significant prognostic factors by univariate Cox regression. In the external validation cohort, the C-index of the combined model of CT-based radiomics, PET-based radiomics, and dosiomics features with clinical factors were 0.74, 0.82, and 0.92, respectively. Significant differences in overall survival (OS) in the combined model of CT-based radiomics, PET-based radiomics, and dosiomics features with clinical factors were observed between the high- and low-risk groups (P = 0.019, 0.038, and 0.014, respectively).

CONCLUSION

The dosiomics features have a better predicter for OS than CT- and PET-based radiomics features in ESCC treated with radiotherapy.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

The current study predicted the overall survival for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients treated with definitive chemoradiotherapy. The dosiomics features have a better predicter for overall survival than CT- and PET-based radiomics features.

Gastro-Esophageal Cancer: Can Radiomic Parameters from Baseline 18F-FDG-PET/CT Predict the Development of Distant Metastatic Disease?

We aimed to determine if clinical parameters and radiomics combined with sarcopenia status derived from baseline 18F-FDG-PET/CT could predict developing metastatic disease and overall survival (OS) in gastroesophageal cancer (GEC). Patients referred for primary staging who underwent 18F-FDG-PET/CT from 2008 to 2019 were evaluated retrospectively. Overall, 243 GEC patients (mean age = 64) were enrolled. Clinical, histopathology, and sarcopenia data were obtained, and primary tumor radiomics features were extracted. For classification (early-stage vs. advanced disease), the association of the studied parameters was evaluated. Various clinical and radiomics models were developed and assessed. Accuracy and area under the curve (AUC) were calculated. For OS prediction, univariable and multivariable Cox analyses were performed. The best model included PET/CT radiomics features, clinical data, and sarcopenia score (accuracy = 80%; AUC = 88%). For OS prediction, various clinical, CT, and PET features entered the multivariable analysis. Three clinical factors (advanced disease, age ≥ 70 and ECOG ≥ 2), along with one CT-derived and one PET-derived radiomics feature, retained their significance. Overall, 18F-FDG PET/CT radiomics seems to have a potential added value in identifying GEC patients with advanced disease and may enhance the performance of baseline clinical parameters. These features may also have a prognostic value for OS, improving the decision-making for GEC patients.

Performance of radiomics-based artificial intelligence systems in the diagnosis and prediction of treatment response and survival in esophageal cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis of diagnostic accuracy

Radiomics can interpret radiological images with more detail and in less time compared to the human eye. Some challenges in managing esophageal cancer can be addressed by incorporating radiomics into image interpretation, treatment planning, and predicting response and survival. This systematic review and meta-analysis provides a summary of the evidence of radiomics in esophageal cancer. The systematic review was carried out using Pubmed, MEDLINE, and Ovid EMBASE databases-articles describing radiomics in esophageal cancer were included. A meta-analysis was also performed; 50 studies were included. For the assessment of treatment response using 18F-FDG PET/computed tomography (CT) scans, seven studies (443 patients) were included in the meta-analysis. The pooled sensitivity and specificity were 86.5% (81.1-90.6) and 87.1% (78.0-92.8). For the assessment of treatment response using CT scans, five studies (625 patients) were included in the meta-analysis, with a pooled sensitivity and specificity of 86.7% (81.4-90.7) and 76.1% (69.9-81.4). The remaining 37 studies formed the qualitative review, discussing radiomics in diagnosis, radiotherapy planning, and survival prediction. This review explores the wide-ranging possibilities of radiomics in esophageal cancer management. The sensitivities of 18F-FDG PET/CT scans and CT scans are comparable, but 18F-FDG PET/CT scans have improved specificity for AI-based prediction of treatment response. Models integrating clinical and radiomic features facilitate diagnosis and survival prediction. More research is required into comparing models and conducting large-scale studies to build a robust evidence base.

Prognostic value of pre-therapeutic FDG-PET radiomic analysis in gastro-esophageal junction cancer

The main aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of radiomic approach in pre-therapeutic ¹⁸F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron-emission tomography (FDG-PET/CT) in a large cohort of patients with gastro-esophageal junction cancer (GEJC). This was a retrospective monocenter study including 97 consecutive patients with GEJC who underwent a pre-therapeutic FDG-PET and were followed up for 3 years. Standard first-order radiomic PET indices including SUV_max, SUV_mean, SUV_peak, MTV and TLG and 32 textural features (TFs) were calculated using LIFEx software on PET imaging. Prognostic significance of these parameters was assessed in univariate and multivariate analysis. Relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were respectively chosen as primary and secondary endpoints. An internal validation cohort was used by randomly drawing one-third of included patients. The main characteristics of this cohort were: median age of 65 years [41-88], sex ratio H/F = 83/14, 81.5% of patients with a histopathology of adenocarcinoma and 43.3% with a stage IV disease. The median follow-up was 28.5 months [4.2-108.5]. Seventy-seven (79.4%) patients had locoregional or distant progression or recurrence and 71 (73.2%) died. In univariate analysis, SUV_mean, Histogram-Entropy and 2 TFs (GLCM-Homogeneity and GLCM-Energy) were significantly correlated with RFS and OS, as well as 2 others TFs (GLRLM-LRE and GLRLM-GLNU) with OS only. In multivariate analysis, Histogram-Entropy remained an independent prognostic factor of both RFS and OS whereas SUV_mean was an independent prognostic factor of OS only. These results were partially confirmed in our internal validation cohort of 33 patients. Our results suggest that radiomic approach reveals independent prognostic factors for survival in patients with GEJC.

Value of pre-treatment 18F-FDG PET/CT radiomics in predicting the prognosis of stage III-IV colorectal cancer

Background and purpose

To investigate the value of radiomics features extracted from pre-treatment ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT in predicting the outcomes of stage III-IV colorectal cancer (CRC), which may assist in clinical management strategies and precise treatment of stage III-IV CRC.

Materials and methods

124 patients with pathologically confirmed stage III-IV CRC who underwent pre-treatment ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT scans were enrolled in this study. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox regression (LASSO-Cox) was used to select radiomics features, and the radiomics scores (Rad-scores) were calculated to build radiomics models. The performance of radiomics models was represented by the concordance index (C-index) and compared with clinical models and complex model. The bootstrap resampling method was used to create validation sets. Additionally, nomograms were developed based on complex models.

Results

The C-indices of the radiomics model for predicting PFS and OS were 0.712 (95%CI: 0.680-0.744) and 0.758 (0.728-0.789), respectively. In the clinical model, these values were 0.690 (0.664-0.0.717) and 0.738 (0.709-0.767), respectively. However, in the complex model were 0.734 (0.705-0.762) and 0.780 (0.754-0.807), respectively. The Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated that the radiomics model could effectively separate patients with stage III-IV stage CRC into high- and low-risk groups (p < 0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analysis confirmed the independent prognostic value of Rad-scores.

Conclusion

Pre-treatment ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT radiomics features can stratify the risk of patients with stage III-IV CRC and accurately predict their outcomes. These findings could be clinically valuable for precision treatment and management decisions in stage III-IV CRC.

Prediction of Individual Lymph Node Metastatic Status in Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Using Routine Computed Tomography Imaging: Comparison of Size-Based Measurements and Radiomics-Based Models

BACKGROUND

Lymph node status is vital for prognosis and treatment decisions for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). This study aimed to construct and evaluate an optimal radiomics-based method for a more accurate evaluation of individual regional lymph node status in ESCC and to compare it with traditional size-based measurements.

METHODS

The study consecutively collected 3225 regional lymph nodes from 530 ESCC patients receiving upfront surgery from January 2011 to October 2015. Computed tomography (CT) scans for individual lymph nodes were analyzed. The study evaluated the predictive performance of machine-learning models trained on features extracted from two-dimensional (2D) and three-dimensional (3D) radiomics by different contouring methods. Robust and important radiomics features were selected, and classification models were further established and validated.

RESULTS

The lymph node metastasis rate was 13.2% (427/3225). The average short-axis diameter was 6.4 mm for benign lymph nodes and 7.9 mm for metastatic lymph nodes. The division of lymph node stations into five regions according to anatomic lymph node drainage (cervical, upper mediastinal, middle mediastinal, lower mediastinal, and abdominal regions) improved the predictive performance. The 2D radiomics method showed optimal diagnostic results, with more efficient segmentation of nodal lesions. In the test set, this optimal model achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.841-0.891, an accuracy of 84.2-94.7%, a sensitivity of 65.7-83.3%, and a specificity of 84.4-96.7%.

CONCLUSIONS

The 2D radiomics-based models noninvasively predicted the metastatic status of an individual lymph node in ESCC and outperformed the conventional size-based measurement. The 2D radiomics-based model could be incorporated into the current clinical workflow to enable better decision-making for treatment strategies.

Prognostic Value of [18F]-FDG PET/CT Radiomics Combined with Sarcopenia Status among Patients with Advanced Gastroesophageal Cancer

We investigated, whether 18[18F]-FDG PET/CT-derived radiomics combined with sarcopenia measurements improves survival prognostication among patients with advanced, metastatic gastroesophageal cancer. In our study, 128 consecutive patients with advanced, metastatic esophageal and gastroesophageal cancer (n = 128; 26 females; 102 males; mean age 63.5 ± 11.7 years; age range: 29−91 years) undergoing 18[18F]-FDG PET/CT for staging between November 2008 and December 2019 were included. Segmentation of the primary tumor and radiomics analysis derived from PET and CT images was performed semi-automatically with a commonly used open-source software platform (LIFEX, Version 6.30, lifexsoft.org). Patients’ nutritional status was determined by measuring the skeletal muscle index (SMI) at the level of L3 on the CT component. Univariable and multivariable analyses were performed to establish a survival prediction model including radiomics, clinical data, and SMI score. Univariable Cox proportional hazards model revealed ECOG (<0.001) and bone metastasis (p = 0.028) to be significant clinical parameters for overall survival (OS) and progression free survival (PFS). Age (p = 0.017) was an additional prognostic factor for OS. Multivariable analysis showed improved prognostication for overall and progression free survival when adding sarcopenic status, PET and CT radiomics to the model with clinical parameters only. PET and CT radiomics derived from hybrid 18[18F]-FDG PET/CT combined with sarcopenia measurements and clinical parameters may improve survival prediction among patients with advanced, metastatic gastroesophageal cancer.

Combined 18 F-FDG PET/CT Radiomics and Sarcopenia Score in Predicting Relapse-Free Survival and Overall Survival in Patients With Esophagogastric Cancer

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to determine if radiomic features combined with sarcopenia measurements on pretreatment 18 F-FDG PET/CT can improve outcome prediction in surgically treated adenocarcinoma esophagogastric cancer patients.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

One hundred forty-five esophageal adenocarcinoma patients with curative therapeutic intent and available pretreatment 18 F-FDG PET/CT were included. Textural features from PET and CT images were evaluated using LIFEx software ( lifexsoft.org ). Sarcopenia measurements were done by measuring the Skeletal Muscle Index at L3 level on the CT component. Univariable and multivariable analyses were conducted to create a model including the radiomic parameters, clinical features, and Skeletal Muscle Index score to predict patients' outcome.

RESULTS

In multivariable analysis, we combined clinicopathological parameters including ECOG, surgical T, and N staging along with imaging derived sarcopenia measurements and radiomic features to build a predictor model for relapse-free survival and overall survival. Overall, adding sarcopenic status to the model with clinical features only (likelihood ratio test P = 0.03) and CT feature ( P = 0.0037) improved the model fit for overall survival. Similarly, adding sarcopenic status ( P = 0.051), CT feature ( P = 0.042), and PET feature ( P = 0.011) improved the model fit for relapse-free survival.

CONCLUSIONS

PET and CT radiomics derived from combined PET/CT integrated with clinicopathological parameters and sarcopenia measurement might improve outcome prediction in patients with nonmetastatic esophagogastric adenocarcinoma.

Improved Prognosis of Treatment Failure in Cervical Cancer with Nontumor PET/CT Radiomics

Radiomics has been applied to predict recurrence in several disease sites, but current approaches are typically restricted to analyzing tumor features, neglecting nontumor information in the rest of the body. The purpose of this work was to develop and validate a model incorporating nontumor radiomics, including whole-body features, to predict treatment outcomes in patients with previously untreated locoregionally advanced cervical cancer. Methods: We analyzed 127 cervical cancer patients treated definitively with chemoradiotherapy and intracavitary brachytherapy. All patients underwent pretreatment whole-body ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT. To quantify effects due to the tumor itself, the gross tumor volume (GTV) was directly contoured on the PET/CT image. Meanwhile, to quantify effects arising from the rest of the body, the planning target volume (PTV) was deformably registered from each planning CT to the PET/CT scan, and a semiautomated approach combining seed-growing and manual contour review generated whole-body muscle, bone, and fat segmentations on each PET/CT image. A total of 965 radiomic features were extracted for GTV, PTV, muscle, bone, and fat. Ninety-five patients were used to train a Cox model of disease recurrence including both radiomic and clinical features (age, stage, tumor grade, histology, and baseline complete blood cell counts), using bagging and split-sample-validation for feature reduction and model selection. To further avoid overfitting, the resulting models were tested for generalization on the remaining 32 patients, by calculating a risk score based on Cox regression and evaluating the c-index (c-index > 0.5 indicates predictive power). Results: Optimal performance was seen in a Cox model including 1 clinical biomarker (whether or not a tumor was stage III-IVA), 2 GTV radiomic biomarkers (PET gray-level size-zone matrix small area low gray level emphasis and zone entropy), 1 PTV radiomic biomarker (major axis length), and 1 whole-body radiomic biomarker (CT bone root mean square). In particular, stratification into high- and low-risk groups, based on the linear risk score from this Cox model, resulted in a hazard ratio of 0.019 (95% CI, 0.004, 0.082), an improvement over stratification based on clinical stage alone, which had a hazard ratio of 0.36 (95% CI, 0.16, 0.83). Conclusion: Incorporating nontumor radiomic biomarkers can improve the performance of prognostic models compared with using only clinical and tumor radiomic biomarkers. Future work should look to further test these models in larger, multiinstitutional cohorts.

Radiomic assessment of oesophageal adenocarcinoma: a critical review of 18F-FDG PET/CT, PET/MRI and CT

OBJECTIVES

Radiomic models present an avenue to improve oesophageal adenocarcinoma assessment through quantitative medical image analysis. However, model selection is complicated by the abundance of available predictors and the uncertainty of their relevance and reproducibility. This analysis reviews recent research to facilitate precedent-based model selection for prospective validation studies.

METHODS

This analysis reviews research on 18F-FDG PET/CT, PET/MRI and CT radiomics in oesophageal adenocarcinoma between 2016 and 2021. Model design, testing and reporting are evaluated according to the Transparent Reporting of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) score and Radiomics Quality Score (RQS). Key results and limitations are analysed to identify opportunities for future research in the area.

RESULTS

Radiomic models of stage and therapeutic response demonstrated discriminative capacity, though clinical applications require greater sensitivity. Although radiomic models predict survival within institutions, generalisability is limited. Few radiomic features have been recommended independently by multiple studies.

CONCLUSIONS

Future research must prioritise prospective validation of previously proposed models to further clinical translation.

Radiomics in Oncological PET Imaging: A Systematic Review-Part 2, Infradiaphragmatic Cancers, Blood Malignancies, Melanoma and Musculoskeletal Cancers

The objective of this review was to summarize published radiomics studies dealing with infradiaphragmatic cancers, blood malignancies, melanoma, and musculoskeletal cancers, and assess their quality. PubMed database was searched from January 1990 to February 2022 for articles performing radiomics on PET imaging of at least 1 specified tumor type. Exclusion criteria includd: non-oncological studies; supradiaphragmatic tumors; reviews, comments, cases reports; phantom or animal studies; technical articles without a clinically oriented question; studies including <30 patients in the training cohort. The review database contained PMID, first author, year of publication, cancer type, number of patients, study design, independent validation cohort and objective. This database was completed twice by the same person; discrepant results were resolved by a third reading of the articles. A total of 162 studies met inclusion criteria; 61 (37.7%) studies included >100 patients, 13 (8.0%) were prospective and 61 (37.7%) used an independent validation set. The most represented cancers were esophagus, lymphoma, and cervical cancer (n = 24, n = 24 and n = 19 articles, respectively). Most studies focused on 18F-FDG, and prognostic and response to treatment objectives. Although radiomics and artificial intelligence are technically challenging, new contributions and guidelines help improving research quality over the years and pave the way toward personalized medicine.

Histogram analysis of 18F-FDG PET imaging SUVs may predict the histologic grade of oral squamous cell carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

We tested the hypothesis that histogram analysis parameters of standardized uptake values (SUVs) obtained preoperatively using ¹⁸F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (¹⁸F-FDG PET) are significantly influenced by differences in metabolic capacity due to the histologic grade of oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC).

STUDY DESIGN

The study included 62 patients who were clinically diagnosed with OSCC and received surgical treatment after an ¹⁸F-FDG PET examination. Histogram analysis was performed using all voxels contained in the tumor area of each patient with an SUV ≥2.5. The histogram parameters calculated were the mean and standard deviation of SUVs, maximum SUV, metabolic tumor volume, skewness, and kurtosis. Statistical analyses were performed using a Mann-Whitney U test to calculate the significance of differences in these parameters between groups with well- and moderately- or poorly-differentiated tumors. Statistical significance was assumed at P < .05.

RESULTS

Only a comparison of kurtosis in the histogram showed a significant difference between the well- and moderately/poorly-differentiated tumors (P = .0294).

CONCLUSIONS

The distribution of metabolic capacity in oral squamous cell carcinoma tissues revealed on an ¹⁸F-FDG PET examination may help identify the histologic grade. This finding may provide valuable information for determining the subsequent treatment plan and predicting disease prognosis.

Methodological quality of machine learning-based quantitative imaging analysis studies in esophageal cancer: a systematic review of clinical outcome prediction after concurrent chemoradiotherapy

PURPOSE

Studies based on machine learning-based quantitative imaging techniques have gained much interest in cancer research. The aim of this review is to critically appraise the existing machine learning-based quantitative imaging analysis studies predicting outcomes of esophageal cancer after concurrent chemoradiotherapy in accordance with PRISMA guidelines.

METHODS

A systematic review was conducted in accordance with PRISMA guidelines. The citation search was performed via PubMed and Embase Ovid databases for literature published before April 2021. From each full-text article, study characteristics and model information were summarized. We proposed an appraisal matrix with 13 items to assess the methodological quality of each study based on recommended best-practices pertaining to quality.

RESULTS

Out of 244 identified records, 37 studies met the inclusion criteria. Study endpoints included prognosis, treatment response, and toxicity after concurrent chemoradiotherapy with reported discrimination metrics in validation datasets between 0.6 and 0.9, with wide variation in quality. A total of 30 studies published within the last 5 years were evaluated for methodological quality and we found 11 studies with at least 6 "good" item ratings.

CONCLUSION

A substantial number of studies lacked prospective registration, external validation, model calibration, and support for use in clinic. To further improve the predictive power of machine learning-based models and translate into real clinical applications in cancer research, appropriate methodologies, prospective registration, and multi-institution validation are recommended.

Diagnostic Performance of Artificial Intelligence-Centred Systems in the Diagnosis and Postoperative Surveillance of Upper Gastrointestinal Malignancies Using Computed Tomography Imaging: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Diagnostic Accuracy

Background

Upper gastrointestinal cancers are aggressive malignancies with poor prognosis, even following multimodality therapy. As such, they require timely and accurate diagnostic and surveillance strategies; however, such radiological workflows necessitate considerable expertise and resource to maintain. In order to lessen the workload upon already stretched health systems, there has been increasing focus on the development and use of artificial intelligence (AI)-centred diagnostic systems. This systematic review summarizes the clinical applicability and diagnostic performance of AI-centred systems in the diagnosis and surveillance of esophagogastric cancers.

Methods

A systematic review was performed using the MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane Review, and Scopus databases. Articles on the use of AI and radiomics for the diagnosis and surveillance of patients with esophageal cancer were evaluated, and quality assessment of studies was performed using the QUADAS-2 tool. A meta-analysis was performed to assess the diagnostic accuracy of sequencing methodologies.

Results

Thirty-six studies that described the use of AI were included in the qualitative synthesis and six studies involving 1352 patients were included in the quantitative analysis. Of these six studies, four studies assessed the utility of AI in gastric cancer diagnosis, one study assessed its utility for diagnosing esophageal cancer, and one study assessed its utility for surveillance. The pooled sensitivity and specificity were 73.4% (64.6–80.7) and 89.7% (82.7–94.1), respectively.

Conclusions

AI systems have shown promise in diagnosing and monitoring esophageal and gastric cancer, particularly when combined with existing diagnostic methods. Further work is needed to further develop systems of greater accuracy and greater consideration of the clinical workflows that they aim to integrate within.

Computed Tomography-Based Radiomics in Predicting T Stage and Length of Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

Background

Because of the superficial and infiltrative spreading patterns of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), an accurate assessment of tumor extent is challenging using imaging-based clinical staging. Radiomics features extracted from pretreatment computed tomography (CT) or magnetic resonance imaging have shown promise in identifying tumor characteristics. Accurate staging is essential for planning cancer treatment, especially for deciding whether to offer surgery or radiotherapy (chemotherapy) in patients with locally advanced ESCC. Thus, this study aimed to evaluate the predictive potential of contrast-enhanced CT-based radiomics as a non-invasive approach for estimating pathological tumor extent in ESCC patients.

Methods

Patients who underwent esophagectomy between October 2011 and September 2017 were retrospectively studied and included 116 patients with pathologically confirmed ESCC. Contrast-enhanced CT from the neck to the abdomen was performed in all patients during the 2 weeks before the operation. Radiomics features were extracted from segmentations, which were contoured by radiologists. Cluster analysis was performed to obtain clusters with similar radiomics characteristics, and chi-squared tests were used to assess differences in clinicopathological features and survival among clusters. Furthermore, a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator was performed to select radiomics features and construct a radiomics model. Receiver operating characteristic analysis was used to evaluate the predictive ability of the radiomics signatures.

Results

All 116 ESCC patients were divided into two groups according to the cluster analysis. The chi-squared test showed that cluster-based radiomics features were significantly correlated with T stage (p = 0.0254) and tumor length (p = 0.0002). Furthermore, CT radiomics signatures exhibited favorable predictive performance for T stage (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.86, sensitivity = 0.77, and specificity = 0.87) and tumor length (AUC = 0.95, sensitivity = 0.92, and specificity = 0.91).

Conclusions

CT contrast radiomics is a simple and non-invasive method that shows promise for predicting pathological T stage and tumor length preoperatively in ESCC patients and may aid in the accurate assessments of patients in combination with the existing examinations.

Development and validation of a prognostic nomogram for malignant esophageal fistula based on radiomics and clinical factors

Background

The current study aimed to comprehensively analyze the clinical prognostic factors of malignant esophageal fistula (MEF). Furthermore, this study sought to establish and validate prognostic nomograms incorporating radiomics and clinical factors to predict overall survival and median survival after fistula for patients with MEF.

Methods

The records of 76 patients with MEF were retrospectively analyzed. A stepwise Cox proportional hazards regression model was employed to screen independent prognostic factors and develop clinical nomograms. Radiomic features were extracted from prefistula CT images and post fistula CT images. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression and Cox regression algorithm was used to filter radiomic features and avoid overfitting. Radiomic signature was a linear combination of optimal features and corresponding coefficients. The joint prognostic nomograms was constructed by radiomic signatures and clinical features. All models were validated by Harrell's concordance index (C‐index), caliberation and bootstrap validation.

Results

For overall survival, age, prealbumin, KPS and interval between diagnosis of esophageal cancer and fistula were identified as independent prognostic factors and incorporated into the clinical nomogram. Age, prealbumin, serum albumin, KPS and neutrophil proportion were selected for the clinical nomogram of post fistula survival. The C‐index of overall survival nomogram was 0.719 (95% CI: 0.645–0.793) and that was 0.722 (95% CI: 0.653–0.791) in the post fistula survival nomogram. The radiomic signature developed by radiomic features of prefistula CT showed a significant correlation with both overall survival and post fistula survival. The C‐index of joint nomogarm for overall survival and post fistula survival was 0.831 (95% CI: 0.757–0.905) and 0.77 (95% CI: 0.686–0.854), respectively. The calibration curve showed the joint nomograms outperformed the clinical ones.

Conclusions

The study presents nomograms incorporating independent clinical risk factors and radiomic signature to predict the prognosis of MEF. This prognostic classification system has the potential to guide therapeutic decisions for patients with malignant esophageal fistulas.

Artificial intelligence in radiation oncology: A review of its current status and potential application for the radiotherapy workforce

OBJECTIVE

Radiation oncology is a continually evolving speciality. With the development of new imaging modalities and advanced imaging processing techniques, there is an increasing amount of data available to practitioners. In this narrative review, Artificial Intelligence (AI) is used as a reference to machine learning, and its potential, along with current problems in the field of radiation oncology, are considered from a technical position.

KEY FINDINGS

AI has the potential to harness the availability of data for improving patient outcomes, reducing toxicity, and easing clinical burdens. However, problems including the requirement of complexity of data, undefined core outcomes and limited generalisability are apparent.

CONCLUSION

This original review highlights considerations for the radiotherapy workforce, particularly therapeutic radiographers, as there will be an increasing requirement for their familiarity with AI due to their unique position as the interface between imaging technology and patients.

IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE

Collaboration between AI experts and the radiotherapy workforce are required to overcome current issues before clinical adoption. The development of educational resources and standardised reporting of AI studies may help facilitate this.

Dual-region radiomics signature: Integrating primary tumor and lymph node computed tomography features improves survival prediction in esophageal squamous cell cancer

BACKGROUND

Preoperative prognostic biomarkers to guide individualized therapy are still in demand in esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC). Some studies reported that radiomic analysis based on CT images has been successfully performed to predict individual survival in EC. The aim of this study was to assess whether combining radiomics features from primary tumor and regional lymph nodes predicts overall survival (OS) better than using single-region features only, and to investigate the incremental value of the dual-region radiomics signature.

METHODS

In this retrospective study, three radiomics signatures were built from preoperative enhanced CT in a training cohort (n = 200) using LASSO Cox model. Associations between each signature and survival was assessed on a validation cohort (n = 107). Prediction accuracy for the three signatures was compared. By constructing a clinical nomogram and a radiomics-clinical nomogram, incremental prognostic value of the radiomics signature over clinicopathological factors in OS prediction was assessed in terms of discrimination, calibration, reclassification and clinical usefulness.

RESULTS

The dual-region radiomic signature was an independent factor, significantly associated with OS (HR: 1.869, 95% CI: 1.347, 2.592, P = 1.82e-04), which achieved better OS (C-index: 0.611) prediction either than the single-region signature (C-index:0.594-0.604). The resulted dual-region radiomics-clinical nomogram achieved the best discriminative ability in OS prediction (C-index:0.700). Compared with the clinical nomogram, the radiomics-clinical nomogram improved the calibration and classification accuracy for OS prediction with a total net reclassification improvement (NRI) of 26.9% (P=0.008) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) of 6.8% (P<0.001).

CONCLUSION

The dual-region radiomic signature is an independent prognostic marker and outperforms single-region signature in OS for ESCC patients. Integrating the dual-region radiomics signature and clinicopathological factors improves OS prediction.

A different overview of staging PET/CT images in patients with esophageal cancer: the role of textural analysis with machine learning methods

OBJECTIVE

This study evaluates the ability of several machine learning (ML) algorithms, developed using volumetric and texture data extracted from baseline 18F-FDG PET/CT studies performed initial staging of patient with esophageal cancer (EC), to predict survival and histopathology.

METHODS

The initial staging 18F-FDG PET/CT images obtained on newly diagnosed EC patients between January 2008 and June 2019 were evaluated using LIFEx software. A region of interest (ROI) of the primary tumor was created and volumetric and textural features were obtained. A significant relationship between these features and pathological subtypes, 1-year, and 5-year survival was investigated. Due to the nonhomogeneity of the data, nonparametric test (The Mann-Whitney U test) was used for each feature, in pairwise comparisons of independent variables. A p value of < 0.05 was considered significant. Receiver operating curve (ROC) analysis was performed for features with p < 0.05. Correlation between the significant features was evaluated with Spearman correlation test; features with correlation coefficient < 0.8 were evaluated with several ML algorithms.

RESULTS

In predicting survival in a 1-year follow-up J48 was obtained as the most successful algorithm (AUC: 0.581, PRC: 0.565, MCC: 0.258, acc: 64.29%). 5-year survival results were more promising than 1-year survival results with (AUC: 0.820, PRC: 0.860, MCC: 271, acc: 81.36%) by logistic regression. It is revealed that the most successful algorithm was naive bayes (AUC: 0.680 PRC: 0.776, MCC: 0.298, acc: 82.66%) in the histopathological discrimination.

CONCLUSION

Texture analysis with ML algorithms could be predictive of overall survival and discriminating histopathological subtypes of EC.

Feasibility of prognosis assessment for cancer of unknown primary origin using texture analysis of 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose PET/computed tomography images of largest metastatic lymph node

OBJECTIVE

Cancers of unknown primary origin cannot be staged using images, making the prognosis difficult. We attempted to predict prognosis of patients with unknown primary origin using tumour heterogeneity recently introduced in F-fluorodeoxyglucose (F-FDG) PET/computed tomography (CT).

METHODS

Overall, 30 patients with unknown primary origin who underwent whole-body F-FDG PET/CT scans were retrospectively enrolled for texture analysis. The volume of interest was placed in the largest metastatic lymph nodes and conventional parameters and grey-level co-occurrence matrix (GLCM) were calculated. Statistical analysis of image-based variables was performed using Cox regression analyses. Patients were stratified into two groups based on cutoff values of GLCMentropy obtained using receiver operating characteristics (ROCs). Patients were analyzed, and overall survival (OS) was compared using Kaplan-Meier analysis.

RESULTS

Univariate Cox regression analysis showed significant differences in prognosis for parenchymal organ metastasis (P < 0.01), GLCM homogeneity (P = 0.01), GLCMcontrast (P < 0.01), GLCMentropy (P < 0.01) and GLCMdissimilarity (P < 0.01). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed a significant difference in reduced prognosis for GLCMentropy positive (P < 0.01). Stratification was performed based on the GLCMentropy cutoff value, determined using ROCs analysis, with smaller groups showing better OS.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite previous difficulties in predicting prognosis in patients with unknown primary origin, F-FDG PET/CT texture features may enable stratification of prognosis. This could be useful for appropriate patient selection and management and help identify a subset of patients with favourable outcomes. These novel findings may be helpful for prognostication and improving patient care.

Subregional Radiomics Analysis of PET/CT Imaging with Intratumor Partitioning: Application to Prognosis for Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

PURPOSE

This work aims to identify intratumoral habitats with distinct heterogeneity based on 2-deoxy-2-[¹⁸F]fluro-D-glucose positron emission tomography (PET)/X-ray computed tomography (CT) imaging, and to develop a subregional radiomics approach to predict progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).

PROCEDURES

In total, 128 NPC patients (85 vs. 43 for primary vs. validation cohorts) who underwent pre-treatment PET/CT scan were enrolled retrospectively. Each tumor was partitioned into several phenotypically consistent subregions based on individual- and population-level clustering. For each subregion, 202 radiomics features were extracted to construct imaging biomarker for prognosis via Cox's proportional hazard model combined with forward stepwise feature selection. Relevance of imaging biomarkers and clinicopathological factors were assessed by multivariate Cox regression analysis and Spearman's correlation analysis. To investigate whether imaging biomarkers could provide complementary prognosis information beyond existing predictors, a scoring system was further developed for risk stratification and compared with AJCC staging system.

RESULTS

Three subregions (denoted as S1, S2, and S3) were discovered with distinct PET/CT imaging characteristics in the two cohorts. The prognostic performance of imaging biomarker S3 outperformed the whole tumor (C-index, 0.69 vs. 0.58; log-rank test, p < 0.001 vs. p = 0.552). Imaging biomarker S3 and AJCC stage were identified as independent predictors (p = 0.011 and 0.042, respectively) after adjusting for clinicopathological factors. The scoring system outperformed the traditional AJCC staging system (log-rank test, p < 0.0001 vs. p = 0.0002 in primary cohort and p = 0.0021 vs. p = 0.0277 in validation cohort, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Subregional radiomics analysis of PET/CT imaging has the potential to predict PFS in patients with NPC, which also provides complementary prognostic information for traditional predictors.

Role of artificial intelligence in multidisciplinary imaging diagnosis of gastrointestinal diseases

The use of artificial intelligence-based tools is regarded as a promising approach to increase clinical efficiency in diagnostic imaging, improve the interpretability of results, and support decision-making for the detection and prevention of diseases. Radiology, endoscopy and pathology images are suitable for deep-learning analysis, potentially changing the way care is delivered in gastroenterology. The aim of this review is to examine the key aspects of different neural network architectures used for the evaluation of gastrointestinal conditions, by discussing how different models behave in critical tasks, such as lesion detection or characterization (i.e. the distinction between benign and malignant lesions of the esophagus, the stomach and the colon). To this end, we provide an overview on recent achievements and future prospects in deep learning methods applied to the analysis of radiology, endoscopy and histologic whole-slide images of the gastrointestinal tract.

Machine Learning and Radiomics Applications in Esophageal Cancers Using Non-Invasive Imaging Methods-A Critical Review of Literature

Esophageal cancer (EC) is of public health significance as one of the leading causes of cancer death worldwide. Accurate staging, treatment planning and prognostication in EC patients are of vital importance. Recent advances in machine learning (ML) techniques demonstrate their potential to provide novel quantitative imaging markers in medical imaging. Radiomics approaches that could quantify medical images into high-dimensional data have been shown to improve the imaging-based classification system in characterizing the heterogeneity of primary tumors and lymph nodes in EC patients. In this review, we aim to provide a comprehensive summary of the evidence of the most recent developments in ML application in imaging pertinent to EC patient care. According to the published results, ML models evaluating treatment response and lymph node metastasis achieve reliable predictions, ranging from acceptable to outstanding in their validation groups. Patients stratified by ML models in different risk groups have a significant or borderline significant difference in survival outcomes. Prospective large multi-center studies are suggested to improve the generalizability of ML techniques with standardized imaging protocols and harmonization between different centers.

A Systematic Review of PET Textural Analysis and Radiomics in Cancer

Background: Although many works have supported the utility of PET radiomics, several authors have raised concerns over the robustness and replicability of the results. This study aimed to perform a systematic review on the topic of PET radiomics and the used methodologies. Methods: PubMed was searched up to 15 October 2020. Original research articles based on human data specifying at least one tumor type and PET image were included, excluding those that apply only first-order statistics and those including fewer than 20 patients. Each publication, cancer type, objective and several methodological parameters (number of patients and features, validation approach, among other things) were extracted. Results: A total of 290 studies were included. Lung (28%) and head and neck (24%) were the most studied cancers. The most common objective was prognosis/treatment response (46%), followed by diagnosis/staging (21%), tumor characterization (18%) and technical evaluations (15%). The average number of patients included was 114 (median = 71; range 20–1419), and the average number of high-order features calculated per study was 31 (median = 26, range 1–286). Conclusions: PET radiomics is a promising field, but the number of patients in most publications is insufficient, and very few papers perform in-depth validations. The role of standardization initiatives will be crucial in the upcoming years.

Opportunities in cancer imaging: a review of oesophageal, gastric and colorectal malignancies

The incidence of gastrointestinal (GI) malignancy is increasing worldwide. In particular, there is a concerning rise in incidence of GI cancer in younger adults. Direct endoscopic visualisation of luminal tumour sites requires invasive procedures, which are associated with certain risks, but remain necessary because of limitations in current imaging techniques and the continuing need to obtain tissue for diagnosis and genetic analysis; however, management of GI cancer is increasingly reliant on non-invasive, radiological imaging to diagnose, stage, and treat these malignancies. Oesophageal, gastric, and colorectal malignancies require specialist investigation and treatment due to the complex nature of the anatomy, biology, and subsequent treatment strategies. As cancer imaging techniques develop, many opportunities to improve tumour detection, diagnostic accuracy and treatment monitoring present themselves. This review article aims to report current imaging practice, advances in various radiological modalities in relation to GI luminal tumour sites and describes opportunities for GI radiologists to improve patient outcomes.

Prediction of lymph node metastases using pre-treatment PET radiomics of the primary tumour in esophageal adenocarcinoma: an external validation study

OBJECTIVES

To improve clinical lymph node staging (cN-stage) in oesophageal adenocarcinoma by developing and externally validating three prediction models; one with clinical variables only, one with positron emission tomography (PET) radiomics only, and a combined clinical and radiomics model.

METHODS

Consecutive patients with fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) avid tumours treated with neoadjuvant therapy between 2010 and 2016 in two international centres (n = 130 and n = 60, respectively) were included. Four clinical variables (age, gender, clinical T-stage and tumour regression grade) and PET radiomics from the primary tumour were used for model development. Diagnostic accuracy, area under curve (AUC), discrimination and calibration were calculated for each model. The prognostic significance was also assessed.

RESULTS

The incidence of lymph node metastases was 58% in both cohorts. The areas under the curve of the clinical, radiomics and combined models were 0.79, 0.69 and 0.82 in the developmental cohort, and 0.65, 0.63 and 0.69 in the external validation cohort, with good calibration demonstrated. The area under the curve of current cN-stage in development and validation cohorts was 0.60 and 0.66, respectively. For overall survival, the combined clinical and radiomics model achieved the best discrimination performance in the external validation cohort (X² = 6.08, df = 1, p = 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Accurate diagnosis of lymph node metastases is crucial for prognosis and guiding treatment decisions. Despite finding improved predictive performance in the development cohort, the models using PET radiomics derived from the primary tumour were not fully replicated in an external validation cohort.

ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE

This international study attempted to externally validate a new prediction model for lymph node metastases using PET radiomics. A model combining clinical variables and PET radiomics improved discrimination of lymph node metastases, but these results were not externally replicated.

Machine learning-based FDG PET-CT radiomics for outcome prediction in larynx and hypopharynx squamous cell carcinoma

AIM

To determine whether machine learning-based radiomic feature analysis of baseline integrated 2-[¹⁸F]-fluoro-2-deoxy-d-glucose (FDG) positron-emission tomography (PET) computed tomography (CT) predicts disease progression in patients with locally advanced larynx and hypopharynx squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) receiving (chemo)radiotherapy.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients with larynx and hypopharynx SCC treated with definitive (chemo)radiotherapy at a specialist cancer centre undergoing pre-treatment PET-CT between 2008 and 2017 were included. Tumour segmentation and radiomic analysis was performed using LIFEx software (University of Paris-Saclay, France). Data were assigned into training (80%) and validation (20%) cohorts adhering to TRIPOD guidelines. A random forest classifier was created for four predictive models using features determined by recursive feature elimination: (A) PET, (B) CT, (C) clinical, and (D) combined PET-CT parameters. Model performance was assessed using area under the curve (AUC) receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.

RESULTS

Seventy-two patients (40 hypopharynx 32 larynx tumours) were included, mean age 61 (range 41-77) years, 50 (69%) were men. Forty-five (62.5%) had chemoradiotherapy, 27 (37.5%) had radiotherapy alone. Median follow-up 26 months (range 12-105 months). Twenty-seven (37.5%) patients progressed within 12 months. ROC AUC for models A, B, C, and D were 0.91, 0.94, 0.88, and 0.93 in training and 0.82, 0.72, 0.70, and 0.94 in validation cohorts. Parameters in model D were metabolic tumour volume (MTV), maximum CT value, minimum standardized uptake value (SUVmin), grey-level zone length matrix (GLZLM) small-zone low grey-level emphasis (SZLGE) and histogram kurtosis.

CONCLUSION

FDG PET-CT derived radiomic features are potential predictors of early disease progression in patients with locally advanced larynx and hypopharynx SCC.

Role of precision imaging in esophageal cancer

Esophageal cancer is a major cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Recent advancements in the management of esophageal cancer have allowed for earlier detection, improved ability to monitor progression, and superior treatment options. These innovations allow treatment teams to formulate more customized management plans and have led to an increase in patient survival rates. For example, in order for the most effective management plan to be constructed, accurate staging must be performed to determine tumor resectability. This article reviews the multimodality imaging approach involved in making a diagnosis, staging, evaluating treatment response and detecting recurrence in esophageal cancer.

Characterization of FDG PET Images Using Texture Analysis in Tumors of the Gastro-Intestinal Tract: A Review

Radiomics or textural feature extraction obtained from positron emission tomography (PET) images through complex mathematical models of the spatial relationship between multiple image voxels is currently emerging as a new tool for assessing intra-tumoral heterogeneity in medical imaging. In this paper, available literature on texture analysis using FDG PET imaging in patients suffering from tumors of the gastro-intestinal tract is reviewed. While texture analysis of FDG PET images appears clinically promising, due to the lack of technical specifications, a large variability in the implemented methodology used for texture analysis and lack of statistical robustness, at present, no firm conclusions can be drawn regarding the predictive or prognostic value of FDG PET texture analysis derived indices in patients suffering from gastro-enterologic tumors. In order to move forward in this field, a harmonized image acquisition and processing protocol as well as a harmonized protocol for texture analysis of tumor volumes, allowing multi-center studies excluding statistical biases should be considered. Furthermore, the complementary and additional value of CT-imaging, as part of the PET/CT imaging technique, warrants exploration.

Quantitative accuracy of radiomic features of low-dose 18F-FDG PET imaging

Background

¹⁸F-FDG PET based radiomics is promising for precision oncology imaging. This work aims to explore quantitative accuracies of radiomic features (RFs) for low-dose ¹⁸F-FDG PET imaging.

Methods

Twenty lung cancer patients were prospectively enrolled and underwent ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT scans. Low-dose PET situations (true counts: 20×10⁶, 15×10⁶, 10×10⁶, 7.5×10⁶, 5×10⁶, 2×10⁶, 1×10⁶, 0.5×10⁶, 0.25×10⁶) were simulated by randomly discarding counts from the acquired list-mode data. Each PET image was created using the scanner default reconstruction parameters. Each lesion volume of interest (VOI) was obtained via an adaptive contouring method with a threshold of 50% peak standardized uptake value (SUVpeak) in the PET images with full count data and VOIs were copied to the PET images at the reduced count level. Conventional SUV measures, features calculated from first-order statistics (FOS) and texture features (TFs) were calculated. Texture based RF include features calculated from gray-level co-occurrence matrix (GLCM), gray-level run length matrix (GLRLM), gray-level size zone matrix (GLSZM), neighboring gray-level dependence matrix (NGLDM) and neighbor gray-tone difference matrix (NGTDM). Bias percentage (BP) at different count levels for each RF was calculated.

Results

Fifty-seven lesions with a volume greater than 1.5 cm³ were found (mean volume, 25.7 cm³, volume range, 1.5–245.4 cm³). In comparison with normal total counts, mean SUV (SUVmean) in the lesions, normal lungs and livers, Entropy and sum entropy from GLCM, busyness from NGTDM and run-length non-uniformity from GLRLM were the most robust features, with a BP of 5% at the count level of 1×10⁶ (equivalent to an effective dose of 0.04 mSv) RF including cluster shade from GLCM, long-run low grey-level emphasis, high grey-level run emphasis and short-run low grey-level emphasis from GLRM exhibited the worst performance with 50% of bias with 20×10⁶ counts (equivalent to an effective dose of 0.8 mSv).

Conclusions

In terms of the lesions included in this study, SUVmean, entropy and sum entropy from GLCM, busyness from NGTDM and run-length non-uniformity from GLRLM were the least sensitive features to lowering count.

Added value of MRI to endoscopic and endosonographic response assessment after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in oesophageal cancer

OBJECTIVES

In order to select oesophageal cancer patients after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) for organ-preserving treatment instead of surgery, a high diagnostic accuracy is required. The aim of this study was to evaluate whether MRI had additional value to gastroscopy with biopsies and endosonographic ultrasound (EUS) with fine needle aspiration (FNA) for the detection of residual tumour after nCRT.

METHODS

Twenty-two patients with oesophageal cancer eligible for nCRT followed by oesophagectomy were prospectively included. All patients underwent (T2- and diffusion-weighted) MRI and gastroscopy+EUS before and after nCRT. Histopathology after oesophagectomy was the reference standard with pathological complete response (pCR) defined as ypT0N0. Diagnostic performance regarding the detection of residual tumour was calculated for gastroscopic biopsies and for EUS-FNA without and with MRI.

RESULTS

Nineteen of the 22 patients (86%) did not achieve pCR after nCRT (7 ypT+N+, 11 ypT+N0, 1 ypT0N+). Biopsies detected residual tumour in 6 of 18 ypT+ patients. After adding MRI, 16 of 18 residual tumours were assessed correctly. EUS-FNA detected 3 out of 8 ypN+ patients, while MRI did not improve detection. Overall, adding MRI improved sensitivity for detection of residual tumour to 89% (17 of 19) from 47% (9 of 19) with endoscopic biopsies and EUS-FNA only.

CONCLUSION

In this small study, the detection of residual tumour after nCRT in oesophageal cancer patients was improved by the addition of MRI to gastroscopy and EUS.

KEY POINTS

• In this small study, the detection of residual tumour after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in oesophageal cancer patients was improved by adding MRI including diffusion-weighted images to gastroscopy and endosonographic ultrasound. • With the addition of MRI assessment to gastroscopy and endosonographic ultrasound, the considerable risk of missing residual tumours decreased from 53 to 11%, while the pitfall was overstaging in one out of three complete responders.

Discovery of stable and prognostic CT-based radiomic features independent of contrast administration and dimensionality in oesophageal cancer

The aim of this work was to investigate radiomic analysis of contrast and non-contrast enhanced planning CT images of oesophageal cancer (OC) patients in terms of stability, dimensionality and contrast agent dependency. The prognostic significance of CT-based radiomic features was also evaluated. Different 2D and 3D radiomic features were extracted from contrast and non-contrast enhanced CT images of 213 patients from the multi-centre SCOPE1 randomised controlled trial (RCT) in OC. Feature stability was evaluated by randomly dividing patients into three groups and identifying textures with similar distributions among groups with a Kruskal-Wallis analysis. A paired two-sided Wilcoxon signed rank test was used to assess for significant differences in the remaining corresponding 2D and 3D stable features. A prognostic model was constructed using clinical characteristics and remaining filtered features. The discriminative ability of significant variables was tested using Kaplan-Meier analysis. A total of 238 2D and 3D radiomic features were computed from oesophageal CT images. More than 75 features were stable if extracted from homogeneous cohort (contrast or non-contrast enhanced CT images) and inhomogeneous cohort (contrast and non-contrast enhanced CT images). Among the remaining corresponding stable features computed from both cohorts, only 4 features did not show a statistically significant difference if obtained in 2D or in 3D (p-value < 0.05). A Cox regression model constructed using 5 clinical variables (age, sex, tumour, node and metastasis (TNM) stage, WHO performance status and contrast administration) and 4 radiomic variables (inverse varianceGLCM, large distance emphasisGLDZM, zone distance non uniformity normGLDZM, zone distance varianceGLDZM), identified one radiomic feature (zone distance varianceGLDZM) that was significantly associated with overall survival (p-value = 0.032, HR = 1.25, 95% CI = 1.02-1.52). A significant difference in overall survival between groups was found when considering a threshold of zone distance varianceGLDZM equals to 1.70 (X2 = 7.692, df = 1, p-value = 0.006). Zone distance varianceGLDZM was identified as the only stable CT radiomic feature statistically correlated with overall survival, independent of dimensionality and contrast administration. This feature was able to identify high-risk patients and if validated, could be the subject of a future clinical trial aiming to improve clinical decision making and personalise OC treatment.

Distributed radiomics as a signature validation study using the Personal Health Train infrastructure

Prediction modelling with radiomics is a rapidly developing research topic that requires access to vast amounts of imaging data. Methods that work on decentralized data are urgently needed, because of concerns about patient privacy. Previously published computed tomography medical image sets with gross tumour volume (GTV) outlines for non-small cell lung cancer have been updated with extended follow-up. In a previous study, these were referred to as Lung1 (n = 421) and Lung2 (n = 221). The Lung1 dataset is made publicly accessible via The Cancer Imaging Archive (TCIA; https://www.cancerimagingarchive.net). We performed a decentralized multi-centre study to develop a radiomic signature (hereafter “ZS2019”) in one institution and validated the performance in an independent institution, without the need for data exchange and compared this to an analysis where all data was centralized. The performance of ZS2019 for 2-year overall survival validated in distributed radiomics was not statistically different from the centralized validation (AUC 0.61 vs 0.61; p = 0.52). Although slightly different in terms of data and methods, no statistically significant difference in performance was observed between the new signature and previous work (c-index 0.58 vs 0.65; p = 0.37). Our objective was not the development of a new signature with the best performance, but to suggest an approach for distributed radiomics. Therefore, we used a similar method as an earlier study. We foresee that the Lung1 dataset can be further re-used for testing radiomic models and investigating feature reproducibility.

Assessing radiomic feature robustness to interpolation in 18F-FDG PET imaging

Radiomic studies link quantitative imaging features to patient outcomes in an effort to personalise treatment in oncology. To be clinically useful, a radiomic feature must be robust to image processing steps, which has made robustness testing a necessity for many technical aspects of feature extraction. We assessed the stability of radiomic features to interpolation processing and categorised features based on stable, systematic, or unstable responses. Here, ¹⁸F-fluorodeoxyglucose (¹⁸F-FDG) PET images for 441 oesophageal cancer patients (split: testing = 353, validation = 88) were resampled to 6 isotropic voxel sizes (1.5 mm, 1.8 mm, 2.0 mm, 2.2 mm, 2.5 mm, 2.7 mm) and 141 features were extracted from each volume of interest (VOI). Features were categorised into four groups with two statistical tests. Feature reliability was analysed using an intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) and patient ranking consistency was assessed using a Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient (ρ). We categorised 93 features robust and 6 limited robustness (stable responses), 34 potentially correctable (systematic responses), and 8 not robust (unstable responses). We developed a correction technique for features with potential systematic variation that used surface fits to link voxel size and percentage change in feature value. Twenty-nine potentially correctable features were re-categorised to robust for the validation dataset, after applying corrections defined by surface fits generated on the testing dataset. Furthermore, we found the choice of interpolation algorithm alone (spline vs trilinear) resulted in large variation in values for a number of features but the response categorisations remained constant. This study attempted to quantify the diverse response of radiomics features commonly found in ¹⁸F-FDG PET clinical modelling to isotropic voxel size interpolation.

Exploratory radiomic features from integrated 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/magnetic resonance imaging are associated with contemporaneous metastases in oesophageal/gastroesophageal cancer

PURPOSE

The purpose of this study was to determine if 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/magnetic resonance imaging (18F-FDG PET/MRI) features are associated with contemporaneous metastases in patients with oesophageal/gastroesophageal cancer.

METHODS

Following IRB approval and informed consent, patients underwent a staging PET/MRI following 18F-FDG injection (326 ± 28 MBq) and 156 ± 23 min uptake time. First-order histogram and second-order grey level co-occurrence matrix features were computed for PET standardized uptake value (SUV) and MRI T1-W, T2-W, diffusion weighted (DWI) and apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) images for the whole tumour volume. K-means clustering assessed the correlation of feature-pairs with metastases. Multivariate analysis of variance (MANOVA) was performed to assess the statistical separability of the groups identified by feature-pairs. Sensitivity (SN), specificity (SP), positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and accuracy (ACC) were calculated for these features and compared with SUVmax, ADCmean and maximum diameter alone for predicting contemporaneous metastases.

RESULTS

Twenty patients (18 males, 2 female; median 67 years, range 52-86) comprised the final study cohort; ten patients had metastases. Lower second-order SUV entropy combined with higher second-order ADC entropy were the best feature-pair for discriminating metastatic patients, MANOVA p value <0.001 (SN = 80%, SP = 80%, PPV = 80%, NPV = 80%, ACC = 80%). SUVmax (SN = 30%, SP = 80%, PPV = 60%, NPV = 53%, ACC = 55%), ADCmean (SN = 20%, SP = 70%, PPV = 40%, NPV = 47%, ACC = 45%) and tumour maximum diameter (SN = 10%, SP = 90%, PPV = 50%, NPV = 50%, ACC = 50%) had poorer sensitivity and accuracy.

CONCLUSION

High ADC entropy combined with low SUV entropy is associated with a higher prevalence of metastases and a promising initial signature for future study.

Radiomics in esophageal and gastric cancer

Esophageal, esophago-gastric, and gastric cancers are major causes of cancer morbidity and cancer death. For patients with potentially resectable disease, multi-modality treatment is recommended as it provides the best chance of survival. However, quality of life may be adversely affected by therapy, and with a wide variation in outcome despite multi-modality therapy, there is a clear need to improve patient stratification. Radiomic approaches provide an opportunity to improve tumor phenotyping. In this review we assess the evidence to date and discuss how these approaches could improve outcome in esophageal, esophago-gastric, and gastric cancer.

Prediction of response after chemoradiation for esophageal cancer using a combination of dosimetry and CT radiomics

PURPOSE

To investigate the treatment response prediction feasibility and accuracy of an integrated model combining computed tomography (CT) radiomic features and dosimetric parameters for patients with esophageal cancer (EC) who underwent concurrent chemoradiation (CRT) using machine learning.

METHODS

The radiomic features and dosimetric parameters of 94 EC patients were extracted and modeled using Support Vector Classification (SVM) and Extreme Gradient Boosting algorithm (XGBoost). The 94-sample dataset was randomly divided into a 70-sample training subset and a 24-sample independent test set while keeping the class proportions intact via stratification. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to assess the performance of models using radiomic features alone and using combined radiomic features and dosimetric parameters.

RESULTS

A total of 42 radiomic features and 18 dosimetric parameters plus the patients' characteristic parameters were extracted for these 94 cases (58 responders and 36 non-responders). XGBoost plus principal component analysis (PCA) achieved an accuracy and area under the curve of 0.708 and 0.541, respectively, for models with radiomic features combined with dosimetric parameters, and 0.689 and 0.479, respectively, for radiomic features alone. Image features of GlobalMean X.333.1, Coarseness, Skewness, and GlobalStd contributed most to the model. The dosimetric parameters of gross tumor volume (GTV) homogeneity index (HI), Cord Dmax, Prescription dose, Heart-Dmean, and Heart-V50 also had a strong contribution to the model.

CONCLUSIONS

The model with radiomic features combined with dosimetric parameters is promising and outperforms that with radiomic features alone in predicting the treatment response of patients with EC who underwent CRT.

KEY POINTS

• The model with radiomic features combined with dosimetric parameters is promising in predicting the treatment response of patients with EC who underwent CRT. • The model with radiomic features combined with dosimetric parameters (prediction accuracy of 0.708 and AUC of 0.689) outperforms that with radiomic features alone (best prediction accuracy of 0.625 and AUC of 0.412). • The image features of GlobalMean X.333.1, Coarseness, Skewness, and GlobalStd contributed most to the treatment response prediction model. The dosimetric parameters of GTV HI, Cord Dmax, Prescription dose, Heart-Dmean, and Heart-V50 also had a strong contribution to the model.

Texture analysis of computed tomography data using morphologic and metabolic delineation of esophageal cancer-relation to tumor type and neoadjuvant therapy response

The prognostic values of image-based tumor texture analysis based on computed tomography (CT) and of limiting the segmented tumor volume to metabolically active regions using fludeoxyglucose-positron emission tomography (FDG-PET) were studied in 25 patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma and 11 patients with squamous cell carcinoma. The aims of this study are to describe their CT-image-based texture characteristics before and after neoadjuvant therapy and to evaluate whether limiting the examined tumor volume to metabolically active regions detected with FDG-PET image data would further improve their value. Textural parameters (homogeneity, energy, entropy, contrast, and correlation) based on gray-level co-occurrence matrices (GLCM) were calculated for 3D volumes of segmented esophageal tumors before and after neoadjuvant chemotherapy or radiochemotherapy. Histopathological data after surgical resection and textural parameters before and after neoadjuvant treatment were compared using the Mann-Whitney U test. Significant differences in the textural parameters were observed between adenocarcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma for homogeneity, energy, inertia, and correlation. The use of contrast media during scanning resulted in significant differences in homogeneity, energy, entropy, and inertia for adenocarcinoma but not squamous cell carcinoma. There was also a significant difference in all textural parameters between pathological T status for ypT0-ypT2 and ypT3-ypT4 adenocarcinomas, but not in squamous cell carcinoma patients. No additional value was found from using PET image data to aid segmentation of CT images.

Novel imaging techniques in staging oesophageal cancer

The survival of oesophageal cancer is poor as most patients present with advanced disease. Radiological staging of oesophageal cancer is complex but is fundamental to clinical management. Accurate staging investigations are vitally important to guide treatment decisions and optimise patient outcomes. A combination of baseline computed tomography (CT), endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) and positron emission tomography (PET) are currently used for initial treatment decisions. The potential value of these imaging modalities to re-stage disease, monitor response and alter treatment is currently being investigated. This review presents an essential update on the accuracy of oesophageal cancer staging investigations, their use in re-staging after neo-adjuvant therapy and introduces evolving imaging techniques, including novel biomarkers that have clinical potential in oesophageal cancer.

External validation of a prognostic model incorporating quantitative PET image features in oesophageal cancer

AIM

Enhanced prognostic models are required to improve risk stratification of patients with oesophageal cancer so treatment decisions can be optimised. The primary aim was to externally validate a published prognostic model incorporating PET image features. Transferability of the model was compared using only clinical variables.

METHODS

This was a Transparent Reporting of a multivariate prediction model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) type 3 study. The model was validated against patients treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy according to the Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy plus surgery versus surgery alone for oesophageal or junctional cancer (CROSS) trial regimen using pre- and post-harmonised image features. The Kaplan-Meier method with log-rank significance tests assessed risk strata discrimination. A Cox proportional hazards model assessed model calibration. Primary outcome was overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

Between 2010 and 2015, 449 patients were included in the development (n = 302), internal validation (n = 101) and external validation (n = 46) cohorts. No statistically significant difference in OS between patient quartiles was demonstrated in prognostic models incorporating PET image features (X² = 1.42, df = 3, p = 0.70) or exclusively clinical variables (age, disease stage and treatment; X² = 1.19, df = 3, p = 0.75). The calibration slope β of both models was not significantly different from unity (p = 0.29 and 0.29, respectively). Risk groups defined using only clinical variables suggested differences in OS, although these were not statistically significant (X² = 0.71, df = 2, p = 0.70).

CONCLUSION

The prognostic model did not enable significant discrimination between the validation risk groups, but a second model with exclusively clinical variables suggested some transferable prognostic ability. PET harmonisation did not significantly change the results of model validation.

Tumour volume of resectable oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma measured with MRI correlates well with T category and lymphatic metastasis

OBJECTIVES

To determine association of gross tumour volume (GTV) of resectable oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) measured on T2-weighted imaging (T2WI), contrast-enhanced T1-weighted imaging (CE-T1WI) and diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) with T category and lymphatic metastasis (LM).

METHODS

Sixty oesophageal SCC patients underwent fat-suppressed T2WI, CE-T1WI and DWI with b values of 0, 500 and 800 s/mm2. GTV was measured on three sequences. Statistical analyses were performed to determine association of GTV with T category and LM.

RESULTS

Spearman's rank correlation analysis showed positive association of GTV with T category and LM (all p values < 0.01). Differences in GTV were found between T1 and T2 or T3 categories shown by Kruskal-Wallis H and one-way ANOVA tests, and between T1/T2 and T3 and between tumours with and without LM by Mann-Whitney U tests (all p values < 0.05). Receiver operating characteristic analyses showed cut-off GTVs of 5.795, 5.276 and 10.11 cm3 on CE-T1WI could better differentiate T1 from T2 categories, T1 from T3, and T1-2 from T3 than those of 7.066, 7.045 and 8.504 cm3 on T2WI, of 5.793, 6.609 and 6.989 cm3 on DWI with b value of 500 s/mm2, and of 4.156, 4.519 and 4.985 cm3 with b value of 800 s/mm2, respectively. Cut-off of 10.462 cm3 on DWI with b value of 500 s/mm2 could better identify LM than of 12.38, 8.793 and 9.600 cm3 on T2WI, CE-T1WI and DWI with b value of 800 s/mm2, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

GTVs on T2WI, CE-T1WI and DWI are associated with T category of and LM of oesophageal SCC.

KEY POINTS

• GTV is associated with T category and lymphatic metastasis of oesophageal SCC • GTV measured on contrast-enhanced T 1 -weighted imaging better identifies T category • GTV measured on DWI with b value of 500 s/mm 2 better identifies lymphatic metastasis.

Radiomics nomogram outperforms size criteria in discriminating lymph node metastasis in resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

To determine the value of radiomics in predicting lymph node (LN) metastasis in resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients.

METHODS

Data of 230 consecutive patients were retrospectively analyzed (154 in the training set and 76 in the test set). A total of 1576 radiomics features were extracted from arterial-phase CT images of the whole primary tumor. LASSO logistic regression was performed to choose the key features and construct a radiomics signature. A radiomics nomogram incorporating this signature was developed on the basis of multivariable analysis in the training set. Nomogram performance was determined and validated with respect to its discrimination, calibration and reclassification. Clinical usefulness was estimated by decision curve analysis.

RESULTS

The radiomics signature including five features was significantly associated with LN metastasis. The radiomics nomogram, which incorporated the signature and CT-reported LN status (i.e. size criteria), distinguished LN metastasis with an area under curve (AUC) of 0.758 in the training set, and performance was similar in the test set (AUC 0.773). Discrimination of the radiomics nomogram exceeded that of size criteria alone in both the training set (p <0.001) and the test set (p=0.005). Integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) and categorical net reclassification improvement (NRI) showed significant improvement in prognostic value when the radiomics signature was added to size criteria in the test set (IDI 17.3%; p<0.001; categorical NRI 52.3%; p<0.001). Decision curve analysis supported that the radiomics nomogram is superior to size criteria.

CONCLUSIONS

The radiomics nomogram provides individualized risk estimation of LN metastasis in ESCC patients and outperforms size criteria.

KEY POINTS

• A radiomics nomogram was built and validated to predict LN metastasis in resectable ESCC. • The radiomics nomogram outperformed size criteria. • Radiomics helps to unravel intratumor heterogeneity and can serve as a novel biomarker for determination of LN status in resectable ESCC.

Radiomics in Nuclear Medicine Applied to Radiation Therapy: Methods, Pitfalls, and Challenges

Radiomics is a recent area of research in precision medicine and is based on the extraction of a large variety of features from medical images. In the field of radiation oncology, comprehensive image analysis is crucial to personalization of treatments. A better characterization of local heterogeneity and the shape of the tumor, depicting individual cancer aggressiveness, could guide dose planning and suggest volumes in which a higher dose is needed for better tumor control. In addition, noninvasive imaging features that could predict treatment outcome from baseline scans could help the radiation oncologist to determine the best treatment strategies and to stratify patients as at low risk or high risk of recurrence. Nuclear medicine molecular imaging reflects information regarding biological processes in the tumor thanks to a wide range of radiotracers. Many studies involving ¹⁸F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography suggest an added value of radiomics compared with the use of conventional PET metrics such as standardized uptake value for both tumor diagnosis and prediction of recurrence or treatment outcome. However, these promising results should not hide technical difficulties that still currently prevent the approach from being widely studied or clinically used. These difficulties mostly pertain to the variability of the imaging features as a function of the acquisition device and protocol, the robustness of the models with respect to that variability, and the interpretation of the radiomic models. Addressing the impact of the variability in acquisition and reconstruction protocols is needed, as is harmonizing the radiomic feature calculation methods, to ensure the reproducibility of studies in a multicenter context and their implementation in a clinical workflow. In this review, we explain the potential impact of positron emission tomography radiomics for radiation therapy and underline the various aspects that need to be carefully addressed to make the most of this promising approach.

Evaluation of prognostic models developed using standardised image features from different PET automated segmentation methods

Background

Prognosis in oesophageal cancer (OC) is poor. The 5-year overall survival (OS) rate is approximately 15%. Personalised medicine is hoped to increase the 5- and 10-year OS rates. Quantitative analysis of PET is gaining substantial interest in prognostic research but requires the accurate definition of the metabolic tumour volume. This study compares prognostic models developed in the same patient cohort using individual PET segmentation algorithms and assesses the impact on patient risk stratification.

Consecutive patients (n = 427) with biopsy-proven OC were included in final analysis. All patients were staged with PET/CT between September 2010 and July 2016. Nine automatic PET segmentation methods were studied. All tumour contours were subjectively analysed for accuracy, and segmentation methods with < 90% accuracy were excluded. Standardised image features were calculated, and a series of prognostic models were developed using identical clinical data. The proportion of patients changing risk classification group were calculated.

Results

Out of nine PET segmentation methods studied, clustering means (KM2), general clustering means (GCM3), adaptive thresholding (AT) and watershed thresholding (WT) methods were included for analysis. Known clinical prognostic factors (age, treatment and staging) were significant in all of the developed prognostic models. AT and KM2 segmentation methods developed identical prognostic models. Patient risk stratification was dependent on the segmentation method used to develop the prognostic model with up to 73 patients (17.1%) changing risk stratification group.

Conclusion

Prognostic models incorporating quantitative image features are dependent on the method used to delineate the primary tumour. This has a subsequent effect on risk stratification, with patients changing groups depending on the image segmentation method used.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s13550-018-0379-3) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.