Clinical and pathological features of patients with biliary atresia who survived for more than 5 years with native liver

Identification of Early Clinical and Histological Factors Predictive of Kasai Portoenterostomy Failure

Background: It is impossible to predict which patients with biliary atresia (BA) will fail after Kasai portoenterostomy (KPE). We evaluated the predictive nature of pre-KPE clinical and histological factors on transplant-free survival (TFS) and jaundice clearance. Methods: A retrospective review of patients who received a KPE at our institution (1997−2018) was performed. Primary outcomes were two-year TFS, five-year TFS, and jaundice clearance 3 months after KPE. p < 0.05 was considered significant. Results: Fifty-four patients were included in this study. The two-year TFS was 35.1%, five-year TFS was 24.5%, and 37% patients reached a direct bilirubin (DB) ≤ 2.0 mg/dL 3 months post KPE. The median age at biopsy was younger in the five-year TFS (39.0 (24.5−55.5) vs. 56.0 days (51.0−67.0), p = 0.011). Patients with DB ≤ 1.0 mg/dL 3 months after KPE were statistically younger at biopsy (DB ≤ 1.0 44.0 (26.0−56.0) vs. DB > 1.0 56.0 days (51.0−69.0), p = 0.016). Ductal plate malformation was less frequent in the five-year TFS (16/17, 94.1%, vs. 1/17, 5.9%, p = 0.037). Portal fibrosis (19/23, 82.6%, vs. 4/23, 17.4%, p = 0.028) and acute cholangitis (6/7, 85.7%, vs. 1/7, 14.3%, p = 0.047) occurred less frequently in two-year TFS. Conclusion: Older age at biopsy, acute cholangitis, portal fibrosis, and ductal plate malformation were associated with lower native liver survival. Evaluation in a larger study population is needed to validate these results.

The favorable prognosis of cystic biliary atresia may be related to early surgery and mild liver pathological changes

OBJECTIVE

The objectives of this study is to compare the prognostic differences between cystic biliary atresia (CBA) and non-CBA, analyze the clinical and liver pathological differences between the two groups, and explore the possible factors that affect the native liver survival of infants with CBA after Kasai portoenterostomy (KPE).

METHODS

From 2013 to 2020, 131 infants with BA were admitted to Tianjin Children's Hospital. A total of 108 infants with BA were included after excluding those who did not undergo surgery after diagnosis (n = 23), including 12 cases of CBA and 96 cases of non-CBA. The clinical data, native liver survival and liver pathology, including liver fibrosis, bile ductular proliferation (BDP), bile plug, and portal area inflammation infiltration of the two study groups were compared.

RESULTS

CBA accounts for 9.16% (12/131) and type I CBA accounts for 6.87% (9/131) of all types of BA. 16.7% (2/12) of CBA were detected prenatally with diagnosis of choledochal cyst (CC). The age at KPE, total bilirubin, direct bilirubin, and total bile acid levels of CBA were significantly lower than those of non-CBA (P = 0.047, P = 0.013, P = 0.009, P = 0.010, respectively). The long and wide diameters of the gallbladder were significantly larger than those of non-CBA (both P < 0.001). The 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival rates of CBA were 83.3%, 71.4%, and 71.4%, respectively, and 56.5%, 32.5%, and 29.8%, respectively, in non-CBA. The difference between the two groups was statistically significant (P = 0.031). The degree of liver fibrosis and bile plug in non-CBA was higher than that of CBA (P = 0.004, P < 0.001, respectively). There was no difference of BDP and inflammation infiltration between the two groups (P = 0.285, P = 0.243, respectively).

CONCLUSION

CBA is a distinct type different from non-CBA, with different pathological processes, pathological manifestations, and clinical prognosis. The favorable prognosis of CBA may be derived from the early diagnosis, early operation, and mild pathological changes.

A Novel Model for Predicting the Clearance of Jaundice in Patients With Biliary Atresia After Kasai Procedure

BACKGROUND

The failed clearance of jaundice (CJ) in patients with biliary atresia (BA) after the Kasai procedure (KP) often leads to a shorter native liver survival (NLS) time and earlier liver transplantation. We aimed to investigate risk factors of failed CJ and establish a novel nomogram model to predict the status of CJ.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed institutional medical records from January 2015 to April 2020 and enrolled BA patients post-KP, randomly divided into training and testing cohorts at a ratio of 7:3, and further subdivided into cleared and uncleared jaundice groups. Univariate and multiple logistic regression analyses were used to select risk factors to establish the nomogram in the training cohort. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated by calculating the areas under the receiver operating curve (AUC) in both cohorts.

RESULTS

This study included 175 BA patients post-KP. After univariate and multiple logistic regression analyses, Cytomegalovirus IgM +ve associated BA (OR = 3.38; 95% CI 1.01-11.32; P = 0.04), ln γ-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT) (OR = 0.41; 95% CI 0.22-0.80; P = 0.009), thickness of the fibrous portal plate (OR = 0.45; 95% CI 0.27-0.76; P = 0.003), liver stiffness measurement (LSM) (OR = 1.19; 95% CI 1.06-1.34; P = 0.002), and multiple episodes of cholangitis (OR = 1.65; 95% CI 1.13-2.41; P = 0.01) were identified as independent risk factors of unsuccessful CJ to construct the nomogram. The receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis suggested good nomogram performance in both the training (AUC = 0.96) and testing cohorts (AUC = 0.91).

CONCLUSION

Our nomogram model including several risk factors effectively predicts CJ in patients post-KP, which could aid in clinical decision-making.

Low gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase levels at presentation are associated with severity of liver illness and poor outcome in biliary atresia

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the clinical features and prognosis of biliary atresia (BA) with normal or minimally elevated gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT).

METHODS

The clinical data of patients with BA in our hospital between 2012 and 2017 were retrospectively studied. The patients were divided into a low-GGT group (GGT ≤ 300 IU/L) and a high-GGT group (GGT > 300 IU/L) according to the preoperative GGT level. The perioperative clinical parameters, the postoperative jaundice clearance within 6 months, and the 2-year native liver survival were compared among the groups.

RESULTS

A total of 1,998 children were included in this study, namely, 496 in the low-GGT group and 1,502 in the high-GGT group. The ages and weights at the surgery in the low-GGT group were significantly lower than those in the high-GGT group (64.71 ± 21.35 vs. 68.64 ± 22.42 days, P = 0.001; 4.67 ± 1.03 vs. 4.89 ± 0.98 kg, P < 0.001). The levels of serum ALP, ALT, and AST in the low-GGT group were significantly higher than those in the high-GGT group before and 2 weeks after the surgery (ALP: 647.52 ± 244.10 vs. 594.14 ± 228.33 U/L, P < 0.001; ALT: 119.62 ± 97.14 vs. 96.01 ± 66.28 U/L, P < 0.001; AST: 218.00 ± 173.82 vs. 160.71 ± 96.32 U/L; P < 0.001). The INR of the low-GGT group was higher than that of the high-GGT group (1.05 ± 0.34 vs. 0.98 ± 0.20, P < 0.001), while FIB was lower than the high-GGT group (2.54 ± 0.67 vs. 2.73 ± 1.44 g/L; P = 0.006). The decreasing amplitude of TB and DB within 2 weeks after surgery in the low-GGT group was smaller than those in the high-GGT group (TB: 51.62 ± 71.22 vs. 61.67 ± 53.99 μmol/L, P = 0.003; DB: 33.22 ± 35.57 vs. 40.20 ± 35.93 μmol/L, P < 0.001). The jaundice clearance rate in the low-GGT group was significantly lower than that in the high-GGT group at 1, 3, and 6 months after surgery (17.70 vs. 26.05%; 35.17 vs. 48.58%; 38.62 vs. 54.64%, P < 0.001). In addition, the 2-year native liver survival rate in the low-GGT group was significantly lower than that of the high-GGT group (52.5 vs. 66.3%, P < 0.001 HR 1.80, 95% CI 1.38-2.33).

CONCLUSION

Compared to patients with high GGT, patients with normal or minimally elevated pre-operative GGT in BA were found to have poorer pre-operative liver function parameters, and post-operatively had lower jaundice clearance rates and worse 2-year native liver survival. This suggests a lower GGT at presentation in biliary atresia could be a sign of more severe liver injury.

2D shear wave elastography combined with age and serum biomarkers prior to kasai surgery predicts native liver survival of biliary atresia infants

BACKGROUND

The prognosis of patients with biliary atresia (BA) after Kasai portoenterostomy (KPE) varies, and precisely predicting the outcomes of KPE before surgery is still challenging.

METHODS

A total of 158 patients who underwent KPE in our hospital were included in this study. The patients in the training cohort were recruited from January 2012 to October 2017 (n = 118), and then, those in the validation cohort were recruited from November 2017 to April 2019 (n = 40). Combined nomogram models were developed based on two-dimensional shear wave elastography (2D SWE) values and other biomarkers. The utility of the proposed models was evaluated by C-index.

RESULTS

2D SWE played a potentially important role in predicting native liver survival (NLS) of BA patients with a C-index of 0.69 (0.63 to 0.75) in the training cohort and 0.76 (0.67 to 0.85) in the validation cohort. The nomogram A based on 2D SWE values, age, gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT) and aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio (APRI) had a better C-index in the training cohort [0.74 (0.68-0.80) vs. 0.66 (0.60-0.73), P = 0.017] and in the validation cohort [0.78 (0.70-0.86) vs. 0.60 (0.49-0.71), P = 0.002] than the nomogram B (without 2D SWE). Using risk score developed from nomogram A, we successfully predicted 88.0% (22/25) of patients in the training cohort and 75.0% (9/12) in the validation cohort to have survival time of less than 12 months after KPE.

CONCLUSION

The combined nomogram model based on 2D SWE values, age, GGT and APRI prior to KPE can effectively predict NLS in BA infants.

Five-year native liver survival analysis in biliary atresia from a single large Chinese center: The death/liver transplantation hazard change and the importance of rapid early clearance of jaundice

PURPOSE

This study aimed to analyze the change of death/liver transplantation hazard and biochemical indexes over time after Kasai procedure (KP) based on a retrospective biliary atresia (BA) cohort, and to evaluate the predictive value of early jaundice clearance rate to 5-year native liver survival (NLS).

METHODS

A retrospective cohort with follow-up results of 139 BA patients from January 2009 to December 2012 was established, and the pre- and postoperative data were collected. NLS rates were estimated with Kaplan-Meier curves, and any differences between groups were tested by log-rank test. Hazard curve of death/liver transplantation was fitted with Weibull distribution, and hazards at certain time points were calculated. Trend charts of biochemical indexes were drawn to show any changes over time. Rate of jaundice clearance was indicated as the proportion of decreased total bilirubin level at a certain postoperative time point to preoperative total bilirubin level. In multivariate analysis for prediction of 5-year NLS, COX proportional hazard regression model was used and results were expressed as hazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). The predictive value of early jaundice clearance rates for 5-year NLS was analyzed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and a cut-off value of 4-week jaundice clearance rate was determined.

RESULTS

The estimated 5-year NLS rate of the 139 patients was 58.0%. The patients had a high hazard of death/liver transplantation early after KP, which gradually decreased and stabilized at a lower level 1 year later. Most death/liver transplantation events occurred within 1 year after KP. The total bilirubin (TBIL), direct bilirubin (DBIL) and total bile acid (TBA) levels of successful Kasai group decreased continuously after KP, and the biggest decline was seen in the first month. The aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and γ-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT) levels increased during the first month after KP and decreased continuously thereafter. All the biochemical indexes of successful Kasai group tended to stabilize within/close to normal range 1 year after KP. On the contrary, all the biochemical indexes of failed Kasai group fluctuated at obvious abnormal levels after KP. The estimated 5-year NLS rates of successful Kasai group and failed Kasai group were 90.1% and 10.7% (p = 0.000). The most significant clinical protective factor of 5-year NLS was 4-week jaundice clearance rate, revealed by COX proportional hazard regression model, and the HR was 0.089 (95%CI 0.018-0.432, p = 0.003). In predicting 5-year native liver survival, the largest area under ROC (AUROC) curve belonged to 4-week jaundice clearance rate, which was 0.731 (p = 0.000). A cut-off value of 0.457 was determined, with sensitivity 0.827, specificity 0.552, positive predictive value 0.720, and negative predictive value 0.696. NLS rates of patients divided by cut-off value showed significant statistical difference demonstrated by Kaplan-Meier curve and log-rank test (p = 0.000).

CONCLUSIONS

The 5-year death/liver transplantation hazard of biliary atresia patients reduces greatly and stabilizes 1 year after KP. A successful KP enables patients to achieve long-term stable normal biochemical indexes. A rapid clearance of jaundice is of great positive significance to 5-year NLS, and the 4-week jaundice clearance rate is of some predictive value.

TYPE OF STUDY

Prognosis study.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level II, retrospective study.