Neonatal independent predictors of severe NEC

A time series algorithm to predict surgery in neonatal necrotizing enterocolitis

BACKGROUND

Determining the optimal timing of surgical intervention for Neonatal necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) poses significant challenges. This study develops a predictive model using the long short-term memory network (LSTM) with a focal loss (FL) to identify infants at risk of developing Bell IIB + NEC early and issue timely surgical warnings.

METHODS

Data from 791 neonates diagnosed with NEC are gathered from the Neonatal Intensive Care Unit (NICU), encompassing 35 selected features. Infants are categorized into those requiring surgical intervention (n = 257) and those managed medically (n = 534) based on the Mod-Bell criteria. A fivefold cross-validation approach is employed for training and testing. The LSTM algorithm is utilized to capture and utilize temporal relationships in the dataset, with FL employed as a loss function to address class imbalance. Model performance metrics include precision, recall, F1 score, and average precision (AP).

RESULTS

The model tested on a real dataset demonstrated high performance. Predicting surgical risk 1 day in advance achieved precision (0.913 ± 0.034), recall (0.841 ± 0.053), F1 score (0.874 ± 0.029), and AP (0.917 ± 0.025). The 2-days-in-advance predictions yielded (0.905 ± 0.036), recall (0.815 ± 0.057), F1 score (0.857 ± 0.035), and AP (0.905 ± 0.029).

CONCLUSION

The LSTM model with FL exhibits high precision and recall in forecasting the need for surgical intervention 1 or 2 days ahead. This predictive capability holds promise for enhancing infants' outcomes by facilitating timely clinical decisions.

Value of portal venous gas and a nomogram for predicting severe neonatal necrotizing enterocolitis

BACKGROUND

Whether portal venous gas (PVG) is a sign of severe neonatal necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) and predicts poor prognosis remains uncertain.

METHODS

Patients from two centres were randomly assigned to a training set or a validation set. A nomogram model for predicting severe NEC was developed on the basis of the independent risk factors selected by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis and multivariate logistic regression analysis. The model was evaluated based on the area under the curve (AUC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

A total of 585 patients met the study criteria, and propensity score matching resulted in 141 matched pairs for further analysis. Patients with PVG had a greater risk of surgical intervention or death compared with patients without PVG. A prediction model for severe NEC was established based on PVG, invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV), serum platelet count (PLT) and pH <7.35 at the onset of NEC. The model had a moderate predictive value with an AUC > 0.8. The calibration curve and DCA suggested that the nomogram model had good performance for clinical application.

CONCLUSION

A prediction nomogram model based on PVG and other risk factors can help physicians identify severe NEC early and develop reasonable treatment plans.

IMPACT

PVG is an important and common imaging manifestation of NEC. Controversy exists regarding whether PVG is an indication for surgical intervention and predicts poor prognosis. Our study suggested that patients with PVG had a greater risk of surgical intervention or death compared with patients without PVG. PVG, IMV, PLT and pH <7.35 at the onset of NEC are independent risk factors for severe NEC. A prediction nomogram model based on PVG and other risk factors may help physicians identify severe NEC early and develop reasonable treatment plans.

Influencing factors for surgical treatment in neonatal necrotizing enterocolitis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) is a complex disease characterized by gastrointestinal inflammation and is one of the most common gastrointestinal emergencies in neonates. Mild to moderate cases of NEC require medical treatment, whereas severe cases necessitate surgical intervention. However, evidence for surgical indications is limited and largely dependent on the surgeon's experience, leading to variability in outcomes. The primary aim of this study is to identify the risk factors for surgical intervention in neonatal NEC, which will aid in predicting the optimal timing for surgical intervention.

METHODS

A literature search was conducted in PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science databases for case-control studies exploring risk factors for NEC requiring surgical intervention. The search was completed on June 16, 2024, and data analysis was performed using R Studio 4.3.2.

RESULTS

18 studies were included, comprising 1,104 cases in the surgery group and 1,686 in the medical treatment group. The meta-analysis indicated that high C-reactive protein (CRP) levels [OR = 1.42, 95% CI (1.01, 1.99)], lower gestational age [OR = 0.52, 95% CI (0.3, 0.91)], sepsis [OR = 2.94, 95% CI (1.87, 4.60)], coagulation disorder [OR = 3.45, 95% CI (1.81, 6.58)], lack of enteral feeding [OR = 3.18, 95% CI (1.37, 7.35)], and hyponatremia [OR = 1.22, 95% CI (1.07, 1.39)] are significant risk factors for surgical treatment in neonatal NEC.

CONCLUSIONS

High CRP levels, coagulation disorders, sepsis, lower gestational age, lack of enteral feeding, and hyponatremia are significant risk factors for surgical intervention in neonatal NEC. These findings have potential clinical significance for predicting surgical risk.

Identification of near-infrared characteristic bands of small bowel necrosis based on cellwise detection algorithm

The near-infrared spectroscopy is often used to distinguish small bowel necrosis due to necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC). The characteristic bands of small bowel necrosis, as an important basis for evaluating the confidence of the differentiation results, are challenging to identify quickly. In this study, we proposed to identify characteristic bands of lesion samples based on hyperspectral imaging (HSI) and cellwise outlier detection. Rabbits were used as an animal model to simulate the clinical symptoms of NEC. The rabbits were detected at intervals of 10, 30, 60, and 90 min. The characteristic bands were identified within the same rabbit, between different rabbits and at different times. The result showed the bands near 763 nm, corresponding to the absorption peak of deoxyhemoglobin, were the characteristic bands separating samples with NEC. The identification result was plausible because hypoxia was the main cause of NEC. The method was easy to perform.

Neurodevelopmental impairment following surgical necrotizing enterocolitis with gestational age ≥ 28 weeks: who is at risk?

PURPOSE

Surgical necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) is a severe medical condition that, even after surgery, a portion of the survival infants may still have neurological sequelae. The objective of this study was to identify the risk factors associated with the development of permanent neurodevelopmental impairment (NDI) in neonates with surgical NEC.

METHODS

Between January 2016 and June 2022, a retrospective data collection was conducted on 98 individuals who experienced surgical NEC with gestational age ≥ 28 weeks. Among these patients, 27 patients were diagnosed with NDI, while the remaining 71 patients did not have NDI. Based on this division, the patients were categorized into the NDI group and the Non-NDI group. Demographics, comorbidities, and admission lab results were analyzed using univariate and logistic regression analyses.

RESULTS

Of the 98 neonates following surgical NEC, 27(27.6%) developed permanent neurodevelopmental impairment (NDI). Predictors of NDI were identified through the final multivariable logistic regression analysis, which revealed that gestational age ≤ 32 weeks (p = 0.032; odds ratio [OR], 5.673), assisted mechanical ventilation after NEC onset (p = 0.047; OR, 5.299), postoperative acute kidney injury (p = 0.040; OR, 5.106), CRP day 3 after NEC onset (p = 0.049; OR, 1.037), time from presentation to surgery (p = 0.003; OR, 1.047) were significant risk factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study identified gestational age ≤ 32 weeks, assisted mechanical ventilation after NEC onset, postoperative acute kidney injury, CRP day 3 after NEC onset, and time from presentation to surgery as significant risk factors for NDI in neonates with surgical NEC. These factors would be helpful to refine treatment modalities for better disease outcomes. We also determined the cut-off values of CRP day 3 after NEC onset and time from presentation to surgery, allowing for the individualized evaluation of NDI risk and the implementation of earlier targeted laparotomy.

Novel scoring system for early diagnosis of necrotizing enterocolitis: integrating clinical and laboratory data with urinary caveolin-1 levels

Introduction

Necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) poses a significant threat to preterm infants, with nonspecific early manifestations complicating timely diagnosis. Therefore, this study aimed to develop a novel scoring system for early diagnosis of NEC, incorporating clinical and laboratory data with urinary caveolin-1 levels.

Material and methods

A single-center prospective cohort study was conducted at a tertiary hospital in East Java, Indonesia. NEC diagnosis was established by Bell's criteria and proven gut dysbiosis. Urinary levels of claudin-2, caveolin-1, and epidermal growth factor (EGF) were assessed as potential indicators of tight junction disruption. The selected urine biomarker cutoff value was determined using symbolic classification analysis and combined with clinical and laboratory parameters from Bell's criteria to create an NEC scoring system, validated with the Aiken index. Sensitivity and specificity analyses were performed.

Results

Thirty-four neonates, comprising NEC, preterm non-NEC, and term infants, were included. qPCR analysis highlighted elevated Klebsiella, Lactobacillus, Clostridium, and Bacteroides levels in NEC patients, indicating a gut dysbiosis trend. Among 3 biomarkers, caveolin-1 ≥ 17.81 ng/dl on day 3 demonstrated 72.86% negative predictive value and 87.50% positive predictive value. The combined scoring system which comprised abdominal cellulitis, distension, radiology, advanced resuscitation at birth, prematurity or low birthweight, platelet count, sepsis, orogastric retention, metabolic acidosis and caveolin-1 findings exhibited an AUC of 0.922 (95% CI: 0.81-1.00, p < 0.001), with ≥ 1.81 as the cutoff, offering 93% sensitivity and 94% specificity.

Conclusions

Urine caveolin-1 on day 3 signifies enterocyte tight junction damage and the acute phase of NEC in premature infants. The proposed scoring system demonstrates good performance in predicting NEC incidence in preterm infants.

Laparotomy versus Peritoneal Drainage as Primary Treatment for Surgical Necrotizing Enterocolitis or Spontaneous Intestinal Perforation in Preterm Neonates: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

AIM

to systematically review and meta-analyze the impact on morbidity and mortality of peritoneal drainage (PD) compared to laparotomy (LAP) in preterm neonates with surgical NEC (sNEC) or spontaneous intestinal perforation (SIP).

METHODS

Medical databases were searched until June 2022 for studies comparing PD and LAP as primary surgical treatment of preterm neonates with sNEC or SIP. The primary outcome was survival during hospitalization; predefined secondary outcomes included need for parenteral nutrition at 90 days, time to reach full enteral feeds, need for subsequent laparotomy, duration of hospitalization and complications.

RESULTS

Three RCTs (N = 493) and 49 observational studies (N = 19,447) were included. No differences were found in the primary outcome for RCTs, but pooled observational data showed that, compared to LAP, infants with sNEC/SIP who underwent PD had lower survival [48 studies; N = 19,416; RR 0.85; 95% CI 0.79-0.90; GRADE: low]. Observational studies also showed that the subgroup of infants with sNEC had increased survival in the LAP group (30 studies; N = 9370; RR = 0.82; 95% CI 0.72-0.91; GRADE: low).

CONCLUSIONS

Compared to LAP, PD as primary surgical treatment for sNEC or SIP has similar survival rates when analyzing data from RCTs. PD was associated with lower survival rates in observational studies.

A Nomogram for Predicting Surgical Timing in Neonates with Necrotizing Enterocolitis

OBJECTIVE

To explore the surgical risk variables in patients with necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) and develop a nomogram model for predicting the surgical intervention timing of NEC.

METHODS

Infants diagnosed with NEC were enrolled in our study. We gathered information from clinical data, laboratory examinations, and radiological manifestations. Using LASSO (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator) regression analysis and multivariate logistic regression analysis, a clinical prediction model based on the logistic nomogram was developed. The performance of the nomogram model was evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

A surgical intervention risk nomogram based on hypothermia, absent bowel sounds, WBC > 20 × 10⁹/L or < 5 × 10⁹/L, CRP > 50 mg/L, pneumatosis intestinalis, and ascites was practical, had a moderate predictive value (AUC > 0.8), improved calibration, and enhanced clinical benefit.

CONCLUSIONS

This simple and reliable clinical prediction nomogram model can help physicians evaluate children with NEC in a fast and effective manner, enabling the early identification and diagnosis of children at risk for surgery. It offers clinical revolutionary value for the development of medical or surgical treatment plans for children with NEC.

Noninvasive Fecal Cytokine and Microbiota Profiles Predict Commencement of Necrotizing Enterocolitis in a Proof-of-Concept Study

Background and Aims

Necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) is a life-threatening disease and the most common gastrointestinal emergency in premature infants. Accurate early diagnosis is challenging. Modified Bell's staging is routinely used to guide diagnosis, but early diagnostic signs are nonspecific, potentially leading to unobserved disease progression, which is problematic given the often rapid deterioration observed. We investigated fecal cytokine levels, coupled with gut microbiota profiles, as a noninvasive method to discover specific NEC-associated signatures that can be applied as potential diagnostic markers.

Methods

Premature babies born below 32 weeks of gestation were admitted to the 2-site neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) of Imperial College hospitals (St. Mary's or Queen Charlotte's & Chelsea) between January 2011 and December 2012. During the NICU stay, expert neonatologists grouped individuals by modified Bell's staging (healthy, NEC1, NEC2/3) and fecal samples from diapers were collected consecutively. Microbiota profiles were assessed by 16S rRNA gene amplicon sequencing and cytokine concentrations were measured by V-Plex multiplex assays.

Results

Early evaluation of microbiota profiles revealed only minor differences. However, at later time points, significant changes in microbiota composition were observed for Bacillota (adj. P = .0396), with Enterococcus being the least abundant in Bell stage 2/3 NEC. Evaluation of fecal cytokine levels revealed significantly higher concentrations of IL-1α (P = .045), IL-5 (P = .0074), and IL-10 (P = .032) in Bell stage 1 NEC compared to healthy individuals.

Conclusion

Differences in certain fecal cytokine profiles in patients with NEC indicate their potential use as diagnostic biomarkers to facilitate earlier diagnosis. Additionally, associations between microbial and cytokine profiles contribute to improving knowledge about NEC pathogenesis.

[Value of intestinal regional oxygen saturation and C-reactive protein in the diagnosis of necrotizing enterocolitis in preterm infants]

OBJECTIVES

To study the clinical value of intestinal regional oxygen saturation (rSO₂) and C-reactive protein (CRP) in the diagnosis of necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) in preterm infants.

METHODS

A prospective observational study was conducted among the preterm infants who were hospitalized in Children's Hospital Affiliated to Anhui Medical University, from October 2020 to December 2021, with 22 infants in the NEC group and 35 infants in the non-NEC group. Intestinal rSO₂ was monitored 24 hours after a confirmed diagnosis of NEC in the NEC group, and serum CRP levels were measured before anti-infection therapy. In the non-NEC group, intestinal rSO₂ monitoring and serum CRP level measurement were performed at the corrospording time points. The two groups were compared in terms of intestinal rSO₂ and serum CRP level. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to analyze the value of intestinal rSO₂ alone, serum CRP alone, and intestinal rSO₂ combined with CRP in the diagnosis of NEC in preterm infants.

RESULTS

Compared with the non-NEC group, the NEC group had a significantly lower level of intestinal rSO₂ (P<0.05) and a higher serum CRP level (P<0.05). The ROC curve analysis showed that intestinal rSO₂ had an optimal cut-off value of 50.75% in the diagnosis of NEC in preterm infants, with a sensitivity of 81.8%, a specificity of 85.7%, and an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 89.4%; CRP had an optimal cut-off value of 12.05 mg/L in the diagnosis of NEC in preterm infant, with a sensitivity of 72.7%, a specificity of 74.3%, and an AUC of 74.8%; intestinal rSO₂ combined with CRP had a sensitivity of 90.9%, a specificity of 77.1%, and an AUC of 91.9% in the diagnosis of NEC. The AUC of intestinal rSO₂ alone in the diagnosis NEC was higher than that of CRP (P<0.05). There was no significant difference in the AUC between intestinal rSO₂ alone and intestinal rSO₂ combined with CRP (P>0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The value of intestinal rSO₂ in the diagnosis NEC is higher than that of CRP, and is equivalent to that of the combination of intestinal rSO₂ and CRP in preterm infants.

Association between prognostic factors and the clinical deterioration of preterm neonates with necrotizing enterocolitis

Necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) is responsible for most morbidity and mortality in neonates. Early recognition of the clinical deterioration in newborns with NEC is essential to enhance the referral and management and potentially improve the outcomes. Here, we aimed to identify the prognostic factors and associate them with the clinical deterioration of preterm neonates with NEC. We analyzed the medical records of neonates with NEC admitted to our hospital from 2016 to 2021. We ascertained 214 neonates with NEC. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and cut-off level of age at onset, C-reactive protein (CRP), leukocyte count, and platelet count for the clinical deterioration of preterm neonates with NEC was 0.644 and 10.5 days old, 0.694 and 4.5 mg/L, 0.513 and 12,200/mm³, and 0.418 and 79,500/mm³, respectively. Late-onset, history of blood transfusion, thrombocytopenia, and elevated CRP were significantly associated with the clinical deterioration of neonates with NEC (p =  < 0.001, 0.017, 0.001, and < 0.001, respectively), while leukocytosis, gestational age, and birth weight were not (p = 0.073, 0.274, and 0.637, respectively). Multivariate analysis revealed that late-onset and elevated CRP were strongly associated with the clinical deterioration of neonates with NEC, with an odds ratio of 3.25 (95% CI = 1.49-7.09; p = 0.003) and 3.53 (95% CI = 1.57-7.95; p = 0.002), respectively. We reveal that late-onset and elevated CRP are the independent prognostic factor for the clinical deterioration of preterm neonates with NEC. Our findings suggest that we should closely monitor preterm neonates with NEC, particularly those with late-onset of the disease and those with an elevated CRP, to prevent further clinical deterioration and intervene earlier if necessary.

Fetal Doppler Evaluation to Predict NEC Development

Antenatal factors play a role in NEC pathogenesis. This study aimed to investigate the predictive value of fetal ductus venosus doppler (DV) for NEC in fetal growth restriction fetuses (FGRF) and to assess the predictive accuracy of IG21 and Fenton curves in NEC development. Data from FGRF, postnatal findings, and Doppler characteristics were collected between 2010 and 2020 at a single center. Patients were then divided into two groups (i.e., with and without NEC). Bivariate and multivariate analyses were performed. We identified 24 cases and 30 controls. Absent or reversed end-diastolic flow (AREDF) and increased resistance in the DV were more impaired in cases (p < 0.05). Although the median birthweight was not different, the Fenton z-score was lower in NEC (p < 0.05). Fetal cardiopulmonary resuscitation, synchronized intermittent mandatory ventilation, neonatal respiratory distress, persistent patent ductus arteriosus (PDA), and inotropic support were more frequent in the NEC group. Furthermore, NEC patients had lower white blood cells (WBC) (p < 0.05). The predictive model for NEC (model 4), including Fenton z-score, WBC, PDA, and DV had an AUC of 84%. Fetal Doppler findings proved effective in predicting NEC in FGR. The Fenton z-score was the most predictive factor considering the fetal growth assessment showing high sensitivity.

Providing the Best Parenteral Nutrition before and after Surgery for NEC: Macro and Micronutrients Intakes

Necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) is the main gastrointestinal emergency of preterm infants for whom bowel rest and parenteral nutrition (PN) is essential. Despite the improvements in neonatal care, the incidence of NEC remains high (11% in preterm newborns with a birth weight <1500 g) and up to 20−50% of cases still require surgery. In this narrative review, we report how to optimize PN in severe NEC requiring surgery. PN should begin as soon as possible in the acute phase: close fluid monitoring is advocated to maintain volemia, however fluid overload and electrolytes abnormalities should be prevented. Macronutrients intake (protein, glucose, and lipids) should be adequately guaranteed and is essential in each phase of the disease. Composite lipid emulsion should be the first choice to reduce the risk of parenteral nutrition associated liver disease (PNALD). Vitamin and trace elements deficiency or overload are frequent in long-term PN, therefore careful monitoring should be planned starting from the recovery phase to adjust their parenteral intake. Neonatologists must be aware of the role of nutrition especially in patients requiring long-term PN to sustain growth, limiting possible adverse effects and long-term deficiencies.

Predictive factors for the surgical treatment of necrotizing enterocolitis in preterm infants: a single-center retrospective study

Background

Necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) is a gastrointestinal disease that tends to occur in premature infants. Some features may be associated with an increased probability that preterm infants with NEC will require surgical treatment. This study aimed to identify the factors that increased the probability of surgical treatment in infants with NEC.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed the data of premature infants with NEC who were hospitalized at The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University from April 2011 to April 2021. According to the treatments received, these patients were divided into medical NEC group and surgical NEC group. The perinatal characteristics, clinical manifestations, and laboratory values before the onset of NEC were subjected to univariate and multivariate analyses.

Results

A total of 623 preterm infants with NEC (> Bell’s stage I) were included in this study, including 350 (56%) who received surgical treatment and 273 (44%) who received conservative medical treatment. Multivariate analysis showed that lower gestational age (P = 0.001, odds ratio (OR) (95% CI) = 0.91[0.86–0.96]), early occurrence of NEC (P = 0.003, OR (95% CI) = 0.86 [0.77–0.95]), hemodynamically significant patent ductus arteriosus (P = 0.003, OR (95% CI) = 7.50 [2.03–28.47]), and low serum bicarbonate (P = 0.043, OR (95% CI) = 0.863 [0.749–0.995]) were associated with an increased probability of surgical treatment in preterm infants with NEC.

Conclusions

Our findings were applied to identify potential predictors for surgical treatment in preterm infants with NEC, which may facilitate early decisive management.

Predictive factors for rapid progression in preterm neonates with necrotizing enterocolitis

BACKGROUND

Necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) is a devastating gastrointestinal emergency with significant mortality and morbidity rates. A subset of patients progressed rapidly and underwent surgical intervention within a short period. This study aimed to establish a model to predict the rapid progression of NEC in preterm neonates.

METHODS

A retrospective study was conducted to review neonates with NEC between December 2015 and April 2019 at the Guangzhou Women and Children's Medical Center. Rapidly progressive NEC was defined as the need for surgical intervention or death within 48 h of NEC onset. Patients were divided into two groups: rapidly progressive NEC (RP-NEC) and non-rapidly progressive NEC (nRP-NEC). Data on demographics, perinatal characteristics, examination variables, and radiographic findings at onset were collected.

RESULTS

A total of 216 preterm neonates with NEC were included in the study, of which 64 had RP-NEC and 152 had nRP-NEC. The mortality rates of patients with RP-NEC and nRP-NEC were 32.8% and 3.28%, respectively. Male sex (p-value, adjusted odds ratio [95% confidence interval]: 0.002, 3.43 [1.57, 7.53]), portal venous gas (0.000, 8.82 [3.73, 20.89]), neutrophils <2.0 × 10⁹/L (0.005, 4.44 [1.59, 12.43]), pH <7.3 (7.2 ≤ pH < 7.3) (0.041, 2.95 [1.05, 8.31]), and pH <7.2 (0.000, 11.95 [2.97, 48.12]) at NEC onset were identified as independent risk factors for RP-NEC. An established model that included the four risk factors presented an area under the curve of 0.801 with 83% specificity and 66% sensitivity.

CONCLUSION

Among preterm neonates with NEC, a significantly higher mortality rate was observed in those with rapid progression. It is recommended that close surveillance be performed in these patients, and we are confident that our established model can efficiently predict this rapid progression course.

C-reactive protein/albumin ratio is a prognostic indicator for predicting surgical intervention and mortality in neonates with necrotizing enterocolitis

PURPOSE

The role of hypoalbuminemia and raised C-reactive protein (CRP) levels in predicting critical prognosis has been described extensively in adult literature. However, there are limited studies in pediatrics, particularly neonates. The CRP/albumin (CRP/ALB) ratio is often associated with higher mortality, organ failure and prolonged hospital stay. We hypothesized that the serum CRP/ALB ratio has a prognostic value in predicting surgery and mortality in neonates with necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC).

METHODS

Retrospective review of all neonates with clinical and radiological evidence of non-perforated NEC that were treated in a tertiary-level referral hospital between 2009 and 2018. General patient demographics, laboratory parameters and outcomes were recorded. Receiver operating characteristics analysis was performed to evaluated optimal cut-offs and area under the curve (AUC) with 95% confidence intervals (CI).

RESULTS

A total of 191 neonates were identified. Of these, 103 (53.9%) were born at ≤ 28 weeks of gestation and 101 (52.9%) had a birth weight of ≤ 1000 g. Eighty-four (44.0%) patients underwent surgical intervention for NEC. The overall survival rate was 161/191 (84.3%). A CRP/ALB ratio of ≥ 3 on day 2 of NEC diagnosis was associated with a statistically significant higher likelihood for surgery [AUC 0.71 (95% CI 0.63-0.79); p < 0.0001] and mortality [AUC 0.66 (95% CI 0.54-0.77); p = 0.0150], respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

A CRP/ALB ratio of ≥ 3 on day 2 is indicative of a critical pathway in neonates with radiologically confirmed, non-perforated NEC. This could be used as an additional criterion to guide parental counselling in NEC for surgical intervention and mortality.

[Clinical guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of neonatal necrotizing enterocolitis (2020)]

Necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) is a devastating gastrointestinal disease of neonates, especially of preterm infants, with high morbidity and mortality. The surviving infants may have digestive tract and neurological sequelae. Therefore, the prevention and treatment of NEC are of great significance in improving survival rate and survival quality of neonates. To provide evidence-based recommendations for management of NEC, the guidelines were developed based on the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) and the current domestic and overseas studies.

Optimizing Nutritional Strategies to Prevent Necrotizing Enterocolitis and Growth Failure after Bowel Resection

Necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC), the first cause of short bowel syndrome (SBS) in the neonate, is a serious neonatal gastrointestinal disease with an incidence of up to 11% in preterm newborns less than 1500 g of birth weight. The rate of severe NEC requiring surgery remains high, and it is estimated between 20–50%. Newborns who develop SBS need prolonged parenteral nutrition (PN), experience nutrient deficiency, failure to thrive and are at risk of neurodevelopmental impairment. Prevention of NEC is therefore mandatory to avoid SBS and its associated morbidities. In this regard, nutritional practices seem to play a key role in early life. Individualized medical and surgical therapies, as well as intestinal rehabilitation programs, are fundamental in the achievement of enteral autonomy in infants with acquired SBS. In this descriptive review, we describe the most recent evidence on nutritional practices to prevent NEC, the available tools to early detect it, the surgical management to limit bowel resection and the best nutrition to sustain growth and intestinal function.

Predictive factors for surgical treatment in preterm neonates with necrotizing enterocolitis: a multicenter case-control study

Necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) is one of the most common and lethal gastrointestinal diseases in preterm infants. Early recognition of infants in need for surgical intervention might enable early intervention. In this multicenter case-control study, performed in nine neonatal intensive care units, preterm born infants (< 30 weeks of gestation) diagnosed with NEC (stage ≥ IIA) between October 2014 and August 2017 were divided into two groups: (1) medical (conservative treatment) and (2) surgical NEC (sNEC). Perinatal, clinical, and laboratory parameters were collected daily up to clinical onset of NEC. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were applied to identify potential predictors for sNEC. In total, 73 preterm infants with NEC (41 surgical and 32 medical NEC) were included. A low gestational age (p value, adjusted odds ratio [95%CI]; 0.001, 0.91 [0.86-0.96]), no maternal corticosteroid administration (0.025, 0.19 [0.04-0.82]), early onset of NEC (0.003, 0.85 [0.77-0.95]), low serum bicarbonate (0.009, 0.85 [0.76-0.96]), and a hemodynamically significant patent ductus arteriosus for which ibuprofen was administered (0.003, 7.60 [2.03-28.47]) were identified as independent risk factors for sNEC.Conclusions: Our findings may support the clinician to identify infants with increased risk for sNEC, which may facilitate early decisive management and consequently could result in improved prognosis. What is Known: • In 27-52% of the infants with NEC, a surgical intervention is indicated during its disease course. • Absolute indication for surgical intervention is bowel perforation, whereas fixed bowel loop or clinical deterioration highly suggestive of bowel perforation or necrosi, is a relative indication. What is New: • Lower gestational age, early clinical onset, and no maternal corticosteroids administration are predictors for surgical NEC. • Low serum bicarbonate in the 3 days prior clinical onset and patent ductus arteriosus for which ibuprofen was administered predict surgical NEC.

Therapeutic Effects of Mesenchymal Stem Cells Derived From Bone Marrow, Umbilical Cord Blood, and Pluripotent Stem Cells in a Mouse Model of Chemically Induced Inflammatory Bowel Disease

Acute inflammatory bowel disease (AIBD) is a wide clinical entity including severe gastrointestinal pathologies with common histopathological basis. Epidemiologically increasing diseases, such as necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC), gastrointestinal graft versus host disease (GVHD), and the primary acute phase of chronic inflammatory bowel disease (CIBD), exhibit a high necessity for new therapeutic strategies. Mesenchymal stem cell (MSC) cellular therapy represents a promising option for the treatment of these diseases. In our study, we comparatively assess the efficacy of human MSCs derived from bone marrow (BM), umbilical cord blood (UCB), human embryonic stem cells (ESCs), or human-induced pluripotent stem cells (iPSCs) in a mouse model of chemically induced acute enterocolitis. The laboratory animals were provided ad libitum potable dextrane sulfate sodium solution (DSS) in order to reproduce an AIBD model and then individually exposed intraperitoneally to MSCs derived from BM (BM-MSCs), UCB (UCB-MSCs), ESCs (ESC-MSCs), or iPSCs (iPSC-MSCs). The parameters used to evaluate the cellular treatment efficacy were the animal survival prolongation and the histopathological-macroscopic picture of bowel sections. Although all categories of mesenchymal stem cells led to statistically significant survival prolongation compared to the control group, significant clinical and histopathological improvement was observed only in mice receiving BM-MSCs and UCB-MSCs. Our results demonstrated that the in vivo anti-inflammatory effect of ESC-MSCs and iPSC-MSCs was inferior to that of UCB-MSCs and BM-MSCs. Further investigation will clarify the potential of ESCs and iPSC-derived MSCs in AIBD treatment.

Maternal and placental risk factors associated with the development of necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) and its severity

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE

Antenatal factors play an important role in NEC. This study aimed to identify antenatal risk factors associated with the development of NEC, the role of the placental alterations, and the presence of prenatal signs predisposing to a severe NEC.

MATERIALS/METHODS

Data of NEC patients including antenatal findings [preeclampsia, diabetes, cholestasis, abnormal antenatal umbilical artery flow (AAUF), clinical chorioamnionitis (CC), and histology of placentas] were compared to unaffected cases between 2002 and 2016 in a single center. Unaffected infants were matched for gestational age. Newborns with cardiovascular diseases were excluded. Bivariate and multivariate analyses were performed.

RESULTS

We identified 136 cases and 134 controls. The group of mothers of NEC-neonates had a higher prevalence of preeclampsia, CC, and AAUF. Histology of Placentas from 123/136 cases and 126/133 unaffected newborns was available. Chorioamnionitis was significantly more present in NEC cases vs controls. There weren't differences in vascular anomalies and necrotic alterations. Multivariate analysis identified AAUF, CC and histological chorioamnionitis (HC) as predictors of NEC. Bivariate tests show that preeclampsia and HC occurred more often in severe cases of NEC.

CONCLUSION

This study suggests that AAUF, CC, and HC can independently predict the risk of NEC. Preeclampsia and HC seem associated to more severe cases.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

IIIA.

Estimation of Neonatal Intestinal Perforation Associated with Necrotizing Enterocolitis by Machine Learning Reveals New Key Factors

Intestinal perforation (IP) associated with necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) is one of the leading causes of mortality in premature neonates; with major nutritional and neurodevelopmental sequelae. Since predicting which neonates will develop perforation is still challenging; clinicians might benefit considerably with an early diagnosis tool and the identification of critical factors. The aim of this study was to forecast IP related to NEC and to investigate the predictive quality of variables; based on a machine learning-based technique. The Back-propagation neural network was used to train and test the models with a dataset constructed from medical records of the NICU; with birth and hospitalization maternal and neonatal clinical; feeding and laboratory parameters; as input variables. The outcome of the models was diagnosis: (1) IP associated with NEC; (2) NEC or (3) control (neither IP nor NEC). Models accurately estimated IP with good performances; the regression coefficients between the experimental and predicted data were R² > 0.97. Critical variables for IP prediction were identified: neonatal platelets and neutrophils; orotracheal intubation; birth weight; sex; arterial blood gas parameters (pCO₂ and HCO₃); gestational age; use of fortifier; patent ductus arteriosus; maternal age and maternal morbidity. These models may allow quality improvement in medical practice.

Clinical characteristic comparison of low birth weight and very low birth weight preterm infants with neonatal necrotizing enterocolitis: a single tertiary center experience from eastern China

PURPOSE

This study aims to understand the clinical characteristics of preterm neonatal necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) to improve the medical management level.

METHODS

The clinical characteristics of preterm NEC infants with low birth weight (LBW, ≥ 1500 g) and very low birth weight (VLBW, < 1500 g) were compared. Then, clinical information, including demographics, surgical interventions and morbidity, were collected.

RESULTS

A total of 149 preterm NEC infants (60 with VLBW and 89 with LBW) were enrolled. Their median birth weight and gestational age were 1600 g and 31 weeks, respectively. Respiratory support and surfactant therapy were more frequent in VLBW infants (90% vs. 38% and 75% vs. 21.3%) than in LBW infants. In addition, 70.5% of these infants were fed by formula before the NEC occurred. Prematurity-associated morbidities were significantly higher in VLBW infants. Furthermore, 12.8% of all NEC infants died at discharge, and mortality was more prevalent in VLBW infants (21.7% vs. 6.7%). The most frequently received surgeries were enterostomy (n = 58), primary anastomosis (n = 42), and peritoneal drainage (n = 2). Multifocal, localized and pan-intestinal disease occurred in 77.5%, 19.6% and three infants, respectively. Furthermore, postoperative complications occurred more frequently in VLBW infants.

CONCLUSION

The overall mortality was 12.8% for infants who had a larger mean gestational age and birth weight, when compared to that in developed countries. Higher rate of formula feeding might be an important risk factor for NEC development. Furthermore, mortality and morbidities, especially nutrition-associated complications, were more frequent in VLBW infants.

[Changes in C-reactive protein and procalcitonin levels in neonates with necrotizing enterocolitis and their clinical significance]

OBJECTIVE

To study the changes in C-reactive protein (CRP) and procalcitonin (PCT) levels in neonates with necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) and their clinical significance.

METHODS

According to the modified Bell's staging criteria, 142 neonates with NEC were divided into stage I group (n=40), stage II group (n=72), and stage III group (n=30). All the 18 neonates who underwent surgical treatment had stage III NEC, and among the 124 neonates who underwent conservative treatment, 12 had stage III NEC and the others had stage I or II NEC. CRP and PCT were measured before treatment, on the next day after treatment, and during the recovery stage.

RESULTS

Before treatment, on the next day after treatment, and during the recovery stage, the stage III group had a higher level of CRP than the stage I and stage II groups (P<0.05). On the next day after treatment, the stage II and stage III groups had an increase in CRP (P<0.05), and the stage III group had an increase in PCT (P<0.05). The stage II and stage III groups had lower CRP and PCT in the recovery stage than before treatment and on the next day after treatment (P<0.05). The stage III group had higher incidence rate of respiratory failure and rate of mechanical ventilation than the stage I and stage II groups (P<0.05), and the stage III group had a higher incidence rate of sepsis than the stage II group (P=0.010). Gastrointestinal perforation and intestinal stenosis were observed in 10 and 8 neonates respectively in the stage III group. CRP on the next day after treatment had a value in predicting stage III NEC (P<0.05), and CRP before treatment and on the next day after treatment had a value in predicting the need for surgery (P<0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Levels of CRP and PCT and their changes can help with the early diagnosis of Bell stage II/III NEC, and CRP can be used to predict the development of stage III NEC and the need for surgery.