Resection of primary tumor in stage 4S neuroblastoma: a second study by the Italian Neuroblastoma Group

Computational intelligence analysis of high-risk neuroblastoma patient health records reveals time to maximum response as one of the most relevant factors for outcome prediction

OBJECTIVE

Seek new candidate prognostic markers for neuroblastoma outcome, relapse or progression.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In this multicentre and retrospective study, Random Forests coupled with recursive feature elimination techniques were applied to electronic records (55 clinical features) of 3034 neuroblastoma patients. To assess model performance and feature importance, dataset was split into a training set (80%) and a test set (20%).

RESULTS

In the test set, the mean Matthews correlation coefficient for the Random Forests models was greater than 0.46. Feature importance analysis revealed that, together with maximum response to first-line treatment (D_MAX_RESP), time to maximum response to first-line treatment (TIME_MAX_RESP.days) is a relevant predictor of both patients' outcome and relapse\progression. We showed the prognostic value of the max response to first-line treatment in clinically relevant subsets of high-, intermediate-, and low-risk patients for both overall and relapse-free survival (Log-rank p-value<0.0001). In high-risk patients older than 18 months and stage 4 tumour achieving a complete response or very good partial response, patients who exhibited a D_MAX_RESP greater than 9 months showed a better prognosis with respect to patients achieving D_MAX_RESP earlier than 9 months (overall survival): hazard ratio 3.3 95% confidence interval 1.8-5.9, Log-rank p-value p < 0.0001; relapse-free survival: 3.2 95%CI 1.8-5.6, Log-rank p-value p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

Our findings evidence the emerging role of the TIME_MAX_RESP.days in addition to the D_MAX_RESP as relevant predictors of outcome and relapse\progression in neuroblastoma with potential clinical impact on the management and treatment of patients.

Management and Outcomes of Children with Stage 4S (MS) Neuroblastoma: A Single-Center Experience from a Resource-Challenged Nation

OBJECTIVES

To demonstrate the clinical profile, management options, and outcomes of children with stage 4S neuroblastoma (NB 4S) diagnosed at a tertiary care center in a resource-challenged nation. The authors also intend to highlight the factors associated with an unfavorable prognosis in this series of patients.

METHODS

The archives for children with NB 4S, diagnosed over a 24-y period (January 1996-December 2019), were retrospectively retrieved. Data on patient characteristics, management protocols, oncologic outcomes, and overall survival (OS) were reviewed. Multivariate logistic- regression analysis was performed to identify the factors independently predicting unfavorable outcomes.

RESULTS

A total of 22 children (59% males) were included. Adrenal was the most common (82%) primary site. Liver involvement (100%), bone marrow infiltration (23%), and subcutaneous nodules (9%) were observed upon evaluation. Management involved supportive treatment (22%), chemotherapy only (41%), chemotherapy and tumor excision (28%). Ventral hernia was created in two children (9%) due to abdominal compartment syndrome (ACS). Four children died (4/22; 18%) due to ACS (n = 2) and refractory coagulopathy (n = 2). There were no recurrences and all survivors were disease-free. The 5-y OS was 81.8% with a median follow-up duration of 31 mo (range 9 mo-22 y). Age < 2 mo (p = 0.002), respiratory distress at presentation (p < 0.001), and chemotherapy nonresponsiveness (p < 0.001) were significantly associated with mortality. All three factors were independent predictors of mortality.

CONCLUSION

Children with NB 4S have a favorable outcome with 5-y OS of 81.8%. Age < 2 mo, respiratory distress at presentation, and chemotherapy nonresponsiveness are independent predictors of a poor outcome.

Metastatic progression in infants diagnosed with stage 4S neuroblastoma. A study of the Italian Neuroblastoma Registry

PURPOSE

Stage 4S neuroblastoma, a tumor affecting infants, is characterized by the capacity to regress spontaneously and high cure rate. About a third of these infants undergo tumor progression requiring antitumor treatment and 10-15% eventually die. In case of metastatic progression, it may occur either at 4S sites (mainly liver) or sites characterizing stage 4 (mainly bone). Aim of this study was to estimate incidence, presenting features and outcome of infants who progressed to stage 4S or stage 4 sites.

PATIENTS

Of 280 Italian infants diagnosed with stage 4S neuroblastoma between 1979 and 2013 and registered in the Italian Neuroblastoma Registry, 268 were evaluable for this study, of whom 57 developed metastatic progression.

RESULTS

Progression to stage 4S sites occurred in 29/268 infants (10.8%) (Group A) and to stage 4 in 28/268 (10.4%) (Group B). No significant difference was observed between the two groups at the time of diagnosis. At the time of progression, Group A infants were younger (7.3 vs 14.4 months, P = .001) and had a shorter interval from diagnosis to progression (3.8 vs 9.6 months, P = .001). Survival after progression was worse for Group B infants (45% vs 69%, P = .058) and was associated with age at diagnosis lower than 2 months (P = .005) and adrenal primary tumor site (P = .008). Survival rates increased for both groups along the study period.

CONCLUSIONS

Infants who progressed to stage 4 did worse, possibly in relation to older age at progression and longer interval between diagnosis and progression. Large prospective studies of these patients may lead to more effective treatments.