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Davies MR, Martinec M, Walls R, Schwarz R, Mirams GR, Wang K, Steiner G, Surinach A, Flores C, Lavé T, Singer T, Polonchuk L. Use of Patient Health Records to Quantify Drug-Related Pro-arrhythmic Risk. CELL REPORTS MEDICINE 2020; 1:100076. [PMID: 33205069 PMCID: PMC7659582 DOI: 10.1016/j.xcrm.2020.100076] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/16/2020] [Revised: 06/09/2020] [Accepted: 07/29/2020] [Indexed: 12/30/2022]
Abstract
There is an increasing expectation that computational approaches may supplement existing human decision-making. Frontloading of models for cardiac safety prediction is no exception to this trend, and ongoing regulatory initiatives propose use of high-throughput in vitro data combined with computational models for calculating proarrhythmic risk. Evaluation of these models requires robust assessment of the outcomes. Using FDA Adverse Event Reporting System reports and electronic healthcare claims data from the Truven-MarketScan US claims database, we quantify the incidence rate of arrhythmia in patients and how this changes depending on patient characteristics. First, we propose that such datasets are a complementary resource for determining relative drug risk and assessing the performance of cardiac safety models for regulatory use. Second, the results suggest important determinants for appropriate stratification of patients and evaluation of additional drug risk in prescribing and clinical support algorithms and for precision health. In vitro data and computational models can assist with calculating pro-arrhythmic risk We use patient health records and FDA Adverse Event Reporting System reports Use of such datasets helps assess relative drug risk and cardiac safety models We quantify how patient characteristics can affect arrhythmia incidence
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Michael Martinec
- PHC Data Science, Personalized Healthcare, Product Development, F. Hoffmann-La Roche AG, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Robert Walls
- PHC Data Science, Personalized Healthcare, Product Development, F. Hoffmann-La Roche AG, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Roman Schwarz
- Safety Analytics and Reporting, Drug Safety, Pharmaceutical Development, F. Hoffmann-La Roche AG, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Gary R Mirams
- Centre for Mathematical Medicine & Biology, School of Mathematical Sciences, University of Nottingham, Nottingham NG7 2RD, UK
| | - Ken Wang
- Roche Pharmaceutical Research and Early Development, Pharmaceutical Sciences, Roche Innovation Center Basel, F. Hoffmann-La Roche AG, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Guido Steiner
- Roche Pharmaceutical Research and Early Development, Pharmaceutical Sciences, Roche Innovation Center Basel, F. Hoffmann-La Roche AG, Basel, Switzerland
| | | | | | - Thierry Lavé
- Roche Pharmaceutical Research and Early Development, Pharmaceutical Sciences, Roche Innovation Center Basel, F. Hoffmann-La Roche AG, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Thomas Singer
- Roche Pharmaceutical Research and Early Development, Pharmaceutical Sciences, Roche Innovation Center Basel, F. Hoffmann-La Roche AG, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Liudmila Polonchuk
- Roche Pharmaceutical Research and Early Development, Pharmaceutical Sciences, Roche Innovation Center Basel, F. Hoffmann-La Roche AG, Basel, Switzerland
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