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Wu Q, Xi F, Luo P, Dong T, Jiang H, Luo Q. Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting placenta accreta spectrum in pregnancies with one previous cesarean delivery. Int J Gynaecol Obstet 2024; 167:685-694. [PMID: 38832362 DOI: 10.1002/ijgo.15702] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/06/2023] [Revised: 03/27/2024] [Accepted: 05/11/2024] [Indexed: 06/05/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE This study aimed to develop and validate a prenatal nomogram to predict the risk of placenta accreta spectrum (PAS) in women with one previous cesarean delivery. METHODS This retrospective study enrolled 5157 pregnant women with one previous cesarean delivery in China from January 2021 to January 2023. The nomogram was developed from a training cohort of 3612 pregnant women and tested on a validation cohort of 1545 pregnant women. Multivariate regression analysis was performed using the minimum value of the Akaike information criterion to select prognostic factors that can be included in the nomogram. We evaluated the nomogram by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curves, and the decision curve analysis (DCA). RESULTS PAS occurred in 199 (5.51%) and 80 (5.18%) patients in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. Backward stepwise algorithms in the multivariable logistic regression model determined abortion, hypertensive disorders complicating pregnancy, fetal position, and placenta previa as relevant PAS predictors. The area under the ROC curve for the nomogram was 0.770 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.733-0.807) and 0.791 (95% CI 0.730-0.853) for the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The calibration curves indicated that the nomogram's prediction probability was consistent with the actual probability. The DCA curve revealed that the nomogram has potential clinical benefit. CONCLUSION A prenatal nomogram was developed for PAS in our study, which helped obstetricians determine potential patients with PAS and make sufficient preoperative preparation to reduce maternal and neonatal complications.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qianqian Wu
- Department of Obstetrics, Women's Hospital, Zhejiang University, School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China
| | - Fangfang Xi
- Department of Obstetrics, Women's Hospital, Zhejiang University, School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China
| | - Peiying Luo
- Department of Obstetrics, Women's Hospital, Zhejiang University, School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China
- Department of Obstetrics, Taizhou Women and Children's Hospital, Taizhou, China
| | - Tian Dong
- Department of Obstetrics, Women's Hospital, Zhejiang University, School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China
| | - Hangjin Jiang
- Center for Data Science, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
| | - Qiong Luo
- Department of Obstetrics, Women's Hospital, Zhejiang University, School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China
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Conrad KP, von Versen-Höynck F, Baker VL. Pathologic maternal and neonatal outcomes associated with programmed embryo transfer: potential etiologies and strategies for prevention. J Assist Reprod Genet 2024; 41:843-859. [PMID: 38536596 PMCID: PMC11052758 DOI: 10.1007/s10815-024-03042-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/09/2024] [Accepted: 01/21/2024] [Indexed: 04/29/2024] Open
Abstract
PURPOSE In the first of two companion papers, we comprehensively reviewed the recent evidence in the primary literature, which addressed the increased prevalence of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy, late-onset or term preeclampsia, fetal overgrowth, postterm birth, and placenta accreta in women conceiving by in vitro fertilization. The preponderance of evidence implicated frozen embryo transfer cycles and, specifically, those employing programmed endometrial preparations, in the higher risk for these adverse maternal and neonatal pregnancy outcomes. Based upon this critical appraisal of the primary literature, we formulate potential etiologies and suggest strategies for prevention in the second article. METHODS Comprehensive review of primary literature. RESULTS Presupposing significant overlap of these apparently diverse pathological pregnancy outcomes within subjects who conceive by programmed autologous FET cycles, shared etiologies may be at play. One plausible but clearly provocative explanation is that aberrant decidualization arising from suboptimal endometrial preparation causes greater than normal trophoblast invasion and myometrial spiral artery remodeling. Thus, overly robust placentation produces larger placentas and fetuses that, in turn, lead to overcrowding of villi within the confines of the uterine cavity which encroach upon intervillous spaces precipitating placental ischemia, oxidative and syncytiotrophoblast stress, and, ultimately, late-onset or term preeclampsia. The absence of circulating corpus luteal factors like relaxin in most programmed cycles might further compromise decidualization and exacerbate the maternal endothelial response to deleterious circulating placental products like soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 that mediate disease manifestations. An alternative, but not mutually exclusive, determinant might be a thinner endometrium frequently associated with programmed endometrial preparations, which could conspire with dysregulated decidualization to elicit greater than normal trophoblast invasion and myometrial spiral artery remodeling. In extreme cases, placenta accreta could conceivably arise. Though lower uterine artery resistance and pulsatility indices observed during early pregnancy in programmed embryo transfer cycles are consistent with this initiating event, quantitative analyses of trophoblast invasion and myometrial spiral artery remodeling required to validate the hypothesis have not yet been conducted. CONCLUSIONS Endometrial preparation that is not optimal, absent circulating corpus luteal factors, or a combination thereof are attractive etiologies; however, the requisite investigations to prove them have yet to be undertaken. Presuming that in ongoing RCTs, some or all adverse pregnancy outcomes associated with programmed autologous FET are circumvented or mitigated by employing natural or stimulated cycles instead, then for women who can conceive using these regimens, they would be preferable. For the 15% or so of women who require programmed FET, additional research as suggested in this review is needed to elucidate the responsible mechanisms and develop preventative strategies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kirk P Conrad
- Departments of Physiology and Aging and of Obstetrics and Gynecology, D.H. Barron Reproductive and Perinatal Biology Research Program, University of Florida College of Medicine, Gainesville, FL, USA.
| | - Frauke von Versen-Höynck
- Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Medicine, Division of Gynecologic Endocrinology and Reproductive Medicine, Hannover Medical School, Hannover, Germany
| | - Valerie L Baker
- Division of Reproductive Endocrinology and Infertility, Department of Gynecology and Obstetrics, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Lutherville, Baltimore, MD, USA
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Fan D, Lin D, Rao J, Li P, Chen G, Zhou Z, Sun L, Liu L, Ma Y, Guo X, Liu Z. Factors and outcomes for placental anomalies: An umbrella review of systematic reviews and meta-analyses. J Glob Health 2024; 14:04013. [PMID: 38236697 PMCID: PMC10795857 DOI: 10.7189/jogh.14.04013] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/22/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Placental anomalies, including placenta previa (PP), placenta accreta spectrum disorders (PAS), and vase previa (VP), are associated with several adverse foetal-neonatal and maternal complications. However, there is still a lack of robust evidence on the pathogenesis and adverse outcomes of the diseases. Through this umbrella review, we aimed to systematically review existing meta-analyses exploring the factors and outcomes for pregnancy women with placental anomalies. Methods We searched PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library from inception to February 2023. We used AMSTAR 2 to assess the quality of the reviews and estimated the pooled risk and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for each meta-analysis. Results We included 34 meta-analyses and extracted 55 factors (27 for PP, 22 for PAS, and 6 for VP) and 16 outcomes (12 for PP, and 4 for VP) to assess their credibility. Seven factors (maternal cocaine use (for PP), uterine leiomyoma (for PP), prior abortion (spontaneous) (PP), threatened miscarriage (PP), maternal obesity (PP), maternal smoking (PAS), male foetus (PAS)) had high epidemiological evidence. Twelve factors and six outcomes had moderate epidemiological evidence. Twenty-two factors and eight outcomes showed significant association, but with weak credibility. Conclusions We found varying levels of evidence for placental anomalies of different factors and outcomes in this umbrella review. Registration PROSPERO: CRD42022300160.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dazhi Fan
- Foshan Fetal Medicine Research Institute, Foshan Women and Children Hospital, Foshan, Guangdong, China
- Department of Obstetrics, Foshan Women and Children Hospital, Foshan, Guangdong, China
| | - Dongxin Lin
- Foshan Fetal Medicine Research Institute, Foshan Women and Children Hospital, Foshan, Guangdong, China
| | - Jiaming Rao
- Foshan Fetal Medicine Research Institute, Foshan Women and Children Hospital, Foshan, Guangdong, China
| | - Pengsheng Li
- Foshan Fetal Medicine Research Institute, Foshan Women and Children Hospital, Foshan, Guangdong, China
| | - Gengdong Chen
- Foshan Fetal Medicine Research Institute, Foshan Women and Children Hospital, Foshan, Guangdong, China
| | - Zixing Zhou
- Foshan Fetal Medicine Research Institute, Foshan Women and Children Hospital, Foshan, Guangdong, China
| | - Li Sun
- Department of Library, Foshan Women and Children Hospital, Foshan, Guangdong, China
| | - Li Liu
- Department of Library, the First Affiliated Hospital, College of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Yubo Ma
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China
| | - Xiaoling Guo
- Foshan Fetal Medicine Research Institute, Foshan Women and Children Hospital, Foshan, Guangdong, China
- Department of Obstetrics, Foshan Women and Children Hospital, Foshan, Guangdong, China
| | - Zhengping Liu
- Foshan Fetal Medicine Research Institute, Foshan Women and Children Hospital, Foshan, Guangdong, China
- Department of Obstetrics, Foshan Women and Children Hospital, Foshan, Guangdong, China
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