PET/CT and prediction of thyroid cancer in patients with follicular neoplasm or atypia

PET/CT May Assist in Avoiding Pointless Thyroidectomy in Indeterminate Thyroid Nodules: A Narrative Review

Indeterminate thyroid nodules (ITN) are commonly encountered among the general population, with a malignancy rate of 10 to 40%. However, many patients may be overtreated with futile surgery for benign ITN. To avoid unnecessary surgery, PET/CT scan is a possible alternative to help differentiate between benign and malignant ITN. In this narrative review, the major results and limitations of the most recent studies on PET/CT efficacy (from PET/CT visual assessment to quantitative PET parameters and recent radiomic features analysis) and on cost-effectiveness (compared to other alternatives (such as surgery)) are presented. PET/CT can reduce futile surgery with visual assessment (around 40%; if ITN ≥ 10 mm). Moreover, PET/CT conventional parameters and radiomic features extracted from PET/CT imaging can be associated together in a predictive model to rule out malignancy in ITN, with a high NPV (96%) when certain criteria are met. Even though promising results were obtained in these recent PET/CT studies, further studies are needed to enable PET/CT to become the definitive diagnostic tool once a thyroid nodule is identified as indeterminate.

SFE-AFCE-SFMN 2022 Consensus on the management of thyroid nodules : What is the role of functional imaging and isotopic treatment?

The SFE-AFCE-SFMN 2022 consensus deals with the management of thyroid nodules, a condition that is a frequent reason for consultation in endocrinology. In more than 90% of cases, patients are euthyroid, with benign non-progressive nodules that do not warrant specific treatment. The clinician's objective is to detect malignant thyroid nodules at risk of recurrence and death, toxic nodules responsible for hyperthyroidism or compressive nodules warranting treatment. The diagnosis and treatment of thyroid nodules requires close collaboration between endocrinologists, nuclear medicine physicians and surgeons, but also involves other specialists. Therefore, this consensus statement was established jointly by 3 societies: the French Society of Endocrinology (SFE), French Association of Endocrine Surgery (AFCE) and French Society of Nuclear Medicine (SFMN); the various working groups included experts from other specialties (pathologists, radiologists, pediatricians, biologists, etc.). This section deals with the role of thyroid scintigraphy in the diagnosis of autonomous thyroid nodules, nuclear medicine in nodules with indeterminate cytology and iodine treatment for autonomous thyroid nodules.

Quantitative classification and radiomics of [18F]FDG-PET/CT in indeterminate thyroid nodules

PURPOSE

To evaluate whether quantitative [¹⁸F]FDG-PET/CT assessment, including radiomic analysis of [¹⁸F]FDG-positive thyroid nodules, improved the preoperative differentiation of indeterminate thyroid nodules of non-Hürthle cell and Hürthle cell cytology.

METHODS

Prospectively included patients with a Bethesda III or IV thyroid nodule underwent [¹⁸F]FDG-PET/CT imaging. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed for standardised uptake values (SUV) and SUV-ratios, including assessment of SUV cut-offs at which a malignant/borderline neoplasm was reliably ruled out (≥ 95% sensitivity). [¹⁸F]FDG-positive scans were included in radiomic analysis. After segmentation at 50% of SUV_peak, 107 radiomic features were extracted from [¹⁸F]FDG-PET and low-dose CT images. Elastic net regression classifiers were trained in a 20-times repeated random split. Dimensionality reduction was incorporated into the splits. Predictive performance of radiomics was presented as mean area under the ROC curve (AUC) across the test sets.

RESULTS

Of 123 included patients, 84 (68%) index nodules were visually [¹⁸F]FDG-positive. The malignant/borderline rate was 27% (33/123). SUV-metrices showed AUCs ranging from 0.705 (95% CI, 0.601-0.810) to 0.729 (0.633-0.824), 0.708 (0.580-0.835) to 0.757 (0.650-0.864), and 0.533 (0.320-0.747) to 0.700 (0.502-0.898) in all (n = 123), non-Hürthle (n = 94), and Hürthle cell (n = 29) nodules, respectively. At SUV_max, SUV_peak, SUV_max-ratio, and SUV_peak-ratio cut-offs of 2.1 g/mL, 1.6 g/mL, 1.2, and 0.9, respectively, sensitivity of [¹⁸F]FDG-PET/CT was 95.8% (95% CI, 78.9-99.9%) in non-Hürthle cell nodules. In Hürthle cell nodules, cut-offs of 5.2 g/mL, 4.7 g/mL, 3.4, and 2.8, respectively, resulted in 100% sensitivity (95% CI, 66.4-100%). Radiomic analysis of 84 (68%) [¹⁸F]FDG-positive nodules showed a mean test set AUC of 0.445 (95% CI, 0.290-0.600) for the PET model.

CONCLUSION

Quantitative [¹⁸F]FDG-PET/CT assessment ruled out malignancy in indeterminate thyroid nodules. Distinctive, higher SUV cut-offs should be applied in Hürthle cell nodules to optimize rule-out ability. Radiomic analysis did not contribute to the additional differentiation of [¹⁸F]FDG-positive nodules.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT02208544 (5 August 2014), https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02208544 .

18F-Fluorocholine Positron Emission Tomography/Computed Tomography is a Highly Sensitive but Poorly Specific Tool for Identifying Malignancy in Thyroid Nodules with Indeterminate Cytology: The Chocolate Study

Background: Refining the risk of malignancy in patients presenting with thyroid nodules with indeterminate cytology (IC) is a critical challenge. We investigated the performances of ¹⁸F-fluorocholine (FCH) positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) to predict malignancy. Methods: Between May 2016 and March 2019, 107 patients presenting with a thyroid nodule ≥15 mm with IC and eligible for surgery were included in this prospective study. Head-and-neck PET/CT acquisitions were performed 20 and 60 minutes after injection of 1.5 MBq/kg of FCH. PET/CT acquisition was scored positive when maximal standardized uptake value in the IC nodule was higher than in the thyroid background. Pathology was the gold standard for diagnosis. Results: At pathology, 19 (18%) nodules were malignant, 87 were benign, and one was a noninvasive follicular thyroid neoplasm with papillary-like nuclear features (NIFTP). Sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, positive-predictive value (PPV), and negative-predictive value (NPV) of FCH PET/CT in detecting cancer or NIFTP were 90%, 50%, 55%, 29%, and 96% at 20 minutes and 85%, 49%, 67%, 28%, and 94% at 60 minutes, respectively. Higher specificity (58% vs. 33%, p = 0.01) was observed in nononcocytic (n = 72) than in oncocytic IC nodules (n = 35). The pre-PET/CT probability of cancer or NIFTP in Bethesda III-IV nodules was 11% and the post-PET/CT probability was 19% in PET-positives and 0% in PET-negatives. In retrospective analysis, 42% of surgeries would have been unnecessary after PET/CT and 81% before (p < 0.001), resulting in a hypothetical 48% reduction (95% confidence interval [32-64]). Conclusions: FCH PET/CT offers high NPV to reliably exclude cancer in PET-negative IC nodules, but suffers from low PPV, particularly in those with oncocytic cytology. ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT02784223.

Comparison of 18F-FDG-PET and 18F-FDG-PET/CT for the diagnostic performance in thyroid nodules with indeterminate cytology: A meta-analysis

BACKGROUNDS

We performed a meta-analysis to compare F-FDG-PET and F-FDG-PET/CT for the diagnostic performance in thyroid nodules with indeterminate cytology by Bethesda classification.

METHODS

PubMed and Embase databases were searched for eligible studies from the earliest available date of indexing through September 2019. Only studies with clearly stated histopathology confirmation were included. Publication bias was assessed by Deeks funnel plot. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio, negative likelihood ratio, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and diagnostic odds ratio was determined by random-effect analysis, respectively. All diagnostic estimate indexes were determined separately for PET alone and PET/CT and were compared pair-wisely using Z-test.

RESULTS

We included 214 patients from five PET alone studies and 420 patients from 8 PET/CT studies in this meta-analysis. The range of the prevalence of malignancy was 11% to 27% for PET alone studies (Median, 20%) and 4% to 50% for PET/CT studies (Median, 24%). The sensitivity (0.95 vs 0.73, P < .01), negative likelihood ratio (0.20 vs 0.53, P = .04) and negative predictive value (0.99 vs 0.91, P < .01) of PET alone are significantly better than those of PET/CT. For PET/CT, Fagan nomogram indicated that when the pre-test probability was set at 24%, the negative post-test probability could decrease to 12%.

CONCLUSION

This meta-analysis reveals that in evaluating thyroid nodules with indeterminate cytology by Bethesda classification, the rule-out performance of F-FDG-PET is significantly better than F-FDG-PET/CT, although the latter represents a more objective and accurate technique. We hypothesize that the lack of precise localization of suspicious FDG uptake in the neck region may have contributed to this overvaluation for PET alone studies, and advocate that future studies be performed with PET/CT rather than PET alone to avoid misinterpretation and overvaluation in this scenario.

Performance of 18F-FDG PET/CT in Selecting Thyroid Nodules with Indeterminate Fine-Needle Aspiration Cytology for Surgery. A Systematic Review and a Meta-Analysis

Thyroid nodules with indeterminate fine-needle aspiration cytology (FNA) represent a major challenge in clinical practice. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis evaluating the ability of hybrid imaging using fluorine-18-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography (¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT) to appropriately select these nodules for surgery. PubMed, CENTRAL, Scopus, and Web of Science were searched until July 2019. Original articles reporting data on the performance of ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT in thyroid nodules with indeterminate FNA were included. Summary operating points including 95% confidence interval values (95% CI) were estimated using a random-effects model. Out of 786 retrieved papers, eight studies evaluating 104 malignant and 327 benign thyroid nodules were included. The pooled positive and negative likelihood ratios (LR+ and LR-) and diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) of ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT were 1.7 (95% CI: 1.4-2.0), 0.4 (95% CI: 0.2-0.7), and 3.5 (95% CI: 1.7-7.1), respectively. No heterogeneity was found for LR+ and DOR. In patients with thyroid nodules with indeterminate FNA, ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT has a moderate ability to correctly discriminate malignant from benign lesions and could represent a reliable option to reduce unnecessary diagnostic surgeries. However, further studies using standardized criteria for interpretation are needed to confirm the reproducibility of these findings.