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Zhang Z, Yu C, Wang X, Ge S, Zhai G, Si S, Ma T, Li F, Cui Z, Jin X, Jin Y. The construction and validation of prognostic prediction model for sudden sensorineural hearing loss in middle-aged and elderly people. Auris Nasus Larynx 2024; 51:276-285. [PMID: 37872076 DOI: 10.1016/j.anl.2023.10.001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/05/2023] [Revised: 09/27/2023] [Accepted: 10/13/2023] [Indexed: 10/25/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Idiopathic sudden sensorineural hearing loss (ISSNHL), as an otologic emergency, is commonly encountered and its prevalence has been climbing every year recently. To our knowledge, the prognosis of middle-aged and elderly patients is worse than that of young patients. Previous researches mainly focused on the adult population, which was considered as prognostic models who performed hearing recovery in ISSNHL. However, few studies regarding the middle-aged and elderly population who are regarded as prognostic models have been reported. Therefore, we aim to construct and validate a nomogram-based prognostic prediction model, which can provide a reference for the prognostic assessment in the middle-aged and elderly patients with ISSNHL. METHOD A total of 371 middle-aged and elderly ISSNHL patients who were admitted to the Department of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Yanbian Hospital, Yanbian University, from April 2018 to April 2023 were enrolled in the study. All subjects were randomly divided into two groups including training group (n = 263) and validation group (n = 108). Lasso regression and multi-factor logistic regression were jointly utilized to screen out prognosis-related independent risk factors and establish a nomogram-based risk prediction model. The accuracy and clinical application value of the model were evaluated by combining the Bootstrapping method and k-fold cross-validation, plotting the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calculating the area under the ROC curve (AUC), plotting the decision curve analysis (DCA), and the calibrating curve. RESULT We used the method of lasso regression combined with multivariate logistic regression and finally screened out eight predictors (including age, number of affected ears, degree of hearing loss, type of hearing curve, duration of disease, presence of vertigo, diabetes, and lacunar cerebral infarction) that were included into the nomogram. The C-index were 0.823 [95% CI (0.725, 0.921)] and 0.851 [95% CI (0.701, 1.000)], and the AUC values were 0.812 and 0.823 for the training and validation groups, respectively. The calibration curve for the validation group was approximately conformed to that for the modeling group, indicating favorable model calibration. The DCA results revealed the modeling group (3%-86%) and the validation group (2%-92%) showed significant net clinical benefit under the majority of thresholds. CONCLUSION This study developed and validated a nomogram-based prognostic prediction model which based on the eight independent risk factors mentioned above. The predictors are conveniently accessible and may assist clinicians in formulating individualized treatment strategies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zhiqiang Zhang
- Department of Otolaryngology, Head and Neck Surgery, Affiliated Hospital of Yanbian University, Yanji, China
| | - Changxu Yu
- Department of Otolaryngology, Head and Neck Surgery, Affiliated Hospital of Yanbian University, Yanji, China
| | - Xueyan Wang
- Department of Otolaryngology, Head and Neck Surgery, Affiliated Hospital of Yanbian University, Yanji, China
| | - Sitong Ge
- Department of Otolaryngology, Head and Neck Surgery, Affiliated Hospital of Yanbian University, Yanji, China
| | - Guanhong Zhai
- Department of Otolaryngology, Head and Neck Surgery, Affiliated Hospital of Yanbian University, Yanji, China
| | - Shurui Si
- Department of Otolaryngology, Head and Neck Surgery, Affiliated Hospital of Yanbian University, Yanji, China
| | - Tianyi Ma
- Department of Otolaryngology, Head and Neck Surgery, Affiliated Hospital of Yanbian University, Yanji, China
| | - Fuyao Li
- Department of Otolaryngology, Head and Neck Surgery, Affiliated Hospital of Yanbian University, Yanji, China
| | - Zhezhu Cui
- Department of Otolaryngology, Head and Neck Surgery, Affiliated Hospital of Yanbian University, Yanji, China
| | - Xianghua Jin
- Department of Otolaryngology, Head and Neck Surgery, Affiliated Hospital of Yanbian University, Yanji, China.
| | - Yulian Jin
- Department of Otolaryngology, Head and Neck Surgery, Affiliated Hospital of Yanbian University, Yanji, China; Department of Otorhinolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Xinhua Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China; Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine Ear Institute, Shanghai, China; Shanghai Key Laboratory of Translational Medicine on Ear and Nose Diseases, Shanghai, China
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Liang C, Fang Q, Chen H, Wang Z, Qiao X, Liao Y, Lv C, Chen M, Li L, Yang J. Vulnerable frequency as an independent prognostic factor for sudden sensorineural hearing loss. Front Neurol 2022; 13:962376. [PMID: 36237617 PMCID: PMC9552834 DOI: 10.3389/fneur.2022.962376] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/06/2022] [Accepted: 09/12/2022] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
ObjectivesSudden sensorineural hearing loss (SSNHL) is a common otology emergency in the practice. Its severe hearing impairment and prognosis impair the quality of life. Given that cochlear hair cell vulnerability is not consistent across frequencies, this study aims to investigate the impact of frequency-specific hearing loss on prognosis in SSNHL.MethodsThe study included 255 patients with full-frequency SSNHL. The baseline, clinical, and hearing characteristics, as well as possible cardiovascular predictors in blood, were collected for analysis.ResultsThe 4,000 and 8,000 Hz hearing levels in the responder group were significantly lower than those in the non-responder group (p = 0.008, p < 0.001), while the average hearing was not (p = 0.081). Logistic regression showed that only vertigo (OR, 95% CI, 0.265, 0.102–0.684, p = 0.006) and 8,000 Hz hearing level (OR, 95% CI, 0.943, 0.916–0.971, p < 0.001) were strongly associated with treatment outcome.ConclusionsCompared with other frequencies, 8,000 Hz hearing level was closely related to prognosis in SSNHL. In an adjusted model, our study did not find an effect of mean hearing on prognosis in SSNHL. However, further multicenter prospective studies are needed for validation.
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Yuan H, Liu CC, Ma PW, Chen JW, Wang WL, Gao W, Lu PH, Ding XR, Lun YQ, Lu LJ. Systemic steroid administration combined with intratympanic steroid injection in the treatment of a unilateral sudden hearing loss prognosis prediction model: A retrospective observational study. Front Neurol 2022; 13:976393. [PMID: 36203999 PMCID: PMC9530985 DOI: 10.3389/fneur.2022.976393] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/06/2022] [Accepted: 08/29/2022] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Idiopathic sudden sensorineural hearing loss (ISSNHL) is an emergency ear disease that is referred to as a sensorineural hearing loss of at least 30 dB in three sequential frequencies and occurs over a period of < 72 h. Because of its etiology, pathogenesis, and prognostic factors, the current treatment methods are not ideal. Previous studies have developed prognostic models to predict hearing recovery from ISSNHL, but few studies have incorporated serum biochemical indicators into previous models. The aim of this study was to explore the factors influencing the ISSNHL prognosis of combination therapy (combined intratympanic and systemic use of steroids, CT), among the patient population data, the serum biochemical indicators before the treatment, and the clinical features of ISSNHL. The new prediction model was developed through these factors. From November 2015 to April 2022, 430 patients who underwent CT at the Department of Otorhinolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery, Tangdu Hospital, Air Force Medical University for ISSNHL, were reviewed retrospectively. We found significant differences in age (P = 0.018), glucose (P = 0.035), white blood cell (WBC) (P = 0.021), vertigo (P = 0.000) and type (P = 0.000) with different therapeutic efficacies. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age (OR = 0.715, P = 0.023), WBC (OR = 0.527, P = 0.01), platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR) (OR = 0.995, P = 0.038), vertigo (OR = 0.48, P = 0.004), course (time from onset to treatment) (OR = 0.681, P = 0.016) and type (OR = 0.409, P = 0.000) were independent risk factors for ISSNHL prognosis. Based on independent risk factors, a predictive model and nomogram were developed to predict hearing outcomes in ISSNHL patients. The area under the curve (AUC) value of the model developed in this study was 0.773 (95% CI = 0.730–0.812), which has a certain predictive ability. The calibration curve indicated good consistency between the actual diagnosed therapeutic effectiveness and the predicted probability. The model and nomogram can predict the hearing prognosis of ISSNHL patients treated with CT and can provide help for medical staff to make the best clinical decision. This study has been registered with the registration number ChiCTR2200061379.
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