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Pan T, Chen XL, Liu K, Peng BQ, Zhang WH, Yan MH, Ge R, Zhao LY, Yang K, Chen XZ, Hu JK. Nomogram to Predict Intensive Care Following Gastrectomy for Gastric Cancer: A Useful Clinical Tool to Guide the Decision-Making of Intensive Care Unit Admission. Front Oncol 2022; 11:641124. [PMID: 35087739 PMCID: PMC8787126 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2021.641124] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/13/2020] [Accepted: 12/13/2021] [Indexed: 02/05/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND We aimed to generate and validate a nomogram to predict patients most likely to require intensive care unit (ICU) admission following gastric cancer surgery to improve postoperative outcomes and optimize the allocation of medical resources. METHODS We retrospectively analyzed 3,468 patients who underwent gastrectomy for gastric cancer from January 2009 to June 2018. Here, 70.0% of the patients were randomly assigned to the training cohort, and 30.0% were assigned to the validation cohort. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method was performed to screen out risk factors for ICU-specific care using the training cohort. Then, based on the results of LASSO regression analysis, multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to establish the prediction nomogram. The calibration and discrimination of the nomogram were evaluated in the training cohort and validated in the validation cohort. Finally, the clinical usefulness was determined by decision curve analysis (DCA). RESULTS Age, the American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score, chronic pulmonary disease, heart disease, hypertension, combined organ resection, and preoperative and/or intraoperative blood transfusions were selected for the model. The concordance index (C-index) of the model was 0.843 in the training cohort and 0.831 in the validation cohort. The calibration curves of the ICU-specific care risk nomogram suggested great agreement in both training and validation cohorts. The DCA showed that the nomogram was clinically useful. CONCLUSIONS Age, ASA score, chronic pulmonary disease, heart disease, hypertension, combined organ resection, and preoperative and/or intraoperative blood transfusions were identified as risk factors for ICU-specific care after gastric surgery. A clinically friendly model was generated to identify those most likely to require intensive care.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tao Pan
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery and Laboratory of Gastric Cancer, State Key Laboratory of Biotherapy, West China Hospital, Sichuan University and Collaborative Innovation Center for Biotherapy, Chengdu, China
| | - Xiao-Long Chen
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery and Laboratory of Gastric Cancer, State Key Laboratory of Biotherapy, West China Hospital, Sichuan University and Collaborative Innovation Center for Biotherapy, Chengdu, China
| | - Kai Liu
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery and Laboratory of Gastric Cancer, State Key Laboratory of Biotherapy, West China Hospital, Sichuan University and Collaborative Innovation Center for Biotherapy, Chengdu, China
| | - Bo-Qiang Peng
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery and Laboratory of Gastric Cancer, State Key Laboratory of Biotherapy, West China Hospital, Sichuan University and Collaborative Innovation Center for Biotherapy, Chengdu, China
| | - Wei-Han Zhang
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery and Laboratory of Gastric Cancer, State Key Laboratory of Biotherapy, West China Hospital, Sichuan University and Collaborative Innovation Center for Biotherapy, Chengdu, China
| | - Meng-Hua Yan
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery and Laboratory of Gastric Cancer, State Key Laboratory of Biotherapy, West China Hospital, Sichuan University and Collaborative Innovation Center for Biotherapy, Chengdu, China
| | - Rui Ge
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery and Laboratory of Gastric Cancer, State Key Laboratory of Biotherapy, West China Hospital, Sichuan University and Collaborative Innovation Center for Biotherapy, Chengdu, China
| | - Lin-Yong Zhao
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery and Laboratory of Gastric Cancer, State Key Laboratory of Biotherapy, West China Hospital, Sichuan University and Collaborative Innovation Center for Biotherapy, Chengdu, China
| | - Kun Yang
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery and Laboratory of Gastric Cancer, State Key Laboratory of Biotherapy, West China Hospital, Sichuan University and Collaborative Innovation Center for Biotherapy, Chengdu, China
| | - Xin-Zu Chen
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery and Laboratory of Gastric Cancer, State Key Laboratory of Biotherapy, West China Hospital, Sichuan University and Collaborative Innovation Center for Biotherapy, Chengdu, China
| | - Jian-Kun Hu
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery and Laboratory of Gastric Cancer, State Key Laboratory of Biotherapy, West China Hospital, Sichuan University and Collaborative Innovation Center for Biotherapy, Chengdu, China
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Wen J, Pan T, Yuan YC, Huang QS, Shen J. Nomogram to predict postoperative infectious complications after surgery for colorectal cancer: a retrospective cohort study in China. World J Surg Oncol 2021; 19:204. [PMID: 34238303 PMCID: PMC8268384 DOI: 10.1186/s12957-021-02323-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/25/2021] [Accepted: 06/25/2021] [Indexed: 12/29/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Postoperative infectious complications (ICs) after surgery for colorectal cancer (CRC) increase in-hospital deaths and decrease long-term survival. However, the methodology for IC preoperative and intraoperative risk assessment has not yet been established. We aimed to construct a risk model for IC after surgery for CRC. Methods Between January 2016 and June 2020, a total of 593 patients who underwent curative surgery for CRC in Chengdu Second People’s Hospital were enrolled. Preoperative and intraoperative factors were obtained retrospectively. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method was used to screen out risk factors for IC. Then, based on the results of LASSO regression analysis, multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to establish the prediction model. Bootstraps with 300 resamples were performed for internal validation. The performance of the model was evaluated with its calibration and discrimination. The clinical usefulness was assessed by decision curve analysis (DCA). Results A total of 95 (16.0%) patients developed ICs after surgery for CRC. Chronic pulmonary diseases, diabetes mellitus, preoperative and/or intraoperative blood transfusion, and longer operation time were independent risk factors for IC. A prediction model was constructed based on these factors. The concordance index (C-index) of the model was 0.761. The calibration curve of the model suggested great agreement. DCA showed that the model was clinically useful. Conclusion Several risk factors for IC after surgery for CRC were identified. A prediction model generated by these risk factors may help in identifying patients who may benefit from perioperative optimization.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jing Wen
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, Chengdu Second People's Hospital, No. 10 Qinyun Nan Street, Chengdu, 610041, Sichuan Province, China.
| | - Tao Pan
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, Sichuan Cancer Hospital & Research Institute, School of Medicine, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China (UESTC), Chengdu, China
| | - Yun-Chuan Yuan
- College of Basic Medicine, Chongqing Three Gorges Medical College, Chongqing, China
| | - Qiu-Shi Huang
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, Chengdu Second People's Hospital, No. 10 Qinyun Nan Street, Chengdu, 610041, Sichuan Province, China
| | - Jian Shen
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, Chengdu Second People's Hospital, No. 10 Qinyun Nan Street, Chengdu, 610041, Sichuan Province, China
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Bansal SS, Hodson J, Khalil K, Dasari B, Marudanayagam R, Sutcliffe RP, Isaac J, Roberts KJ. Distinct risk factors for early and late blood transfusion following pancreaticoduodenectomy. Hepatobiliary Pancreat Dis Int 2018; 17:349-357. [PMID: 30054170 DOI: 10.1016/j.hbpd.2018.07.001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/12/2017] [Accepted: 06/27/2018] [Indexed: 02/05/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The International Study Group of Pancreatic Surgery (ISGPS) has defined two periods of postpancreatectomy hemorrhage, early (<24 h) and late (>24 h). A previously published Blood Usage Risk Score (BURS) aimed to predict early and late blood transfusion. The primary aim of this study was to define risk factors for early and late blood transfusion after pancreaticoduodenectomy. Secondary aims were to assess the predictive accuracy of the BURS. METHODS In this retrospective observational study, multivariable analyses were used to identify independent risk factors for both early and late blood transfusion. The predictive ability of the BURS was then assessed using a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. RESULTS Among 628 patients, 99 (15.8%) and 144 (22.9%) received early and late blood transfusion, respectively. Risk factors for blood transfusion differed between early and late periods. Preoperative anemia and venous resection were associated with early blood transfusion whilst Whipple's resection (as opposed to pylorus preserving pancreaticoduodenectomy), lack of biliary stent and a narrow pancreatic duct were predictors of late blood transfusion. The BURS was significantly predictive of early blood transfusion, albeit with a modest degree of accuracy (AUROC: 0.700, P < 0.001), but not of late blood transfusion (AUROC: 0.525, P = 0.360). Late blood transfusion was independently associated with increasing severity of postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) (OR: 1.85, 3.18 and 9.97 for biochemical, types B and C POPF, respectively, relative to no POPF). CONCLUSIONS Two largely different sets of variables are related to early and late blood transfusion following pancreaticoduodenectomy. The BURS was significantly associated with early, albeit with modest predictive accuracy, but not late blood transfusion. An understanding of POPF risk allows assessment of the need for late blood transfusion.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sukhchain S Bansal
- Department of Hepatobiliary Pancreatic Surgery, Queen Elizabeth Hospital Birmingham, University Hospitals Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TH, UK
| | - James Hodson
- Institute of Translational Medicine, Queen Elizabeth Hospital Birmingham, University Hospitals Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TH, UK
| | - Khalid Khalil
- Department of Hepatobiliary Pancreatic Surgery, Queen Elizabeth Hospital Birmingham, University Hospitals Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TH, UK
| | - Bobby Dasari
- Department of Hepatobiliary Pancreatic Surgery, Queen Elizabeth Hospital Birmingham, University Hospitals Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TH, UK
| | - Ravi Marudanayagam
- Department of Hepatobiliary Pancreatic Surgery, Queen Elizabeth Hospital Birmingham, University Hospitals Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TH, UK
| | - Robert P Sutcliffe
- Department of Hepatobiliary Pancreatic Surgery, Queen Elizabeth Hospital Birmingham, University Hospitals Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TH, UK
| | - John Isaac
- Department of Hepatobiliary Pancreatic Surgery, Queen Elizabeth Hospital Birmingham, University Hospitals Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TH, UK
| | - Keith J Roberts
- Department of Hepatobiliary Pancreatic Surgery, Queen Elizabeth Hospital Birmingham, University Hospitals Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TH, UK.
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Kim Y, Bagante F, Gani F, Ejaz A, Xu L, Wasey JO, Johnson DJ, Frank SM, Pawlik TM. Nomogram to predict perioperative blood transfusion for hepatopancreaticobiliary and colorectal surgery. Br J Surg 2016; 103:1173-83. [DOI: 10.1002/bjs.10164] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/28/2015] [Revised: 12/10/2015] [Accepted: 02/17/2016] [Indexed: 01/11/2023]
Abstract
Abstract
Background
Predictive tools assessing risk of transfusion have not been evaluated extensively among patients undergoing complex gastrointestinal surgery. In this study preoperative variables associated with blood transfusion were incorporated into a nomogram to predict transfusion following hepatopancreaticobiliary (HPB) or colorectal surgery.
Methods
A nomogram to predict receipt of perioperative transfusion was developed using a cohort of patients who underwent HPB or colorectal surgery between January 2009 and December 2014. The discriminatory ability of the nomogram was tested using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and internal validation performed via bootstrap resampling.
Results
Among 4961 patients undergoing either a HPB (56·3 per cent) or colorectal (43·7 per cent) resection, a total of 1549 received at least 1 unit of packed red blood cells, giving a perioperative transfusion rate of 31·2 per cent. On multivariable analysis, age 65 years and over (odds ratio (OR) 1·52), race (versus white: black, OR 1·58; Asian, OR 1·86), preoperative haemoglobin 8·0 g/dl or less (versus over 12·0 g/dl: OR 26·79), preoperative international normalized ratio more than 1·2 (OR 2·44), Charlson co-morbidity index score over 3 (OR 1·86) and procedure type (versus colonic surgery: major hepatectomy, OR 1·71; other pancreatectomy, OR 2·12; rectal surgery, OR 1·39; duodenopancreatectomy, OR 2·65) were associated with a significantly higher risk of transfusion and were included in the nomogram. A nomogram was constructed to predict transfusion using these seven variables. Discrimination and calibration of the nomogram revealed good predictive abilities (area under ROC curve 0·756).
Conclusion
The nomogram predicted blood transfusion in major HPB and colorectal surgery.
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Affiliation(s)
- Y Kim
- Department of Surgery, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - F Bagante
- Department of Surgery, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - F Gani
- Department of Surgery, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - A Ejaz
- Department of Surgery, University of Illinois Hospital and Health Sciences System, Chicago, Illinois, USA
| | - L Xu
- Department of Surgery, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - J O Wasey
- Department of Anesthesiology, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - D J Johnson
- Department of Anesthesiology, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - S M Frank
- Department of Anesthesiology, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - T M Pawlik
- Department of Surgery, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
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Goubran HA, Elemary M, Radosevich M, Seghatchian J, El-Ekiaby M, Burnouf T. Impact of Transfusion on Cancer Growth and Outcome. CANCER GROWTH AND METASTASIS 2016; 9:1-8. [PMID: 27006592 PMCID: PMC4790595 DOI: 10.4137/cgm.s32797] [Citation(s) in RCA: 39] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/03/2015] [Revised: 02/01/2016] [Accepted: 02/03/2016] [Indexed: 12/21/2022]
Abstract
For many years, transfusion of allogeneic red blood cells, platelet concentrates, and plasma units has been part of the standard therapeutic arsenal used along the surgical and nonsurgical treatment of patients with malignancies. Although the benefits of these blood products are not a matter of debate in specific pathological conditions associated with life-threatening low blood cell counts or bleeding, increasing clinical evidence is nevertheless suggesting that deliberate transfusion of these blood components may actually lead to negative clinical outcomes by affecting patient’s immune defense, stimulating tumor growth, tethering, and dissemination. Rigorous preclinical and clinical studies are needed to dimension the clinical relevance, benefits, and risks of transfusion of blood components in cancer patients and understand the amplitude of problems. There is also a need to consider validating preparation methods of blood components for so far ignored biological markers, such as microparticles and biological response modifiers. Meanwhile, blood component transfusions should be regarded as a personalized medicine, taking into careful consideration the status and specificities of the patient, rather than as a routine hospital procedure.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hadi A Goubran
- Saskatoon Cancer Centre, College of Medicine, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, SK, Canada
| | - Mohamed Elemary
- Saskatoon Cancer Centre, College of Medicine, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, SK, Canada
| | | | - Jerard Seghatchian
- International Consultancy in Blood Components Quality/Safety, Audit/Inspection and DDR Strategies, London, UK
| | | | - Thierry Burnouf
- Graduate Institute of Biomedical Materials and Tissue Engineering, College of Biomedical Engineering, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, Taiwan
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Clinical practice guideline: Red blood cell transfusion in adult trauma and critical care*. Crit Care Med 2009; 37:3124-57. [DOI: 10.1097/ccm.0b013e3181b39f1b] [Citation(s) in RCA: 364] [Impact Index Per Article: 24.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/29/2023]
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Abstract
Transfusion-related acute lung injury (TRALI) is the most common cause of serious morbidity and mortality due to hemotherapy. Although the pathogenesis has been related to the infusion of donor antibodies into the recipient, antibody negative TRALI has been reported. Changes in transfusion practices, especially the use of male-only plasma, have decreased the number of antibody-mediated cases and deaths; however, TRALI still occurs. The neutrophil appears to be the effector cell in TRALI and the pathophysiology is centered on neutrophil-mediated endothelial cell cytotoxicity resulting in capillary leak and ALI. This review will detail the pathophysiology of TRALI including recent pre-clinical data, provide insight into newer areas of research, and critically assess current practices to decrease it prevalence and to make transfusion safer.
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Ellman PI, Reece TB, Law MG, Gazoni LM, Singh R, Laubach VE, Linden J, Tribble CG, Kron IL. Adenosine A2A Activation Attenuates Nontransplantation Lung Reperfusion Injury. J Surg Res 2008; 149:3-8. [DOI: 10.1016/j.jss.2007.08.008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/29/2007] [Revised: 08/01/2007] [Accepted: 08/14/2007] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
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Abstract
Transfusion-related acute lung injury is a life-threatening clinical syndrome. In the last 3 years, it has become the leading cause of reported transfusion-related deaths in the United States. This syndrome is characterized by acute hypoxemia and noncardiogenic pulmonary edema directly linked in time to a blood transfusion. All types of blood products have been implicated in transfusion-related acute lung injury, but transfusion of plasma-containing products from multiparous women seems to carry the highest risk. The purpose of this article is to raise awareness of this syndrome for the critical care nurse. This article discusses the widely accepted clinical features of transfusion-related acute lung injury, its pathogenesis, differential diagnosis, and treatment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Carol A Dennison
- Case Western Reserve University, medical intensive care unit, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio, USA.
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