The MELD score predicts the short-term and overall survival after liver transplantation in patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis or autoimmune liver diseases

Predictors of survival in autoimmune liver disease overlap syndromes

BACKGROUND

Survival in patients with autoimmune liver disease overlap syndromes (AILDOS) compared to those with single autoimmune liver disease is unclear.

AIM

To investigate the survival of patients with AILDOS and assess the accuracy of non-invasive serum models for predicting liver-related death.

METHODS

Patients with AILDOS were defined as either autoimmune hepatitis and primary biliary cholangitis overlap (AIH-PBC) or autoimmune hepatitis and primary sclerosing cholangitis overlap (AIH-PSC) and were identified from three tertiary centres for this cohort study. Liver-related death or transplantation (liver-related mortality) was determined using a population-based data linkage system. Prognostic scores for liver-related death were compared for accuracy [including liver outcome score (LOS), Hepascore, Mayo Score, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score and MELD incorporated with serum sodium (MELD-Na) score].

RESULTS

Twenty-two AILDOS patients were followed for a median of 3.1 years (range, 0.35-7.7). Fourteen were female, the median age was 46.7 years (range, 17.8 to 82.1) and median Hepascore was 1 (range, 0.07-1). At five years post enrolment, 57% of patients remained free from liver-related mortality (74% AIH-PBC, 27% AIH-PSC). There was no significant difference in survival between AIH-PBC and AIH-PSC. LOS was a significant predictor of liver-related mortality (P < 0.05) in patients with AIH-PBC (n = 14) but not AIH-PSC (n = 8). A LOS cut-point of 6 discriminated liver-related mortality in AIH-PBC patients (P = 0.012, log-rank test, 100% sensitivity, 77.8% specificity) (Harrell's C-statistic 0.867). The MELD score, MELD-Na score and Mayo Score were not predictive of liver-related mortality in any group.

CONCLUSION

Survival in the rare, AILDOS is unclear. The current study supports the LOS as a predictor of liver-related mortality in AIH-PBC patients. Further trials investigating predictors of survival in AILDOS are required.

Longterm Survival After Liver Transplantation for Autoimmune Hepatitis: Results From the European Liver Transplant Registry

The aim of this study was to analyze longterm patient and graft survival after liver transplantation for autoimmune hepatitis (AIH-LT) from the prospective multicenter European Liver Transplant Registry. Patient and liver graft survival between 1998 and 2017 were analyzed. Patients after AIH-LT (n = 2515) were compared with patients receiving LT for primary biliary cholangitis (PBC-LT; n = 3733), primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC-LT; n = 5155), and alcohol-related cirrhosis (AC-LT; n = 19,567). After AIH-LT, patient survival was 79.4%, 70.8%, and 60.3% and graft survival was 73.2%, 63.4%, and 50.9% after 5, 10, and 15 years of follow-up. Overall patient survival was similar to patients after AC-LT (P = 0.44), but worse than after PBC-LT (hazard ratio [HR], 1.48; P < 0.001) and PSC-LT (HR, 1.19; P = 0.002). AIH-LT patients were at increased risk for death (HR, 1.37-1.84; P < 0.001) and graft loss (HR, 1.35-1.80; P < 0.001) from infections compared with all other groups and had a particularly increased risk for lethal fungal infections (HR, 3.38-4.20; P ≤ 0.004). Excluding patients who died within 90 days after LT, risk of death after AIH-LT was superior compared with AC-LT (HR, 0.84; P = 0.004), worse compared with PBC-LT (HR, 1.38; P < 0.001) and similar compared with PSC-LT (P = 0.93). Autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) patients with living donor liver transplantation (LDLT) showed reduced survival compared with patients receiving donation after brain death (HR, 1.96; P < 0.001). In AIH-LT patients, overall survival is inferior to PBC-LT and PSC-LT. The high risk of death after AIH-LT is caused mainly by early fatal infections, including fungal infections. Patients with LDLT for AIH show reduced survival.

Treatment of primary sclerosing cholangitis in children

Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is a rare disease of stricturing and destruction of the biliary tree with a complex genetic and environmental etiology. Most patients have co-occurring inflammatory bowel disease. Children generally present with uncomplicated disease, but undergo a variable progression to end-stage liver disease. Within ten years of diagnosis, 50% of children will develop clinical complications including 30% requiring liver transplantation. Cholangiocarcinoma is a rare but serious complication affecting 1% of children. Ursodeoxycholic acid and oral vancomycin therapy used widely in children as medical therapy, and may be effective in a subset of patients. Gamma glutamyltransferase is a potential surrogate endpoint for disease activity, with improved survival in patients who achieve a normal value. Endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography is a necessary adjunct to medical therapy to evaluate mass lesions or dominant strictures for malignancy, and also to relieve biliary obstruction. Liver transplantation remains the only option for patients who progress to end-stage liver disease. We review special considerations for patients before and after transplant, and in patients with inflammatory bowel disease. There is presently no published treatment algorithm or guideline for the management of children with PSC. We review the evidence for drug efficacy, dosing, duration of therapy, and treatment targets in PSC, and provide a framework for endoscopic and medical management of this complex problem.

Low Serum Levels of (Dihydro-)Ceramides Reflect Liver Graft Dysfunction in a Real-World Cohort of Patients Post Liver Transplantation

Patients after orthopic liver transplantation (OLT) are at risk of developing graft dysfunction. Sphingolipids (SL’s) have been identified to play a pivotal role in the regulation of hepatocellular apoptosis, inflammation and immunity. We aimed to investigate the serum SL profile in a prospective real-world cohort of post-OLT patients. From October 2015 until July 2016, 149 well-characterized post-OLT patients were analyzed. SL’s were assessed in serum probes via Liquid Chromatography/Tandem Mass Spectrometry. Twenty-nine (20%) patients had a biopsy proven graft rejection with decreased C20-ceramide (Cer) (p = 0.042), C18-dihydroceramide (DHC) (p = 0.022) and C24DHC (p = 0.060) levels. Furthermore, C18DHC (p = 0.044) and C24DHC (p = 0.011) were significantly down-regulated in patients with ischemic type biliary lesions (ITBL; n = 15; 10%). One-hundred and thirty-three patients (89%) have so far received tacrolimus as the main immunosuppressive agent with observed elevations of C14Cer (p = 0.052), C18Cer (p = 0.049) and C18:1Cer (p = 0.024). Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) pre-OLT was associated with increases in C24:1Cer (p = 0.024) and C24:1DHC (p = 0.024). In this large prospective cross-sectional study of patients, post-OLT serum levels of (very-)long chain (dihydro-)ceramides associate with graft rejection, ITBL, tacrolimus intake and HCC pre-OLT. Hence, serum SL’s may be indicative of graft complications. Further research is necessary to identify their diverse mechanistic role in regulating immunity and inflammation in patients post-OLT.

Association of serum zinc levels with liver function and survival in patients awaiting liver transplantation

PURPOSE

Zinc is an important trace element with catalytic and defensive functions. We assessed the impact of zinc deficiency in patients with end-stage liver disease awaiting liver transplantation.

METHODS

Serum zinc levels were measured at the time of evaluation for liver transplantation (n = 368). Patients were dichotomized in two groups based on low and normal zinc serum levels.

RESULTS

Serum zinc levels are tightly associated with liver function as patients with low zinc levels (n = 226) had a higher Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score (15.0 [5.0-40.0]) than patients with normal zinc (n = 142) levels (9.0 [6.0-34.0]; p < 0.00). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that serum zinc levels function as an independent predictor of hepatic decompensation (hydropic decompensation: odds ratio [OR] 0.82; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.70-0.96; p = 0.015; hepatic encephalopathy: OR 0.80; 95% CI 0.71-0.90; p = 0.000; spontaneous bacterial peritonitis: OR 0.85; 95% CI 0.72-1.00; p = 0.047; hepatorenal syndrome: OR 0.83; 95% CI 0.72-0.95; p = 0.011). Actuarial survival free of liver transplantation was reduced for low-zinc patients (26.7 ± 4.0 months; 95% CI 18.8-34.6) compared to patients with normal zinc levels (30.9 ± 3.0 months; 95% CI 24.9-36.9; p = 0.008). Reduction of zinc levels for patients on the transplantation list resulted in a 28.3-fold increased risk of death/liver transplantation (95% CI 3.2-244.8, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Serum zinc levels are associated with reduced survival in end-stage liver disease patients. Whether or not zinc supplementation might be beneficial for patients on a liver transplantation list requires further study.