Epidemiology, clinical characteristics, and immediate outcome of Kawasaki disease: a population-based study from a tropical country

[Predictive indicators and risk model construction for coronary artery lesions in Kawasaki disease children over 5 years old]

OBJECTIVES

To study predictive indicators for coronary artery lesions (CAL) and construct a risk prediction model for CAL in Kawasaki disease (KD) children over 5 years old.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of KD children over 5 years old at Wuhan Children's Hospital of Tongji Medical College of Huazhong University of Science and Technology from January 2018 to January 2023 was conducted. Among them, 47 cases were complicated with CAL, and 178 cases were not. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to explore predictive indicators for CAL in KD children over 5 years old and construct a risk prediction model. The receiver operating characteristic curve was used to evaluate the effectiveness of the prediction model. Finally, the Framingham risk scoring method was used to quantify the predictive indicators, calculate the contribution of each indicator to the prediction of CAL in KD children over 5 years old, and construct a risk prediction scoring model.

RESULTS

The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the duration of fever before the initial intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) treatment (OR=1.374, 95%CI: 1.117-1.689), levels of hypersensitive C-reactive protein (hs-CRP; OR=1.008, 95%CI: 1.001-1.015), and serum ferritin levels (OR=1.002, 95%CI: 1.001-1.003) were predictive indicators for CAL in KD children over 5 years old. The optimal cutoff values for predicting CAL were: duration of fever before initial IVIG treatment of 6.5 days (AUC=0.654, 95%CI: 0.565-0.744), hs-CRP of 110.50 mg/L (AUC=0.686, 95%CI: 0.597-0.774), and ferritin of 313.62 mg/L (AUC=0.724, 95%CI: 0.642-0.805). According to the Framingham risk scoring method, the low, medium, and high-risk states of CAL occurrence were defined as probabilities of <10%, 10%-20%, and >20%, respectively, with corresponding scores of 0-4 points, 5-6 points, and ≥7 points.

CONCLUSIONS

In KD children over 5 years old, those with a longer duration of fever before initial IVIG treatment, higher levels of hs-CRP, or elevated serum ferritin levels are more likely to develop CAL.

Incidence and seasonality of Kawasaki disease in children in the Philippines, and its association with ambient air temperature

Background

Despite an unknown cause, Kawasaki disease (KD) is currently the primary leading cause of acquired heart disease in developed countries in children and has been increasing in recent years. Research efforts have explored environmental factors related to KD, but they are still unclear especially in the tropics. We aimed to describe the incidence of KD in children, assess its seasonality, and determine its association with ambient air temperature in the National Capital Region (NCR), Philippines from January 2009 to December 2019.

Methods

Monthly number of KD cases from the Philippine Pediatric Society (PPS) disease registry was collected to determine the incidence of KD. A generalized linear model (GLM) with quasi-Poisson regression was utilized to assess the seasonality of KD and determine its association with ambient air temperature after adjusting for the relevant confounders.

Results

The majority of KD cases (68.52%) occurred in children less than five years old, with incidence rates ranging from 14.98 to 23.20 cases per 100,000 population, and a male-to-female ratio of 1.43:1. Seasonal variation followed a unimodal shape with a rate ratio of 1.13 from the average, peaking in March and reaching the lowest in September. After adjusting for seasonality and long-term trend, every one-degree Celsius increase in the monthly mean temperature significantly increased the risk of developing KD by 8.28% (95% CI: 2.12%, 14.80%). Season-specific analysis revealed a positive association during the dry season (RR: 1.06, 95% CI: 1.01, 1.11), whereas no evidence of association was found during the wet season (RR: 1.10, 95% CI: 0.95, 1.27).

Conclusion

We have presented the incidence of KD in the Philippines which is relatively varied from its neighboring countries. The unimodal seasonality of KD and its linear association with temperature, independent of season and secular trend, especially during dry season, may provide insights into its etiology and may support enhanced KD detection efforts in the country.

Decreased incidence of Kawasaki disease in South Korea during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic

Purpose

Analyzing Kawasaki disease epidemiology during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in South Korea using 2012-2020 National Health Insurance Service data.

Methods

The incidence of Kawasaki disease for 2012-2020 was investigated to identify changes in incidence after the start of the pandemic. National Health Insurance Service data from the Republic of Korea were used. Kawasaki disease was defined based on the International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, the Tenth Revision diagnostic code (M30.3), and the intravenous immunoglobulin prescription code. Prescription history was collected for the following medications: intravenous immunoglobulin, aspirin, corticosteroids, tumor necrosis factor-α antagonist, clopidogrel, and anticoagulation drugs.

Results

The Kawasaki disease incidence per 100,000 individuals younger than 5 years was 238.9, 230.0, and 141.2 in 2018, 2019, and 2020, respectively. Regarding the incidence from 2012 to 2020, it was the highest in 2018 and decreased to 141.2 (p < 0.001) in 2020, after the start of the pandemic. In 2020, 28.3% of all patients with KD were infants, a percentage significantly higher than that of the previous year (p < 0.001). There was biphasic seasonality in the monthly Kawasaki disease incidence. The Kawasaki disease incidence was the highest in winter followed by that in early summer.

Conclusion

After the start of the pandemic, the Kawasaki disease incidence decreased, and the percentage of patients with Kawasaki disease aged <1 year increased. These findings provide support for the hypothesis suggesting an infectious trigger in Kawasaki disease.

Survival and factors associated with mortality among infants with anorectal malformation: a population-based study from a middle-income country

Limited data on the survival of anorectal malformation (ARM) patients from lower- and middle-income countries is available. This retrospective population-based study from the State of Johor, Malaysia, determines the incidence, mortality rate, and survival of ARM patients and factors associated with mortality. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to estimate the survival of ARM patients at 1, 5, and 10 years. In addition, multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to analyze mortality-related factors. There were 175 ARM patients among 803,850 live births, giving an overall ARM incidence of 2.2 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.9 to 2.5) per 10,000 live births. The male-to-female ratio was 1.5:1. There were 122 (69%) non-isolated ARM, of which 41 were Trisomy-21 and 34 had VACTERL association. Seventy-three (42%) had congenital heart disease (CHD), with 38 severe and 35 non-severe CHD. Overall, 33 (19%) patients died, with a median age of death of 5.7 months (interquartile range (IQR) 25 days to 11.2 months). The overall estimated 1-, 5-, and 10-year survival rate for ARM patients was 82% (95% CI, 76-89%), 77% (95% CI, 70-84%), and 77% (95% CI, 70-84%), respectively. Univariate analysis shows that non-isolated ARM, VACTERL association, and severe CHD were associated with mortality. However, only severe CHD is the independent factor associated with mortality, with a hazard ratio of 4.0 (95% CI, 1.9-8.4).  Conclusion: CHD is common among ARM patients, and one in five ARM patients had a severe cardiac defect, significantly affecting their survival. What is Known: • VACTERL association and congenital heart disease are common in patient with anorectal malformation. • Low birth weight and prematurity are associated with a lower rate of survival. What is New: • Congenital heart disease is common in ARM patients in a middle-income country. • Severe congenital heart disease plays a significant role in the survival of patients with an anorectal malformation in lower- and middle-income countries.

Predictive factors of medium-giant coronary artery aneurysms in Kawasaki disease

BACKGROUND

We aimed to examine predictive measures for medium and giant coronary artery aneurysms (CAA) in Kawasaki disease (KD) patients.

METHODS

Patients who were diagnosed with KD from 2015 to 2021 were retrospectively reviewed. The clinical and laboratory data were compared between medium-giant group and non-medium-giant group.

RESULTS

A total of 1331 KD patients were investigated, of whom 63 patients (4.7%) developed medium-giant CAA including 27 patients (2%) with giant CAA. Sex, age, fever duration, intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) resistance, platelet count, and albumin level independently predicted medium or giant CAA by multivariate logistic regression analysis. Male, age, duration of fever, IVIG resistance, platelet count, hemoglobin, and erythrocyte sedimentation rate were independent predictors for giant CAA. The two new scoring systems using these factors in identifying patients with medium-giant CAA and giant CAA had respectively sensitivities of 86.89% and 92.59%, and specificities of 81.65% and 87.93%. Validation in 2021 dataset (193 KD patients) showed comparable sensitivity and specificity to development dataset.

CONCLUSIONS

Male, age, fever duration, IVIG resistance, platelet count, albumin, hemoglobin, and erythrocyte sedimentation rate might be significant predictors of medium and giant CAA. The sensitivity and specificity in our risk prediction model were higher than in previous research.

IMPACT

This is the first study to search for risk factors and establish a prediction model for the development of medium-giant CAA in the Chinese population using z-scores and absolute inner diameter values based on large sample sizes. The sensitivity and specificity in our model were higher than in previous studies. Our research could help clinicians better predict medium-giant CAA and choose more appropriate treatment.

Intravenous immunoglobulin-resistant Kawasaki disease: Risk factors in children in a middle-income country

Background

Identifying risk factors in patients with intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) resistance Kawasaki disease (KD) is vital in managing and preventing coronary artery aneurysms (CAAs). We aimed to study the risk factors for IVIG resistance KD in Malaysian children.

Methods

This retrospective observational study of children with KD was conducted at two tertiary hospitals in Malaysia from January 2014 to December 2019. Multivariable binary logistic regression was used to analyze the risk factors associated with IVIG resistance.

Results

A total of 174 patients, 118 males (67.8%) with a median age of 1.4-year-old (interquartile range: 0.1-12.1-year-old), were analyzed. Early (<5 days) and late (>10 days) IVIG treatments were observed in 14 (8.1%) and 19 (11.0%), respectively. Thirty-two patients (18.4%) had IVIG resistance. The independent factors associated with IVIG resistance were high white cell count, hypoalbuminemia, and extremities changes with an odd ratio of 4.7, 3.0, and 4.0, respectively. In addition, CAA was significantly higher in IVIG resistance compared to IVIG responder patients (57.5% [19/33] vs. 23.4% [33/141], P < 0.001). The sensitivity was high in Harada (93.8%) but low in Kobayashi and Egami (46.9% and 34.4%, respectively). The specificity was high with Egami (79.6%) but low in Harada and Kobayashi (22.5% and 64.1%, respectively).

Conclusion

Leukocytosis, hypoalbuminemia, and extremities changes were independent risk factors for IVIG resistance. The variation in sensitivity and specificity of the Japanese scoring makes it unsuitable for predicting IVIG resistance in Malaysian children.

Clinical features of Kawasaki disease initially mimicking retropharyngeal abscess: a retrospective analysis

OBJECTIVE

Incomplete Kawasaki disease (IKD) initially presenting as retropharyngeal abnormality is very rare and is prone to misdiagnosis and missed diagnosis, often leading to poor prognosis. Most patients were misdiagnosed with retropharyngeal abscesses. Here, we describe and compare IKD patients initially presenting with retropharyngeal abnormalities, typical KD patients without retropharyngeal abnormalities and retropharyngeal abscess patients.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective case-control study comparing IKD patients initially presenting with retropharyngeal abnormalities to both KD patients without retropharyngeal abnormalities and retropharyngeal abscess patients admitted to Shenzhen Children's Hospital between January 2016 and December 2021.

RESULTS

We evaluated data from 10 IKD patients initially presenting with retropharyngeal abnormalities (Group A), 20 typical KD patients (Group B) and 16 surgical drainage confirmed retropharyngeal abscess patients (Group C). Compared to Group B, we observed that Group A was older and had a more intense inflammatory response. On the day of admission, Groups A and C had similar early clinical presentations, and there were no significant differences in any major signs or symptoms. Close observation for the development of new KD signs and symptoms and unresponsiveness to empirical antibiotic therapy after 3 days is extremely important. The CRP (p = 0.011), AST (p = 0.002) and ALT (p = 0.013) levels were significantly higher and the WBC (P = 0.040) levels were significantly lower in Group A than in Group C. Neck radiological findings, such as the presence of ring enhancement (p = 0.001) and mass effects on the airway, are also useful tools for distinguishing these two diseases.

CONCLUSION

The careful observation of the signs and symptoms of this disease and the comprehensive analysis of the laboratory tests and neck radiological findings may help clinicians become aware of retropharyngeal abnormality as an atypical presentation of KD. Then, unnecessary treatments could be reduced, and the occurrence of serious complications can be avoided.

Efficacy of Gamma Globulins in Children with Kawasaki Disease and Factors Influencing Children’s Short-Term Prognosis

Purpose

To explore and analyze the therapeutic effect of gamma globulins (GG) on Kawasaki disease (KD) in children and the influencing factors of short-term prognosis.

Methods

First, 90 pediatric KD patients admitted between January 2019 and January 2021 were selected and divided into a control group (n = 40) and a research group (n = 50) according to the difference in treatment. In addition to routine treatment and nursing given to both groups, control group was given aspirin (ASA), based on which research group was supplemented with GG therapy. The treatment outcome and adverse events (AEs) of the two cohorts of patients were analyzed and compared, and the influencing factors of children's short-term prognosis were analyzed by logistics multivariate analysis.

Results

Research group had a statistical higher overall response rate than control group, with significantly fewer cases suffering from AEs such as nausea and vomiting, diarrhea, rash, dizziness and headache, and coronary artery injury. On the other hand, logistics multivariate analysis identified that gender, body mass index (BMI), onset time, platelet (PLT), and treatment mode all independently influence the short-term prognosis of children with KD.

Conclusions

GG therapy is effective in treating pediatric KD patients and can effectively prevent AEs. In addition, gender, BMI, onset-to-treatment time, PLT, C-reactive protein (CRP), and treatment methods are independent risk factors for short-term prognosis of children with KD.

Clinical Manifestations and Laboratory Findings of Kawasaki Disease: Beyond the Classic Diagnostic Features

Kawasaki disease (KD) has shown a marked increase in trend over the globe, especially within the last two decades. Kawasaki disease is often seen in the paediatric population below five years old, while it is rare for those who are beyond that age. Up to this date, no exact causes has been identified although KD was found more than half a century ago. The underlying pathogenesis of the disease is still unelucidated, and researchers are trying to unlock the mystery of KD. To further complicate the diagnosis and the prompt management, a specific biomarker for the diagnosis of KD is yet to be discovered, making it hard to differentiate between KD and other diseases with a similar presentation. Nonetheless, since its discovery, clinicians and scientists alike had known more about the different clinical aspects of typical KD. Thus, this article intends to revisit and review the various clinical manifestations and laboratory characteristics of KD in order to guide the diagnosis of KD.

Kawasaki disease in Malaysia: Biochemical profile, characterization, diagnosis and treatment

INTRODUCTION

Kawasaki disease (KD) is an acute idiopathic systemic vasculitis with a self- limiting course that predominantly affects children under 5 years old, particularly in the East Asian countries. Nevertheless, to date, the data on KD in Malaysia are limited. This study aimed to evaluate the epidemiology, clinical features, treatment, and outcomes of KD among the pediatric patients admitted to Hospital Canselor Tunku Muhriz (HCTM), Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.

METHOD

A retrospective cohort study of 66,500 pediatric patients presented at HCTM from the year 2004 to 2021 was conducted.

RESULTS

62 KD cases out of 66,500 pediatric admissions were reported, with a male-to-female ratio of 1.58 to 1. Majority of KD patients (95.0%) were younger than 5 years old. Prior infection was reported in 5 KD patients (8.1%). Apart from the classical features, manifestations of various organ systems including cardiovascular (16.1%), gastrointestinal (43.5%), neurological (1.61%), musculoskeletal (1.61%), and genitourinary (17.7%) systems were observed. There was a significant association between sterile pyuria and coronary artery aneurysm (CAA) (p < 0.05). Interestingly, abnormal liver parameters (p < 0.05) and incomplete KD (p < 0.05) were significantly related to IVIG resistance.

DISCUSSION

The presence of family history, immunological disorder, and previous infection in our KD patients suggested that there is a possibility of genetic, immunological, and infectious roles in the pathophysiology of KD. IVIG resistance is more likely to occur in KD patients with hepatic dysfunction or incomplete KD presentation. These findings highlighted the significant contribution of laboratory parameters to the prognosis of KD, prompting more in-depth research on the KD scoring systems and their relevance in this country.

Delayed diagnosis of Kawasaki disease in Malaysia: Who is at risk and what is the outcome

BACKGROUND

Data on the delayed diagnosis of (KD) is limited. This study aimed to determine the prevalence and trend of delayed diagnosis over time and identify the associated risk factors in Malaysia.

METHODS

This retrospective, observational, population-based study involved all children with KD registered in Johor Kawasaki Clinical Registry over 10 years (January 2010 and December 2019). The prevalence of delayed diagnosis and its trend over time was calculated. Multivariable binary logistic regression was used to identify the independent risk factors for delayed diagnosis.

RESULTS

There were 556 cases of KD, with 28% having incomplete criteria, 11% atypical presentation, while 10% developed a coronary aneurysm. The overall prevalence of delayed diagnosis was 9.9% (95% confidence interval (CI): 7.6-12.7%). There was a statistically significant decrease in delayed diagnosis over time (P = 0.008), with the latest rate of 4.6%. The majority of delayed diagnoses were due to failure to diagnose the disease during the initial consultation. Independent risk factors for delayed diagnosis were children older than 1 year, diagnosis before 2015, atypical presentation, and incomplete KD, with adjusted odds ratios (ORs) of 2.7, 2.3, 4.3, and 3.6, respectively. Compared to early diagnosis of KD, delayed diagnosis was significantly associated with coronary aneurysms (27.3% vs. 8.2%, P < 0.001, OR 4.2, [95% CI: 2.1-8.3]).

CONCLUSIONS

One-tenth of cases of KD were diagnosed late, but it has improved over time. Children > 1 year, presenting with atypical presentation, and incomplete criteria are associated with late diagnosis.