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Zhang H, Yang R, Yao Y. Construction and evaluation of a risk model for adverse outcomes of necrotizing enterocolitis based on LASSO-Cox regression. Front Pediatr 2024; 12:1366913. [PMID: 39435385 PMCID: PMC11491366 DOI: 10.3389/fped.2024.1366913] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/07/2024] [Accepted: 09/20/2024] [Indexed: 10/23/2024] Open
Abstract
Objective This study aimed to develop a nomogram to predict adverse outcomes in neonates with necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC). Methods In this retrospective study on neonates with NEC, data on perinatal characteristics, clinical features, laboratory findings, and x-ray examinations were collected for the included patients. A risk model and its nomogram were developed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression analyses. Results A total of 182 cases of NEC were included and divided into a training set (148 cases) and a temporal validation set (34 cases). Eight features, including weight [p = 0.471, HR = 0.99 (95% CI: 0.98-1.00)], history of congenital heart disease [p < 0.001, HR = 3.13 (95% CI:1.75-5.61)], blood transfusion before onset [p = 0.757, HR = 0.85 (95%CI:0.29-2.45)], antibiotic exposure before onset [p = 0.003, HR = 5.52 (95% CI:1.81-16.83)], C-reactive protein (CRP) at onset [p = 0.757, HR = 1.01 (95%CI:1.00-1.02)], plasma sodium at onset [p < 0.001, HR = 4.73 (95%CI:2.61-8.59)], dynamic abdominal x-ray score change [p = 0.001, HR = 4.90 (95%CI:2.69-8.93)], and antibiotic treatment regimen [p = 0.250, HR = 1.83 (0.65-5.15)], were ultimately selected for model building. The C-index for the predictive model was 0.850 (95% CI: 0.804-0.897) for the training set and 0.7880.788 (95% CI: 0.656-0.921) for the validation set. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) at 8-, 10-, and 12-days were 0.889 (95% CI: 0.822-0.956), 0.891 (95% CI: 0.829-0.953), and 0.893 (95% CI:0.832-0.954) in the training group, and 0.812 (95% CI: 0.633-0.991), 0.846 (95% CI: 0.695-0.998), and 0.798 (95%CI: 0.623-0.973) in the validation group, respectively. Calibration curves showed good concordance between the predicted and observed outcomes, and DCA demonstrated adequate clinical benefit. Conclusions The LASSO-Cox model effectively identifies NEC neonates at high risk of adverse outcomes across all time points. Notably, at earlier time points (such as the 8-day mark), the model also demonstrates strong predictive performance, facilitating the early prediction of adverse outcomes in infants with NEC. This early prediction can contribute to timely clinical decision-making and ultimately improve patient prognosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- HaiJin Zhang
- Department of Radiology, Jiaxing Maternity and Child Health Care Hospital, Jiaxing, Zhejiang, China
| | - RongWei Yang
- Department of Pediatrics, Jiaxing Maternity and Child Health Care Hospital, Jiaxing, Zhejiang, China
| | - Yuan Yao
- Department of Radiology, Jiaxing Maternity and Child Health Care Hospital, Jiaxing, Zhejiang, China
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Keane OA, Dantes G, Dutreuil VL, Do L, Rumbika S, Sylvestre PB, Bhatia AM. Comparison of preoperative and intraoperative surgeon diagnosis and pathologic findings in spontaneous intestinal perforation vs necrotizing enterocolitis. J Perinatol 2024; 44:568-574. [PMID: 38263461 DOI: 10.1038/s41372-024-01876-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/25/2023] [Revised: 12/28/2023] [Accepted: 01/05/2024] [Indexed: 01/25/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To investigate the accuracy of preoperative and intraoperative diagnosis via comparison to pathologic diagnosis in spontaneous intestinal perforation (SIP) vs. necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC). STUDY DESIGN A retrospective review of neonates <1500 g treated for pneumoperitoneum between 07/2004-09/2022 was conducted. Patients treated for NEC medically prior to diagnosis and those treated with drain only were excluded. Fleiss' Kappa analysis assessed agreement between all three diagnoses: preoperative, intraoperative, and pathologic. RESULT Overall, 125 patients were included with mean birthweight 834.2 g (SD:259.2) and mean gestational age 25.8 weeks (SD:2.2). Preoperative and intraoperative diagnoses agreed in 90.3%, intraoperative and pathologic agreed in 71.1%, and preoperative and pathologic agreed in 75.2% of patients. Fleiss' Kappa was 0.55 (95% CI:0.43,0.68), indicating moderate agreement between the three diagnoses. CONCLUSION Our study shows moderate agreement between preoperative, intraoperative, and pathologic diagnoses. Further studies investigating the clinical characteristics of SIP and NEC are needed to improve diagnostic accuracy and management.
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Affiliation(s)
- Olivia A Keane
- Department of Surgery, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA.
| | - Goeto Dantes
- Department of Surgery, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Valerie L Dutreuil
- Pediatric Biostatistics Core, Department of Pediatrics, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Louis Do
- Emory University School of Medicine, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Savanah Rumbika
- Emory University School of Medicine, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Pamela B Sylvestre
- Department of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, Emory University School of Medicine, Children's Healthcare of Atlanta, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Amina M Bhatia
- Division of Pediatric Surgery, Department of Surgery, Emory University School of Medicine, Children's Healthcare of Atlanta, Atlanta, GA, USA
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Ghazwani SM, Khan SA, Hakami AYO, Alamer A, Medkhali BA. Perforated Meckel's Diverticulum and Adhesive Intestinal Obstruction in a Preterm Neonate: A Case Report. Cureus 2024; 16:e56208. [PMID: 38618400 PMCID: PMC11016192 DOI: 10.7759/cureus.56208] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 03/14/2024] [Indexed: 04/16/2024] Open
Abstract
Perforated bowel and adhesive intestinal obstruction are common indications for emergency surgical intervention in a preterm neonate. The initial approach to managing perforation involves either peritoneal drain insertion or formal laparotomy. Once a neonate presents with complete bowel obstruction, prompt abdominal exploration becomes crucial. One prevalent cause of bowel obstruction in this population is adhesions resulting from previous surgeries. This report details the case of a preterm, extremely low birth weight neonate experiencing pneumoperitoneum, initially managed with an intraperitoneal drain. Despite temporary improvement, the infant developed recurrent pneumoperitoneum, necessitating formal exploratory laparotomy. Approximately one month post-surgery, the baby encountered complete bowel obstruction due to adhesive intestinal obstruction, requiring a second exploratory laparotomy. The child survived both surgical interventions and is thriving at follow-up. Our findings suggest that in select cases, intraperitoneal drain placement may suffice. However, there is a need for further research to improve the suspicion and diagnosis of Meckel's diverticulum perforations in neonates. Additionally, vigilant assessment and timely intervention for adhesive intestinal obstruction can enhance bowel salvage outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | - Afnan Alamer
- College of Medicine, Jazan University, Jazan, SAU
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van Varsseveld OC, Klerk DH, Jester I, Lacher M, Kooi EMW, Hulscher JBF. Outcome Reporting in Interventional Necrotizing Enterocolitis Studies: A Systematic Review. J Pediatr Surg 2023; 58:2105-2113. [PMID: 37516599 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpedsurg.2023.06.017] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/19/2022] [Revised: 06/12/2023] [Accepted: 06/27/2023] [Indexed: 07/31/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Despite an increasing necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) incidence, treatment strategies have failed to make major advancements towards improved NEC outcomes. Heterogeneity in outcome reporting and a lack of treatment efficacy studies potentially hamper these advancements. We aimed to analyze outcome reporting in recent interventional NEC studies. METHODS We performed a systematic review identifying interventional studies on NEC between 1st of January 2016 and 1st of June 2023 in MEDLINE, Embase, CENTRAL and Cochrane reviews. Systematic reviews, clinical trials and change-in-practice cohort studies reporting any therapeutic intervention for NEC patients (Bell's stage ≥ IIa) were eligible. We excluded studies on NEC diagnostics or prevention and non-English publications. Outcomes were categorized into five core areas and presented descriptively. The review was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42022302712). RESULTS Out of 1.642 screened records, 65 were eligible for full-text review and 15 were finally included for data extraction. Median number of reported outcomes per article was six (range 1-19). We identified 66 unique outcomes, which were mapped to 53 outcome terms. Thirty-four out of the 53 of the outcome terms (64%) were only reported in a single article. Mortality was the most reported outcome (11/15 articles, 73%). Core area 'Adverse outcomes' contained the most outcome terms (n = 19), whereas 'Life impact' contained the least outcome terms (n = 4) and was represented in 3 articles (20%). CONCLUSIONS Considerable heterogeneity in outcome reporting and a paucity of outcomes concerning 'Life impact' exist in interventional NEC studies. Development of a NEC core outcome set may improve consistency and patient-relevance in outcome reporting. STUDY TYPE Systematic Review and Meta-Analyses. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE III.
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Affiliation(s)
- Otis C van Varsseveld
- Department of Surgery, Division of Pediatric Surgery, University Medical Center Groningen, University of Groningen, Groningen, the Netherlands.
| | - Daphne H Klerk
- Department of Neonatology, Beatrix Children's Hospital, University Medical Center Groningen, University of Groningen, the Netherlands
| | - Ingo Jester
- Department of Pediatric Surgery, Birmingham Children's Hospital, Birmingham, United Kingdom
| | - Martin Lacher
- Department of Pediatric Surgery, University Hospital Leipzig, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany
| | - Elisabeth M W Kooi
- Department of Neonatology, Beatrix Children's Hospital, University Medical Center Groningen, University of Groningen, the Netherlands
| | - Jan B F Hulscher
- Department of Surgery, Division of Pediatric Surgery, University Medical Center Groningen, University of Groningen, Groningen, the Netherlands
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Beharry KD, Latkowska M, Valencia AM, Allana A, Soto J, Cai CL, Golombek S, Hand I, Aranda JV. Factors Influencing Neonatal Gut Microbiome and Health with a Focus on Necrotizing Enterocolitis. Microorganisms 2023; 11:2528. [PMID: 37894186 PMCID: PMC10608807 DOI: 10.3390/microorganisms11102528] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/30/2023] [Revised: 09/21/2023] [Accepted: 10/06/2023] [Indexed: 10/29/2023] Open
Abstract
Maturational changes in the gut start in utero and rapidly progress after birth, with some functions becoming fully developed several months or years post birth including the acquisition of a full gut microbiome, which is made up of trillions of bacteria of thousands of species. Many factors influence the normal development of the neonatal and infantile microbiome, resulting in dysbiosis, which is associated with various interventions used for neonatal morbidities and survival. Extremely low gestational age neonates (<28 weeks' gestation) frequently experience recurring arterial oxygen desaturations, or apneas, during the first few weeks of life. Apnea, or the cessation of breathing lasting 15-20 s or more, occurs due to immature respiratory control and is commonly associated with intermittent hypoxia (IH). Chronic IH induces oxygen radical diseases of the neonate, including necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC), the most common and devastating gastrointestinal disease in preterm infants. NEC is associated with an immature intestinal structure and function and involves dysbiosis of the gut microbiome, inflammation, and necrosis of the intestinal mucosal layer. This review describes the factors that influence the neonatal gut microbiome and dysbiosis, which predispose preterm infants to NEC. Current and future management and therapies, including the avoidance of dysbiosis, the use of a human milk diet, probiotics, prebiotics, synbiotics, restricted antibiotics, and fecal transplantation, for the prevention of NEC and the promotion of a healthy gut microbiome are also reviewed. Interventions directed at boosting endogenous and/or exogenous antioxidant supplementation may not only help with prevention, but may also lessen the severity or shorten the course of the disease.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kay D. Beharry
- Department of Pediatrics, Division of Neonatal-Perinatal Medicine, State University of New York Downstate Health Sciences University, Brooklyn, NY 11203, USA; (M.L.); (C.L.C.); (S.G.); (J.V.A.)
| | - Magdalena Latkowska
- Department of Pediatrics, Division of Neonatal-Perinatal Medicine, State University of New York Downstate Health Sciences University, Brooklyn, NY 11203, USA; (M.L.); (C.L.C.); (S.G.); (J.V.A.)
| | - Arwin M. Valencia
- Department of Pediatrics, Division of Neonatal-Perinatal Medicine, Saddleback Memorial Medical Center, Laguna Hills, CA 92653, USA;
| | - Ahreen Allana
- Department of Pediatrics, State University of New York Downstate Health Sciences University, Brooklyn, NY 11203, USA; (A.A.); (J.S.)
| | - Jatnna Soto
- Department of Pediatrics, State University of New York Downstate Health Sciences University, Brooklyn, NY 11203, USA; (A.A.); (J.S.)
| | - Charles L. Cai
- Department of Pediatrics, Division of Neonatal-Perinatal Medicine, State University of New York Downstate Health Sciences University, Brooklyn, NY 11203, USA; (M.L.); (C.L.C.); (S.G.); (J.V.A.)
| | - Sergio Golombek
- Department of Pediatrics, Division of Neonatal-Perinatal Medicine, State University of New York Downstate Health Sciences University, Brooklyn, NY 11203, USA; (M.L.); (C.L.C.); (S.G.); (J.V.A.)
| | - Ivan Hand
- Department of Pediatrics, Division of Neonatal-Perinatal Medicine, Kings County Hospital Center, Brooklyn, NY 11203, USA;
| | - Jacob V. Aranda
- Department of Pediatrics, Division of Neonatal-Perinatal Medicine, State University of New York Downstate Health Sciences University, Brooklyn, NY 11203, USA; (M.L.); (C.L.C.); (S.G.); (J.V.A.)
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Solis-Garcia G, Pierro A, Jasani B. Laparotomy versus Peritoneal Drainage as Primary Treatment for Surgical Necrotizing Enterocolitis or Spontaneous Intestinal Perforation in Preterm Neonates: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. CHILDREN (BASEL, SWITZERLAND) 2023; 10:1170. [PMID: 37508667 PMCID: PMC10378122 DOI: 10.3390/children10071170] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/06/2023] [Revised: 06/30/2023] [Accepted: 07/04/2023] [Indexed: 07/30/2023]
Abstract
AIM to systematically review and meta-analyze the impact on morbidity and mortality of peritoneal drainage (PD) compared to laparotomy (LAP) in preterm neonates with surgical NEC (sNEC) or spontaneous intestinal perforation (SIP). METHODS Medical databases were searched until June 2022 for studies comparing PD and LAP as primary surgical treatment of preterm neonates with sNEC or SIP. The primary outcome was survival during hospitalization; predefined secondary outcomes included need for parenteral nutrition at 90 days, time to reach full enteral feeds, need for subsequent laparotomy, duration of hospitalization and complications. RESULTS Three RCTs (N = 493) and 49 observational studies (N = 19,447) were included. No differences were found in the primary outcome for RCTs, but pooled observational data showed that, compared to LAP, infants with sNEC/SIP who underwent PD had lower survival [48 studies; N = 19,416; RR 0.85; 95% CI 0.79-0.90; GRADE: low]. Observational studies also showed that the subgroup of infants with sNEC had increased survival in the LAP group (30 studies; N = 9370; RR = 0.82; 95% CI 0.72-0.91; GRADE: low). CONCLUSIONS Compared to LAP, PD as primary surgical treatment for sNEC or SIP has similar survival rates when analyzing data from RCTs. PD was associated with lower survival rates in observational studies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gonzalo Solis-Garcia
- Division of Neonatology, The Hospital for Sick Children, 555 University Avenue, Toronto, ON M5G 1X8, Canada
- Department of Pediatrics, Mount Sinai Hospital, Toronto, ON M5G 1X5, Canada
- Department of Pediatrics, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON M5S 1A1, Canada
| | - Agostino Pierro
- Department of Pediatrics, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON M5S 1A1, Canada
- Department of Surgery, The Hospital for Sick Children, Toronto, ON M5G 1X8, Canada
| | - Bonny Jasani
- Division of Neonatology, The Hospital for Sick Children, 555 University Avenue, Toronto, ON M5G 1X8, Canada
- Department of Pediatrics, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON M5S 1A1, Canada
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7
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Solis-Garcia G, Jasani B. Laparotomy vs. peritoneal drainage: the need for better evidence : Letter to editor on the manuscript "Initial surgical treatment of necrotizing enterocolitis: a meta-analysis of peritoneal drainage versus laparotomy". Eur J Pediatr 2022; 181:3559-3560. [PMID: 35821132 DOI: 10.1007/s00431-022-04556-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/02/2022] [Revised: 06/10/2022] [Accepted: 07/04/2022] [Indexed: 11/24/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Gonzalo Solis-Garcia
- Department of Pediatrics, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada.
- Division of Neonatology, Hospital for Sick Children, 666 University Avenue, Toronto, ON, Canada.
| | - Bonny Jasani
- Department of Pediatrics, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
- Division of Neonatology, Hospital for Sick Children, 666 University Avenue, Toronto, ON, Canada
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