Cell cycle progression score improves risk stratification in prostate cancer patients with adverse pathology after radical prostatectomy

Development and Validation of a Multimodality Model Based on Whole-Slide Imaging and Biparametric MRI for Predicting Postoperative Biochemical Recurrence in Prostate Cancer

Purpose To develop and validate a machine learning multimodality model based on preoperative MRI, surgical whole-slide imaging (WSI), and clinical variables for predicting prostate cancer (PCa) biochemical recurrence (BCR) following radical prostatectomy (RP). Materials and Methods In this retrospective study (September 2015 to April 2021), 363 male patients with PCa who underwent RP were divided into training (n = 254; median age, 69 years [IQR, 64-74 years]) and testing (n = 109; median age, 70 years [IQR, 65-75 years]) sets at a ratio of 7:3. The primary end point was biochemical recurrence-free survival. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox algorithm was applied to select independent clinical variables and construct the clinical signature. The radiomics signature and pathomics signature were constructed using preoperative MRI and surgical WSI data, respectively. A multimodality model was constructed by combining the radiomics signature, pathomics signature, and clinical signature. Using Harrell concordance index (C index), the predictive performance of the multimodality model for BCR was assessed and compared with all single-modality models, including the radiomics signature, pathomics signature, and clinical signature. Results Both radiomics and pathomics signatures achieved good performance for BCR prediction (C index: 0.742 and 0.730, respectively) on the testing cohort. The multimodality model exhibited the best predictive performance, with a C index of 0.860 on the testing set, which was significantly higher than all single-modality models (all P ≤ .01). Conclusion The multimodality model effectively predicted BCR following RP in patients with PCa and may therefore provide an emerging and accurate tool to assist postoperative individualized treatment. Keywords: MR Imaging, Urinary, Pelvis, Comparative Studies Supplemental material is available for this article. © RSNA, 2024.

Genomic classifiers and prognosis of localized prostate cancer: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Refinement of the risk classification for localized prostate cancer is warranted to aid in clinical decision making. A systematic analysis was undertaken to evaluate the prognostic ability of three genomic classifiers, Decipher, GPS, and Prolaris, for biochemical recurrence, development of metastases and prostate cancer-specific mortality in patients with localized prostate cancer.

METHODS

Data sources: MEDLINE, Embase, and Web of Science were queried for reports published from January 2010 to April 2022.

STUDY SELECTION

prospective or retrospective studies reporting prognosis for patients with localized prostate cancer.

DATA EXTRACTION

relevant data were extracted into a customized database by one researcher with a second overreading. Risk of bias was assessed using a validated tool for prognostic studies, Quality in Prognosis Studies (QUIPS). Disagreements were resolved by consensus or by input from a third reviewer. We assessed the certainty of evidence by GRADE incorporating adaptation for prognostic studies.

RESULTS

Data synthesis: a total of 39 studies (37 retrospective) involving over 10,000 patients were identified. Twenty-two assessed Decipher, 5 GPS, and 14 Prolaris. Thirty-four studies included patients who underwent prostatectomy. Based on very low to low certainty of evidence, each of the three genomic classifiers modestly improved upon the prognostic ability for biochemical recurrence, development of metastases, and prostate cancer-specific mortality compared to standard clinical risk-classification schemes.

LIMITATIONS

downgrading of confidence in the evidence stemmed largely from bias due to the retrospective nature of the studies, heterogeneity in treatment received, and era in which patients were treated (i.e., prior to the 2000s).

CONCLUSIONS

Genomic classifiers provide a small but consistent improvement upon the prognostic ability of clinical classification schemes, which may be helpful when treatment decisions are uncertain. However, evidence from current management-era data and of the predictive ability of these tests is needed.

Molecular Characterization of Clear Cell Renal Cell Carcinoma Reveals Prognostic Significance of Epithelial-mesenchymal Transition Gene Expression Signature

BACKGROUND

There is an ongoing need to develop prognostic biomarkers to improve the management of clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC).

OBJECTIVE

To leverage enriched pathways in ccRCC to improve risk-stratification.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

We retrospectively identified two complementary discovery cohorts of patients with ccRCC who underwent (1) radical nephrectomy (RNx) with inferior vena cava tumor thrombectomy (patients = 5, samples = 24) and (2) RNx for localized disease and developed recurrence versus no recurrence (n = 36). Patients with localized ccRCC (M0) in The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA, n = 386) were used for validation.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

A differential expression gene (DEG) analysis was performed on targeted RNA next-generation sequencing data from both discovery cohorts. Using TCGA for validation, Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and multivariable Cox proportional hazard testing were utilized to investigate the prognostic impact of DEGs, cell cycle proliferation (CCP), and a novel epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) score on progression-free (PFS) and disease-specific (DSS) survival.

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

In the discovery cohorts, we observed overexpression of WT1 and CCP genes in the tumor thrombus versus the primary tumor, as well as in patients with recurrence versus those without recurrence. A hallmark pathway analysis demonstrated enrichment of the EMT- and CCP-related pathways in patients with high WT1 expression in the TCGA (validation) ccRCC cohort. CCP and EMT scores were derived in the validation cohort, which was stratified into four risk groups using Youden Index cut points: CCP^low/EMT^low, CCP^low/EMT^high, CCP^high/EMT^low, and CCP^high/EMT^high. The CCP^high/EMT^high risk group was associated with the worst PFS and DSS (both p < 0.001). In a multivariable analysis, CCP^high/EMT^high was independently associated with poor PFS and DSS (hazard ratio = 4.6 and 10.3, respectively; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

We demonstrate the synergistic prognostic impact of EMT in tumors with a high CCP score. Our novel EMT score has the potential to improve risk stratification and provide potential novel therapeutic targets.

PATIENT SUMMARY

Genes involved in epithelial-mesenchymal transition provides important prognostic information for patients with clear cell renal cell carcinoma.