Possible mortality reduction by endoscopic sphincterotomy during endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography: a population-based case–control study

Development of an Online App to Predict Post-Endoscopic Retrograde Cholangiopancreatography Adverse Events Using a Single-Center Retrospective Cohort

INTRODUCTION

Endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) is a technically demanding procedure with a high risk for adverse events (AEs).

AIM

evaluate patient- and procedure-related risk factors for ERCP-related AEs and develop an online app to estimate risk of AEs.

METHODS

retrospective study of 1,491 consecutive patients who underwent 1,991 ERCPs between 2012 and 2017 was conducted. AEs definition and severity were classified according to most recent ESGE guidelines. Each variable was tested for association with occurrence of overall AEs, post-ERCP pancreatitis (PEP) and cholangitis. For each outcome, 2 regression models were built, from which an online Shiny-based app was created.

RESULTS

Overall AE rate was 15.3%; in 19 procedures, >1 AE occurred. Main post-ERCP AE was PEP (7.5%), followed by cholangitis (4.9%), bleeding (1.3%), perforation (1%), cardiopulmonary events (0.9%), and cholecystitis (0.3%). Seventy-eight percent of AEs were mild/moderate; of severe (n = 55) and fatal (n = 20) AEs, more than half were related to infection, cardiac/pulmonary AEs, and perforation. AE-related mortality rate was 1%. When testing precannulation, procedural covariates, and ERCP findings, AE occurrence was associated with age (odds ratio [OR] 0.991), previous PEP (OR 2.198), ERCP complexity grade III/IV (OR 1.924), standard bile duct cannulation (OR 0.501), sphincterotomy (OR 1.441), metal biliary stent placement (OR 2.014), periprocedural bleeding (OR 3.024), and biliary duct lithiasis (OR 0.673).

CONCLUSION

Our app may allow an optimization of the patients' care, by helping in the process of decision-making, not only regarding patient or endoscopist's selection but also definition of an adequate and tailored surveillance plan after the procedure.

ERCP-related perforations: a population-based study of incidence, mortality, and risk factors

Background

Perforations related to endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) are rare but feared adverse events with highly reported morbidity and mortality rates. The aim was to evaluate the incidence and outcome of ERCP-related perforations and to identify risk factors for death due to perforations in a population-based study.

Methods

Between May 2005 and December 2013, a total of 52,140 ERCPs were registered in GallRiks, a Swedish nationwide, population-based registry. A total of 376 (0.72%) were registered as perforations or extravasation of contrast during ERCP or as perforation in the 30-day follow-up. The patients with perforation were divided into fatal and non-fatal groups and analyzed for mortality risk factors. The case volume of centers and endoscopists were divided into the upper quartile (Q4) and the lower three quartile (Q1–3) groups. Furthermore, fatal group patients’ records were reviewed.

Results

Death within 90 days after ERCP-related perforations or at the index hospitalization occurred in 20% (75 out of 376) for all perforations and 0.1% (75 out of 52,140) for all ERCPs. The independent risk factors for death after perforation were malignancy (OR 11.2, 95% CI 5.8–21.6), age over 80 years (OR 3.8, 95% CI 2.0–7.4), and sphincterotomy in the pancreatic duct (OR 2.8, 95% CI 1.1–7.5). In Q4 centers, the mortality was similar with or without pancreatic duct sphincterotomy (14% vs. 13%, p = 1.0), but in Q1–3 centers mortality was higher (45% vs. 21%, p = 0.024).

Conclusions

ERCP-related perforations are severe adverse events with low incidence (0.7%) and high mortality rate up to 20%. Malignancy, age over 80 years, and sphincterotomy in the pancreatic duct increase the risk to die after a perforation. The risk of a fatal outcome in perforations after pancreatic duct sphincterotomy was reduced when occurred at a Q4-center. In the case of a complicated perforation a transfer to a Q4-center may be considered.

Training in ERCP and EUS in the UK anno 2017

In the last 20 years, endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) has evolved from being a diagnostic procedure to being almost exclusively therapeutic. Similarly, endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) is developing into ever-increasing therapeutic roles. Operator technique is central to diagnostic accuracy in EUS, as is effective and safer therapy for both ERCP and therapeutic EUS. Hence, effective training and robust standards for certification and revalidation are required to ensure ERCP and EUS in the UK are as effective and as safe as possible.

Trends in the Use of Endoscopic Retrograde Cholangiopancreatography for the Management of Chronic Pancreatitis in the United States

GOALS

The aim of this study was to characterize current trends in the use of endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) in the United States for patients hospitalized with chronic pancreatitis.

BACKGROUND

Historically, ERCP was the primary tool for diagnostic and therapeutic management of chronic pancreatitis. With increased availability of magnetic resonance imaging and endoscopic ultrasound, indications for ERCP are being redefined.

STUDY

We performed a retrospective cohort study using the Nationwide Inpatient Sample from 1998 to 2010. We identified patients with a primary discharge diagnosis of chronic pancreatitis who underwent ERCP. We excluded patients diagnosed with biliary, gallbladder, or pancreatic neoplasm and patients who underwent gallbladder or pancreatic operation during the same admission. We analyzed patient and hospital characteristics, length of stay, and in-hospital mortality, and adjusted for weighted sample schema.

RESULTS

During the study period, 29,318 patients with chronic pancreatitis (mean age 52 y, 57.2% female) underwent ERCP during their hospitalization. The majority of patients were white (56.1%). The majority of procedures were performed at large (72.4%), urban (95.2%), and academic (69.0%) hospitals. Mean hospital charges were $32,929 (SE= $1605). Mean length of stay was 6 days (SE=0.3), with in-hospital mortality of 0.76%. Over the study period, the number of procedures has decreased significantly (P<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In the United States, ERCP has been an important diagnostic and therapeutic tool for chronic pancreatitis. Over the last decade, ERCP has become an uncommon inpatient procedure for chronic pancreatitis.

Prevention of post-endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography pancreatitis: a cost-effectiveness analysis

OBJECTIVES

The aim of the present study was to perform a comparative cost-effectiveness analysis of the different strategies used to prevent post-endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) acute pancreatitis.

METHODS

We performed a cost-effectiveness decision analysis of 4 prophylactic strategies (nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs or NSAIDs, pancreatic stent, stent plus rectal indomethacin, and no prophylaxis) in a simulated cohort of 300 patients during 1 year. Treatment effectiveness was defined as the number of patients who did not develop post-ERCP pancreatitis.

RESULTS

The baseline costs of each strategy were as follows: rectal NSAID $359,098, pancreatic stent $426,504, stent plus rectal indomethacin $479,153, and no prophylaxis $491,275. The mean number of cases developing post-ERCP pancreatitis was 16, 21, 23, and 37 for the strategies rectal NSAID, pancreatic stent, stent plus rectal indomethacin, and no prophylaxis, respectively. Taking rectal NSAID prophylaxis as the reference strategy, the odds ratio of an episode of post-ERCP acute pancreatitis after pancreatic stent placement was 1.33 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.68-2.61); after stent plus indomethacin, it was 1.40 (95% CI, 0.72-2.73), and after no prophylaxis, it was 2.49 (95% CI, 1.35-4.59).

CONCLUSIONS

Rectal NSAID administration proved to be the most cost-effective prophylactic strategy used to prevent post-ERCP pancreatitis. The strategy of no prophylaxis for this complication should be avoided.