Seasonal incidence of ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm and the influence of atmospheric pressure: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Determination of the influence of weather and air constituents on aortic aneurysm ruptures

In this article, we present a method to determine the influence of meteorology and air pollutants on ruptured aortic aneurysm (rAA). In contrast to previous studies, our work takes into account highly resolved seasonal relationships, a time-lagged effect relationship of up to two weeks, and furthermore, potential confounding influences between the meteorological and air-hygienic variables are considered and eliminated using a cross-over procedure. We demonstrate the application of the method using the cities of Augsburg and Munich in southern Germany as examples, where a total of 152 rAA can be analyzed for the years 2010–2019. With the help of a Wilcoxon rank-sum test and the analysis of the atmospheric circulation, typical weather situations could be identified that have an influence on the occurrence of rAA in the southern German region. These are a rainy northwest wind-type in spring, humid weather in summer and warm southwest wind-type weather in autumn and winter.

•

Influence of meteorology and air pollutants on ruptured aortic aneurysm (rAA).

•

Consideration of time lags within flexible high temporal resolution analyses.

•

Case-crossover procedure ensures that only relevant variables influence the results.

•

Developed methodology can be applied to all regions of the world.

•

In southern Germany, specific weather conditions significantly influence rAA.

Aortic aneurysm disease-Make room for chronobiology

BACKGROUND

Aortic aneurysm (AA) is a common atherosclerotic condition, accounting for nearly 6000 deaths in England and up to 175,000 deaths globally each year. The pathological outward bulging of the aorta typically results from atherosclerosis or hereditary connective tissue disorders. AAs are usually asymptomatic until spontaneous rupture or detected on incidental screening. Eight in 10 patients do not survive the rupture and die either before reaching hospital or from complications following surgery. Similar to other cardiovascular pathologies, AA is thought to be subject to chronobiological patterns of varying incidence.

METHODS

We performed a literature review of the current literature to evaluate the association between circadian rhythms, seasonal variations, and genetic factors and the pathogenesis of AA, reviewing the impact of chronobiology.

RESULTS

The incidence of AA is found to peak in the early morning (6-11 a.m.) and colder months, and conversely troughs towards the evening and warmer months, exhibiting a similar pattern of chronobiological rhythm as other cerebrovascular pathologies, such as myocardial infarcts, or cerebrovascular strokes.

CONCLUSION

Literature suggests there exists a clear relationship between chronobiology and the incidence and pathogenesis of ruptured AA; incidence increases in the morning (6-11 a.m.), and during colder months (December-January). This is more pronounced in patients with Marfan syndrome, or vitamin D deficiency. The underlying pathophysiology and implications this has for chronotherapeutics, are also discussed. Our review shows a clear need for further research into the chronotherapeutic approach to preventing ruptured AA in the journey towards precision medicine.

Trends in abdominal aortic aneurysm-related mortality in Brazil, 2000-2016: a multiple-cause-of-death study

OBJECTIVES

Remarkable changes in the epidemiology of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) have occurred in many countries during last few decades, which have also affected Brazilian mortality concurrently. This study aimed to investigate mortality trends related to AAA mortality in Brazil from 2000 to 2016.

METHODS

Annual AAA mortality data was extracted from the public databases of the Mortality Information System, and processed by the Multiple Cause Tabulator.

RESULTS

In Brazil, 2000 through 2016, AAA occurred in 69,513 overall deaths; in 79.6% as underlying and in 20.4% as an associated cause of death, corresponding to rates respectively of 2.45, 1.95 and 0.50 deaths per 100,000 population; 65.4% male and 34.6% female; 60.6% in the Southeast region. The mean ages at death were 71.141 years overall, and 70.385 years and 72.573 years for men and women, respectively. Ruptured AAA occurred in 64.3% of the deaths where AAA was an underlying cause, and in 18.0% of the deaths where AAA was an associated cause. The standardized rates increased during 2000-2008, followed by a decrease during 2008-2016, resulting in an average annual percent change decline of -0.2 (confidence interval [CI], -0.5 to 0.2) for the entire 2000-2016 period. As associated causes, shock (39.2%), hemorrhages (33.0%), and hypertensive diseases (26.7%) prevailed with ruptured aneurysms, while hypertensive diseases (29.4%) were associated with unruptured aneurysms. A significant seasonal variation, highest during autumn and followed by in winter, was observed in the overall ruptured and unruptured AAA deaths.

CONCLUSIONS

This study highlights the need to accurately document epidemiologic trends related to AAA in Brazil. We demonstrate the burden of AAA on mortality in older individuals, and our results may assist with effective planning of mortality prevention and control in patients with AAA.

Climatic influence on the risk of abdominal aortic aneurysm rupture

Our aim is to examine the effects of climatic conditions on the incidence of ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms (rAAA) in Catalonia, Spain. We combined clinical data from the Public Health official registries in Catalonia, Spain (HD-MBDS) of all rAAA with local climatic data obtained from the closest meteorological station (69 stations, National Meteorological Service: MeteoCat) from 2008 to 2017. We analyzed the median, maximum, minimum, and variability of atmospheric pressure (hPa) and air temperature (°C), solar irradiation (MJ/m²), humidity (%), accumulated precipitation (mm), median wind, and maximum flaw direction and velocity (°, m/s), recorded on the days of events, the previous day, and mean results for 3, 7, and 30 days before, as well as seasonality. Seventy-five control days were randomly selected in a 1-year period around every rAAA day at the same meteorological station, and compared. A total of 717 days and locations with rAAA were identified, and 53,775 controls were randomly selected. For the rAAA days, there were significantly lower temperatures, lower solar global irradiation, and higher mean humidity levels in all time periods (p < 0.001, p < 0.001, p < 0.05); higher atmospheric pressure variability during 1 week and 1 month before (p = 0.011, p = 0.007); and they often occurred during autumn/winter (57.6%, p < 0.001). Logistic regression identified low mean temperatures on the days of ruptures and high mean humidity the week before as independent rupture predictors. In conclusion, low median temperatures the same day and high humidity during 1 week before were identified as independent predictors of rAAA occurrence. The role of climate on pathophysiologic mechanisms may require further investigation.

The effects of changing meteorological parameters on fatal aortic catastrophes

Background

Over the span of the last decade, medical research has been increasingly putting greater emphasis on the study of meteorological parameters due to their connection to cardiovascular diseases. The main goal of this study was to explore the relationship between fatal aortic catastrophes and changes in atmospheric pressure and temperature.

Methods

We used a Cox process model to quantify the effects of environmental factors on sudden deaths resulting from aortic catastrophes. We used transfer entropy to draw conclusion about the causal connection between mortality and meteorological parameters. Our main tool was a computer program which we developed earlier in order to evaluate the relationship between pulmonary embolism mortality and weather on data sets comprised of aortic aneurysm (AA) and acute aortic dissection (AAD) cases, where one of these two medical conditions had led to fatal rupture of the aorta. Our source for these cases were the autopsy databases of Semmelweis University, from the time period of 1994 to 2014. We have examined 160 aneurysm and 130 dissection cases in relation to changes in meteorological parameters. The algorythm implemented in our program is based on a non-parametric a Cox process model. It is capable of splitting slowly varying unknown global trends from fluctuations potentially caused by weather. Furthermore, it allows us to explore complex non-linear interactions between meteorological parameters and mortality.

Results

Model measures the relative growth of the expected number of events on the n^th day caused by the deviation of environmental parameters from its mean value. The connection between ruptured aortic aneurysms (rAA) and changes in atmospheric pressure is more significant than their connection with mean daily temperatures. With an increase in atmospheric pressure, the rate of rAA mortality also increased. The effects of meteorological parameters were weaker for deaths resulting from acute aortic dissections (AAD), although low mean daily temperatures increased the intensity of occurrence for AAD-related deaths.

Conclusion

The occurrence rate of fatal aortic catastrophes showed a slight dependence on the two examined parameters within our groups.