1
|
Visco V, Robustelli A, Loria F, Rispoli A, Palmieri F, Bramanti A, Carrizzo A, Vecchione C, Palmieri F, Ciccarelli M, D'Angelo G. An explainable model for predicting Worsening Heart Failure based on genetic programming. Comput Biol Med 2024; 182:109110. [PMID: 39243517 DOI: 10.1016/j.compbiomed.2024.109110] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/18/2024] [Revised: 09/02/2024] [Accepted: 09/02/2024] [Indexed: 09/09/2024]
Abstract
Heart Failure (HF) poses a challenge for our health systems, and early detection of Worsening HF (WHF), defined as a deterioration in symptoms and clinical and instrumental signs of HF, is vital to improving prognosis. Predicting WHF in a phase that is currently undiagnosable by physicians would enable prompt treatment of such events in patients at a higher risk of WHF. Although the role of Artificial Intelligence in cardiovascular diseases is becoming part of clinical practice, especially for diagnostic and prognostic purposes, its usage is often considered not completely reliable due to the incapacity of these models to provide a valid explanation about their output results. Physicians are often reluctant to make decisions based on unjustified results and see these models as black boxes. This study aims to develop a novel diagnostic model capable of predicting WHF while also providing an easy interpretation of the outcomes. We propose a threshold-based binary classifier built on a mathematical model derived from the Genetic Programming approach. This model clearly indicates that WHF is closely linked to creatinine, sPAP, and CAD, even though the relationship of these variables and WHF is almost complex. However, the proposed mathematical model allows for providing a 3D graphical representation, which medical staff can use to better understand the clinical situation of patients. Experiments conducted using retrospectively collected data from 519 patients treated at the HF Clinic of the University Hospital of Salerno have demonstrated the effectiveness of our model, surpassing the most commonly used machine learning algorithms. Indeed, the proposed GP-based classifier achieved a 96% average score for all considered evaluation metrics and fully supported the controls of medical staff. Our solution has the potential to impact clinical practice for HF by identifying patients at high risk of WHF and facilitating more rapid diagnosis, targeted treatment, and a reduction in hospitalizations.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Valeria Visco
- Department of Medicine, Surgery and Dentistry, University of Salerno, Via S. Allende, Baronissi (SA), 84081, Italy
| | - Antonio Robustelli
- Department of Computer Science, University of Salerno, Via Giovanni Paolo II, 132, Fisciano (SA), 84084, Italy
| | - Francesco Loria
- Department of Medicine, Surgery and Dentistry, University of Salerno, Via S. Allende, Baronissi (SA), 84081, Italy
| | - Antonella Rispoli
- University Hospital San Giovanni di Dio e Ruggi d'Aragona, Largo Città Ippocrate, Salerno, 84131, Italy
| | - Francesca Palmieri
- Department of Medicine, Surgery and Dentistry, University of Salerno, Via S. Allende, Baronissi (SA), 84081, Italy
| | - Alessia Bramanti
- Department of Medicine, Surgery and Dentistry, University of Salerno, Via S. Allende, Baronissi (SA), 84081, Italy; University Hospital San Giovanni di Dio e Ruggi d'Aragona, Largo Città Ippocrate, Salerno, 84131, Italy
| | - Albino Carrizzo
- Department of Medicine, Surgery and Dentistry, University of Salerno, Via S. Allende, Baronissi (SA), 84081, Italy; Vascular Physiopathology Unit, IRCCS Neuromed Mediterranean Neurological Institute, Via Atinense, 18, Pozzilli (IS), 86077, Italy
| | - Carmine Vecchione
- Department of Medicine, Surgery and Dentistry, University of Salerno, Via S. Allende, Baronissi (SA), 84081, Italy; University Hospital San Giovanni di Dio e Ruggi d'Aragona, Largo Città Ippocrate, Salerno, 84131, Italy; Vascular Physiopathology Unit, IRCCS Neuromed Mediterranean Neurological Institute, Via Atinense, 18, Pozzilli (IS), 86077, Italy
| | - Francesco Palmieri
- Department of Computer Science, University of Salerno, Via Giovanni Paolo II, 132, Fisciano (SA), 84084, Italy
| | - Michele Ciccarelli
- Department of Medicine, Surgery and Dentistry, University of Salerno, Via S. Allende, Baronissi (SA), 84081, Italy; University Hospital San Giovanni di Dio e Ruggi d'Aragona, Largo Città Ippocrate, Salerno, 84131, Italy
| | - Gianni D'Angelo
- Department of Computer Science, University of Salerno, Via Giovanni Paolo II, 132, Fisciano (SA), 84084, Italy.
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
A genetic programming-based approach for classifying pancreatic adenocarcinoma: the SICED experience. Soft comput 2022. [DOI: 10.1007/s00500-022-07383-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/24/2022]
Abstract
AbstractDuctal adenocarcinoma of the pancreas is a cancer with a high mortality rate. Among the main reasons for this baleful prognosis is that, in most patients, this neoplasm is diagnosed at a too advanced stage. Clinical oncology research is now particularly focused on decoding the cancer molecular onset by understanding the complex biological architecture of tumor cell proliferation. In this direction, machine learning has proved to be a valid solution in many sectors of the biomedical field, thanks to its ability to mine useful knowledge by biological and genetic data. Since the major risk factor is represented by genetic predisposition, the aim of this study is to find a mathematical model describing the complex relationship existing between genetic mutations of the involved genes and the onset of the disease. To this end, an approach based on evolutionary algorithms is proposed. In particular, genetic programming is used, which allows solving a symbolic regression problem through the use of genetic algorithms. The identification of these correlations is a typical objective of the diagnostic approach and is one of the most critical and complex activities in the presence of large amounts of data that are difficult to correlate through traditional statistical techniques. The mathematical model obtained highlights the importance of the complex relationship existing between the different gene’s mutations present in the tumor tissue of the group of patients considered.
Collapse
|
3
|
Abstract
AbstractResource Planning Optimization (RPO) is a common task that many companies need to face to get several benefits, like budget improvements and run-time analyses. However, even if it is often solved by using several software products and tools, the great success and validity of the Artificial Intelligence-based approaches, in many research fields, represent a huge opportunity to explore alternative solutions for solving optimization problems. To this purpose, the following paper aims to investigate the use of multiple Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) for solving a RPO problem related to the scheduling of different Combined Heat & Power (CHP) generators. The experimental results, carried out by using data extracted by considering a real Microgrid system, have confirmed the effectiveness of the proposed approach.
Collapse
|
4
|
Rampone S, Valente A. Evidence of the correlation between a city's air pollution and human health through soft computing. Soft comput 2021; 25:15335-15343. [PMID: 34421340 PMCID: PMC8370450 DOI: 10.1007/s00500-021-06128-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 08/06/2021] [Indexed: 11/24/2022]
Abstract
Huge quantities of pollutants are released into the atmosphere of many cities every day. These emissions, due to physicochemical conditions, can interact with each other, resulting in additional pollutants such as ozone. The resulting accumulation of pollutants can be dangerous for human health. To date, urban pollution is recognized as one of the main environmental risk factors. This research aims to correlate, through soft computing techniques, namely Artificial Neural Networks and Genetic Programming, the data of the tumours recorded by the Local Health Authority of the city of Benevento, in Italy, with those of the pollutants detected in the air monitoring stations. Such stations can monitor many pollutants, i.e. NO2, CO, PM10, PM2.5, O3 and Benzene (C6H6). Assuming possible effects on human health in the medium term, in this work we treat the data relating to pollutants from the 2012-2014 period while, the tumour data, provided by local hospitals, refer to the time interval 2016-2018. The results show a high correlation between the cases of lung tumours and the exceedance of atmospheric particulate matter and ozone. The explicit genetic programming knowledge representation allows also to measure the relevance of each considered pollutant on human health, evidencing the major role of PM10, NO2 and O3.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Salvatore Rampone
- Department of Law, Economics, Management and Quantitative Methods (DEMM), Università del Sannio, Benevento, Italy
| | - Alessio Valente
- Department of Science and Technology (DST), Università del Sannio, Benevento, Italy
| |
Collapse
|