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Hui VWK, Wong GLH, Wong VWS, Chan HLY, Lai JCT, Tse YK, Lai MSM, Yam TF, Li D, Fan X, Yip TCF. Baveno VII criteria for recompensation predict transplant-free survival in patients with hepatitis B-related decompensated cirrhosis. JHEP Rep 2023; 5:100814. [PMID: 37546279 PMCID: PMC10400846 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhepr.2023.100814] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/12/2023] [Revised: 05/21/2023] [Accepted: 05/25/2023] [Indexed: 08/08/2023] Open
Abstract
Background & Aims The latest Baveno VII consensus has provided guidance for identifying patients who have truly recompensated from those with hepatic decompensation. This study aimed to evaluate patients' transplant-free survival in three different stages of cirrhosis. Methods All patients with chronic HBV infection and liver cirrhosis treated with oral nucleos(t)ide analogues from March 2006 to December 2022 were identified from a territory-wide database in Hong Kong. Patients with follow-up duration of <1 year were excluded. Participants were classified into three mutually exclusive groups: (1) no decompensated events (i.e. compensated group); (2) decompensated events occurred (i.e. decompensated group); or (3) decompensated events occurred followed by recompensation according to Baveno VII criteria (i.e. recompensated group). A time-dependent Cox proportional hazard model was adopted for evaluation. The follow-up period was 5 years. Results A total of 4,701 patients with cirrhosis and HBV who were treated with entecavir, tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF), and tenofovir alafenamide fumarate (TAF) were identified. During a median follow-up of 5 years (interquartile range 3.7, 5 years), 3,327 (70.8%), 1,347 (29.2%), and 265 (5.6%) patients had compensated, decompensated, and recompensated cirrhosis, respectively, at least once before the end of the study. In the time-dependent multivariable model, the recompensated group had similar transplant-free survival compared with the compensated group (adjusted hazard ratio 1.16; 95% CI 0.72-1.86; p = 0.536). The 5-year transplant-free survival rate was 89.3% for the compensated group, whereas it was 76.0% for the recompensated group, reflecting a minimal difference between the two groups. Conclusions The clinical significance of recompensation of cirrhosis in improving patient outcomes for individuals with CHB infection was highlighted in this study. Early identification and treatment with nucleos(t)ide analogues might promote hepatic recompensation and thus reduce mortality in patients with CHB. Impact and implications The latest Baveno VII consensus introduces the new concept of hepatic recompensation, which refers to the reversal of the structural and functional changes of cirrhosis after removal, cure, or suppression of the aetiology of cirrhosis. It is essential to investigate the transplant-free survival rates of patients who are able to achieve hepatic recompensation, as this has significant implications for the medical resources required to manage liver failure and transplantation. This study features the clinical significance of hepatic recompensation by comparing patient outcomes of those who achieve it to those who do not. The early identification and use of antiviral treatment with nucleos(t)ide analogues is a pivotal strategy to promote hepatic recompensation, which has the potential to significantly reduce mortality rates in patients with chronic HBV infection and ultimately aid in the elimination of hepatitis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Vicki Wing-Ki Hui
- Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
- Medical Data Analytics Centre (MDAC), The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
- Institute of Digestive Disease, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | - Grace Lai-Hung Wong
- Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
- Medical Data Analytics Centre (MDAC), The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
- Institute of Digestive Disease, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | - Vincent Wai-Sun Wong
- Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
- Medical Data Analytics Centre (MDAC), The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
- Institute of Digestive Disease, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | - Henry Lik-Yuen Chan
- Medical Data Analytics Centre (MDAC), The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
- Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
- Union Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | - Jimmy Che-To Lai
- Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
- Medical Data Analytics Centre (MDAC), The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
- Institute of Digestive Disease, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | - Yee-Kit Tse
- Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
- Medical Data Analytics Centre (MDAC), The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
- Institute of Digestive Disease, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | - Mandy Sze-Man Lai
- Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
- Medical Data Analytics Centre (MDAC), The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
- Institute of Digestive Disease, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | - Tsz-Fai Yam
- Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
- Medical Data Analytics Centre (MDAC), The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
- Institute of Digestive Disease, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | - Dongrong Li
- Department of Statistics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | - XiaoDan Fan
- Department of Statistics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | - Terry Cheuk-Fung Yip
- Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
- Medical Data Analytics Centre (MDAC), The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
- Institute of Digestive Disease, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
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Kaneko S, Kurosaki M, Mashiba T, Marusawa H, Kondo M, Kojima Y, Uchida Y, Fujii H, Akahane T, Yagisawa H, Kusakabe A, Kobashi H, Abe T, Yoshida H, Ogawa C, Furuta K, Tamaki N, Tsuji K, Matsushita T, Izumi N. Risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma at baseline and 1 year after initiation of nucleos(t)ide analog therapy for chronic hepatitis B. J Med Virol 2023; 95:e28210. [PMID: 36222204 DOI: 10.1002/jmv.28210] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/22/2022] [Revised: 10/01/2022] [Accepted: 10/07/2022] [Indexed: 01/11/2023]
Abstract
Nucleos(t)ide analogs (NAs) cannot completely suppress the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). This study aimed to identify the risk factors for HCC development in naïve CHB patients treated with current NA. Patients receiving NA (n = 905) were recruited retrospectively from the 17 hospitals of the Japanese Red Cross Liver Study Group. All treatment-naïve patients had been receiving current NA continuously for more than 1 year until the end of the follow-up. We analyzed the accuracy of predictive risk score using the area under receiver operating characteristic curve. The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score was significantly improved by NA therapy (-0.171 ± 0.396; p < 0.001 at Week 48). A total of 72 (8.0%) patients developed HCC over a median follow-up of 6.2 (1.03-15.7) years. An independent predictive factor of HCC development was older age, cirrhosis, lower platelet counts at baseline and ALBI score, and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) at 1 year after NA therapy according to multivariate analysis. The accuracy was assessed using the PAGE-B, mPAGE-B, aMAP, APA-B, and REAL-B scores that included these factors. Discrimination was generally acceptable for these models. aMAP and REAL-B demonstrated high discrimination with 0.866/0.862 and 0.833/0.859 for 3- and 5-year prediction from the status of 1 year after NA therapy, respectively. Baseline age and platelet count, as well as ALBI and AFP one year after NA, were useful for stratifying carcinogenesis risk. The aMAP and REAL-B scores were validated with high accuracy in Japanese CHB patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shun Kaneko
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Musashino Red Cross Hospital, Tokyo, Japan.,Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Masayuki Kurosaki
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Musashino Red Cross Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Toshie Mashiba
- Center for Liver-Biliary-Pancreatic Diseases, Matsuyama Red Cross Hospital, Matsuyama, Ehime, Japan
| | - Hiroyuki Marusawa
- Department of Gastroenterology, Japanese Red Cross Osaka Hospital, Osaka, Japan
| | - Masahiko Kondo
- Department of Gastroenterology, Japanese Red Cross Otsu Hospital, Shiga, Japan
| | - Yuji Kojima
- Department of Gastroenterology, Japanese Red Cross Ise Hospital, Ise, Mie, Japan
| | - Yasushi Uchida
- Department of Gastroenterology, Japanese Red Cross Matsue Hospital, Matsue, Shimane, Japan
| | - Hideki Fujii
- Department of Gastroenterology, Japanese Red Cross Kyoto Daiichi Hospital, Kyoto, Japan
| | - Takehiro Akahane
- Department of Gastroenterology, Japanese Red Cross Ishinomaki Hospital, Ishinomaki, Miyagi, Japan
| | - Hitoshi Yagisawa
- Department of Gastroenterology, Japanese Red Cross Akita Hospital, Akita, Japan
| | - Atsunori Kusakabe
- Department of Gastroenterology, Japanese Red Cross Nagoya Daini Hospital, Nagoya, Japan
| | - Haruhiko Kobashi
- Department of Hepatology, Japanese Red Cross Okayama Hospital, Okayama, Japan
| | - Takehiko Abe
- Department of Gastroenterology, Japanese Red Cross Maebashi Hospital, Maebashi, Gunma, Japan
| | - Hideo Yoshida
- Department of Gastroenterology, Japanese Red Cross Medical Center, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Chikara Ogawa
- Department of Gastroenterology, Japanese Red Cross Takamatsu Hospital, Takamatsu, Kagawa, Japan
| | - Koichiro Furuta
- Department of Gastroenterology, Japanese Red Cross Masuda Hospital, Masuda, Shimane, Japan
| | - Nobuharu Tamaki
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Musashino Red Cross Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Keiji Tsuji
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hiroshima Red Cross Hospital & Atomic-Bomb Survivors Hospital, Hiroshima, Japan
| | | | - Namiki Izumi
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Musashino Red Cross Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
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Non-Achievement of Alanine Aminotransferase Normalization Associated with the Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma during Nucleos(t)ide Analogue Therapies: A Multicenter Retrospective Study. J Clin Med 2022; 11:jcm11092354. [PMID: 35566481 PMCID: PMC9101732 DOI: 10.3390/jcm11092354] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/12/2022] [Revised: 04/19/2022] [Accepted: 04/20/2022] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
Patients with a chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection who are treated with nucleos(t)ide analogues (NAs) are still at risk for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and it has been clinically questioned whether patients with a high risk of HCC can be identified efficiently. We aimed to clarify the risk factors associated with the development of HCC during NA therapies. A total of 611 chronically HBV-infected patients without a history of HCC, who were treated with NAs for more than 6 months (median 72 months), from 2000 to 2021, were included from 16 hospitals in the Tohoku district in Japan. Incidences of HCC occurrence were analyzed with clinical factors, including on-treatment responses. Alanine aminotransferase (ALT) normalization, based on the criteria of three guidelines, was analyzed with other parameters, including the age−male−ALBI−platelets (aMAP) risk score. During the observation period, 48 patients developed HCC, and the cumulative HCC incidence was 10.6% at 10 years. Non-achievement of ALT normalization at 1 year of therapy was mostly associated with HCC development when ALT ≤ 30 U/L was used as the cut-off (cumulative incidence, 19.9% vs. 5.3% at 10 years, p < 0.001). The effectiveness of the aMAP risk score at the start of treatment was validated in this cohort. A combination of an aMAP risk score ≥ 50 and non-achievement of ALT normalization could stratify the risk of HCC significantly, and notably, there was no HCC development in 103 patients without these 2 factors. In conclusion, non-achievement of ALT normalization (≤30 U/L) at 1 year might be useful in predicting HCC during NA therapies and, in combination with the aMAP risk score, could stratify the risk more precisely.
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Wong GLH, Hui VWK, Tan Q, Xu J, Lee HW, Yip TCF, Yang B, Tse YK, Yin C, Lyu F, Lai JCT, Lui GCY, Chan HLY, Yuen PC, Wong VWS. Novel machine-learning models outperform risk scores in predicting hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with chronic viral hepatitis. JHEP Rep 2022; 4:100441. [PMID: 35198928 PMCID: PMC8844233 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhepr.2022.100441] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/25/2021] [Revised: 12/20/2021] [Accepted: 12/28/2021] [Indexed: 02/08/2023] Open
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Abstract
Hepatitis B virus (HBV) is the one of most common causes of the hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), especially in eastern world. The aim of this review is to try to understand the relationship between HBV and HCC and to reveal the role of prevention and treatment of HBV infection in reducing the incidence of HCC. Strategies to prevent HCC due to HBV can be classified into three categories. These are primary, secondary, and tertiary preventions. Hepatitis B vaccine is now in the most vital position in preventing HBV-associated HCC. In patients with chronic hepatitis B infection, suppressing viral load with potent antivirals such as tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) and entecavir (ETV) prevents the development of HCC and improves prognosis by reducing recurrence after HCC treatments. There is currently no clear consensus on which of these drugs should be preferred. Although data on tenofovir alafenamide (TAF) are scarce, available data with TDF suggest that TAF therapy will also be a strong actor for HCC.
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Unique Features of Hepatitis B Virus-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Pathogenesis and Clinical Significance. Cancers (Basel) 2021; 13:cancers13102454. [PMID: 34070067 PMCID: PMC8158142 DOI: 10.3390/cancers13102454] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/31/2021] [Revised: 05/12/2021] [Accepted: 05/14/2021] [Indexed: 02/07/2023] Open
Abstract
Simple Summary Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is the major risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Understanding the unique features for HBV-induced HCC can shed new light on the unmet needs in its early diagnosis and effective therapy. During decades of chronic hepatitis B, hepatocytes undergoing repeated damage and regeneration accumulate genetic changes predisposing to HCC development. In addition to traditional mutations in viral and cellular oncogenes, HBV integration into the cell chromosomes is an alternative genetic change contributing to hepatocarcinogenesis. A striking male dominance in HBV-related HCC further highlights an interaction between androgen sex hormone and viral factors, which contributes to the gender difference via stimulating viral replication and activation of oncogenes preferentially in male patients. Meanwhile, a novel circulating tumor biomarker generated by HBV integration shows great potential for the early diagnosis of HCC. These unique HBV-induced hepatocarcinogenic mechanisms provide new insights for the future development of superior diagnosis and treatment strategies. Abstract Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is one of the important risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) worldwide, accounting for around 50% of cases. Chronic hepatitis B infection generates an inflammatory microenvironment, in which hepatocytes undergoing repeated cycles of damage and regeneration accumulate genetic mutations predisposing them to cancer. A striking male dominance in HBV-related HCC highlights the influence of sex hormones which interact with viral factors to influence carcinogenesis. HBV is also considered an oncogenic virus since its X and surface mutant proteins showed tumorigenic activity in mouse models. The other unique mechanism is the insertional mutagenesis by integration of HBV genome into hepatocyte chromosomes to activate oncogenes. HCC survival largely depends on tumor stages at diagnosis and effective treatment. However, early diagnosis by the conventional protein biomarkers achieves limited success. A new biomarker, the circulating virus–host chimera DNA from HBV integration sites in HCC, provides a liquid biopsy approach for monitoring the tumor load in the majority of HBV–HCC patients. To maximize the efficacy of new immunotherapies or molecular target therapies, it requires better classification of HCC based on the tumor microenvironment and specific carcinogenic pathways. An in-depth study may benefit both the diagnosis and treatment of HBV-related HCC.
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