Histologic grade and peritoneal cytology as prognostic factors in type 1 endometrial cancer

Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting specific mortality risk: A study of competing risk model based on real endometrial cancer patients

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to construct a competing risk prediction model for predicting specific mortality risks in endometrial cancer patients from the SEER database based on their demographic characteristics and tumor information.

METHODS

We collected relevant clinical data on patients with histologically confirmed endometrial cancer in the SEER database between 2010 and 2015. Univariate and multivariate competing risk models were used to analyze the risk factors for endometrial cancer-specific death, and a predictive nomogram was constructed. C-index and receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) at different time points were used to verify the accuracy of the constructed nomogram.

RESULTS

There were 26 109 eligible endometrial cancer patients in the training cohort and 11 189 in the validation cohort. Univariate and multivariate analyses revealed that Age, Marriage, Grade, Behav, FIGO, Size, Surgery, SurgOth, Radiation, ParaAortic_Nodes, Peritonea, N positive, DX_liver, and DX_lung were independent prognostic factors for specific mortality in endometrial cancer patients. Based on these factors, a nomogram was constructed. Internal validation showed that the nomogram had a good discriminative ability (C-index = 0.883 [95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.881-0.884]), and the 1-, 3-, and 5-year AUC values were 0.901, 0.886 and 0.874, respectively. External validation indicated similar results (C-index = 0.883 [95%CI: 0.882-0.883]), and the 1-, 3-, and 5- AUC values were 0.908, 0.885 and 0.870, respectively.

CONCLUSION

We constructed a competing risk model to predict the specific mortality risk among endometrial cancer patients. This model has favorable accuracy and reliability and can provide a reference for the development and update of endometrial cancer prognostic risk assessment tools.

Analysis of prognostic factors in Grade 3 endometrioid type endometrial carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the prognostic factors of patients with Grade 3 endometrioid endometrial cancer (G3EEC).

METHODS

This four-center, retrospective study included a total of 129 women with G3EEC. Demographic, clinicopathologic, and survival data were collected. Kaplan-Meier method was used for survival analysis. Predictors of outcome were analyzed using Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

Median age at the time of diagnosis was 63 (range 39-87) years and median follow up was 37 (range 6-126) months. For the entire cohort, the 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were 54.3% and 63.6%, respectively. The 5-year DFS rates for lymphovascular space invasion (LVSI) -positive and -negative patients were 41.6% and 88.3%, respectively (P < 0.001). The 5-year OS rates for LVSI-positive and -negative patients were 54.7% and 88.3%, respectively (P = 0.001). Positive LVSI status was identified as the independent prognostic factor for decreased DFS and OS (hazard ratio [HR] 5.5, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.65-18.86; P = 0.006 versus HR 4.4, 95% CI 1.33-14.58; P = 0.013, respectively).

CONCLUSION

LVSI seems to be an independent prognostic factor for decreased DFS and OS in G3EEC patients.

Risk Factors and Prognosis of Early Recurrence in Stage I–II Endometrial Cancer: A Large-Scale, Multi-Center, and Retrospective Study

Objective

The aim of the present study was to determine overall survival (OS) and risk factors associated with early recurrence in patients with FIGO I–II stage endometrial carcinoma (EC).

Methods

Clinical features were retrospectively extracted from the database of China Endometrial Cancer Consortium from January 2000 to December 2019. A total of 2,974 patients with Federation International of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) I–II stage endometrial cancer were included. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to assess OS and disease-specific survival. Cox proportional hazard model and Fine-Gray model were used to determine the factors related to OS. Binary logistic regression model was used to determine independent predictors of early relapse patients.

Results

Of these 2,974 ECs, 189 patients were confirmed to have relapse. The 5-year OS was significantly different between the recurrence and non-recurrence patients (p &lt; 0.001). Three quarters of the relapse patients were reported in 36 months. The 5-year OS for early recurrence patients was shorter than late recurrence [relapse beyond 36 months, p &lt; 0.001]. The grade 3 [odds ratio (OR) = 1.55, 95%CI 1.17–2.05, p = 0.002], lymphatic vascular infiltration (LVSI; OR = 3.36; 95%CI 1.50–7.54, p = 0.003), and myometrial infiltration (OR = 2.07, 95%CI 1.17—3.65, p = 0.012) were independent risk factors of early relapse. The protective factor of that is progesterone receptor (PR)-positive (OR = 0.50, 95%CI 0.27–0.92, p = 0.02). Bilateral ovariectomy could reduce recurrence risk rate (OR = 0.26, 95%CI 0.14–0.51, p &lt; 0.001).

Conclusion

The OS of early relapse EC is worse. Grade 3, LVSI, and myometrial infiltration are independent risk factors for early relapse EC. In addition, the protective factor is PR-positive for those people and bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy could reduce the risk of recurrence.

Clinicopathological Characteristics and Prognosis in Endometrial Cancer With Bone Metastasis: A SEER-Based Study of 584 Women

Purpose

Bone metastasis from endometrial cancer (EC) is rare and poorly described. The purpose of the present study was to investigate the correlation between the clinically accessible factors and survival time among EC patients with bone metastasis.

Patients and Methods

We retrospectively identified and reviewed EC patients with bone metastasis from 2010 to 2016, based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. Univariable and multivariable Cox regressions were applied to evaluate the effects of clinical variables on survival. Kaplan–Meier plots were used to visually demonstrate the correlation between independent risk factors and survival.

Results

Clinical data of 584 EC patients with bone metastasis from the SEER database were analyzed. EC patients with bone metastasis experienced extremely poor survival, with 1-year overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) rates 33.8 and 35.8%, respectively. Variables associated with OS and CSS in the univariable analysis included race, tumor grade, tumor subtype, tumor size, lung, liver and brain metastases, surgery, radiotherapy, and chemotherapy. In the multivariable analysis, tumor grade, tumor subtype, liver and brain metastases, local surgery, and systemic chemotherapy remained independent risk factors for OS and CSS. However, local radiotherapy was an independent predictor of OS, not CSS.

Conclusions

We identified several factors affect the survival of EC patients with bone metastasis, which is useful for clinicians to assess patients’ outcomes. Our study supports surgery and radiotherapy of primary EC, and systemic chemotherapy for prolonging survival among EC patients with bone metastasis, which lays a solid foundation for defining optimal treatment strategy in this specific cohort.

Re-thinking the prognostic significance of positive peritoneal cytology in endometrial cancer

BACKGROUND

Whether abnormal peritoneal cytology (PC) is an independent prognostic factor in endometrial cancer (EC) remains controversial. This study aimed to re-think the prognostic significance of PC in not only all EC patients but also in various subgroups with similar clinicopathological and biological characteristics.

METHODS

EC patients who underwent primary surgery of at least a hysterectomy and were pathologically diagnosed with EC in four hospitals affiliated with the Jikei University School of Medicine were retrospectively reviewed. The prognostic significance of PC was evaluated with univariate and multivariate analyses in the entire cohort and subgroups stratified by surgical stages (early/advanced stages), tumor types (types 1/2), and risk classifications (low/intermediate/high).

RESULTS

Of 1963 EC cases, 1616 met the inclusion criteria. Positive PC was identified as an adverse prognostic factor in analyses of all EC cases and in all subgroup analyses stratified by surgical stages and tumor types. In survival curve comparisons, the progression-free survival (PFS) and disease-specific survival in early-stage patients with positive PC were clearly located between those of stage II patients with negative PC and stage III patients. In the subgroup analyses stratified by risk classification in early-stage EC, positive PC was related to poorer PFS in the intermediate- and high-risk groups but not in the low-risk group.

CONCLUSION

PC status was an independent prognostic factor of EC in all stages and tumor types. Early PC-positive cases, except for the low-risk group, may be recommended for upstaging and should be carefully managed compared with PC-negative cases.

Development and Validation of Nomograms Predicting the Overall and the Cancer-Specific Survival in Endometrial Cancer Patients

Background: The present study was aimed at developing nomograms estimating the overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) of endometrial cancer (EC)-affected patients.

Patients and Methods: We retrospectively collected 145,445 EC patients between 2004 and 2015 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Independent prognostic factors were identified via univariate and multivariate Cox analyses. These risk factors were used to establish nomograms to predict 3- and 5-year OS and CSS rates. Internal and external data were used for validation. The predictive accuracy and discriminative ability were measured by using concordance index (C-index) and risk group stratification.

Results: A total of 63,510 patients were collected and randomly assigned into the training cohort (n = 42,340) and the validation cohort (n = 21,170). Age at diagnosis, marital status, tumor size, histologic type, lymph node metastasis, tumor grade, and clinical stage were identified as independent prognostic factors for OS and CSS (p < 0.05 according to multivariate Cox analysis) and were further used to construct the nomograms. The area under the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve was greater than that of International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) staging system for predicting OS (0.83 vs. 0.73, p < 0.01) and CSS (0.87 vs. 0.79, p < 0.01) in the training cohort. The stratification into different risk groups ensured a significant distinction between survival curves within different FIGO staging categories.

Conclusion: We constructed and validated nomograms that accurately predicting OS and CSS in EC patients. The nomograms can be used for estimating OS and CSS of individual patients and establishing their risk stratification.

Binary grading may be more appropriate for endometrial cancer

Objective:

To elucidate the survival consequences of the prognostic factors for endometrial cancer.

Material and Methods:

This was a retrospective study of 276 patients diagnosed with endometrial cancer who admitted for staging surgery. The extent of the surgery was determined by clinical staging and preoperative evaluation. The pathology specimens were reassessed by a gynecopathologist. Independent risk factors were revealed for the progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS) utilizing Kaplan-Meier and “Cox” proportional analysis.

Results:

The median follow up of the patients was 50 months. Of the 29 patients who died, 15 (5.43%) died because of endometrial cancer. Multivariate analysis revealed that independent risk factors for OS and PFS were stage (p=0.002, 0.002, respectively) and grade 3 (G3) histology (p=0.013, 0.015, respectively). Positive peritoneal cytology was an independent risk factor for OS (p=0.024), but not for PFS (p=0.050). Stage (p=0.005) was found to be the only independent risk factor for DSS. Patients with G1 and G2 histology had a similar and more favorable prognosis than patients with G3 histology.

Conclusion:

Advanced stage, high-grade tumor and the presence of positive peritoneal cytology were ascertained as independent prognostic factors for endometrial cancer. A binary histological grading system could be simpler and as effective as the current three grade system because grade 1 and 2 patients showed similar prognosis.

Decreased secretoglobin family 2A member 1expression is associated with poor outcomes in endometrial cancer

Endometrial cancer is the most common malignancies in developed countries. The present study aimed to identify the role of secretoglobin family 2A member 1 (SCGB2A1) expression in uteri corpus endometrial carcinoma (UCEC) from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database, and determine the SCGB2A1-associated downstream signaling pathways. The clinicopathological characteristics and gene expression data were downloaded from TCGA database. The Kaplan-Meier method and Cox multivariate model were used for survival analysis. Logistic regression was used to analyze the association between the clinicopathological features and SCGB2A1 expression. For validation, data of SCGB2A1 mRNA expression and protein expression were obtained and then survival analysis was performed for 47 patients with endometrial cancer from the Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center (FUSCC). In TCGA dataset, SCGB2A1 expression was significantly higher in tumor tissues (n=528) compared with normal tissues (n=23, P<0.001). The decrease in SCGB2A1 expression in UCEC was significantly associated with age at diagnosis, high tumor grade, residual tumor, positive peritoneal cytology, pelvic lymph node metastasis, para-aortic lymph node metastasis and advanced clinical stage with P<0.05. In the multivariate analysis, SCGB2A1 expression was identified as an independent prognostic factor. In the FUSCC validation set, low SCGB2A1 expression was also associated with worse survival compared with high expression in endometrial cancer (P<0.001). Gene Set Enrichment Analysis revealed that SCGB2A1 may be involved in tumor proliferation and cell cycle regulation. In conclusion, SCGB2A1 may have an important role in the prognosis of UCEC, and has value as a new target for novel therapeutic strategies.

Prognosis Trend of Grade 2 Endometrioid Endometrial Carcinoma: Toward Grade 1 or 3?

Although the prognostic significance of grade in endometrial cancer is well known, grade 2 cases have not been evaluated separately in most of the previous studies. In this study, we aim to investigate whether the oncologic outcomes of grade 2 endometrioid endometrial carcinomas trend towards grade 1 or 3 tumors. Patients' records and pathological reports were reviewed retrospectively and eligible patients with endometrioid endometrial carcinoma were determined and distributed into 3 groups according to their 1988 International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) grade. Groups' characteristics and oncologic outcomes were compared. Differences between grades were tested with z-test and adjusted by Bonferroni method. Kaplan-Meier method was performed for the survival analysis. In total, 776 patients of endometrioid endometrial carcinoma were included in this study. Mean follow-up time was 52 ± 14 months. Patients' mean age was 56.3 ± 10.8 years. Even though grade 2 endometrioid endometrial carcinomas were different from both grade 1 and 3 in terms of the pathological features, survival analyses demonstrated that their oncologic outcomes trended towards grade 1. The grade was determined as an independent prognostic factor for overall survival (OS). The interobserver reproducibility will be improved among pathologists by combining FIGO grade 1 and 2 endometrioid endometrial carcinomas, while prognosis prediction is not likely to be affected.

Nomogram for Predicting Recurrence-Free Survival in Chinese Women with Endometrial Cancer after Initial Therapy: External Validation

This study aimed at developing an available recurrence-free survival (RFS) model of endometrial cancer (EC) for accurate and individualized prognosis assessment. A training cohort of 520 women with EC who underwent initial surgical treatment and an external validation cohort of 445 eligible EC patients from 2006 to 2016 were analyzed retrospectively. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to develop nomograms for predicting recurrence. The concordance index (C-index) and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) were calculated to determine the discrimination of RFS prognostic scoring systems. Calibration plots were generated to examine the performance characteristics of the predictive nomograms. Regression analysis revealed that an advanced International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stage, histological grade 3, primary tumor diameter ≥2 cm, and positive peritoneal cytology were independent prognostic factors for RFS in EC in the training set. The nomograms estimated RFS according to these four variables, with a C-index of 0.860, which was superior to that of FIGO stage (2009 criteria), at 0.809 (P=0.034), in the training cohort. Encouragingly, consistent results were observed in the validation set, with a C-index of 0.875 for the nomogram and a C-index of 0.833 for the FIGO staging (P=0.0137). Furthermore, the calibrations of the nomograms predicting 3- and 5-year RFS strongly corresponded to the actual survival outcome. In conclusion, this study developed an available nomogram with effective external validation and relatively appreciable discrimination and conformity for the accurate assessment of 3- and 5-year RFS in Chinese women with EC.

CRISPR/Cas9-Mediated Gene Knockout of ARID1A Promotes Primary Progesterone Resistance by Downregulating Progesterone Receptor B in Endometrial Cancer Cells

Medroxyprogesterone (MPA) is used for the conservative treatment of endometrial cancer. Unfortunately, progesterone resistance seriously affects its therapeutic effect. The purpose of the current study was to investigate the influence of deletion of AT-rich interactive domain 1A (ARID1A) in progesterone resistance in Ishikawa cells. Ablation of ARID1A was conducted through the CRISPR/Cas9 technology. Acquired progesterone-resistant Ishikawa (Ishikawa-PR) cells were generated by chronic exposure of Ishikawa cells to MPA. The sensitivity of the parental Ishikawa, Ishikawa-PR, and ARID1A-deficient cells to MPA and/or LY294002 was determined using the Cell Counting Kit-8 (CCK-8) assay and flow cytometry analysis. In addition, Western blot analysis and reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction was performed to evaluate the mRNA and protein expression levels of ARID1A, progesterone receptor B (PRB), and P-AKT. Both Ishikawa-PR and ARID1A knockout cells showed insensitivity to MPA, downregulation of PRB, and hyperphosphorylation of AKT compared to the parental Ishikawa cells. Pretreatment with LY294002 significantly enhanced the ability of MPA to suppress proliferation and to induce apoptosis in the parental and Ishikawa-PR cells via the inhibition of AKT activation and upregulation of PRB transcriptional activity. However, the PRB transcriptional activity and insensitivity to MPA were irreversible by LY294002 in ARID1A-deficient cells. Ablation of ARID1A is associated with low PRB expression, which serves an important role in primary progesterone resistance. Akt inhibition cannot rescue PRB or sensitize to MPA in ARID1A knockout cells. These findings suggest that ARID1A may act as a reliable biomarker to predict the response for the combination of AKT inhibitor and MPA treatment.

The prognostic significance of positive peritoneal cytology in endometrial cancer and its correlations with L1-CAM biomarker

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic role of positive peritoneal cytology (PPC) in a cohort of patients with endometrial cancer (EC). The secondary objective was to correlate the PPC and the expression of L1CAM in a group of patients with recurrence endometrial disease.

METHODS

All women diagnosed with EC and who performed a peritoneal cytology at "Regina Elena" National Cancer Institute of Rome from 2001 to 2013 were included in the study. Patients were divided into two groups according to positivity at peritoneal cytology. Moreover, patients with a recurrence disease and whose a tissue microarray (TMA) tumor sample was available underwent a L1CAM analysis.

RESULTS

Seven hundred sixty six patients underwent to EC staging in our Institute: 696 (90.8%) with negative and 70 (9.2%) with positive cytology. Five-year recurrence rate was higher in women with PPC (46.9% vs 18.4%, p = 0 < 0.0001) and, in particular, distant recurrence (86.7% vs 53.4%, p = 0.03). Moreover, we found an interesting pattern of recurrence disease in the group of early stage of EC with NPC and positive L1CAM.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results support the data that PPC may be a potential prognostic factor in early EC, due to its significant association with other risk factors and its significant influence on survival. Our findings confirm the need for large studies that point out the role of PPC and new prognostic factors, including biomarkers as L1CAM.

An elevated preoperative serum calcium level is a significant predictor for positive peritoneal cytology in endometrial carcinoma

Objective

To evaluate preoperative serum calcium concentration and investigate the association between calcium level and positive peritoneal cytology in endometrial carcinoma (EC).

Methods

A total of 510 patients who were diagnosed with EC and had surgery were initially enrolled in this study at Peking University People’s Hospital between January 2012 and December 2016. Clinical characteristics and preoperative serum calcium, albumin, carbohydrate antigen (CA)125, CA19-9, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) were extracted from patient records and evaluated according to postoperative peritoneal cytology. Predictive factors were assessed with Cox univariate and multivariate analyses. Factors selected from multivariate analysis results were used to build a predictive model.

Results

A total of 510 patients are identified in our database and 444 patients who fulfilled inclusion and exclusion criteria are included in this study. Univariate analysis revealed that ionized calcium concentration was closely related to positive peritoneal cytology, tumor grade and lymph-vascular space invasion (LVSI). Moreover, peritoneal cytology was significantly associated with hypertension, tubal ligation, serum CA125, CA19-9, CEA and ionized calcium level. Multivariate analysis revealed that albumin-adjusted calcium level, CA125 and tubal ligation were independent predictive factors of positive peritoneal cytology (P<0.05). A combination of ionized calcium level with the other two indexes yielded significantly great area under the curve (AUC=0.824).

Conclusions

This study enhanced the value of preoperative ionized calcium level. We also identified several potential biomarkers to predict positive peritoneal cytology in EC patients before surgery.

Significance of abnormal peritoneal cytology on survival of women with stage I-II endometrioid endometrial cancer

OBJECTIVE

To examine survival of women with stage I-II endometrioid endometrial cancer whose peritoneal cytology showed malignant or atypical cells (abnormal peritoneal cytology).

METHODS

This is a multi-center retrospective study examining 1668 women with stage I-II endometrioid endometrial cancer who underwent primary hysterectomy with available peritoneal cytology results between 2000 and 2015. Abnormal peritoneal cytology was correlated to clinico-pathological characteristics and oncological outcome.

RESULTS

Malignant and atypical cells were seen in 125 (7.5%) and 58 (3.5%) cases, respectively. On multivariate analysis, non-obesity, non-diabetes mellitus, cigarette use, and lympho-vascular space invasion were independently associated with abnormal peritoneal cytology (all, P<0.05). Abnormal peritoneal cytology was independently associated with decreased disease-free survival (hazard ratio 3.07, P<0.001) and cause-specific survival (hazard ratio 3.42, P=0.008) on multivariate analysis. Abnormal peritoneal cytology was significantly associated with increased risks of distant-recurrence (5-year rates: 8.8% versus 3.6%, P=0.001) but not local-recurrence (5.2% versus 3.0%, P=0.32) compared to negative cytology. Among women with stage I disease, abnormal peritoneal cytology was significantly associated with an increased risk of distant-recurrence in the low risk group (5-year rates: 5.5% versus 1.0%, P<0.001) but not in the high-intermediate risk group (13.3% versus 10.8% P=0.60). Among 183 women who had abnormal peritoneal cytology, postoperative chemotherapy significantly reduced the rate of peritoneal recurrence (5-year rates: 1.3% versus 9.2%, P=0.039) whereas postoperative radiotherapy did not (7.1% versus 5.5%, P=0.63).

CONCLUSION

Our study suggests that abnormal peritoneal cytology may be a prognostic factor for decreased survival in women with stage I-II endometrioid endometrial cancer, particularly for low-risk group.

Molecular Imaging and Precision Medicine in Uterine and Ovarian Cancers

Gynecologic cancer is a heterogeneous group of diseases both functionally and morphologically. Today, PET coupled with computed tomography (PET/CT) or PET/MR imaging play a central role in the precision medicine algorithm of patients with gynecologic malignancy. In particular, PET/CT and PET/MR imaging are molecular imaging techniques that not only are useful tools for initial staging and restaging but provide anatomofunctional insight and can serve as predictive and prognostic biomarkers of response in patients with gynecologic malignancy.