Hepatitis B core antibody and liver stiffness measurements predict HBeAg seroconversion in HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B patients with minimally elevated alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels

A novel nomogram for predicting HBeAg seroclearance in HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B patients treated with nucleos(t)ide analogues

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Seroclearance of hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) is an important treatment goal for patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). This study developed a nomogram for predicting HBeAg seroclearance in CHB patients treated with nucleos(t)ide analogues (NAs).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Five hundred and sixty-nine CHB patients treated with NAs from two institutions between July 2016 to November 2021 were retrospectively included. One institution served as the training set (n = 374) and the other as the external validation set (n = 195). A predictive nomogram was established based on cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

The overall HBeAg seroclearance rates were 27.3 and 21.5 % after the median follow-up of 100.2 weeks and 65.1 weeks in the training set and validation set, respectively. In the training set, baseline aspartate aminotransferase, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase, HBeAg, and hepatitis B core antibody levels were independently associated with HBeAg seroclearance and were used to establish the HBEAg SeroClearance (ESC)-nomogram. The calibration curve revealed that the ESC-nomogram had a good agreement with actual observation. The ESC-nomogram showed relatively high accuracy for predicting 48 weeks, 96 weeks, and 144 weeks of HBeAg seroclearance in the training set (AUCs: 0.782, 0.734 and 0.671) and validation set (AUCs: 0.699, 0.718 and 0.689). The patients with high ESC-nomogram scores (≥ 79.51) had significantly higher cumulative incidence of HBeAg seroclearance and seroconversion than patients with low scores (< 79.51) in both sets (P < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

The novel ESC-nomogram showed good performance for predicting antiviral efficacy in HBeAg-positive CHB patients with NAs treatment.

Baseline quantitative HBcAb strongly predicts undetectable HBV DNA and RNA in chronic hepatitis B patients treated with entecavir for 10 years

The predictive effect of quantitative anti-hepatitis B core on double-negative HBV DNA and RNA remains unstudied. We observed dynamic changes in this measure in chronic hepatitis B patients receiving entecavir for 10 years, evaluating its predictive value for double-negative HBV DNA and RNA. Twenty-seven chronic hepatitis B patients treated with entecavir for 10 years were enrolled in this study. Liver function, quantitative anti-hepatitis B core, hepatitis B surface and e antigens, HBV DNA and RNA were measured at baseline and each follow-up. Virological response was defined as double-negative HBV DNA and RNA; serological response was defined as hepatitis B e antigen seroconversion. After antiviral therapy, quantitative anti-hepatitis B core showed an overall downward trend. Patients with virological response had significantly higher quantitative anti-hepatitis B core levels than those without virological response at baseline. Patients with serological response also had higher quantitative anti-hepatitis B core levels than those without serological response at baseline and week 24. Baseline quantitative anti-hepatitis B core level was the only independent predictor for virological and serological responses. Baseline quantitative anti-hepatitis B core level was powerfully predictive of double-negative HBV DNA and RNA in chronic hepatitis B patients receiving long-term entecavir therapy.