Quantification of histologic regression of rectal cancer after irradiation: a proposal for a modified staging system

Identification of Optimal Parameters for Assessing Lymph Node Status of Patients with Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma After Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to compare the prognostic discrimination power of pretreatment pathologic N stage (prepN), lymph node tumor regression grade (LNTRG), and posttreatment pathologic N (ypN) category for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients who received neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) plus surgery.

METHODS

The study reviewed 187 ESCC patients from two medical centers who underwent nCRT plus surgery. Pathologic LNTRG was defined by the proportion of viable tumor area within the tumor bed in lymph nodes (LNs). An average LNTRG then was calculated by averaging the tumor regression grade (TRG) score of all resected LNs. Lymph nodes containing regression changes or vital tumor cells were used for interpretation of the prepN stage, which reflects the estimated number of originally involved LNs.

RESULTS

The ypN, prepN, and LNTRG categories had significant prognostic stratification power (p < 0.001, log-rank test). Multivariable cox regression showed that all three categories were independent prognostic factors of disease-free survival (DFS) (p < 0.05). The LNTRG category showed a better prognostic value for DFS prediction than the ypN and prepN categories (Akaike information criterion [AIC]: LNTRG [933.69], ypN [937.56], prepN [937.45]). Additionally, the superior predictive capacity of the LNTRG category was demonstrated by decision curve analysis. Similar results were discovered for patients with remaining diseased LNs.

CONCLUSIONS

The three staging categories had prognostic relevance for DFS, with the LNTRG category seeming to have better prognostic indication power. Comprehensive consideration of the ypN status, prepN status, and LN regression may allow for better prognostic stratification of patients.

Artemis as Predictive Biomarker of Responsiveness to Preoperative Chemoradiotherapy in Patients with Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

The aim of this study was to identify Artemis as a predictive biomarker for guiding preoperative chemoradiotherapy in locally advanced rectal cancer. The resection specimens were collected from 50 patients with rectal cancer who underwent preoperative chemoradiotherapy. Artemis expression in biopsy tissues was evaluated using immunohistochemical staining according to the percentage of positively stained cells combined with staining intensity. Among the 50 patients, 36 (72%) had a weakly positive Artemis protein expression, 10 (20%) had a moderately positive expression, and 4 (8%) showed a strongly positive expression. The criteria of magnetic resonance imaging tumor regression grade (mrTRG) and pathological rectal cancer regression grade (RCRG) were used to assess the tumor response to chemoradiotherapy. Correlation analysis shows that there is a significant negative correlation between high Artemis immunoscore and treatment response (r = -0.532, p < 0.001). The results imply that high Artemis expression was associated with poor treatment response. Our study suggested a potential role of Artemis as a predictive biomarker of the tumor response to preoperative chemoradiotherapy in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer.

Volumetric Evaluation of Staging 18F-FDG PET/CT Images in Patients with Esophageal Cancer

Objectives:

The aim of this study was to evaluate the metastatic potential of primary tumor and survival in esophageal cancer (EC) patients by using metabolic tumor volume (MTV) and total lesion glycolysis (TLG) from the staging ¹⁸F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) images. Another aim is to determine a tumor volume-based cut-off value to predict long-term survival.

Methods:

Medical records of EC patients were retrospectively evaluated. Sixty-two patients with staging ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT and at least five years of follow-up were included in the study. The region of interest to the primary tumor and all metastatic sites was created and MTV and TLG values of the primary tumor (MTVp, TLGp) and total tumor volume (MTVt and TLGt) values were obtained. The relationship between the obtained MTV and TLG values and short-time (one-year) and long time (five-year) survival was investigated.

Results:

Significant factors on survival were determined as lymph node or distant metastasis (p=0.024, 0.008, respectively) at the staging PET/CT. A significant relationship between volumetric parameters of the primary tumor and total tumor burden (MTVp, TLGp, MTVwb and TLGwb) between survivors and non-survivors for one-year and five-year was detected. In receiver operating characteristics analysis, the most significant volumetric parameter was MTVwb, with area under curve 0.771 in estimated five-year survival. The best cut-off value was detected as 36.1 mL with 78% sensitivity and 75% specificity for MTVwb in determining long-term survivors.

Conclusion:

Tumor burden in ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT images at the time of staging of patients with EC will contribute to the prediction of long-term survivors.

Preoperative chemoradiotherapy with capecitabine and triweekly oxaliplatin versus capecitabine monotherapy for locally advanced rectal cancer: a propensity-score matched study

Background

Distant metastasis has been the main failure pattern for locoregionally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) patients, and intensified neoadjuvant chemotherapy has become a popular research topic. The present study aimed to compare the survival outcomes, acute toxicities and surgical complications in LARC patients who received preoperative chemoradiotherapy with triweekly oxaliplatin and capecitabine (triweekly XELOX) or capecitabine.

Methods: Between 2007 and 2017, patients with clinically staged II-III rectal cancer who were treated with preoperative chemoradiotherapy using either triweekly XELOX (oxaliplatin 130 mg/m² plus capecitabine 825 mg/m²) or capecitabine were included. Variables potentially influencing chemotherapy treatment selection were used to generate propensity scores (PS). The association between chemotherapy regimens and survival endpoints, including distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS), were evaluated and adjusted with PS. The acute toxicities and surgical complications were also compared.

Results

A total of 810 patients were included in the analysis; 277 (34.2%) patients received triweekly XELOX, and 533 (65.8%) received capecitabine. The pathological complete response (pCR) rates were 20.2 and 19.9% (P = 0.912) for the groups treated with triweekly XELOX and capecitabine, respectively. The 5-year DMFS, OS and DFS with triweekly XELOX versus capecitabine were 75.6% vs. 77.6% (P = 0.555), 79.2% vs. 83.3% (P = 0.101), and 69.9% vs. 73.7% (P = 0.283), respectively. Triweekly XELOX was not associated with an increased risk of severe toxicity during chemoradiotherapy, but it increased the risk of postoperative complications compared to capecitabine. After PS adjustment, the differences between the two groups remained insignificant in pCR rate, survival outcomes, and acute toxicities, and the difference in surgical complications disappeared.

Conclusions

Triweekly XELOX or capecitabine concurrent with neoadjuvant radiotherapy leads to similar long-term survival outcomes, acute toxicities and surgical complications in LARC patients.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12885-022-09855-z.

The role of volumetric and textural analysis of pretreatment 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose PET/computerized tomography images in predicting complete response to transarterial radioembolization in hepatocellular cancer

OBJECTIVE

This study evaluates the role of pretreatment 18F-FDG PET/CT in predicting the response to treatment in patients with hepatocellular cancer (HCC) who applied transarterial radioembolization (TARE) via the volumetric and texture features extracted from 18F-FDG PET/CT images.

METHODS

Thirty-three patients with HCC who had applied TARE [lobar (LT) or superselective (ST)] after 18F-FDG PET/CT were included in the study. Response to the treatment was evaluated from posttherapy magnetic resonance (MR). Patients were divided into two groups: the responder group (RG) (complete responders) and non-RG (NRG) (including partial response, stabile, and progressive). Metabolic tumor volume (MTV) and total lesion glycolysis (TLG) and texture features were extracted from PET/CT images. The differences among MTV, TLG, and texture features between response groups were analyzed with the Mann-Whitney U test. ROC analysis was performed for features with P < 0.05. Spearman correlation analysis was used, and features with correlation coefficient < 0.8 were evaluated with the logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

Significant differences were detected in TLG, MTV, SHAPE_compacity, GLCM_correlation, GLRLM_GLNU, GLRLM_RLNU, NGLDM_coarseness, NGLDM_busyness, GLZLM_LZHGE, GLZLM_GLNU, and GLZLM_ZLNU between RG and NRG. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that MTV was the only meaningful parameter with an AUC of 0.827 (P = 0.002; 95% CI, 0.688-0.966). The best cutoff value was determined as 74.11 ml with 78.9% sensitivity and 78.6% specificity in discriminating nonresponders.

CONCLUSION

In predicting the curative effect of TARE, multivariate analysis results demonstrated that MTV was the only independent predictor, and MTV higher than 74.11 ml were determined the best predictor of nonresponders.

Adding Consolidation Capecitabine to Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy for Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer: A Propensity-Matched Comparative Study

Aim

To determine whether adding consolidation capecitabine chemotherapy without lengthening the waiting period influences pathological complete response (pCR) and short-term outcome of locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) receiving neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT).

Method

Totally, 545 LARC who received NCRT and radical resection between 2010 and 2018 were enrolled. Short-term outcome and pCR rate were compared between patients with and without additional consolidation capecitabine. Logistic analysis was performed to identify predictors of pCR.

Results

After propensity score matching, 229 patients were matched in both NCRT and NCRT-Cape groups. Postoperative morbidity was comparable between groups except for operation time, which is lower in the NCRT group (213.2 ± 67.4 vs. 227.9 ± 70.5, p = 0.025). Two groups achieved similar pCR rates (21.8 vs. 22.7%, p = 1.000). Tumor size (OR = 0.439, p < 0.001), time interval between NCRT and surgery (OR = 1.241, p = 0.003), and post-NCRT carcinoembryonic antigen (OR = 0.880, p = 0.008) were significantly correlated with pCR in patients with LARC. A predictive nomogram was constructed with a C-index of 0.787 and 0.741 on internal and external validation.

Conclusion

Adding consolidation capecitabine chemotherapy without lengthening CRT-to-surgery interval in LARC patients after NCRT does not seem to impact pCR or short-term outcome. A predictive nomogram for pCR was successful, and it could support treatment decision-making.

Identification of proteins associated with treatment response of neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in rectal mucinous adenocarcinoma by co-expression network analysis based on proteomic analysis

For rectal mucinous adenocarcinoma (MAC), identifying biomarkers of neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) response has become imperative. This study applied label-free mass spectrometry and weighted gene co-expression network analysis to identify hub proteins in association with the NCRT response in 20 rectal MAC patients. We identified 131 differentially abundant proteins and 7 candidate proteins associated with the NCRT response. The immunostaining expressions of six proteins (ENOA, ILEU, MDHM, RM11, PTGDS, and RL3) were significantly associated with the NCRT response. Logistic regression analysis revealed that ENOA (OR = 6.275, P = 0.006) was independent risk hub protein for the NCRT response. Tow hub proteins (ENOA and PTGDS) were identified as significant risk factors by Cox regression analysis. A prognostic risk score system was constructed: risk score = (0.910 × EXP_ENOA) + (-1.519 × EXP_PTGDS), and found to be an independent predictor of DFS in rectal MAC patients (HR = 10.308, P < 0.001). Our study suggested that ENOA may be a novel biomarker for the NCRT response and prognosis in rectal MAC patients. A two-hub-protein-based risk score system might be used for predicting tumor recurrence in rectal MAC patients. SIGNIFICANCE: NCRT resistance is a major problem in the treatment of rectal MAC patients. Identifying robust predictive biomarkers for NCRT resistance is beneficial to the stratified treatment of rectal MAC patients. In this study, label-free mass spectrometry and weighted gene co-expression network analysis identified ENOA as a potential novel biomarker for the NCRT response and prognosis. ENOA may be involved in the process of the NCRT resistance and tumor recurrence through the carbon metabolism pathway.

The Conversion of MRI Data With Multiple b-Values into Signature-Like Pictures to Predict Treatment Response for Rectal Cancer

BACKGROUND

Diffusion weighted imaging (DWI) at multiple b-values has been used to predict the pathological complete response (pCR) to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy for locally advanced rectal cancer. Non-Gaussian models fit the signal decay of diffusion by several physical values from different approaches of approximation.

PURPOSE

To develop a deep learning method to analyze DWI data scanned at multiple b-values independent on Gaussian or non-Gaussian models and to apply to a rectal cancer neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy model.

STUDY TYPE

Retrospective.

POPULATION

A total of 472 participants (age: 56.6 ± 10.5 years; 298 males and 174 females) with locally advanced adenocarcinoma were enrolled and chronologically divided into a training group (n = 200; 42 pCR/158 non-pCR), a validation group (n = 72; 11 pCR/61 non-pCR) and a test group (n = 200; 44 pCR/156 non-pCR).

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE

A 3.0 T MRI scanner. DWI with a single-shot spin echo-planar imaging pulse sequence at 12 b-values (0, 20, 50, 100, 200, 400, 600, 800, 1000, 1200, 1400, and 1600 sec/mm² ).

ASSESSMENT

DWI signals from manually delineated tumor region were converted into a signature-like picture by concatenating all histograms from different b-values. Pathological results (pCR/non-pCR) were used as the ground truth for deep learning. Gaussian and non-Gaussian methods were used for comparison.

STATISTICAL TESTS

Analysis of variance for age; Chi-square for gender and pCR/non-pCR; area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC); DeLong test for AUC. P < 0.05 for significant difference.

RESULTS

The AUC in the test group is 0.924 (95% CI: 0.866-0.983) for the signature-like pictures converted from 35 bins, and it is 0.931 (95% CI: 0.884-0.979) for the signature-like pictures converted from 70 bins, which is significantly (Z = 3.258, P < 0.05) larger than D_app , the best predictor in non-Gaussian methods with AUC = 0.773 (95% CI: 0.682-0.865).

DATA CONCLUSION

The proposed signature-like pictures provide more accurate pretreatment prediction of the response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy than the fitted methods for locally advanced rectal cancer.

EVIDENCE LEVEL

3 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 2.

A different overview of staging PET/CT images in patients with esophageal cancer: the role of textural analysis with machine learning methods

OBJECTIVE

This study evaluates the ability of several machine learning (ML) algorithms, developed using volumetric and texture data extracted from baseline 18F-FDG PET/CT studies performed initial staging of patient with esophageal cancer (EC), to predict survival and histopathology.

METHODS

The initial staging 18F-FDG PET/CT images obtained on newly diagnosed EC patients between January 2008 and June 2019 were evaluated using LIFEx software. A region of interest (ROI) of the primary tumor was created and volumetric and textural features were obtained. A significant relationship between these features and pathological subtypes, 1-year, and 5-year survival was investigated. Due to the nonhomogeneity of the data, nonparametric test (The Mann-Whitney U test) was used for each feature, in pairwise comparisons of independent variables. A p value of < 0.05 was considered significant. Receiver operating curve (ROC) analysis was performed for features with p < 0.05. Correlation between the significant features was evaluated with Spearman correlation test; features with correlation coefficient < 0.8 were evaluated with several ML algorithms.

RESULTS

In predicting survival in a 1-year follow-up J48 was obtained as the most successful algorithm (AUC: 0.581, PRC: 0.565, MCC: 0.258, acc: 64.29%). 5-year survival results were more promising than 1-year survival results with (AUC: 0.820, PRC: 0.860, MCC: 271, acc: 81.36%) by logistic regression. It is revealed that the most successful algorithm was naive bayes (AUC: 0.680 PRC: 0.776, MCC: 0.298, acc: 82.66%) in the histopathological discrimination.

CONCLUSION

Texture analysis with ML algorithms could be predictive of overall survival and discriminating histopathological subtypes of EC.

Screening of MicroRNA Related to Irradiation Response and the Regulation Mechanism of miRNA-96-5p in Rectal Cancer Cells

Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy has been widely used in the treatment of locally advanced rectal cancer due to the excellent advantages of irradiation in cancer therapy. Unfortunately, not every patient can benefit from this treatment, therefore, it is of great significance to explore biomarkers that can predict irradiation sensitivity. In this study, we screened microRNAs (miRNAs) which were positively correlated with irradiation resistance and found that miRNA-552 and miRNA-183 families were positively correlated with the irradiation resistance of rectal cancer, and found that high expression of miRNA-96-5p enhanced the irradiation resistance of rectal cancer cells through direct regulation of the GPC3 gene and abnormal activation of the canonical Wnt signal transduction pathway. Based on the radioreactivity results of patient-derived xenograft models, this is the first screening report for radio-resistant biomarkers in rectal cancer. Our results suggest that miRNA-96-5p expression is an important factor affecting the radiation response of colorectal cancer cells.

Lymph Node Regression to Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy in Patients with Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer: Prognostic Implication and a Predictive Model

AIM

Currently, few studies have focused on the prognostic impact of lymph node regression to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) in rectal cancer. This study aimed to explore the prognostic impact of lymph node regression grade (LRG) in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) following NCRT and radical surgery and develop a predictive nomogram for disease-free survival (DFS).

METHODS

LARC patients undergoing NCRT and radical surgery between 2013 and 2014 were enrolled and divided into LRG low (≤ 2), middle (3-9), and high (≥ 10) groups. Clinicopathological characteristics and survival outcomes were compared. Predictors for DFS were identified by Cox regression analysis, and a nomogram was constructed.

RESULTS

A total of 257 LARC patients were eligible, including LRG low (n = 149), middle (n = 59), and high (n = 49) groups. Higher LRG score was associated with higher TRG, more advanced ypT and ypN stages, and poorer OS and DFS (all P < 0.001). Cox regression analysis demonstrated that tumor differentiation (poor and anaplastic, HR = 2.048, P = 0.048), ypTNM stage (HR = 2.389, P = 0.015), and LRG-sum (HR = 1.020, P = 0.029) were independent prognostic determinants for DFS after NCRT. A nomogram for DFS was developed with a C-index of 0.68 (95%CI 0.64-0.72).

CONCLUSION

LRG is an important prognostic indicator for DFS in LARC patients after NCRT. A predictive nomogram based on LRG was developed to guide more tailored adjuvant treatment and surveillance.

Prognostic Value of Tumor Regression Grade on MR in Rectal Cancer: A Large-Scale, Single-Center Experience

Objective

To determine the prognostic value of MRI-based tumor regression grading (mrTRG) in rectal cancer compared with pathological tumor regression grading (pTRG), and to assess the effect of diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) on interobserver agreement for evaluating mrTRG.

Materials and Methods

Between 2007 and 2016, we retrospectively enrolled 321 patients (male:female = 208:113; mean age, 60.2 years) with rectal cancer who underwent both pre-chemoradiotherapy (CRT) and post-CRT MRI. Two radiologists independently determined mrTRG using a 5-point grading system with and without DWI in a one-month interval. Two pathologists graded pTRG using a 5-point grading system in consensus. Kaplan-Meier estimation and Cox-proportional hazard models were used for survival analysis. Cohen's kappa analysis was used to determine interobserver agreement.

Results

According to mrTRG on MRI with DWI, there were 6 mrTRG 1, 48 mrTRG 2, 109 mrTRG 3, 152 mrTRG 4, and 6 mrTRG 5. By pTRG, there were 7 pTRG 1, 59 pTRG 2, 180 pTRG 3, 73 pTRG 4, and 2 pTRG 5. A 5-year overall survival (OS) was significantly different according to the 5-point grading mrTRG (p = 0.024) and pTRG (p = 0.038). The 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) was significantly different among the five mrTRG groups (p = 0.039), but not among the five pTRG groups (p = 0.072). OS and DFS were significantly different according to post-CRT MR variables: extramural venous invasion after CRT (hazard ratio = 2.259 for OS, hazard ratio = 5.011 for DFS) and extramesorectal lymph node (hazard ratio = 2.610 for DFS). For mrTRG, k value between the two radiologists was 0.309 (fair agreement) without DWI and slightly improved to 0.376 with DWI.

Conclusion

mrTRG may predict OS and DFS comparably or even better compared to pTRG. The addition of DWI on T2-weighted MRI may improve interobserver agreement on mrTRG.

Staging of Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer Beyond TME

The management of rectal cancer is complex and continually evolving. With advancements in technology and the use of multidisciplinary teams to guide the treatment decision making, staging, oncologic, and functional outcomes are improving, and the management is moving toward personalized treatment strategies to optimize each individual patient's outcomes. Key in this evolution is imaging. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) has emerged as the dominant method of pelvic imaging in rectal cancer, and use of MRI for staging is best practice in multiple international guidelines. MRI allows a noninvasive assessment of the tumor site, relationship to surrounding structures, and provides highly accurate rectal cancer staging, which is necessary for determining the appropriate treatment strategy. However, the applications of MRI extend far beyond pretreatment staging. MRI can be used to predict outcomes in locally advanced rectal cancer and guide the surgical or nonsurgical plan, serving as a predictive and prognostic biomarker. With continued MRI hardware improvement and new sequence development, MRI may offer new perspectives in the assessment of treatment response and new innovations that could provide better insight into the staging, restaging, and outcomes with rectal cancer.

Value of volumetric and textural analysis in predicting the treatment response in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to assess the value of baseline 18F-FDG PET/CT in predicting the response to neoadjuvant chemo-radiotherapy (NCRT) in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) via the volumetric and texture data obtained from 18F-FDG PET/CT images.

METHODS

 In total, 110 patients who had undergone NCRT after initial PET/CT and followed by surgical resection were included in this study. Patients were divided into two groups randomly as a train set (n: 88) and test set (n: 22). Pathological response using three-point tumor regression grade (TRG) and metastatic lymph nodes in PET/CT images were determined. TRG1 were accepted as responders and TRG2-3 as non-responders. Region of interest for the primary tumors was drawn and volumetric features (metabolic tumor volume (MTV) and total lesion glycolysis (TLG)) and texture features were calculated. In train set, the relationship between these features and TRG was investigated with Mann-Whitney U test. Receiver operating curve analysis was performed for features with p < 0.05. Correlation between features were evaluated with Spearman correlation test, features with correlation coefficient < 0.8 were evaluated with the logistic regression analysis for creating a model. The model obtained was tested with a test set that has not been used in modeling before.

RESULTS

 In train set 32 (36.4%) patients were responders. The rate of visually detected metastatic lymph node at baseline PET/CT was higher in non-responders than responders (71.4% and 46.9%, respectively, p = 0.022). There was a statistically significant difference between TLG, MTV, SHAPE_compacity, NGLDMcoarseness, GLRLM_GLNU, GLRLM_RLNU, GLZLM_LZHGE and GLZLM_GLNU between responders and non-responders. MTV and NGLDMcoarseness demonstrated the most significance (p = 0.011). A multivariate logistic regression analysis that included MTV, coarseness, GLZLM_LZHGE and lymph node metastasis was performed. Multivariate analysis demonstrated MTV and lymph node metastasis were the most meaningful parameters. The model's AUC was calculated as 0.714 (p = 0.001,0.606-0.822, 95% CI). In test set, AUC was determined 0.838 (p = 0.008,0.671-1.000, 95% CI) in discriminating non-responders.

CONCLUSIONS

Although there were points where textural features were found to be significant, multivariate analysis revealed no diagnostic superiority over MTV in predicting treatment response. In this study, it was thought higher MTV value and metastatic lymph nodes in PET/CT images could be a predictor of low treatment response in patients with LARC.

Worse prognosis in young patients with locally advanced rectal cancer following neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy: A comparative study

To determine the efficacy of neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) between young and old patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) in terms of tumor response and survival outcome.LARC patients undergoing NCRT and radical surgery from 2011 to 2015 were included and divided into: young (aged ≤50 years) and old group (aged >50 years). Multivariate analyses were performed to identify risk factors for local recurrence. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator analysis was performed to identify risk factors for overall survival. Predicting nomograms and time-indepent receiver operating characteristic curve analysis were performed to compare the models containing with/withour age groups.A total of 572 LARC patients were analyzed. The young group was associated with higher pathological TNM stage, poorly differentiated tumors, and higher rate of positive distal resection margin (P = .010; P = .019; P = .023 respectively). Young patients were associated with poorer 5-year disease-free survival and local recurrence rates (P = .023, P = .003 respectively). Cox regression analysis demonstrated that age ≤50 years (Hazard ratio = 2.994, P = .038) and higher pathological TNM stage (Hazard ratio = 3.261, P = .005) were significantly associated with increased risk for local recurrence. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator analysis and the time-indepent receiver operating characteristic curve analysis demonstrated that including the age group were superior than that without age group.Young patients were associated with poorer disease free survival (DFS) and a higher risk for local recurrence in LARC following NCRT. The predicting model basing based on the age group had a better predictive ability. More intense adjuvant treatment could be considered to improve DFS and local control for young patients with LARC following NCRT.

Connection and distinction of tumor regression grading systems of gastrointestinal cancer

OBJECTIVES

As the neoadjuvant therapy has been successfully introduced in the treatment of gastrointestinal malignancies, the evaluation of therapeutic effectiveness is becoming increasingly important. Tumor-node-metastasis system has been widely applied. However, this system is mainly based on the location of residual tumor, but does not consider the amount of residual tumor. Tumor regression grading system, a quantitative method to assess the reaction of tumor to neoadjuvant treatment, could be used as a supplement to tumor-node-metastasis system and provide additional information on prognosis. To date, numerous gastrointestinal grading systems have been used in esophageal/esophagogastric junction carcinoma, gastric adenocarcinoma, colorectal cancer, and most of them were considered to associate with clinical outcomes.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In this review, firstly, we expounded the importance of tumor regression grading systems, and summarized the histopathological changes after neoadjuvant therapy. Secondly, we introduced some commonly used gastrointestinal systems, as well as the relationships and nuance. Finally, we discussed pivotal issues about these systems. In this part, we explained the calculation methods based on grid points and square measures, discussed several factors leading to observer bias, containing the slice number and the grading tier number, and analyzed the factors that might affect clinical significance, covering anatomical location, the selection of survival index, and the tumor type.

RESULTS

Tumor regression grade systems could be divided into two main classifications, the relative amount of fibrosis and residual tumor, and the proportion of residual tumor in the tumor bed. However, the definitions of these systems were still need to be improved.

CONCLUSIONS

The tumor regression grading system is useful in evaluating tumor response to neoadjuvant therapy, but more work is needed to refine and unify the system.

The effect of radiotherapy on rectal cancer: a histopathological appraisal and prognostic indicators

The management of rectal cancer is a major undertaking. There are currently multiple treatment modalities with variable degrees of complications. Radiotherapy (RT) is one of the more frequently used modalities either on its own or more frequently with chemotherapy mostly before the definitive surgery. The outcome of RT is unpredictable. RT has its serious side effects and there are no guarantees of its usefulness in all patients. This article outlines the effect of RT on the tumor, reviews the various staging systems of responses to RT and present recent evidence of which case is less responsive to such treatments to avoid unnecessary complications.

Analysis of influencing factors of no/low response to preoperative concurrent chemoradiotherapy in locally advanced rectal cancer

The aim of this study is to investigate the influencing factors associated with no/low response to preoperative concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) patients. A total of 79 patients were included in this prospective study. Fifteen factors that might affect the resistance to CCRT were included in this logistic regression analysis, these factors include the general clinical data of patients, the expression status of tumor stem cell marker CD44v6 and the volumetric imaging parameters of primary tumor lesions. We found that the no/low response status to preoperative CCRT was positively correlated with the real tumor volume (RTV), the total surface area of tumor (TSA), and CD44v6 expression, whereas negatively correlated with the tumor compactness (TC). According to the results of logistic regression analysis, two formulas that could predict whether or not no/low response to preoperative CCRT were established. The Area Under Curve (AUC) of the two formulas and those significant measurement data (RTV, TC, TSA) were 0.900, 0.858, 0.771, 0.754, 0.859, the sensitivity were 95.8%, 79.17%, 62.50%, 95.83%, 62.5%, the specificity were 70.9%, 74.55%, 83.64%,47.27%, 96.36%, the positive predictive values were 58.96%, 57.58%, 62.51%,44.23%, 88.23%, the negative predictive values were 97.48%, 89.13%, 83.64%, 96.29%, and 85.48%, respectively.

Predicting Rectal Cancer Response to Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy Using Deep Learning of Diffusion Kurtosis MRI

Background Preoperative response evaluation with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy remains a challenge in the setting of locally advanced rectal cancer. Recently, deep learning (DL) has been widely used in tumor diagnosis and treatment and has produced exciting results. Purpose To develop and validate a DL method to predict response of rectal cancer to neoadjuvant therapy based on diffusion kurtosis and T2-weighted MRI. Materials and Methods In this prospective study, participants with locally advanced rectal adenocarcinoma (≥cT3 or N+) proved at histopathology and baseline MRI who were scheduled to undergo preoperative chemoradiotherapy were enrolled from October 2015 to December 2017 and were chronologically divided into 308 training samples and 104 test samples. DL models were constructed primarily to predict pathologic complete response (pCR) and secondarily to assess tumor regression grade (TRG) (TRG0 and TRG1 vs TRG2 and TRG3) and T downstaging. Other analysis included comparisons of diffusion kurtosis MRI parameters and subjective evaluation by radiologists. Results A total of 383 participants (mean age, 57 years ± 10 [standard deviation]; 229 men) were evaluated (290 in the training cohort, 93 in the test cohort). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.99 for the pCR model in the test cohort, which was higher than the AUC for raters 1 and 2 (0.66 and 0.72, respectively; P < .001 for both). AUC for the DL model was 0.70 for TRG and 0.79 for T downstaging. AUC for pCR with the DL model was better than AUC for the best-performing diffusion kurtosis MRI parameters alone (diffusion coefficient in normal diffusion after correcting the non-Gaussian effect [D_app value] before neoadjuvant therapy, AUC = 0.76). Subjective evaluation by radiologists yielded a higher error rate (1 - accuracy) (25 of 93 [26.9%] and 23 of 93 [24.8%] for raters 1 and 2, respectively) in predicting pCR than did evaluation with the DL model (two of 93 [2.2%]); the radiologists achieved a lower error rate (12 of 93 [12.9%] and 13 of 93 [14.0%] for raters 1 and 2, respectively) when assisted by the DL model. Conclusion A deep learning model based on diffusion kurtosis MRI showed good performance for predicting pathologic complete response and aided the radiologist in assessing response of locally advanced rectal cancer after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy. © RSNA, 2020 Online supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Koh in this issue.

Pathological Tumor Regression Grade Classifications in Gastrointestinal Cancers: Role on Patients' Prognosis

Preoperative chemotherapy or combined radiotherapy and chemotherapy (CRT), followed by surgery, represents the standard approach for locally advanced esophageal, gastric, and rectal carcinomas. To adequately evaluate the effects of neoadjuvant CRT in the resection specimens, several histopathologic tumor regression grade (TRG) scoring systems have been introduced into clinical practice. The primary goal of these TRG systems relies on a correct prognostic stratification of patients in the attempt to help clinical decision-making and influence surgical strategies, postoperative adjuvant therapies, and surveillance intensity. However, most TRG systems suffer from poor reproducibility and low interobserver concordance rates. Many efforts have been made in the identification of alternative, robust, simple, and universally accepted TRG scoring systems, which would help in the comparison of different treatment strategies and in the standardization of multimodal therapies. The aim of this review is to analyze the most commonly used TRG systems in gastrointestinal cancers highlighting their pitfalls and usefulness, depending on the tumor type.

Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy and Tumor Recurrence in Patients with Early T-Stage Cancer of the Lower Rectum

BACKGROUND

The role neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) plays in oncological outcomes in early T-stage rectal cancer is uncertain. The present work aims to clarify prognostic outcomes by estimating the effect of nCRT on tumor recurrence prior to major surgery compared with major surgery alone.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Prospectively collected data were retrospectively analyzed for patients diagnosed with localized rectal adenocarcinoma ≤ 8 cm from the anal verge, with final histopathology ≤ T2 (≤ ypT2/≤ pT2), regardless of magnetic resonance imaging staging, between 1990 and 2017. As the effect of nCRT on recurrence varied over time, thereby violating the Cox proportional hazards assumption, the effect of nCRT on recurrence hazards was estimated using a time-varying multivariate Cox model over two separate time intervals (≤ 1 year and > 1 year postsurgery) by nCRT.

RESULTS

Long-course nCRT was associated with a 5.6-fold increase in the hazard of recurrence ≤ 1 year postsurgery [hazard ratio (HR) 5.6; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.2-24.9; P = 0.02], but there was no increase in recurrence hazards > 1 year (HR 0.84; 95% CI 0.4-2.0; P = 0.70). In subgroup analysis restricted to ≤ mrT2/≤ ypT2 and ≤ pT2 tumors (omitting > mrT2 tumors), the effect of nCRT on recurrence no longer varied over time, indicating that tumor heterogeneity was responsible for the observed increased recurrence hazards ≤ 1 year postsurgery; That is, > mrT2 tumors that were downstaged to ≤ ypT2 after nCRT were responsible for the time-varying effects of nCRT and increased recurrence hazards ≤ 1 year postsurgery. Subsequently, no difference was found in prognostic outcomes either with or without nCRT before surgery in the homogeneous population of ≤ mrT2/≤ ypT2 and ≤ pT2 tumors.

CONCLUSIONS

No evidence was found to indicate that nCRT prior to surgery reduces tumor recurrence in early T-stage lower rectal cancer compared with surgery alone.

Volumetric imaging parameters are significant for predicting the pathological complete response of preoperative concurrent chemoradiotherapy in local advanced rectal cancer

Preoperative concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) as the standard treatment for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) has been widely used in clinic. Its efficiency influences the prognosis and the selection of subsequent treatment. The current criteria for evaluating the prognosis of patients with extremely sensitive preoperative CCRT include the clinical complete remission response (cCR) and pathological complete response (pCR), but those with cCR may not necessarily achieve pCR, and the pCR can be confirmed only after surgery. Some scholars believe that patients with pCR after CCRT can be categorized as 'watch and wait'. Therefore, it is extremely important to find a way to predict the pCR status of patients before therapy. In this study, we examined the expression of stem cell markers and obtained direct and derivative volumetric imaging parameters before treatment. Subsequently, these factors and the general clinical data were adopted into a regression model, and the correlation between them and the pCR was analyzed. We found that the pCR of LARC was positively correlated with tumor compactness (TC), whereas it was negatively correlated with approximate tumor volume (ATV), real tumor volume (RTV), total surface area of the tumor (TSA) and tumor maximum longitudinal length (TML). In these meaningful predictors, the positive predictive values and the negative predictive values of TC were 74.73% and 94.61%, respectively. Compared with other possible predictors, TC is the most encouraging predictor of pCR. Our findings provide a way for clinicians to predict the sensitivity of preoperative CCRT and will help to select individualized treatment options for LARC patients.

Circulating Biomarkers for Response Prediction of Rectal Cancer to Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy

Rectal cancer response to neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy (pCRT) is highly variable. In fact, it has been estimated that only about 21 % of patients show pathologic Complete Response (pCR) after therapy, while in most of the patients a partial or incomplete tumour regression is observed. Consequently, patients with a priori chemoradioresistant tumour should not receive the treatment, which is associated with substantial adverse effects and does not guarantee any clinical benefit. For Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer Patients (LARC), a standardized neoadjuvant treatment protocol is applied, the identification and the usefulness of prognostic or predictive biomarkers can improve the antitumoural treatment strategy, modifying the sequence, dose, and combination of radiotherapy, chemotherapy and surgical resection. For these reasons, a growing number of studies are actually focussed on the discovery and investigation of new predictive biomarkers of response to pCRT. In this review, we have selected the most recent literature (2012-2017) regarding the employment of blood-based biomarkers potentially predicting pCR in LARC patients and we have critically discussed them to highlight their real clinical benefit and the current limitations of the proposed methodological approaches.

Network Mapping of Molecular Biomarkers Influencing Radiation Response in Rectal Cancer

Preoperative radiotherapy (RT) plays an important role in the management of locally advanced rectal cancer (RC). Tumor regression after RT shows marked variability, and robust molecular methods are needed to help predict likely response. The aim of this study was to review the current published literature and use Gene Ontology (GO) analysis to define key molecular biomarkers governing radiation response in RC. A systematic review of electronic bibliographic databases (Medline, Embase) was performed for original articles published between 2000 and 2015. Biomarkers were then classified according to biological function and incorporated into a hierarchical GO tree. Both significant and nonsignificant results were included in the analysis. Significance was binarized on the basis of univariate and multivariate statistics. Significance scores were calculated for each biological domain (or node), and a direct acyclic graph was generated for intuitive mapping of biological pathways and markers involved in RC radiation response. Seventy-two individual biomarkers across 74 studies were identified. On highest-order classification, molecular biomarkers falling within the domains of response to stress, cellular metabolism, and pathways inhibiting apoptosis were found to be the most influential in predicting radiosensitivity. Homogenizing biomarker data from original articles using controlled GO terminology demonstrated that cellular mechanisms of response to RT in RC-in particular the metabolic response to RT-may hold promise in developing radiotherapeutic biomarkers to help predict, and in the future modulate, radiation response.

The survival benefit of intensified full-dose XELOX chemotherapy concomitant to radiotherapy and then resting-period consolidation chemotherapy in locally advanced rectal cancer

Purpose: To evaluate the effect of an intensified capecitabine and oxaliplatin (XELOX) chemoradiation treatment followed by one cycle of consolidation chemotherapy before surgery in locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC).

Methods and Materials: Patients with histologically confirmed, newly diagnosed, locally advanced rectal adenocarcinoma (cT3-T4 and/or cN+) were enrolled. All patients received 3-dimensional conformal radiotherapy (3D-CRT) or intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) with a dose 50.4Gy in 25 fraction, with two cycles of concurrent XELOX chemotherapy. Thereafter, another cycle of consolidation chemotherapy with XELOX/FLOFOX was administered during the resting period after completion of concurrent chemoradiation (CRT). Tumor response, toxicities, surgical complications, and long-term clinical outcomes were recorded.

Results: From January 2011 to December 2013, a total of 96 patients were enrolled in the study. All patients completed the treatment plan of concurrent chemoradiation and consolidate chemotherapy. During concurrent chemoradiation, the incidence of grade 3/4 toxicities was leucopenia (2.1%), thrombocytopenia (4.2%), diarrhea (6.3%). 18 patients (18.8%) developed surgical complications. Pathologic complete response (pCR) was achieved in 20 (20.8%) patients. Tumor down-staging occurred in 69 (71.9%) patients and down-staging of nodes occurred in 47 (49.0%) patients. Of these 96 patients, 5-year local recurrence-free survival, metastasis-free survival, disease-free survival and overall survival rates was 98.9%, 84.7%, 83.7% and 82.1%, respectively, with a median follow-up of 4.24years.

Conclusions: The intensified treatment paradigm of XELOX concurrent chemoradiation followed by one cycle of consolidation chemotherapy was well tolerated in our cohort and provided a promising long-term oncologic outcome, which warranted further investigation in a randomize trails.

Impact of Tumor Regression Grade as a Major Prognostic Factor in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer after Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy: A Proposal for a Modified Staging System

There is ongoing debate regarding the significance of complete or near-complete response after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) for rectal cancer. This study assessed the prognostic value of the Dworak tumor regression grade (TRG) following neoadjuvant CRT and surgery primarily in patients with pathological stage (ypStage) II and III rectal cancer. The records of 331 patients who underwent neoadjuvant CRT followed by total mesorectal excision between 2004 and 2015 were retrospectively reviewed. Patients were categorized as having a good response (GR, TRG 3/4, n = 122) or a poor response (PR, TRG 1/2, n = 209). At a median follow-up of 65 months, five-year disease-free survival (DFS) was higher in the GR group than in the PR group (91.3% vs. 66.6%, p < 0.001). Patients with a GR and ypStage II disease had a five-year DFS that was indistinguishable from that of patients with ypStage 0–I disease (92.3% vs. 90.7%, p = 0.885). Likewise, patients with a GR and ypStage III disease had a five-year DFS similar to those with ypStage II disease (76.0% vs. 75.9%, p = 0.789). A new modified staging system that incorporates grouped TRG (GR vs. PR) was developed. The prognostic performance of this modified stage and the ypStage was compared with the Harrell C statistic. C statistic of the modified stage was higher than that of the ypStage (0.784 vs. 0.757, p = 0.012). The results remained robust after multivariate Cox regression analyses. In conclusion, a GR to neoadjuvant CRT is an independent predictor of good DFS and overall survival and further stratifies patients so as to estimate the risk of recurrence and survival among patients with ypStage II and III rectal cancer.

The combination of early treatment response and ypT stage is a novel metric to stage rectal cancer patients treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy

Rectal cancer patients receiving neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) are currently classified using the same Tumor-Node-Metastasis staging system as those patients without NCRT. We determined whether the combination of tumor treatment response (TRG) and ypT stage more accurately assesses primary tumors in rectal cancer after NCRT. We analyzed data from 329 rectal cancer patients treated with NCRT followed by radical resection. Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate the effects of different staging parameters on disease-free survival (DFS). ypN stage and TRG were independently associated with 3-year DFS, but ypT stage was not. We developed a new modified T stage classification metric (M-TTRG) that categorized patients into 5 subgroups based on ypT stage and TRG, with weighting by β-coefficients from multivariate analyses. The incidence of patients developing local or distant recurrence increased with increasing M-TTRG level. All five M-TTRG classes correlated with 3-year DFS. Improvement was seen in the model with M-TTRG classification compared with ypT stage, based on area under the curve after computing receiver operating characteristic curves. Our modified ypTNM staging system significantly improved prediction of 3-year DFS. This suggests TRG could complement ypT stage, and we propose the new M-TTRG metric could be used to better classify NCRT-treated patients, thereby improving treatment and assessing prognosis. The M-TTRG metric might be applicable to other types of cancer.

Preoperative Concomitant Radiotherapy and Chemotherapy in Ultrasound-Staged T3 and T4 Rectal Cancer

Background

To analyze early results of a single institution's experience using neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in locally advanced, ultrasound-staged rectal cancer.

Patients and methods

Since 1998, 67 consecutive patients (36 males and 31 females; mean age, 59.5) have received preoperative combined treatment for T3 or T4 rectal cancer. All patients were staged by endorectal ultrasound and computed tomography, and all had a pathology-demonstrated invasive adenocarcinoma of the rectum. Patients were treated preoper-atively with concomitant radiochemotherapy: pelvic irradiation (50 Gy in 25 fractions) and protracted-venous-infusion 5-fluorouracil (225 mg/m2/d, 7 days per week). Patients were restaged within 4 weeks, then submitted to surgery within 6-7 weeks after the end of therapy. Adjuvant postoperative chemotherapy with 5-fluorouracil plus folinic acid - the “de Gramont” schedule – for 24 weeks was purposed to all patients.

Results

Radiotherapy was completed in all cases; only one patient required suspension of the treatment for grade 4 toxicity (diarrhea). Instead, chemotherapy was interrupted in 3 cases (2 for central venous catheter thrombosis and 1 for grade IV diarrhea). Sixty-six patients underwent surgical resection (1 patient died before surgical treatment). Radical surgery was performed in 94%, and 46% of the 26 patients with distal rectal cancer had a conservative sphincter-sparing surgery. A complete pathologic response (defined as no evidence of viable tumor cells) was obtained in 22%. At a median follow-up of 17 months, distant metastases have been observed in 10 patients, and 3 of them developed a local recurrence. The actuarial estimations of 4-year overall survival, disease-free survival, local and distant control are 79%, 61%, 94% and 61%, respectively.

Conclusions

Preoperative chemoradiotherapy seems to be an effective and well-tolerated treatment with a low complication rate. The high percentage of downstaging and sphincter sparing, also in distal rectal cancer, shows the efficacy of the treatment, which could significantly influence the incidence of relapses and quality of life.

Associations of tumor regression grade with outcomes in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer treated with preoperative two-week course of radiotherapy

Purpose

Studies concerning tumor regression grade (TRG) after two-week course of radiotherapy (RT) are limited. We tried to assess associations of TRG and outcomes in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) treated with preoperative two-week course of RT.

Methods

356 consecutive LARC patients were retrospectively assessed. Patients with complete/intermediate (TRG1-3) and poor (TRG4-5) regressions were compared for overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS) and metastasis-free survival (MFS).

Results

By univariate analysis, pretreatment and postoperative factors including TNM stages, ypT, ypN, surgical procedure, pathological grade, and TRG impacted survival outcomes. Complete/intermediate regressions (TRG1-3) had significantly improved survival outcomes compared with poor ones (TRG4-5) (5y-OS, 85.8% vs. 65.8%, P=0.001; 5y-DFS, 76.0% vs. 53.7%, P<0.001; 5y-MFS, 84.2% vs. 66.7%, P<0.001). Multivariate analysis showed that ypN (P<0.001) and pathological grade (P=0.018) were the most important independent prognostic factors for DFS. ypT (P=0.014) and ypN (P=0.001) were the independent prognostic factors for MFS. Meanwhile, ypT (P=0.009), ypN (P=0.001), surgical procedure (p=0.001), and TRG (p=0.019) were the independent prognostic factors for OS.

Conclusions

Complete/intermediate TRG regressions had a more favorable prognosis than the poor group. When treated with preoperative two-week course of RT; ypT, ypN, surgical procedure, and TRG seem to affect OS.

Impact of Body Mass Index on Surgical and Oncological Outcomes in Laparoscopic Total Mesorectal Excision for Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer after Neoadjuvant 5-Fluorouracil-Based Chemoradiotherapy

Aims

To evaluate the impact of body mass index (BMI) on the surgical outcome of laparoscopic total mesorectal excision (laTME) for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC, clinically staged as UICC stage II/III) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT).

Methods

312 LARC patients undergoing laTME after nCRT were divided into nonobese (BMI < 25.0 kg/m², n = 249) and obese (BMI ≥ 25.0 kg/m², n = 63) groups. Preoperative radiotherapy was delivered in 45–50.4 Gy/25f, 5 days/week, and concurrent chemotherapy using FOLFOX or CapeOX. Technical feasibility, postoperative and oncological outcome were compared between groups.

Results

Obese patients had significantly longer operative time (P = 0.004). There was no significant difference regarding estimated blood loss, conversion, postoperative recovery, and morbidities. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that higher ASA score and abdominoperineal resection were risk factors for postoperative complications and diverting stoma was a protective factor. The length of resection margin, circumferential resection margin involvement, and number of lymph node retrieved were comparable. With a median follow-up time of 55 months (ranging 20–102 months), oncological outcome was comparable in terms of overall survival, local recurrence, and distant metastasis.

Conclusions

Obesity does not affect surgical or oncological outcome of laTME after nCRT. LaTME may be feasible and safe to obese LARC patients after nCRT in a specialized center.

Integrating Downstaging in the Risk Assessment of Patients With Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer Treated With Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy: Validation of Valentini's Nomograms and the Neoadjuvant Rectal Score

BACKGROUND

Adjuvant chemotherapy is controversial in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer after preoperative chemoradiation. Valentini et al developed 3 nomograms (VN) to predict outcomes in these patients. The neoadjuvant rectal score (NAR) was developed after VN to predict survival. We aimed to validate these tools in a retrospective cohort at an academic institution.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

VN and the NAR were applied to 158 consecutive patients with locally advanced rectal cancer treated with chemoradiation followed by surgery. According to the score, they were divided into low, intermediate, or high risk of relapse or death. For statistical analysis, we performed Kaplan-Meier curves, log-rank tests, and Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

Five-year overall survival was 83%, 77%, and 67% for low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups, respectively (P = .023), according to VN, and 84%, 71%, and 59% for low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups, respectively (P = .004), according to NAR. When the score was considered as a continuous variable, a significant association with the risk of death was observed (NAR: hazard ratio, 1.04; P < .001; VN: hazard ratio, 1.10; P < .001).

CONCLUSION

We confirmed the value of these scores to stratify patients according to their individual risk when designing new trials.

Tumor Regression Grade After Neoadjuvant Chemoradiation and Surgery for Low Rectal Cancer Evaluated by Multiple Correspondence Analysis: Ten Years as Minimum Follow-up

BACKGROUND

The role of Mandard's tumor regression grade (TRG) classification is still controversial in defining the prognostic role of patients who have undergone neoadjuvant chemoradiation (CRT) and total mesorectal excision. The present study evaluated multiple correspondence analysis (MCA) as a tool to better cluster variables, including TRG, for a homogeneous prognosis.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 174 patients with a minimum follow-up period of 10 years were stratified into 2 groups: group A (TRG 1-3) and group B (TRG 4-5) using Mandard's classification. Overall survival and disease-free survival were analyzed using univariate and multivariate analysis. Subsequently, MCA was used to analyze TRG plus the other prognostic variables.

RESULTS

The overall response to CRT was 55.7%, including 13.2% with a pathologic complete response. TRG group A correlated strictly with pN status (P = .0001) and had better overall and disease-free survival than group B (85.1% and 75.6% vs. 71.1% and 67.3%; P = .06 and P = .04, respectively). The TRG 3 subset (about one third of our series) showed prognostically heterogeneous behavior. In addition to multivariate analysis, MCA separated TRG 1 and TRG 2 versus TRG 4 and TRG 5 well and also allocated TRG 3 patients close to the unfavorable prognostic variables.

CONCLUSION

TRG classification should be used in all pathologic reports after neoadjuvant CRT and radical surgery to enrich the prognostic profile of patients with an intermediate risk of relapse and to identify patients eligible for more conservative treatment. Thus, MCA could provide added value.

Applicability of American Joint Committee on Cancer and College of American Pathologists Regression Grading System in Rectal Cancer

BACKGROUND

Different tumor grading systems have been proposed to predict the association between tumor response and clinical outcome after preoperative chemoradiotherapy in patients with rectal cancer. The American Joint Committee on Cancer and College of American Pathologists regression grading system was recommended as the standard tumor regression grading system for rectal adenocarcinoma.

OBJECTIVE

This study evaluated the clinical applicability of the American Joint Committee on Cancer and College of American Pathologists regression grading system in neoadjuvant-treated patients with rectal cancer.

DESIGN

This is a retrospective cohort study based on clinical data from a prospectively maintained colorectal cancer database.

SETTINGS

This study was performed at a single tertiary referral center.

PATIENTS

A total of 144 patients with primary locally advanced mid-to-low rectal adenocarcinoma who underwent preoperative long-course chemoradiotherapy and total mesorectal excision between 2003 and 2012 were included.

MAIN OUTCOMES MEASURES

The primary outcome measures were the 5-year overall survival rate, the relapse-free survival rate, the cancer-specific survival rate, and cumulative recurrence rates.

RESULTS

Of the 144 patients, 16 (11%) were diagnosed as American Joint Committee on Cancer and College of American Pathologists regression grade 0, 43 patients (30%) as grade 1, 61 patients (42%) as grade 2, and 25 patients (17%) as grade 3.After a median follow-up time of 83 months (range, 3 to 147 mo), 5-year survival estimates for grades 0, 1, 2, and 3, were 93%, 77%, 81%, and 54% for overall survival (p = 0.006); 93%, 82%, 75%, and 55% for relapse-free survival (p = 0.03); and 100%, 86%, 89%, and 63% for cancer-specific survival (p = 0.006). The multivariate Cox regression analyses confirmed the American Joint Committee on Cancer and College of American Pathologists regression grading system as a prognostic factor for overall (p = 0.04), relapse-free (p = 0.02), and cancer-specific survival (p = 0.04).

LIMITATIONS

This was a retrospective study.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study findings confirm the clinical relevance and applicability of the American Joint Committee on Cancer and College of American Pathologists regression grade system as a predictive factor for patients with rectal cancer. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/A320.

Potentiating the effects of radiotherapy in rectal cancer: the role of aspirin, statins and metformin as adjuncts to therapy

BACKGROUND

Complete tumour response (pCR) to neo-adjuvant chemo-radiotherapy for rectal cancer is associated with a reduction in local recurrence and improved disease-free and overall survival, but is achieved in only 20-30% of patients. Drug repurposing for anti-cancer treatments is gaining momentum, but the potential of such drugs as adjuncts, to increase tumour response to chemo-radiotherapy in rectal cancer, is only just beginning to be recognised.

METHODS

A systematic literature search was conducted and all studies investigating the use of drugs to enhance response to neo-adjuvant radiation in rectal cancer were included. 2137 studies were identified and following review 12 studies were extracted for full text review, 9 studies were included in the final analysis.

RESULTS

The use of statins or aspirin during neo-adjuvant therapy was associated with a significantly higher rate of tumour downstaging. Statins were identified as a significant predictor of pCR and aspirin users had a greater 5-year progression-free survival and overall survival. Metformin use was associated with a significantly higher overall and disease-free survival, in a subset of diabetic patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Aspirin, metformin and statins are associated with increased downstaging of rectal tumours and thus may have a role as adjuncts to neoadjuvant treatment, highlighting a clear need for prospective randomised controlled trials to determine their true impact on tumour response and overall survival.

Prognostic Value of Pretreatment Pathological Tumor Extent in Patients Treated With Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy Plus Surgery for Esophageal or Junctional Cancer

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to determine pretreatment pathological tumor extent in the resection specimen after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) and to assess its prognostic value in patients with esophageal cancer.

METHODS

Patients with esophageal cancer, treated with nCRT plus surgery were included (2003-2011). Pretreatment pathological T-stage (prepT-stage) and N-stage (prepN-stage) were estimated based on the extent of regressional changes and residual tumor cells in the resection specimen. Interobserver agreement was determined between 3 pathologists. The prognostic performance of prepT-stage and prepN-stage was scored using the difference in Akaike information criterion (ΔAIC). PrepN-stage and posttreatment pathological N-stage (ypN-stage) were combined to determine the effect of nodal sterilization on prognosis.

RESULTS

Overall concordance for prepT-stage and prepN-stage was 0.69 and 0.84, respectively. Prognostic strength of prepT-stage was similar to clinical T-stage and worse compared with ypT-stage (ΔAIC 1.3 versus 2.0 and 8.9, respectively). In contrast, prognostic strength of prepN-stage was better than cN-stage and similar to ypN-stage (ΔAIC 17.9 versus 6.2 and 17.2, respectively). PrepN+ patients who become ypN0 after nCRT have a worse survival compared with prepN0 patients, with a five year overall survival of 51% versus 68%, P = 0.019, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

PrepT-stage and prepN-stage can be estimated reproducibly. Prognostic strength of prepT-stage is comparable with clinical T-stage, whereas prepN-stage is better than cN-stage. PrepN+ patients who become ypN0 after nCRT have a worse survival compared with prepN0 patients. Pretreatment pathological staging should be considered useful as a new staging parameter for esophageal cancer and could also be of interest for other tumor types.

Is neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy always necessary for mid/high local advanced rectal cancer: A comparative analysis after propensity score matching

AIM

This study was aimed to compare perioperative and oncological outcomes of mid/high locally advanced midrectal cancer (LARC) treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) vs. surgery alone, and to identify risk factors for local recurrence in mid/high LARC.

METHOD

A total of 471 mid/high LARC patients treated with surgery alone or NCRT (50.4 Gy in 28 fractions) with concurrent FOLFOX/XELOX followed by TME in 6-8 weeks from 2008 to 2014 were matched 1:1 by using propensity score analysis. Perioperative and survival outcome was compared between groups. Multivariate analyze was performed to identify risk factors for local recurrence.

RESULTS

Two hundred and two patients were matched for the analysis. Postoperative morbidity was similar between groups. With a mean follow-up of 57 months, the 5-year overall survival (NCRT vs. surgery alone: 80.4% vs. 81.4%; p = 0.978), 5-year local recurrence rates (3.1% vs. 5%; p = 0.467), and 5-year distant metastasis rates (29.5% vs. 23.7%; p = 0.140) were similar between two groups. Cox regression analysis showed that the circumferential resection margin (CRM) involvement (OR = 5.205, p = 0.005) was the only risk factor for local recurrence in mid/high LARC patients.

CONCLUSION

In matched cohorts of mid/high LARC patients, surgery alone provided comparable oncological outcome, when compared with NCRT. CRM involvement was the only risk factor for local recurrence in mid/high rectal cancer. NCRT may not be always needed in mid/high LARC. A threatened CRM could be diagnosed up front and prevented by selecting CRT for these patients.

Significance of Anemia in Outcomes After Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy for Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

BACKGROUND

Approximately one quarter of patients receiving neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) for locally advanced rectal cancer will be anemic at presentation. The outcomes of these anemic patients have historically been less favorable. We assessed the potential of anemia to act as an independent biomarker for a poor prognosis in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We performed a retrospective, observational study of consecutive patients with locally advanced rectal adenocarcinoma who underwent NCRT from 2004 to 2009 at 3 English National Health Service trusts. The main outcomes were Rectal Cancer Regression Grade, mortality rate, and disease-free survival. These were compared between the anemic and nonanemic patients.

RESULTS

A total of 273 patients were included. Of these patients, 63 (23%) had a hemoglobin level of < 120 g/L (anemic) at presentation. The Rectal Cancer Regression Grades were higher (less regression) in the anemic patients than in the nonanemic patients (χ² = 10.14; P = .006). A subgroup analysis stratified by disease stage at presentation demonstrated less tumor regression in anemic patients with Dukes stage C disease (Dukes stage B, χ² = 4.31, P = .12; Dukes stage C, χ² = 5.36, P = .07). After adjusting for age, gender, and initial Dukes stage, the anemic patients demonstrated greater mortality rates than the nonanemic patients (hazard ratio, 1.73; 95% confidence interval, 1.05-2.86). The consistency with which the 2 independent reviewers were able to generate the rectal cancer regression grades from the historic pathology reports varied. Also, the subgroup analyses in the present study were often limited by low power.

CONCLUSION

The present large UK study examined patients receiving NCRT for magnetic resonance imaging-proven, locally advanced rectal adenocarcinoma. Our findings have demonstrated that patients who were anemic at presentation have higher regression grades (less regression) in response to the treatment than nonanemic patients. This trend appeared to persist despite radiologic disease stage at presentation. Anemia at presentation was also associated with increased mortality rates compared with that of nonanemic patients.

Effect of Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy on Locally Advanced Rectal Mucinous Adenocarcinoma: A Propensity Score-Matched Study

Aims. To compare the surgical and oncological outcomes of rectal mucinous adenocarcinomas treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy versus surgery alone. Methods. A total of 167 locally advanced rectal mucinous adenocarcinoma patients treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and surgery alone between 2008 and 2014 were matched using propensity score; the surgical and oncological outcomes were compared. Results. Ninety-six patients were matched. Postoperative morbidity was similar between groups. Sphincter preservation rate was higher in patients receiving neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (79.2% versus 60.4%, P = 0.045), especially for tumors ≥ 3 cm but ≤5 cm from the anal verge (75.0% versus 44.0%, P = 0.036). With a median follow-up of 54.8 months, the 5-year overall survival rate (neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy versus surgery alone: 79.6% versus 67.1%; P = 0.599) and disease-free survival rate (75.6% versus 64.2%; P = 0.888) were similar. The 5-year local recurrence rate was lower in patients receiving neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (7.7% versus 26.0%, P = 0.036), while no difference was observed in distant metastasis. A poor response to chemoradiation was associated with higher local recurrence (P = 0.037). Conclusions. Compared with surgery alone, neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy was found to increase the sphincter preservation rate and reduce local recurrence, thus being beneficial for locally advanced rectal mucinous adenocarcinoma patients.

A nomogram to predict distant metastasis after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and radical surgery in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer

PURPOSE

To compare distant metastasis (DM) in locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) patients treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) and surgery alone, and to develop a predictive nomogram for DM following nCRT.

METHODS

Propensity-scoring match analysis was performed to compare DM in LARC treated with nCRT (n = 375) and surgery alone (n = 375). Cox regression was performed to identify predictors of DM following nCRT. A nomogram was developed and validated by internal (n = 425) and external validation (n = 97).

RESULTS

The 5-year local recurrence rate was significantly lower in the nCRT group (5.6% vs. 10.4%; P = 0.020). The 5-year DM rates (nCRT vs. surgery alone: 25.3% vs. 24.4%; P = 0.235) were similar between groups. Cox regression showed that the post-nCRT pathologic stage (ypTNM stage, OR = 2.022, P = 0.002), IMA nodal metastasis (OR = 2.171, P = 0.023), and CRM involvement (OR = 2.535, P = 0.016) were independently associated with DM following nCRT. A predictive nomogram was developed with a C-index of 0.70 on internal validation, and 0.71 on the external validation.

CONCLUSION

NCRT improved local control, but not distant metastasis. A nomogram to predict 3- and 5-year DM rates, using clinicopathological parameters, was successfully developed. This prognostic tool could support decision-making in clinical practice and follow-up strategies.

Defining response to radiotherapy in rectal cancer using magnetic resonance imaging and histopathological scales

AIM

To define good and poor regression using pathology and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) regression scales after neo-adjuvant chemotherapy for rectal cancer.

METHODS

A systematic review was performed on all studies up to December 2015, without language restriction, that were identified from MEDLINE, Cochrane Controlled Trials Register (1960-2015), and EMBASE (1991-2015). Searches were performed of article bibliographies and conference abstracts. MeSH and text words used included “tumour regression”, “mrTRG”, “poor response” and “colorectal cancers”. Clinical studies using either MRI or histopathological tumour regression grade (TRG) scales to define good and poor responders were included in relation to outcomes [local recurrence (LR), distant recurrence (DR), disease-free survival (DFS), and overall survival (OS)]. There was no age restriction or stage of cancer restriction for patient inclusion. Data were extracted by two authors working independently and using pre-defined outcome measures.

RESULTS

Quantitative data (prevalence) were extracted and analysed according to meta-analytical techniques using comprehensive meta-analysis. Qualitative data (LR, DR, DFS and OS) were presented as ranges. The overall proportion of poor responders after neo-adjuvant chemo-radiotherapy (CRT) was 37.7% (95%CI: 30.1-45.8). There were 19 different reported histopathological scales and one MRI regression scale (mrTRG). Clinical studies used nine and six histopathological scales for poor and good responders, respectively. All studies using MRI to define good and poor response used one scale. The most common histopathological definition for good response was the Mandard grades 1 and 2 or Dworak grades 3 and 4; Mandard 3, 4 and 5 and Dworak 0, 1 and 2 were used for poor response. For histopathological grades, the 5-year outcomes for poor responders were LR 3.4%-4.3%, DR 14.3%-20.3%, DFS 61.7%-68.1% and OS 60.7-69.1. Good pathological response 5-year outcomes were LR 0%-1.8%, DR 0%-11.6%, DFS 78.4%-86.7%, and OS 77.4%-88.2%. A poor response on MRI (mrTRG 4,5) resulted in 5-year LR 4%-29%, DR 9%, DFS 31%-59% and OS 27%-68%. The 5-year outcomes with a good response on MRI (mrTRG 1,2 and 3) were LR 1%-14%, DR 3%, DFS 64%-83% and OS 72%-90%.

CONCLUSION

For histopathology regression assessment, Mandard 1, 2/Dworak 3, 4 should be used for good response and Mandard 3, 4, 5/Dworak 0, 1, 2 for poor response. MRI indicates good and poor response by mrTRG1-3 and mrTRG4-5, respectively.

Histologic response after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in locally advanced rectal adenocarcinoma: experience from Sudan

BACKGROUND

Locally advanced rectal cancer can be down staged by neoadjuvant therapy and the resultant tumor response can be quantified histologically. This study aimed to assess pathological response of neoadjuvant chemoradiation in patients with locally advanced rectal cancers treated in Wad Medani Teaching Hospital (WMTH) and National Cancer Institute (NCI), Wad Medani, Sudan.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 36 consecutive patients with locally advanced rectal cancer that were managed in WMTH and NCI during the period from 2006-2011 were reviewed. Preoperative pelvic radiotherapy was delivered. Total of 46 Gray were delivered concurrently with 5- fluorouracil (5-FU) on the first and last week of radiation. Total mesorectal excision of the rectal tumour either by anterior or abdominoperineal resections was planned at 6-8 weeks from completion of preoperative treatment. The pathological response to therapy was assessed by histopathology examination of the surgical specimen.

RESULTS

Initial clinical staging of patients revealed 58.3% of them were stage T3/T4N2M0 and 41.7% were stage T3N0M0. Down-staging to stage T1/T2N0M0 was found in 36.1% and stage T3N0M0 in 30.6%. No response was seen in 8.3% of cases with stage T3/T4N2M0 while complete clinical response (no residual) was seen in 25.0%. Complete histological response was observed in 13.8%. Positive lymph-nodes metastasis was confirmed in 8.3% of cases.

CONCLUSION

Neoadjuvant chemoradiation is a reasonable option for cases of rectal cancer and deserves further evaluation.

Interobserver agreement of radiologists assessing the response of rectal cancers to preoperative chemoradiation using the MRI tumour regression grading (mrTRG)

AIM

To investigate whether the magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) tumour regression grading (mrTRG) scale can be taught effectively resulting in a clinically reasonable interobserver agreement (>0.4; moderate to near perfect agreement).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study examines the interobserver agreement of mrTRG, between 35 radiologists and a central reviewer. Two workshops were organised for radiologists to assess regression of rectal cancers on MRI staging scans. A range of mrTRGs on 12 patient scans were used for assessment.

RESULTS

Kappa agreement ranged from 0.14-0.82 with a median value of 0.57 (95% CI: 0.37-0.77) indicating good overall agreement. Eight (26%) radiologists had very good/near perfect agreement (κ>0.8). Six (19%) radiologists had good agreement (0.8≥κ>0.6) and a further 12 (39%) had moderate agreement (0.6≥κ>0.4). Five (16%) radiologists had a fair agreement (0.4≥κ>0.2) and two had poor agreement (0.2>κ). There was a tendency towards good agreement (skewness: 0.92). In 65.9% and 90% of cases the radiologists were able to correctly highlight good and poor responders, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The assessment of the response of rectal cancers to chemoradiation therapy may be performed effectively using mrTRG. Radiologists can be taught the mrTRG scale. Even with minimal training, good agreement with the central reviewer along with effective differentiation between good and intermediate/poor responders can be achieved. Focus should be on facilitating the identification of good responders. It is predicted that with more intensive interactive case-based learning a κ>0.8 is likely to be achieved. Testing and retesting is recommended.

Value of percent change in tumoral volume measured at T2 -weighted and diffusion-weighted MRI to identify responders after neoadjuvant chemoradiation therapy in patients with locally advanced rectal carcinoma

PURPOSE

To evaluate the percent change in tumoral volume measured at T₂ -weighted magnetic resonance imaging (T₂ WMRI) and diffusion-weighted (DWI) as a method to identify responders after chemo- and radiation therapy (CRT) in patients with locally advanced rectal carcinoma.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Forty-five consecutive patients (mean age ± SD: 72 years ± 9.7; male/female = 24/21) with locally advanced rectal carcinoma underwent CRT followed by surgery. Each patient underwent T₂ WMRI and DWI at 1.5T before and 6 weeks after the completion of CRT. The percent change in tumoral volume before and 6 weeks after CRT was compared in patients classified as responders and nonresponders according to rectal cancer regression grade.

RESULTS

Twenty-five patients were classified as responders with either partial (n = 20) or complete response (n = 5), while 20 patients were classified as nonresponders due to stable disease (n = 18) or disease progression (n = 2). Responders vs. nonresponders differed in the percent change of tumoral volume at T₂ WMRI (-67% ± 26% vs. -29% ± 26%; P < 0.05) and DWI images (-72% ± 24% vs. -33% ± 28%; P < 0.05) with a cutoff ≤ -70% for T₂ WMRI (sensitivity = 69%, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 48-85%; specificity = 100%, 95% CI 81-100%) and ≤66% for DWI (sensitivity = 73%, 95% CI: 52-88%; specificity = 100%, 95% CI 81-100%).

CONCLUSION

The percent change in tumoral volume at T₂ WMRI and DWI images can differentiate responders from nonresponders in patients with locally advanced rectal carcinoma after neoadjuvant CRT. J. Magn. Reson. Imaging 2016;44:1415-1424.