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Sobieraj K, Grewling Ł, Bogawski P. Assessing allergy risk from ornamental trees in a city: Integrating open access remote sensing data with pollen measurements. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT 2024; 367:122051. [PMID: 39098080 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122051] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/23/2023] [Revised: 07/18/2024] [Accepted: 07/26/2024] [Indexed: 08/06/2024]
Abstract
Platanus sp. pl. (plane trees) are common ornamental tree in Poland that produces a large amount of wind-transported pollen, which contains proteins that induce allergy symptoms. Allergy sufferers can limit their contact with pollen by avoiding places with high pollen concentrations, which are restricted mainly to areas close to plane trees. Their location is thus important, but creating a detailed street tree inventory is expensive and time-consuming. However, high-resolution remote sensing data provide an opportunity to detect the location of specific plants. But acquiring high-resolution spatial data of good quality also incurs costs and requires regular updates. Therefore, this study explored the potential of using open access remote sensing data to detect plane trees in the highly urbanized environment of Poznań (western Poland). Airborne light detection and ranging (LiDAR) was used to detect training treetops, which were subsequently marked as young plane trees, mature plane trees, other trees or artefacts. Spectral and spatial variables were extracted from circular buffers (r = 1 m) around the treetops to minimize the influence of shadows and crown overlap. A random forest machine learning algorithm was applied to assess the importance of variables and classify the treetops within a radius of 6.2 km around the functioning pollen monitoring station. The model performed well during 10-fold cross-validation (overall accuracy ≈ 92%). The predicted Platanus sp. pl. locations, aggregated according to 16 wind directions, were significantly correlated with the hourly pollen concentrations. Based on the correlation values, we established a threshold of prediction confidence, which allowed us to reduce the fraction of false-positive predictions. We proposed the spatially continuous index of airborne pollen exposure probability, which can be useful for allergy sufferers. The results showed that open-access geodata in Poland can be applied to recognize major local sources of plane pollen.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kacper Sobieraj
- Department of Systematic and Environmental Botany, Faculty of Biology, Adam Mickiewicz University, Poznan, Poland.
| | - Łukasz Grewling
- Department of Systematic and Environmental Botany, Faculty of Biology, Adam Mickiewicz University, Poznan, Poland; Laboratory of Aerobiology, Faculty of Biology, Adam Mickiewicz University, Poznan, Poland
| | - Paweł Bogawski
- Department of Systematic and Environmental Botany, Faculty of Biology, Adam Mickiewicz University, Poznan, Poland
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Werchan M, Werchan B, Bogawski P, Mousavi F, Metz M, Bergmann KC. An emerging aeroallergen in Europe: Tree-of-Heaven (Ailanthus altissima [Mill.] Swingle) inventory and pollen concentrations - Taking a metropolitan region in Germany as an example. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2024; 930:172519. [PMID: 38636870 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.172519] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/31/2023] [Revised: 03/28/2024] [Accepted: 04/14/2024] [Indexed: 04/20/2024]
Abstract
Urban areas are often hotspots for the dissemination of non-native (invasive) plant species, some of which release (potentially) allergenic pollen. Given the high population density in cities, a considerable number of people can be regularly and potentially intensively exposed to the pollen from these plants. This study delves into the Tree-of-Heaven (Ailanthus altissima, [Mill.] Swingle), native to East Asia, which is known for its high invasiveness in temperate regions worldwide, particularly favoring urban colonization. This study explores the botanical and aerobiological dimensions of this species using the central European metropolitan region of Berlin, Germany, as a case study, and provides a comprehensive global overview of allergological insights. The number of Ailanthus trees decreased markedly from the center to the periphery of Berlin City, following a temperature gradient. The same spatial trend was mirrored by airborne Ailanthus pollen concentrations measured with volumetric spore traps (Hirst-type) at five sites using seven traps. Ailanthus pollen was most abundant around midday and in the afternoon, with concentrations tenfold higher at street level than at roof level. The Ailanthus flowering period in June and July coincided well with the pollen season. To the best of our knowledge this is the first study to investigate Ailanthus altissima pollen production. On average, 5539 pollen grains were found per anther. A literature review on the allergy relevance of Ailanthus altissima pollen indicates the high allergenic potential of pollen from this species. Considering the anticipated expansion of suitable habitats for Ailanthus owing to global warming and the allergological significance of its pollen, it is recommended to include Ailanthus pollen in routine pollen monitoring, particularly in areas colonized by this species. This comprehensive study provides new insights into a pollen taxon whose significance as an emerging aeroallergen should be factored into plant selection and greenspace management in all temperate regions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Matthias Werchan
- German Pollen Information Service Foundation, Berlin, Germany; Institute of Allergology, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Corporate Member of Freie Universität Berlin and Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
| | - Barbora Werchan
- German Pollen Information Service Foundation, Berlin, Germany
| | - Paweł Bogawski
- Adam Mickiewicz University, Poznań, Faculty of Biology, Department of Systematic and Environmental Botany, Poznań, Poland
| | - Fateme Mousavi
- Air and Space Physiology Research Group, Aerospace Research Institute, Ministry of Science Research and Technology, Tehran, Iran
| | - Martin Metz
- Institute of Allergology, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Corporate Member of Freie Universität Berlin and Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany; Fraunhofer Institute for Translational Medicine and Pharmacology ITMP, Immunology and Allergology, Berlin, Germany
| | - Karl-Christian Bergmann
- German Pollen Information Service Foundation, Berlin, Germany; Institute of Allergology, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Corporate Member of Freie Universität Berlin and Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany
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Pradhan P, Sukumaran A, Khanduri VP, Singh B, Rawat D, Riyal MK, Kumar M, Pinto MMSC. Effect of Crown Layers on Reproductive Effort and Success in Andromonoecious Aesculus indica (Wall. ex Camb.) Hook (Sapindaceae) in a Temperate Forest of Garhwal Himalaya. PLANTS (BASEL, SWITZERLAND) 2024; 13:183. [PMID: 38256737 PMCID: PMC10818387 DOI: 10.3390/plants13020183] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/15/2023] [Revised: 10/17/2023] [Accepted: 10/24/2023] [Indexed: 01/24/2024]
Abstract
The andromonoecy is an unusual sex expression in trees in which an individual plant bears both functionally staminate and hermaphrodite flowers on the inflorescences. This study aims to investigate the effect of crown layers on the floral biology and reproductive effort of Aesculus indica (Wall. ex Camb.) Hook. The results revealed that the peak period of anthesis was between 06:00 and 08:00 h of the day. Male flower production was predominantly higher as compared to the perfect flowers on the inflorescences. There was no significant variation between total pollen production in staminate and perfect flowers. Features like protogyny and inter-level asynchrony promote xenogamy; however, intra-level asynchrony results in geitonogamy. Controlled pollination treatments revealed the existence of self-incompatibility in flowers. Pollination syndromes in flowers support ambophily. A trend of consistent improvement in reproductive success from lower canopy layers to upper crown layers in the analyzed trees was recorded. The crown layers have a significant impact on flower production, fruit, and seed set. An increase in male flower production due to the increment in the crown is a mechanism of reproductive assurance as a pollen donor and pollinator recipient and also due to the differential cost of expenditure of reproduction in crown layers. Andromonoecy in A. indica promotes self-incompatibility, and there was a tapering trend of reproductive success in the crown layers.
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Affiliation(s)
- Priya Pradhan
- College of Forestry, VCSG Uttarakhand University of Horticulture and Forestry, Tehri Garhwal, Pauri 249199, India; (P.P.); (V.P.K.); (D.R.); (M.K.R.)
| | - Arun Sukumaran
- ICFRE—Bamboo and Rattan Centre, Bethlehem Vengthlang, Aizawl 796007, India;
| | - Vinod Prasad Khanduri
- College of Forestry, VCSG Uttarakhand University of Horticulture and Forestry, Tehri Garhwal, Pauri 249199, India; (P.P.); (V.P.K.); (D.R.); (M.K.R.)
| | - Bhupendra Singh
- College of Forestry, VCSG Uttarakhand University of Horticulture and Forestry, Tehri Garhwal, Pauri 249199, India; (P.P.); (V.P.K.); (D.R.); (M.K.R.)
| | - Deepa Rawat
- College of Forestry, VCSG Uttarakhand University of Horticulture and Forestry, Tehri Garhwal, Pauri 249199, India; (P.P.); (V.P.K.); (D.R.); (M.K.R.)
| | - Manoj Kumar Riyal
- College of Forestry, VCSG Uttarakhand University of Horticulture and Forestry, Tehri Garhwal, Pauri 249199, India; (P.P.); (V.P.K.); (D.R.); (M.K.R.)
| | - Munesh Kumar
- Department of Forestry and Natural Resources, HNB Garhwal University, Srinagar Garhwal 246174, India;
| | - Marina M. S. Cabral Pinto
- GeoBioTec Research Centre, Department of Geosciences, University of Aveiro, 3810-193 Aveiro, Portugal;
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Rojas-Gómez M, Moral J, López-Orozco R, Cabello D, Oteros J, Barranco D, Galán C, Díez CM. Pollen production in olive cultivars and its interannual variability. ANNALS OF BOTANY 2023; 132:1145-1158. [PMID: 37856076 PMCID: PMC10809056 DOI: 10.1093/aob/mcad163] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/21/2023] [Accepted: 10/18/2023] [Indexed: 10/20/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS Olive (Olea europaea subsp. europaea var. europaea) is the most extensively cultivated fruit crop worldwide. It is considered a wind-pollinated and strictly outcrossing crop. Thus, elevated pollen production is crucial to guarantee optimum fruit set and yield. Despite these facts, the variability of pollen production within the cultivated olive has been scarcely studied. This study aimed to characterize this feature by analysing a representative set of worldwide olive cultivars. METHODS We evaluated the average number of pollen grains per anther in 57 principal cultivars over three consecutive years. We applied a standard generalized linear model (GLM) approach to study the influence of cultivar, year and the previous year's fruit load on the amount of pollen per anther. Additionally, the K-means method was used for cluster analysis to group cultivars based on their pollen production capacity. KEY RESULTS Pollen production per anther was highly variable among olive cultivars. The cultivar significantly accounted for 51.3 % of the variance in pollen production and the year for 0.3 %. The interaction between the two factors explained 8.4 % of the variance, indicating that not all cultivars were equally stable in producing pollen across the years. The previous year's fruit load and its interaction with the year were significant, but barely accounted for 1.5 % of the variance. Olive cultivars were classified into four clusters according to their capacity to produce pollen. Interestingly, the fourth cluster was composed of male-sterile cultivars, which presumably share this character by inheritance. CONCLUSIONS Pollen production per anther varied extensively within the cultivated olive. This variation was mainly driven by the cultivar and its interaction with the year. The differential capacity of olive cultivars to produce pollen should be considered not only for designing new orchards but also gardens where this species is used as an ornamental.
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Affiliation(s)
- M Rojas-Gómez
- Department of Agronomy, Agrifood Campus of International Excellence CeiA3, University of Cordoba, Rabanales Campus, Celestino Mutis Building, E-14071, Córdoba, Spain
- Department of Botany, Ecology and Plant Physiology, Agrifood Campus of International Excellence CeiA3, University of Cordoba, Rabanales Campus, Celestino Mutis Building, E-14071, Córdoba, Spain
| | - J Moral
- Department of Agronomy, Agrifood Campus of International Excellence CeiA3, University of Cordoba, Rabanales Campus, Celestino Mutis Building, E-14071, Córdoba, Spain
| | - R López-Orozco
- Department of Botany, Ecology and Plant Physiology, Agrifood Campus of International Excellence CeiA3, University of Cordoba, Rabanales Campus, Celestino Mutis Building, E-14071, Córdoba, Spain
- Andalusian Inter-University Institute for Earth System IISTA, University of Cordoba, E-14071, Córdoba, Spain
| | - D Cabello
- Department of Agronomy, Agrifood Campus of International Excellence CeiA3, University of Cordoba, Rabanales Campus, Celestino Mutis Building, E-14071, Córdoba, Spain
| | - J Oteros
- Department of Botany, Ecology and Plant Physiology, Agrifood Campus of International Excellence CeiA3, University of Cordoba, Rabanales Campus, Celestino Mutis Building, E-14071, Córdoba, Spain
- Andalusian Inter-University Institute for Earth System IISTA, University of Cordoba, E-14071, Córdoba, Spain
| | - D Barranco
- Department of Agronomy, Agrifood Campus of International Excellence CeiA3, University of Cordoba, Rabanales Campus, Celestino Mutis Building, E-14071, Córdoba, Spain
| | - C Galán
- Department of Botany, Ecology and Plant Physiology, Agrifood Campus of International Excellence CeiA3, University of Cordoba, Rabanales Campus, Celestino Mutis Building, E-14071, Córdoba, Spain
- Andalusian Inter-University Institute for Earth System IISTA, University of Cordoba, E-14071, Córdoba, Spain
| | - C M Díez
- Department of Agronomy, Agrifood Campus of International Excellence CeiA3, University of Cordoba, Rabanales Campus, Celestino Mutis Building, E-14071, Córdoba, Spain
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Jetschni J, Fritsch M, Jochner-Oette S. How does pollen production of allergenic species differ between urban and rural environments? INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY 2023; 67:1839-1852. [PMID: 37658998 PMCID: PMC10589151 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-023-02545-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/16/2023] [Revised: 05/25/2023] [Accepted: 08/19/2023] [Indexed: 09/05/2023]
Abstract
Pollen production is one plant characteristic that is considered to be altered by changes in environmental conditions. In this study, we investigated pollen production of the three anemophilous species Betula pendula, Plantago lanceolata, and Dactylis glomerata along an urbanization gradient in Ingolstadt, Germany. We compared pollen production with the potential influencing factors urbanization, air temperature, and the air pollutants nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and ozone (O3). While we measured air temperature in the field, we computed concentration levels of NO2 and O3 from a land use regression model. The results showed that average pollen production (in million pollen grains) was 1.2 ± 1.0 per catkin of Betula pendula, 5.0 ± 2.4 per inflorescence of Plantago lanceolata, and 0.7 ± 0.5 per spikelet of Dactylis glomerata. Pollen production was higher in rural compared to urban locations on average for B. pendula (+ 73%) and P. lanceolata (+ 31%), while the opposite was the case for D. glomerata (- 14%). We found that there was substantial heterogeneity across the three species with respect to the association of pollen production and environmental influences. Pollen production decreased for all species with increasing temperature and urbanization, while for increasing pollutant concentrations, decreases were observed for B. pendula, P. lanceolata, and increases for D. glomerata. Additionally, pollen production was found to be highly variable across species and within species-even at small spatial distances. Experiments should be conducted to further explore plant responses to altering environmental conditions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Johanna Jetschni
- Physical Geography / Landscape Ecology and Sustainable Ecosystem Development, Catholic University of Eichstätt-Ingolstadt, Eichstätt, Germany
| | - Markus Fritsch
- Chair of Statistics and Data Analytics, School of Business, Economics and Information Systems, University of Passau, Passau, Germany
| | - Susanne Jochner-Oette
- Physical Geography / Landscape Ecology and Sustainable Ecosystem Development, Catholic University of Eichstätt-Ingolstadt, Eichstätt, Germany
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Ranpal S, von Bargen S, Gilles S, Luschkova D, Landgraf M, Traidl-Hoffmann C, Büttner C, Damialis A, Jochner-Oette S. Pollen production of downy birch (Betula pubescens Ehrh.) along an altitudinal gradient in the European Alps. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY 2023:10.1007/s00484-023-02483-7. [PMID: 37154946 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-023-02483-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/02/2023] [Revised: 04/24/2023] [Accepted: 04/24/2023] [Indexed: 05/10/2023]
Abstract
High-altitude environments are highly susceptible to the effects of climate change. Thus, it is crucial to examine and understand the behaviour of specific plant traits along altitudinal gradients, which offer a real-life laboratory for analysing future impacts of climate change. The available information on how pollen production varies at different altitudes in mountainous areas is limited. In this study, we investigated pollen production of 17 birch (Betula pubescens Ehrh.) individuals along an altitudinal gradient in the European Alps. We sampled catkins at nine locations in the years 2020-2021 and monitored air temperatures. We investigated how birch pollen, flowers and inflorescences are produced in relation to thermal factors at various elevations. We found that mean pollen production of Betula pubescens Ehrh. varied between 0.4 and 8.3 million pollen grains per catkin. We did not observe any significant relationships between the studied reproductive metrics and altitude. However, minimum temperature of the previous summer was found to be significantly correlated to pollen (rs = 0.504, p = 0.039), flower (rs = 0.613, p = 0.009) and catkin (rs = 0.642, p = 0.005) production per volume unit of crown. Therefore, we suggest that temperature variability even at such small scales is very important for studying the response related to pollen production.
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Affiliation(s)
- Surendra Ranpal
- Physical Geography/Landscape Ecology and Sustainable Ecosystem Development, Catholic University of Eichstätt-Ingolstadt, 85072, Eichstätt, Germany.
| | - Susanne von Bargen
- Albrecht Daniel Thaer-Institute for Crop and Animal Sciences, Division Phytomedicine, Humboldt-University of Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Stefanie Gilles
- Environmental Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Augsburg, Augsburg, Germany
| | - Daria Luschkova
- Environmental Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Augsburg, Augsburg, Germany
| | - Maria Landgraf
- Albrecht Daniel Thaer-Institute for Crop and Animal Sciences, Division Phytomedicine, Humboldt-University of Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | | | - Carmen Büttner
- Albrecht Daniel Thaer-Institute for Crop and Animal Sciences, Division Phytomedicine, Humboldt-University of Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Athanasios Damialis
- Environmental Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Augsburg, Augsburg, Germany
- Terrestrial Ecology and Climate Change, Department of Ecology, School of Biology, Faculty of Sciences, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, 54124, Thessaloniki, Greece
| | - Susanne Jochner-Oette
- Physical Geography/Landscape Ecology and Sustainable Ecosystem Development, Catholic University of Eichstätt-Ingolstadt, 85072, Eichstätt, Germany
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Scott Anderson R, Allison Stegner M, La Selle S, Sherrod B, Barnosky AD, Hadly EA. Witnessing history: comparison of a century of sedimentary and written records in a California protected area. REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE 2023; 23:65. [PMID: 37125024 PMCID: PMC10116087 DOI: 10.1007/s10113-023-02056-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/30/2022] [Accepted: 03/04/2023] [Indexed: 05/03/2023]
Abstract
We use a combination of proxy records from a high-resolution analysis of sediments from Searsville Lake and adjacent Upper Lake Marsh and historical records to document over one and a half centuries of vegetation and socio-ecological change-relating to logging, agricultural land use change, dam construction, chemical applications, recreation, and other drivers-on the San Francisco Peninsula. A relatively open vegetation with minimal oak (Quercus) and coast redwood (Sequoia sempervirens) in the late 1850s reflects widespread logging and grazing during the nineteenth century. Forest and woodland expansion occurred in the early twentieth century, with forests composed of coast redwood and oak, among other taxa, as both logging and grazing declined. Invasive species include those associated with pasturage (Rume x, Plantago), landscape disturbance (Urtica, Amaranthaceae), planting for wood production and wind barriers (Eucalyptus), and agriculture. Agricultural species, including wheat, rye, and corn, were more common in the early twentieth century than subsequently. Wetland and aquatic pollen and fungal spores document a complex hydrological history, often associated with fluctuating water levels, application of algaecides, raising of Searsville Dam, and construction of a levee. By pairing the paleoecological and historical records of both lakes, we have been able to reconstruct the previously undocumented impacts of socio-ecological influences on this drainage, all of which overprinted known climate changes. Recognizing the ecological manifestations of these impacts puts into perspective the extent to which people have interacted with and transformed the environment in the transition into the Anthropocene. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10113-023-02056-9.
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Affiliation(s)
- R. Scott Anderson
- School of Earth and Sustainability, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ USA
| | - M. Allison Stegner
- Department of Biology and Jasper Ridge Biological Preserve, Stanford University, Stanford, CA USA
| | - SeanPaul La Selle
- United States Geological Survey Pacific Coastal and Marine Science Center, Santa Cruz, CA USA
| | - Brian Sherrod
- United States Geological Survey Earthquake Science Center at Department of Earth and Space Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA USA
| | - Anthony D. Barnosky
- Department of Biology and Jasper Ridge Biological Preserve, Stanford University, Stanford, CA USA
| | - Elizabeth A. Hadly
- Department of Biology and Jasper Ridge Biological Preserve, Stanford University, Stanford, CA USA
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Zhang Y, Steiner AL. Projected climate-driven changes in pollen emission season length and magnitude over the continental United States. Nat Commun 2022; 13:1234. [PMID: 35292649 PMCID: PMC8924258 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-28764-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 30] [Impact Index Per Article: 15.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/12/2021] [Accepted: 02/11/2022] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Atmospheric conditions affect the release of anemophilous pollen, and the timing and magnitude will be altered by climate change. As simulated with a pollen emission model and future climate data, warmer end-of-century temperatures (4–6 K) shift the start of spring emissions 10–40 days earlier and summer/fall weeds and grasses 5–15 days later and lengthen the season duration. Phenological shifts depend on the temperature response of individual taxa, with convergence in some regions and divergence in others. Temperature and precipitation alter daily pollen emission maxima by −35 to 40% and increase the annual total pollen emission by 16–40% due to changes in phenology and temperature-driven pollen production. Increasing atmospheric CO2 may increase pollen production, and doubling production in conjunction with climate increases end-of-century emissions up to 200%. Land cover change modifies the distribution of pollen emitters, yet the effects are relatively small (<10%) compared to climate or CO2. These simulations indicate that increasing pollen and longer seasons will increase the likelihood of seasonal allergies. Atmospheric conditions affect the release of anemophilous pollen. Zhang et al. use a pollen emission model together with future climate data to simulate changes in pollen emission. The study shows that climate change driven pollen increase and seasonal changes may increase seasonal allergies
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Affiliation(s)
- Yingxiao Zhang
- Department of Climate and Space Sciences and Engineering, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
| | - Allison L Steiner
- Department of Climate and Space Sciences and Engineering, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
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Katz DSW, Batterman SA. Urban-scale variation in pollen concentrations: A single station is insufficient to characterize daily exposure. AEROBIOLOGIA 2020; 36:417-431. [PMID: 33456131 PMCID: PMC7810344 DOI: 10.1007/s10453-020-09641-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/31/2019] [Accepted: 04/07/2020] [Indexed: 05/29/2023]
Abstract
Epidemiological analyses of airborne allergenic pollen often use concentration measurements from a single station to represent exposure across a city, but this approach does not account for the spatial variation of concentrations within the city. Because there are few descriptions of urban-scale variation, the resulting exposure measurement error is unknown but potentially important for epidemiological studies. This study examines urban scale variation in pollen concentrations by measuring pollen concentrations of 13 taxa over 24-hr periods twice weekly at 25 sites in two seasons in Detroit, Michigan. Spatio-temporal variation is described using cumulative distribution functions and regression models. Daily pollen concentrations across the 25 stations varied considerably, and the average quartile coefficient of dispersion was 0.63. Measurements at a single site explained 3-85% of the variation at other sites, depending on the taxon, and 95% prediction intervals of pollen concentrations generally spanned one to two orders of magnitude. These results demonstrate considerable heterogeneity of pollen levels at the urban scale, and suggest that the use of a single monitoring site will not reflect pollen exposure over an urban area and can lead to sizable measurement error in epidemiological studies, particularly when a daily time-step is used. These errors might be reduced by using predictive daily pollen levels in models that combine vegetation maps, pollen production estimates, phenology models and dispersion processes, or by using coarser time-steps in the epidemiological analysis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daniel S W Katz
- University of Michigan - Ann Arbor, Environmental Health Sciences, 1415 Washington Heights Rd., Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA
| | - Stuart A Batterman
- University of Michigan - Ann Arbor, Environmental Health Sciences, 1415 Washington Heights Rd., Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA
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