A hybrid multi-criteria decision making approach for assessing health-care waste management technologies based on soft likelihood function and D-numbers

Logarithmic Negation of Basic Probability Assignment and Its Application in Target Recognition

The negation of probability distribution is a new perspective from which to obtain information. Dempster–Shafer (D–S) evidence theory, as an extension of possibility theory, is widely used in decision-making-level fusion. However, how to reasonably construct the negation of basic probability assignment (BPA) in D–S evidence theory is an open issue. This paper proposes a new negation of BPA, logarithmic negation. It solves the shortcoming of Yin’s negation that maximal entropy cannot be obtained when there are only two focal elements in the BPA. At the same time, the logarithmic negation of BPA inherits the good properties of the negation of probability, such as order reversal, involution, convergence, degeneration, and maximal entropy. Logarithmic negation degenerates into Gao’s negation when the values of the elements all approach 0. In addition, the data fusion method based on logarithmic negation has a higher belief value of the correct target in target recognition application.

A MULTIMOORA-Based Risk Evaluation Approach for CCUS Projects by Utilizing D Numbers Theory

As the global climate warms, carbon emissions must be reduced in order to alleviate the human climate crisis. Carbon capture, utilization and storage (CCUS) is an emerging technology that can reduce carbon emissions. However, most of the CCUS projects have ended in failure. The reason can be attributed to insufficient risk assessment. To this end, the purpose of this study is to construct a comprehensive risk assessment model for CCUS projects. The main body of this research is divided into two parts. First, in order to evaluate the CCUS project, a risk indicator system is constructed. In what follows, a decision-making framework for risk assessment under the D numbers environment is proposed, including two stages of decision-making preparation and decision-making process. The main task of the preparation stage is to gather evaluation experts and collect decision-making information. In the decision-making stage, this paper takes the D numbers theory as the core (acting on the effective expression and fusion of subjective evaluation information), respectively, proposes the method of determining the weight of risk evaluators, the fusion method of decision-making information from different experts, and the comprehensive decision model based on the MULTIMOORA method. In order to verify the effectiveness of the constructed model, the case of CCUS project site selection in Shengli power plant is analyzed, and the results showed that the third site is the best option. This study finds the importance of a comprehensive and timely risk assessment for the successful implementation of CCUS projects, and suggests that stakeholders carry out a risk assessment of CCUS projects prior to implementation based on the method presented in this paper, so as to improve the success rate.

A facilitating framework for a developing country to adopt smart waste management in the context of circular economy

To achieve higher standards of sustainability, the waste management sector now requires the incorporation of circular economy (CE) principles. However, an easy transition toward the particular goal would require the use of smart waste technologies. To achieve the aforementioned goal, this study aims to provide a facilitating framework for the adoption of smart waste management in the context of CE for Pakistan. To help Pakistan transition toward the new paradigm, a total of 16 critical facilitators are evaluated based on five distinctive criteria using a novel fuzzy hybrid multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) approach. The hybrid MCDM approach includes fuzzy Stepwise Weight Assessment Ratio Analysis (SWARA) for allocating weights to the determined criteria; whereas, the fuzzy VIšekriterijumsko kompromisno rangiranje (VIKOR) approach is used to rank the critical facilitators adopted from the secondary literature. The fuzzy approach in both cases is to deal with any kind of uncertainty during the data collection process. Based on the achieved results, the study suggests that before the application of smart waste technologies in the country, Pakistan should first focus on devising regulations that effectively address the mismanagement of waste produced in the country. Also, the industries in the country need to become more responsible and should adopt environmental management systems that foster waste minimization. Lastly, the country in the third phase should focus on the wide application of digitalization both in the streams of ICT and IoT, for collecting, sharing, and receiving waste data. The study further provides policy recommendations to the respective stakeholders that will help the country achieve zero-waste CE.

MADA problem: A new scheme based on D numbers and aggregation functions

Describing and processing complex as well as ambiguous and uncertain information has always been an inescapable and challenging topic in multi-attribute decision analysis (MADA) problems. As an extension of Dempster-Shafer (D-S) evidence theory, D numbers breaks through the constraints of the constraint framework and is a new way of expressing uncertainty. The soft likelihood function based on POWA operator is one of the most useful tools recently developed for dealing with uncertain information, since it provides a more excellent performance for the aggregation of multiple compatible evidence. Recently, a new MADA model based on D numbers has been proposed, called DMADA. In this paper, inspired by the above mentioned theories, based on soft likelihood functions, POWA aggregation and D numbers we design a novel model to improve the performance of representing and processing uncertain information in MADA problems as an improvement of the DMADA approach. In contrast, our advantages include mainly the following. Firstly, the proposed method considers the reliability characteristics of each initial D number information. Secondly, the proposed method empowers decision makers with the possibility to express their perceptions through attitudinal features. In addition, an interesting finding is that the preference parameter in the proposed method can clearly distinguish the variability between candidates by adjusting the space values between adjacent alternatives, making the decision results clearer. Finally, the effectiveness and superiority of this model are proved through analysis and testing.