A 95-gene signature stratifies recurrence risk of invasive disease in ER-positive, HER2-negative, node-negative breast cancer with intermediate 21-gene signature recurrence scores

Validation of late recurrence prediction by gene expression profiles and clinicopathological factors in estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer

BACKGROUND

The mechanism of late recurrence (LR) of estrogen receptor (ER)-positive breast cancer remains unclear, as previous studies have separately investigated "gene expression profiles" and "clinicopathological factors." Thus, this study aimed to evaluate the predictive capability of LR by combining the two independent factors of gene expression profiles (42-gene classifier: 42GC) and clinicopathological factors (Clinical Treatment Score post-5 years: CTS5) in multiple large cohorts.

METHODS

We analyzed microarray CEL file data downloaded from public databases of 28 global cohorts. A total of 2,454 patients with ER-positive breast cancer were analyzed for 42GC, and 1,263 of these, with complete clinicopathological data were analyzed for CTS5.

RESULTS

In the analysis of recurrent patients, the 42GC LR and CTS5 low-risk group tended to have LR. Notably, in the analysis of patients with and without recurrence, the highest LR rate beyond 5 years was observed in the CTS5 high-risk group. The combination of the 42GC and CTS5 high-risk groups showed the highest LR rate (16.9%), significantly exceeding that of the 42GC non-LR (NLR) and CTS5 low-risk combination (5.41%) (p = 0.038, odds ratio = 3.53). Furthermore, incorporating a third factor, 95GC, potentially reduced the number of patients prioritized for extended hormonal therapy for approximately one-quarter of patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Results confirmed that the two factors, gene expression profiles and clinicopathological factors, affect the time of recurrence. It also showed that the biological predisposition for LR (CTS5 low-risk) differed from the high LR rate (CTS5 high-risk). In clinical practice, patients with the 42GC LR and CTS5 high-risk combination should be prioritized for extended hormonal therapy. The addition of CTS5 and 95GC to 42GC allows for better risk classification of LR.

Investigation of recurrence prediction ability of EndoPredict® using microarray data from fresh frozen tissues in ER-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer and indication expansion of EndoPredict® from microarray data from fresh-frozen to FFPE tissues

BACKGROUND

EndoPredict® (EP) is a multigene assay to predict distant recurrence risk in luminal breast cancer. EP measures the expression of 12 genes in primary tumor by qRT-PCR from formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded (FFPE) tissues and calculates EP risk score that indicates the risk of distant recurrence. We evaluated the performance of EP in predicting distant recurrence risk using microarray data from fresh frozen (FF) tissues. We also examined the applicability of EP to microarray data from FFPE tissues.

METHODS

We analyzed the publicly available data of 431 node-negative and 270 node-positive patients with luminal breast cancer who received endocrine therapy alone. We evaluated the prognostic value of EP using microarray data from FF tissues. Next, we created an algorithm to calculate EP risk score using microarray data from FFPE tissues. We examined the correlation coefficient of EP risk score and concordance rate of EP risk high/low using microarray data from FFPE/FF tissue pairs in a validation set of 39 patients.

RESULTS

In 431 node-negative patients, the distant recurrence-free survival (DRFS) rate was significantly worse in those with high EP risk scores (P = 3.68 × 10-6, log-rank). The 5-year DRFS was 95.2% in those with low EP risk score. In the validation set, the correlation coefficient of EP risk score was 0.93 and the concordance rate of EP risk high/low was 91.7%.

CONCLUSIONS

EP using microarray data from FF tissues was useful in predicting distant recurrence risk in luminal breast cancer, and EP might be utilized in microarray data from FFPE tissues.

Multi-gene assay 95- and 155-gene classifiers for prognosis prediction and chemotherapy omission in lymphnode positive luminal-type breast cancer

BACKGROUND

The prognosis of lymphnode positive breast cancer is worse than that of lymph node negative breast cancer but some cases may not require chemotherapy. We investigated the ability of the new multi-gene assays, 95GC and 155GC, to identify patients with lymphnode positive Luminal-type breast cancer whose chemotherapy can be omitted relatively safely.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We extracted 1721 cases of lymphnode positive Luminal-type breast cancer from 22 public database Caucasoid cohorts and 3 Asian cohorts, and performed recurrence prognosis analysis with 95GC and 155GC.

RESULTS

Using 95GC, the cases were stratified as the high (n = 917) and low (n = 202) groups according to the prognosis of lymphnode positive Luminal-type endocrine only breast cancer. The 5 years DRFS in the low risk group was relatively good at 90%, and no additional effect of chemotherapy was observed, suggesting omission of chemotherapy. The recurrence prognosis was also significantly dichotomized into the high and low risks by 95GC in 21GC RS 0-25 cases. Here, we found a group with poor prognosis even in post-menopause RS 0-25 and requiring chemotherapy. Additionally, a group in which the prognosis was good in pre-menopause RS 0-25, and the omission of chemotherapy could be considered. Patients in the high-risk group at 155GC had poor prognosis after chemotherapy. 155GC also showed a group that chemotherapy alone was not sufficient.

CONCLUSION

In this study, we demonstrated the possibility of accurately selecting patient groups for which chemotherapy can be omitted from lymphnode positive Luminal-type breast cancer.

Breast Cancer Patients: Who Would Benefit from Neoadjuvant Chemotherapies?

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) was developed with the aims of shrinking tumors or stopping cancer cells from spreading before surgery. Unfortunately, not all breast cancer patients will benefit from NACT, and thus, patients must weigh the risks and benefits of treatment prior to the initiation of therapy. Currently, the data for predicting the efficacy of NACT is limited. Molecular testing, such as Oncotype DX, MammaPrint, and Curebest 95GC, have been developed to assist which breast cancer patients will benefit from the treatment. Patients with an increased level of Human Leukocyte Antigen-DR isotype, tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes, Fizzy-related protein homolog, and a decreased level of tumor-associated macrophages appear to benefit most from NACT.

Racial differences in predictive value of the 21-gene recurrence score assay: a population-based study using the SEER database

Purpose

The 21-gene recurrence score (RS) assay is currently used for predicting chemotherapeutic benefits for hormone receptor-positive (HR +) early-stage breast cancer patients without consideration regarding racial differences in that predictive value. This study aimed at demonstrating racial differences in the predictive values of the 21-gene RS assay.

Methods

The study cohort was selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Breast cancer-specific mortality (BCSM) was compared between patients who received chemotherapy (the “CTx group”) and those who did not (the “no CTx group”) to estimate the predictive value of the assay. This comparison was repeated for each racial group.

Results

Among 88,498 T1 − 2N0 HR + breast cancer patients who had results of 21-gene RS, 13,123 patients had RS > 25, which included 10,697 Whites, 1282 Blacks, and 1,144 Asian Americans/Pacific Islanders (AAPIs). Chemotherapy was administered to 8364 patients (63.4%). The adjusted hazard ratio for BCSM in the CTx group (vs. no CTx group) was 0.734 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.588–0.917) in Whites, 0.748 (95% CI 0.428–1.307) in Blacks, and 1.343 (95% CI 0.558–3.233) in AAPIs. No subgroup within patients with RS > 25 among non-White women showed a significant predictive value of the 21-gene RS assay, except for Black women with grade 3 tumors.

Conclusion

The predictive value of the 21-gene RS assay for assessing chemotherapy benefit was validated in White women based on the SEER database, although the predictive value was not warranted in non-White women.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s12282-022-01371-z.

Multicenter retrospective study on the use of Curebest™ 95GC Breast for estrogen receptor-positive and node-negative early breast cancer

Background

The benefits of postoperative chemotherapy in patients with estrogen receptor (ER)-positive breast cancer remain unclear. The use of tumor grade, Ki-67, or ER expression failed to provide an accurate prognosis of the risk of relapse after surgery in patients. This study aimed to evaluate whether a multigene assay Curebest™ 95GC Breast (95GC) can identify the risk of recurrence and provide more insights into the requirements for chemotherapy in patients.

Methods

This single-arm retrospective multicenter joint study included patients with ER-positive, node-negative breast cancer who were treated at five facilities in Japan and had received endocrine therapy alone as adjuvant therapy. The primary lesion specimens obtained during surgery were analyzed using the 95GC breast cancer multigene assay. Based on the 95GC results, patients were classified into low-risk (95GC-L) and high-risk (95GC-H) groups.

Results

The 10-year relapse-free survival rates were 88.4 and 59.6% for the 95GC-L and 95GC-H groups, respectively. Histologic grade, Ki-67, and PAM50 exhibited a significant relationship with the 95GC results. The segregation into 95GC-L and 95GC-H groups within established clinical factors can identify subgroups of patients using histologic grade or PAM50 classification with good prognosis without receiving chemotherapy.

Conclusions

Based on the results of our retrospective study, 95GC could be used to evaluate the long-term prognosis of ER-positive, node-negative breast cancer. Even though further prospective validation is necessary, the inclusion of 95GC in clinical practice could help to select optimal treatments for breast cancer patients and identify those who do not benefit from the addition of chemotherapy, thus avoiding unnecessary treatment.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12885-021-08778-5.