Prognostic Models for Survival in Patients with Stable Cirrhosis: A Multicenter Cohort Study

Improving palliative and supportive care in advanced cirrhosis: the HepatoCare model of integrated collaborative care

BACKGROUND

Patients with advanced cirrhosis experience an unpredictable disease trajectory but are infrequently referred to palliative care (PC) services and rarely undertake advance care planning (ACP).

AIM

We assessed whether a novel model of care increased provision of meaningful PC in advanced cirrhosis compared with standard of care (SOC).

METHODS

Thirty consecutive hepatology clinic outpatients with advanced cirrhosis, meeting one or more cirrhosis-related PC referral criteria, consented to treatment in the HepatoCare clinic (PC physician, specialist liver nurse, pharmacist) in parallel with usual specialist hepatology care. A control cohort of 30 consecutive outpatients with advanced cirrhosis undergoing SOC treatment was retrospectively identified for comparison. The primary outcome was provision of meaningful PC using HepatoCare versus SOC. Additional clinical outcomes were assessed over 12 months or until death and significant differences were identified.

RESULTS

The intervention and control cohorts had similarly advanced cirrhosis (mean Child-Pugh scores 8.7 vs 8.2, P = 0.46; mean model for end-stage liver disease scores 14.4 vs 14.6, P = 0.88) but a lower 12-month mortality rate (33% HepatoCare vs 67% SOC; P = 0.02). The intervention cohort experienced higher uptake of formal ACP (100% vs 25% for the control cohort) and outpatient PC referral (100% vs 40%), and were more likely to die at home or in a PC bed/hospice (80% vs 30%). The majority of the HepatoCare cohort (81%) had medications safely deprescribed and experienced fewer unplanned admission days (470 vs 794).

CONCLUSIONS

HepatoCare is a novel multidisciplinary model of care that integrates effective PC and specialist hepatology management to improve outcomes in advanced cirrhosis.

Evaluation of the effectiveness of eight screening tools in detecting risk of malnutrition in cirrhotic patients: the KIRRHOS study

Malnutrition risk screening in cirrhotic patients is crucial, as poor nutritional status negatively affects disease prognosis and survival. Given that a variety of malnutrition screening tools is usually used in routine clinical practice, the effectiveness of eight screening tools in detecting malnutrition risk in cirrhotic patients was sought. A total of 170 patients (57·1 % male, 59·4 (sd 10·5) years, 50·6 % decompensated ones) with cirrhosis of various aetiologies were enrolled. Nutritional screening was performed using the Malnutrition Universal Screening Tool, Nutritional Risk Index, Malnutrition Screening Tool, Nutritional Risk Screening (NRS-2002), Birmingham Nutritional Risk Score, Short Nutritional Assessment Questionnaire, Royal Free Hospital Nutritional Prioritizing Tool (RFH-NPT) and Liver Disease Undernutrition Screening Tool (LDUST). Malnutrition diagnosis was defined using the Subjective Global Assessment (SGA). Data on 1-year survival were available for 145 patients. The prevalence of malnutrition risk varied according to the screening tools used, with a range of 13·5–54·1 %. RFH-NPT and LDUST were the most accurate in detecting malnutrition (AUC = 0·885 and 0·892, respectively) with a high sensitivity (97·4 and 94·9 %, respectively) and fair specificity (73·3 and 58 %, respectively). Malnutrition according to SGA was an independent prognostic factor of within 1-year mortality (relative risk was 2·17 (95 % CI 1·0, 4·7), P = 0·049) after adjustment for sex, age, disease aetiology and Model for End-stage Liver Disease score, whereas nutrition risk according to RFH-NPT, LDUST and NRS-2002 showed no association. RFH-NPT and LDUST were the only screening tools that proved to be accurate in detecting malnutrition in cirrhotic patients.

Non-Invasive Markers (ALBI and APRI) Predict Pregnancy Outcomes in Women With Chronic Liver Disease

OBJECTIVES

Rates of pregnancy in women with cirrhosis are increasing. Risk of hepatic decompensation during pregnancy, therefore, merits tailored obstetric and hepatology care. Prognostic markers that determine pregnancy outcomes are lacking.

METHODS

Medical records of women who attended hepatology clinic at King's College Hospital with chronic liver disease (CLD) who became pregnant from 1983 to 2017 were reviewed. Information on demographics, clinical history, serology, and outcome of pregnancy was collected.

RESULTS

In all, 165 pregnancies occurred in 100 women with CLD including 80 pregnancies in 48 women with cirrhosis. Median age of conception in cirrhotic and non-cirrhotic women were 26 years (16-44) and 28 years (16-51) respectively (p = 0.015). Whilst women with cirrhosis had similar live birth rate to non-cirrhotic women (75 vs. 85% p = 0.119), they were significantly less likely to proceed beyond 37 weeks gestation (45 vs. 58% p = 0.033). Women who received preconception counseling were more likely to have stable liver disease at conception (100 vs 86% p = 0.02). Compared with preconception MELD (model for end stage liver disease), preconception Albumin-Bilirubin score (ALBI) more accurately predicted live birth with an area under the receiver-operator curve (AUROC) of 0.741 (p < 0.001), and preconception AST to platelet ratio index (APRI) more accurately predicted ability to proceed beyond 37 weeks gestation with an AUROC of 0.700 (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Most women with cirrhosis who conceived achieved a successful pregnancy outcome. ALBI and APRI scores can prognosticate pregnancy outcomes in women with CLD. Preconception counseling by a hepatologist or specialist obstetrician improved patient care in this group.