Application of remote sensing data and GIS for landslide risk assessment as an environmental threat to Izmir city (west Turkey)

Enhancing co-seismic landslide susceptibility, building exposure, and risk analysis through machine learning

Landslides are devastating natural disasters that generally occur on fragile slopes. Landslides are influenced by many factors, such as geology, topography, natural drainage, land cover, rainfall and earthquakes, although the underlying mechanism is too complex and very difficult to explain in detail. In this study, the susceptibility mapping of co-seismic landslides is carried out using a machine learning approach, considering six districts covering an area of 12,887 km2 in Nepal. Landslide inventory map is prepared by taking 23,164 post seismic landslide data points that occurred after the 7.8 MW 2015 Gorkha earthquake. Twelve causative factors, including distance from the rupture plane, peak ground acceleration and distance from the fault, are considered input parameters. The overall accuracy of the model is 87.2%, the area under the ROC curve is 0.94, the Kappa coefficient is 0.744 and the RMSE value is 0.358, which indicates that the performance of the model is excellent with the causative factors considered. The susceptibility thus developed shows that Sindhupalchowk district has the largest percentage of area under high and very high susceptibility classes, and the most susceptible local unit in Sindhupalchowk is the Barhabise municipality, with 19.98% and 20.34% of its area under high and very high susceptibility classes, respectively. For the analysis of building exposure to co-seismic landslide susceptibility, a building footprint map is developed and overlaid on the co-seismic landslide susceptibility map. The results show that the Sindhupalchowk and Dhading districts have the largest and smallest number of houses exposed to co-seismic landslide susceptibility. Additionally, when conducting a risk analysis based on susceptibility mapping, as well as considering socio-economic and structural vulnerability in Barhabise municipality, revealed that only 106 (1.1%) of the total 9591 households, were found to be at high risk. As this is the first study of co-seismic landslide risk study carried out in Nepal and covers a regional to the municipal level, this can be a reference for future studies in Nepal and other parts of the world and can be helpful in planning development activities for government bodies.

A hybrid machine learning model for landslide-oriented risk assessment of long-distance pipelines

Preparation of pipeline risk zoning is essential for pipeline construction and safe operation. Landslides are one of the main sources of risk to the safe operations of oil and gas pipelines in mountainous areas. This work aims to propose a quantitative assessment model of landslide-induced long-distance pipeline risk by analyzing historical landslide hazard data along oil and gas pipelines. Using the Changshou-Fuling-Wulong-Nanchuan (CN) gas pipeline dataset, two independent assessments were carried out: landslide susceptibility assessment and pipeline vulnerability assessment. Firstly, the study combined the recursive feature elimination and particle swarm optimization-AdaBoost method (RFE-PSO-AdaBoost) to develop a landslide susceptibility mapping model. The RFE method was used to select the conditioning factors, while PSO was used to tune the hyper-parameters. Secondly, considering the angular relationship between the pipelines and landslides, and the segmentation of the pipelines using the fuzzy clustering (FC), the CRITIC method (FC-CRITIC) was combined to develop a pipeline vulnerability assessment model. Accordingly, a pipeline risk map was obtained based on pipeline vulnerability and landslide susceptibility assessment. The study results show that almost 35.3% of the slope units were in extremely high susceptibility zones, 6.68% of the pipelines were in extremely high vulnerability areas, the southern and eastern pipelines segmented in the study area were located in high risk areas and coincided well with the distribution of landslides. The proposed hybrid machine learning model for landslide-oriented risk assessment of long-distance pipelines can provide a scientific and reasonable risk classification for new planning or in service pipelines to avoid landslide-oriented risk and ensure their safe operation in mountainous areas.

Slide type landslide susceptibility assessment of the Büyük Menderes watershed using artificial neural network method

The Büyük Menderes watershed is the largest drainage watershed in Western Anatolia with an area of approximately 26,000 km². In the study area, almost 863 landslides occurred, extending over 222 km² with a mean landslide area of 0.21 km². In this study, landslide susceptibility assessments were carried out using artificial neural network method, which is one of the data-driven methods. In this study, that will contribute to the mitigation or control of the landslides caused by the reasons controlling the spatial and temporal distribution of landslides created in the GIS and MATLAB environment by using scientific and technological approaches within the framework. Since derivative activation function is also used in back-propagation artificial neural networks, its derivative is easily calculated in order not to slow down the calculation. Levenberg-Marquardt back-propagation (LM), resilient back propagation back-propagation (trainrp), scaled conjugate gradient back-propagation (trainscg), conjugate gradient with Powell/Beale restarts back-propagation (traincgb), and Fletcher-Powell conjugate gradient back-propagation (traincgf) algorithms are used, which constantly interrogate the link between the input parameter and the result output, and at least one cell's output is given as an input to any other cell. Geology, digital elevation model, slope, topographic wetness index, roughness index, plan, profile curvatures, and proximity to active faults and rivers were used as landslide conditioning factors. In susceptibility assessments, landslides were separated by 70% analysis, 15% test, and 15% validation datasets by random selection method. The performances of the landslide susceptibility maps were assessed by the area under the ROC curve (AUC), accuracy (ACC), precision, recall, F1 score, Kappa test error histogram, and confusion matrix, respectively. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves, analysis, testing, validation, landslides, and study areas were found between 0.873 and 0.911. The susceptibility map had a high prediction rate in which high and very high susceptible zones corresponded to 26% of the study area including 82% of the recorded landslides.

Landslide Susceptibility Evaluation Using Different Slope Units Based on BP Neural Network

Landslides are one of the most widespread natural hazards that cause damage to both property and life every year. Therefore, the landslide susceptibility evaluation is necessary for land hazard assessment and mitigation of landslide-related losses. Selecting an appropriate mapping unit is an essential step for landslide susceptibility evaluation. This study tested the back propagation (BP) neural network technique to develop a landslide susceptibility map in Qingchuan County, Sichuan Province, China. It compared the results of applying six different slope unit scales for landslide susceptibility maps obtained using hydrological analysis. We prepared a dataset comprising 973 historical landslide locations and six conditioning factors (elevation, slope degree, aspect, lithology, distance to fault lines, and distance to drainage network) to construct a geospatial database and divided the data into the training and testing datasets. We based on the BP learning algorithm to generate landslide susceptibility maps using the training dataset. We divided Qingchuan County into six different scales of slope unit: 4,401, 13,146, 39,251, 46,504, 56,570, and 69,013, then calculated the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and used the area under the curve (AUC) for the quantitative evaluation of 6 different slope unit scales of landslide susceptibility maps using the testing dataset. The verification results indicated that the evaluation generated by 56,570 slope units had the highest accuracy with a ROC curve of 0.9424. Overelaborate and rough division of slope units may not get the best evaluation results, and it is necessary to obtain the slope units most consistent with the actual situation through debugging. The results of this study will be useful for the development of landslide hazard mitigation strategies.

Landslide Risk Assessment Using a Combined Approach Based on InSAR and Random Forest

Landslide risk assessment is important for risk management and loss–damage reduction. Herein, we assessed landslide susceptibility, hazard, and risk in the urban area of Yan’an City, which is located on the Loess Plateau of China and affected by many loess landslides. Based on 1841 slope units mapped in the study area, a random forest machine learning classifier and eight environmental factors influencing landslides were used for a landslide susceptibility assessment. In addition, differential synthetic aperture radar interferometry (DInSAR) technology was used for a hazard assessment. The accuracy of the random forest is 0.903 and the area under the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve is 0.96. The results show that 16% and 22% of the slope units were classified as being at very high and high-susceptibility levels for landslides, respectively, whereas 16% and 24% of the slope units were at very high and high-hazard levels for landslides, respectively. The landslide risk was obtained based on the susceptibility map and hazard map of landslides. The results show that only 26% of the slope units were located at very high and high-risk levels for landslides and these are mainly concentrated in urban centers. Such risk zones should be taken seriously and their dynamics must be monitored. Our landslide risk map is expected to provide information for planners to help them choose appropriate locations for development schemes and improve integrated geohazard mitigation in Yan’an City.

Disaster Chain Analysis of Landfill Landslide: Scenario Simulation and Chain-Cutting Modeling

Landfill landslide is a man-made event that occurs when poorly managed garbage mounds at landfills collapse. It has become common in recent decades due to the rising waste volumes in cities. Normally, it is a complex process involving many disaster-causing factors and composed by many sequential sub-events. However, most current studies treat the landslide as a single and independent event and cannot give a full picture of the disaster. We propose a disaster chain analysis framework for landfill landslide in terms of scenario simulation and chain-cutting modeling. Each stage of the landfill landslide is modeled by taking advantage of various advanced techniques, e.g., remote sensing, 3DGIS, non-Newtonian fluid model, central finite difference scheme, and agent-base steering model. The 2015 Shenzhen “1220” landslide was firstly reviewed to summarize the general disaster chain model for landfill landslide. Guided by this model, we then proposed the specific steps for landfill landslide disaster chain analysis and applied them to another undergoing landfill, i.e., Xinwuwei landfill in Shenzhen, China. The scenario simulation in this landfill provides suggestions on potential hazardous risks and some applicable treatments. Through chain-cutting modeling, we further validated the effectiveness and feasibility of these treatments. The most optimized solution is subsequently deduced, which can provide support for disaster prevention and mitigation for this landfill.

Seismic Vulnerability Assessment in Ranau, Sabah, Using Two Different Models

Sabah is prone to seismic activities due to its location, being geographically located near the boundaries of three major active tectonic plates; the Eurasian, India-Australia, and Philippine-Pacific plates. The 6.0 Mw earthquake that occurred in Ranau, Sabah, on 15 June 2015 which caused 18 casualties, all of them climbers of Mount Kinabalu, raised many issues, primarily the requirements for seismic vulnerability assessment for this region. This study employed frequency ratio (FR)–index of entropy (IoE) and a combination of (FR-IoE) with an analytical hierarchy process (AHP) to map seismic vulnerability for Ranau, Sabah. The results showed that the success rate and prediction rate for the areas under the relative operating characteristic (ROC) curves were 0.853; 0.856 for the FR-IoE model and 0.863; 0.906 for (FR-IoE) AHP, respectively, with the highest performance achieved using the (FR-IoE) AHP model. The vulnerability maps produced were classified into five classes; very low, low, moderate, high, and very high seismic vulnerability. Seismic activities density ratio analysis performed on the final seismic vulnerability maps showed that high seismic activity density ratios were observed for high vulnerability zones with the values of 9.119 and 8.687 for FR-IoE and (FR-IoE) AHP models, respectively.

GIS-Based Expert Knowledge for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping (LSM): Case of Mostaganem Coast District, West of Algeria

Landslides are one of the natural disasters that affect socioeconomic wellbeing. Accordingly, this work aimed to realize a landslide susceptibility map in the coastal district of Mostaganem (Western Algeria). For this purpose, we applied a knowledge-driven approach and the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) in a Geographical Information System (GIS) environment. We combined landslide-controlling parameters, such as lithology, slope, aspect, land use, curvature plan, rainfall, and distance to stream and to fault, using two GIS tools: the Raster calculator and the Weighted Overlay Method (WOM). Locations with elevated landslide susceptibility were close the urban nucleus and to a national road (RN11); in both sites, we registered the presence of strong water streams. The quality of the modeled maps has been verified using the ground truth landslide map and the Area Under Curve (AUC) of the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve (ROC). The study results confirmed the excellent reliability of the produced maps. In this regard, validation based on the ROC indicates an accuracy of 0.686 for the map produced using a knowledge-driven approach. The map produced using the AHP combined with the WOM showed high accuracy (0.753).

Spatial prediction of landslide susceptibility using hybrid support vector regression (SVR) and the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) with various metaheuristic algorithms

Landslides are natural and sometimes quasi-natural hazards that are destructive to natural resources and cause loss of human life every year. Hence, preparing susceptibility maps for landslide monitoring is essential to minimizing their negative effects. The main aim of the current research was to develop landslide susceptibility maps for Icheon Township, South Korea, using hybrid Machin learning and metaheuristic algorithms, that is, the bee algorithm (Bee), the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), support vector regression (SVR), and the grey wolf optimizer (GWO), and to compare their predictive accuracy. Based on identified landslide locations, an inventory map was prepared and divided into training and validation data sets (70%/30%). the predicated model outcomes were validated with root mean square error (RMSE), and area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), and pairwise comparison values for the ANFIS, ANFIS-Bee, ANFIS-GWO, SVR, SVR-Bee, and SVR-GWO models were obtained. The area under the curve was obtained with the training and validation data sets. Based on the training data sets, AUC of 80%, 83%, 83%, 69%, 81%, and 80% were obtained for the SVR, SVR-GWO, SVR-Bee, ANFIS, ANFIS-GWO, and ANFIS-Bee models, respectively. For the validation data sets, values of 79%, 82%, 82%, 68%, 79%, and 79%, respectively, were obtained. The SVR-GWO and SVR-Bee models were the most predictive models in terms of constructing the exceptionally focused landslide susceptibility map, with little spatial variation in the highly susceptible classes. Furthermore, the MSE, RMSE, and pairwise comparisons indicated that the SVR-GWO and SVR-Bee models were superior models for this study township. In addition, ANFIS individually was not superior to the ensembles of ANFIS-GWO and ANFIS-Bee for landslide assessment. These landslide susceptibility maps provide a platform for land use planning with an eye toward sustainable development of infrastructure and damage reduction for Icheon Township.

Landslide Susceptibility Assessment Using an Optimized Group Method of Data Handling Model

Landslides can cause considerable loss of life and damage to property, and are among the most frequent natural hazards worldwide. One of the most fundamental and simple approaches to reduce damage is to prepare a landslide hazard map. Accurate prediction of areas highly prone to future landslides is important for decision-making. In the present study, for the first time, the group method of data handling (GMDH) was used to generate landslide susceptibility map for a specific region in Uzbekistan. First, 210 landslide locations were identified by field survey and then divided randomly into model training and model validation datasets (70% and 30%, respectively). Data on nine conditioning factors, i.e., altitude, slope, aspect, topographic wetness index (TWI), length of slope (LS), valley depth, distance from roads, distance from rivers, and geology, were collected. Finally, the maps were validated using the testing dataset and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. The findings showed that the “optimized” GMDH model (i.e., using the gray wolf optimizer [GWO]) performed better than the standalone GMDH model, during both the training and testing phase. The accuracy of the GMDH–GWO model in the training and testing phases was 94% and 90%, compared to 85% and 82%, respectively, for the standard GMDH model. According to the GMDH–GWO model, the study area included very low, low, moderate, high, and very high landslide susceptibility areas, with proportions of 14.89%, 10.57%, 15.00%, 35.12%, and 24.43%, respectively.

Investigation of landslide detection using radial basis functions: a case study of the Taşkent landslide, Turkey

This paper investigates landslide detection over flat and steep-slope areas with large forest cover using different radial basis function interpolation methods, which can affect the quality of a digital elevation model. Unmanned aerial vehicles have been widely used in landslide detection studies. The generation of image-based point clouds is achievable with various matching algorithms from computer vision systems. Point cloud-based analysis was performed by generating multi-temporal digital elevation models to detect landslide displacement. Interpolation methodology has a crucial task to fill the gaps in insufficient areas that result from filtered areas or sensors that do not generate spatial information. Radial basis function interpolations are the most commonly used technique for estimating the unknown values in survey areas. However, the quality of the radial basis function interpolation methods for landslide studies has not been thoroughly investigated in previous studies. In this study, radial basis function interpolation methods are investigated and compared with the global navigational satellite systems, which provide high accuracy for geodetic measurement systems. The main purpose of this study was to investigate the various radial basis function models to detect landslides using a point cloud-based digital elevation model and determine the quality of detection with global navigational satellite systems. As a result of this study, each of the radial basis function-generated digital elevation models was found to be statistically compatible with global navigational satellite systems, resulting in displacements from the ground truth data.

Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Using Different GIS-Based Bivariate Models

Landslides are the most frequent phenomenon in the northern part of Iran, which cause considerable financial and life damages every year. One of the most widely used approaches to reduce these damages is preparing a landslide susceptibility map (LSM) using suitable methods and selecting the proper conditioning factors. The current study is aimed at comparing four bivariate models, namely the frequency ratio (FR), Shannon entropy (SE), weights of evidence (WoE), and evidential belief function (EBF), for a LSM of Klijanrestagh Watershed, Iran. Firstly, 109 locations of landslides were obtained from field surveys and interpretation of aerial photographs. Then, the locations were categorized into two groups of 70% (74 locations) and 30% (35 locations), randomly, for modeling and validation processes, respectively. Then, 10 conditioning factors of slope aspect, curvature, elevation, distance from fault, lithology, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), distance from the river, distance from the road, the slope angle, and land use were determined to construct the spatial database. From the results of multicollinearity, it was concluded that no collinearity existed between the 10 considered conditioning factors in the occurrence of landslides. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the curve (AUC) were used for validation of the four achieved LSMs. The AUC results introduced the success rates of 0.8, 0.86, 0.84, and 0.85 for EBF, WoE, SE, and FR, respectively. Also, they indicated that the rates of prediction were 0.84, 0.83, 0.82, and 0.79 for WoE, FR, SE, and EBF, respectively. Therefore, the WoE model, having the highest AUC, was the most accurate method among the four implemented methods in identifying the regions at risk of future landslides in the study area. The outcomes of this research are useful and essential for the government, planners, decision makers, researchers, and general land-use planners in the study area.

Assessment of Landslide Susceptibility Using Statistical- and Artificial Intelligence-based FR–RF Integrated Model and Multiresolution DEMs

Landslide is one of the most important geomorphological hazards that cause significant ecological and economic losses and results in billions of dollars in financial losses and thousands of casualties per year. The occurrence of landslide in northern Iran (Alborz Mountain Belt) is often due to the geological and climatic conditions and tectonic and human activities. To reduce or control the damage caused by landslides, landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) and landslide risk assessment are necessary. In this study, the efficiency and integration of frequency ratio (FR) and random forest (RF) in statistical- and artificial intelligence-based models and different digital elevation models (DEMs) with various spatial resolutions were assessed in the field of LSM. The experiment was performed in Sangtarashan watershed, Mazandran Province, Iran. The study area, which extends to 1,072.28 km2, is severely affected by landslides, which cause severe economic and ecological losses. An inventory of 129 landslides that occurred in the study area was prepared using various resources, such as historical landslide records, the interpretation of aerial photos and Google Earth images, and extensive field surveys. The inventory was split into training and test sets, which include 70 and 30% of the landslide locations, respectively. Subsequently, 15 topographic, hydrologic, geologic, and environmental landslide conditioning factors were selected as predictor variables of landslide occurrence on the basis of literature review, field works and multicollinearity analysis. Phased array type L-band synthetic aperture radar (PALSAR), ASTER (Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer), and SRTM (Shuttle Radar Topography Mission) DEMs were used to extract topographic and hydrologic attributes. The RF model showed that land use/land cover (16.95), normalised difference vegetation index (16.44), distance to road (15.32) and elevation (13.6) were the most important controlling variables. Assessment of model performance by calculating the area under the receiving operating characteristic curve parameter showed that FR–RF integrated model (0.917) achieved higher predictive accuracy than the individual FR (0.865) and RF (0.840) models. Comparison of PALSAR, ASTER, and SRTM DEMs with 12.5, 30 and 90 m spatial resolution, respectively, with the FR–RF integrated model showed that the prediction accuracy of FR–RF–PALSAR (0.917) was higher than FR–RF–ASTER (0.865) and FR–RF–SRTM (0.863). The results of this study could be used by local planners and decision makers for planning development projects and landslide hazard mitigation measures.

Long-Term Regional Environmental Risk Assessment and Future Scenario Projection at Ningbo, China Coupling the Impact of Sea Level Rise

Regional environmental risk (RER) denotes potential threats to the natural environment, human health and socioeconomic development caused by specific risks. It is valuable to assess long-term RER in coastal areas with the increasing effects of global change. We proposed a new approach to assess coastal RER considering spatial factors using principal component analysis (PCA) and used a future land use simulation (FLUS) model to project future RER scenarios considering the impact of sea level rise (SLR). In our study, the RER status was classified in five levels as highest, high, medium, low and lowest. We evaluated the 30 m × 30 m gridded spatial pattern of the long-term RER at Ningbo of China by assessing its 1975–2015 history and projecting this to 2020–2050. Our results show that RER at Ningbo has increased substantially over the past 40 years and will slowly increase over the next 35 years. Ningbo’s city center and district centers are exposed to medium-to-highest RER, while the suburban areas are exposed to lowest-to-medium lower RER. Storm surges will lead to strong RER increases along the Ningbo coast, with the low-lying northern coast being more affected than the mountainous southern coast. RER at Ningbo is affected principally by the combined effects of increased human activity, rapid population growth, rapid industrialization, and unprecedented urbanization. This study provides early warnings to support practical regulation for disaster mitigation and environmental protection.

Landslide Detection and Susceptibility Mapping by AIRSAR Data Using Support Vector Machine and Index of Entropy Models in Cameron Highlands, Malaysia

Since landslide detection using the combination of AIRSAR data and GIS-based susceptibility mapping has been rarely conducted in tropical environments, the aim of this study is to compare and validate support vector machine (SVM) and index of entropy (IOE) methods for landslide susceptibility assessment in Cameron Highlands area, Malaysia. For this purpose, ten conditioning factors and observed landslides were detected by AIRSAR data, WorldView-1 and SPOT 5 satellite images. A spatial database was generated including a total of 92 landslide locations encompassing the same number of observed and detected landslides, which was divided into training (80%; 74 landslide locations) and validation (20%; 18 landslide locations) datasets. Results of the difference between observed and detected landslides using root mean square error (RMSE) indicated that only 16.3% error exists, which is fairly acceptable. The validation process was performed using statistical-based measures and the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curves. Results of validation process indicated that the SVM model has the highest values of sensitivity (88.9%), specificity (77.8%), accuracy (83.3%), Kappa (0.663) and AUROC (84.5%), followed by the IOE model. Overall, the SVM model applied to detected landslides is considered to be a promising technique that could be tested and utilized for landslide susceptibility assessment in tropical environments.

Capability assessment and tourism development model verification of Haraz watershed using analytical hierarchy process (AHP)

The present study aimed at assessing tourism potential of a place to meet requirements of sustainable development policies. We studied the Haraz watershed because of its particular environmental characteristics and a high potential for ecotourism. The required data for this descriptive-analytical research were collected by combining field and desktop studies. First, the ecotourism capability assessment of the area was done using Arc GIS 10.3 software based on the Hyrcanian Forest Tourism Development Model for concentrated tourism and extensive tourism. Next, the most important effective indices included (i.e., 19 indices) were determined by Delphi questionnaire and SPSS 17. Finally, AHP technique was applied to analyze the body mass of the indices in order to verify the validity of the model. The results show that 0.0044, 01.3, 3.52, and 37.71% of the study area is suitable for concentrated ecotourism (grade 1), concentrated ecotourism (grade 2), extensive ecotourism (grade 1), and extensive ecotourism (grade 2), respectively. Based on the model applied, slope, direction, and fundamentals (infrastructure) with the body masses of 0.232, 0.116, and 0.115 were identified as the first priorities. Comparing the results of this model and AHP confirms the validity of the model. To strengthen the tourism development potential of the watershed and protect its ecosystems and biodiversity, it is necessary to choose a proper development model. Failure to identify the existing capacities and the field's sensitivities can cause dissatisfaction of local residents and also damage to the ecosystem of the area.

Landslide Susceptibility Assessment Using Spatial Multi-Criteria Evaluation Model in Rwanda

Landslides susceptibility assessment has to be conducted to identify prone areas and guide risk management. Landslides in Rwanda are very deadly disasters. The current research aimed to conduct landslide susceptibility assessment by applying Spatial Multi-Criteria Evaluation Model with eight layers of causal factors including: slope, distance to roads, lithology, precipitation, soil texture, soil depth, altitude and land cover. In total, 980 past landslide locations were mapped. The relationship between landslide factors and inventory map was calculated using the Spatial Multi-Criteria Evaluation. The results revealed that susceptibility is spatially distributed countrywide with 42.3% of the region classified from moderate to very high susceptibility, and this is inhabited by 49.3% of the total population. In addition, Provinces with high to very high susceptibility are West, North and South (40.4%, 22.8% and 21.5%, respectively). Subsequently, the Eastern Province becomes the peak under low susceptibility category (87.8%) with no very high susceptibility (0%). Based on these findings, the employed model produced accurate and reliable outcome in terms of susceptibility, since 49.5% of past landslides fell within the very high susceptibility category, which confirms the model's performance. The outcomes of this study will be useful for future initiatives related to landslide risk reduction and management.

Landslide Susceptibility Assessment Using Spatial Multi-Criteria Evaluation Model in Rwanda

Landslides susceptibility assessment has to be conducted to identify prone areas and guide risk management. Landslides in Rwanda are very deadly disasters. The current research aimed to conduct landslide susceptibility assessment by applying Spatial Multi-Criteria Evaluation Model with eight layers of causal factors including: slope, distance to roads, lithology, precipitation, soil texture, soil depth, altitude and land cover. In total, 980 past landslide locations were mapped. The relationship between landslide factors and inventory map was calculated using the Spatial Multi-Criteria Evaluation. The results revealed that susceptibility is spatially distributed countrywide with 42.3% of the region classified from moderate to very high susceptibility, and this is inhabited by 49.3% of the total population. In addition, Provinces with high to very high susceptibility are West, North and South (40.4%, 22.8% and 21.5%, respectively). Subsequently, the Eastern Province becomes the peak under low susceptibility category (87.8%) with no very high susceptibility (0%). Based on these findings, the employed model produced accurate and reliable outcome in terms of susceptibility, since 49.5% of past landslides fell within the very high susceptibility category, which confirms the model's performance. The outcomes of this study will be useful for future initiatives related to landslide risk reduction and management.