Surgical resection of brain metastases: the prognostic value of the graded prognostic assessment score

Anamnestic radiological metastases outcome surgical score (ARMO-S). A purpose of a predictive surgical scoring system for brain metastases

BACKGROUND

Several risk stratification scores have been suggested to aid prognostication and guide treatment strategies for brain metastases (BMs). However, the current scores do not focus on the specific neurosurgical population, therefore not predicting short-term mortality and postoperative performance status.

METHODS

This retrospective observational study of 362 consecutive patients treated with surgery for BMs aims to identify the factors associated with post-surgical outcomes and propose a surgery-specific prognostic score for patients with BMs candidate for open surgery.

RESULTS

Factors significantly associated with OS and performance status in multivariate analysis were age, KPS, surgical site, synchronous debut of BM, number, tumor volume, seizure, extra-cranial metastases, and deep-seated location. The variables were incorporated into the Anamnestic Radiological Metastases Outcome Surgical score (ARMO-S). The values range between 0 and 10. Patients were divided into two groups (low-risk and high-risk) based on each significant subgroup's median survival and performance status with an optimal cutoff value determined as 4. The two groups have significant differences in OS (9.6 versus 14 months, p = 0.0048) postoperative KPS (90 versus 70, p = 0.012) and KPS at last follow-up evaluation (75 versus 30, p < 0.001) CONCLUSION: ARMO-S is a simple and comprehensive score for BM patients selected for neurosurgery, as it incorporates the main factors of the most important prognostic scores, implementing them with more surgery-specific predictive elements such as tumor location and volume, presence of seizures at onset, and involvement of eloquent brain areas.

Navigating Post-Operative Outcomes: A Comprehensive Reframing of an Original Graded Prognostic Assessment in Patients with Brain Metastases

BACKGROUND

Graded Prognostic Assessment (GPA) has been proposed for various brain metastases (BMs) tailored to the primary histology and molecular profiles. However, it does not consider whether patients have been operated on or not and does not include surgical outcomes as prognostic factors. The residual tumor burden (RTB) is a strong predictor of overall survival. We validated the GPA score and introduced "volumetric GPA" in the largest cohort of operated patients and further explored the role of RTB as an additional prognostic factor.

METHODS

A total of 630 patients with BMs between 2007 and 2020 were included. The four GPA components were analyzed. The validity of the original score was assessed using Cox regression, and a modified index incorporating RTB was developed by comparing the accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, F1-score, and AUC parameters.

RESULTS

GPA categories showed an association with survival: age (p < 0.001, hazard ratio (HR) 2.9, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.5-3.3), Karnofsky performance status (KPS) (p < 0.001, HR 1.3, 95% CI 1.2-1.5), number of BMs (p = 0.019, HR 1.4, 95% CI 1.1-1.8), and the presence of extracranial manifestation (p < 0.001, HR 3, 95% CI 1.6-2.5). The median survival for GPA 0-1 was 4 months; for GPA 1.5-2, it was 12 months; for GPA 2.5-3, it was 21 months; and for GPA 3.5-4, it was 38 months (p < 0.001). RTB was identified as an independent prognostic factor. A cut-off of 2 cm3 was used for further analysis, which showed a median survival of 6 months (95% CI 4-8) vs. 13 months (95% CI 11-14, p < 0.001) for patients with RTB > 2 cm3 and <2 cm3, respectively. RTB was added as an additional component for a modified volumetric GPA score. The survival rates with the modified GPA score were: GPA 0-1: 4 months, GPA 1.5-2: 7 months, GPA 2.5-3: 18 months, and GPA 3.5-4: 34 months. Both scores showed good stratification, with the new score showed a trend towards better discrimination in patients with more favorable prognoses.

CONCLUSION

The prognostic value of the original GPA was confirmed in our cohort of patients who underwent surgery for BM. The RTB was identified as a parameter of high prognostic significance and was incorporated into an updated "volumetric GPA". This score provides a novel tool for prognosis and clinical decision making in patients undergoing surgery. This method may be useful for stratification and patient selection for further treatment and in future clinical trials.

The association between graded prognostic assessment and the prognosis of brain metastases after whole brain radiotherapy: a meta-analysis

Introduction

This meta-analysis aims to provide evidence-based medical evidence for formulating rational treatment strategies and evaluating the prognosis of brain metastasis (BM) patients by assessing the effectiveness of the graded prognostic assessment (GPA) model in predicting the survival prognosis of patients with BM after whole-brain radiotherapy (WBRT).

Methods

A comprehensive search was conducted in multiple databases, including the China Biomedical Literature Database (CBM), China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), PubMed, Wanfang database, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, and Embase. Cohort studies that met the inclusion and exclusion criteria were selected. The quality of the included literature was evaluated using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale, and all statistical analyses were performed with R version 4.2.2. The effect size (ES) was measured by the hazard ratio (HR) of overall survival (OS). The OS rates at 3, 6, 12, and 24 months of patients with BM were compared between those with GPAs of 1.5-2.5, 3.0, and 3.5-4.0 and those with GPAs of 0-1 after WBRT.

Results

A total of 1,797 participants who underwent WBRT were included in this study. The meta-analysis revealed a significant association between GPA and OS rates after WBRT: compared with BM patients with GPA of 0-1, 3-month OS rates after WBRT were significantly higher in BM patients with GPA of 1.5-2.5 (HR = 0.48; 95% CI: 0.40-0.59), GPA of 3 (HR = 0.38; 95% CI: 0.25-0.57), and GPA of 3.5-4 (HR = 0.28; 95% CI: 0.15-0.52); 6-month OS rates after WBRT were significantly higher in BM patients with GPA of 1.5-2.5 (HR = 0.48; 95% CI: 0.41-0.56), GPA of 3 (HR = 0.33; 95% CI: 0.24-0.45), and GPA of 3.5-4 (HR = 0.24; 95% CI: 0.16-0.35); 12-month OS rates after WBRT were significantly higher in BM patients with GPA of 1.5-2.5 (HR = 0.49; 95% CI: 0.41-0.58), GPA of 3 (HR = 0.48; 95% CI: 0.32-0.73), and GPA of 3.5-4 (HR = 0.31; 95% CI: 0.12-0.79); and 24-month OS rates after WBRT were significantly higher in BM patients with GPA of 1.5-2.5 (HR = 0.49; 95% CI: 0.42-0.58), GPA of 3 (HR = 0.49; 95% CI: 0.32-0.74), and GPA of 3.5-4 (HR = 0.38; 95% CI: 0.15-0.94).

Conclusion

BM patients with higher GPAs generally exhibited better prognoses and survival outcomes after WBRT compared to those with lower GPAs.

Systematic review registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/, identifier CRD42023422914.

Utility of a prognostic assessment tool to predict survival following surgery for brain metastases

Background

Brain metastases account for more than 50% of all intracranial tumors and are associated with poor outcomes. Treatment decisions in this highly heterogenous cohort remain controversial due to the myriad of treatment options available, and there is no clearly defined standard of care. The prognosis in brain metastasis patients varies widely with tumor type, extracranial disease burden and patient performance status. Decision-making regarding treatment is, therefore, tailored to each patient and their disease.

Methods

This is a retrospective cohort study assessing survival outcomes following surgery for brain metastases over a 50-month period (April 1, 2014-June 30, 2018). We compared predicted survival using the diagnosis-specific Graded Prognostic Assessment (ds-GPA) with actual survival.

Results

A total of 186 patients were included in our cohort. Regression analysis demonstrated no significant correlation between actual and predicted outcome. The most common reason for exclusion was insufficient information being available to the neuro-oncology multidisciplinary team (MDT) meeting to allow GPA calculation.

Conclusions

In this study, we demonstrate that "predicted survival" using the ds-GPA does not correlate with "actual survival" in our operated patient cohort. We also identify a shortcoming in the amount of information available at MDT in order to implement the GPA appropriately. Patient selection for aggressive therapies is crucial, and this study emphasizes the need for treatment decisions to be individualized based on patient and cancer clinical characteristics.

Surgical treatment of cerebellar metastases in elderly patients: A threshold that moves forward?

The impact of surgery for cerebellar brain metastases in elderly population has been the object of limited studies in literature. Given the increasing burden of their chronic illnesses, the decision to recommend surgery remains difficult. All patients aged ≥65 years, who underwent surgical resection of a cerebellar brain metastasis from May 2000 and May 2021 at IRCCS National Cancer Institute "Regina Elena", were analyzed. The study cohort includes 48 patients with a mean age of 70.8 years. 7 patients belonged to the II Class according to the RPA classification, 41 to the III Class; the median GPA classification was 1.5. Median pre-operative and post-operative KPS was 60. Median Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) was 11; median 5-variable modified Frailty Index was 2. Overall, 14 patients (29%) presented perioperative neurologic and systemic complications. 34 patients (71%) were able to perform adjuvant therapies as RT and/or CHT after surgery. A higher CCI predicted complications occurrence (p = 0.044), while significant factors for a post-operative KPS ≥70, were i) hemispheric location of the metastasis, ii) higher pre-operative KPS, iii) RPA II classification. Median Overall Survival was 7 months. A post-operative KPS <70 (p = 0.004) and a short time interval between diagnosis of the primary tumor and cerebellar metastasis appearance, were predictive for a worse outcome (p = 0.012). Our study suggests that selected elderly patients with cerebellar metastases may benefit from microsurgery to continue their adjuvant therapies, although a high complications rate should be taken in account.

Prediction of Short and Long Survival after Surgery for Breast Cancer Brain Metastases

Background: Brain metastases requiring surgical treatment determine the prognosis of patients with breast cancer. We aimed to develop the scores for the prediction of short (<6 months) and long (≥3 years) survival after BCBM surgery. Methods: Female patients with BCBM surgery between 2008 and 2019 were included. The new scores were constructed upon independent predictors for short and long postoperative survival. Results: In the final cohort (n = 95), 18 (18.9%) and 22 (23.2%) patients experienced short and long postoperative survival, respectively. Breast-preserving surgery, presence of multiple brain metastases and age ≥ 65 years at breast cancer diagnosis were identified as independent predictors of short postoperative survival. In turn, positive HER2 receptor status in brain metastases, time interval ≥ 3 years between breast cancer and brain metastases diagnosis and KPS ≥ 90% independently predicted long survival. The appropriate short and long survival scores showed higher diagnostic accuracy for the prediction of short (AUC = 0.773) and long (AUC = 0.775) survival than the breast Graded Prognostic Assessment score (AUC = 0.498/0.615). A cumulative survival score (total score) showed significant association with overall survival (p = 0.001). Conclusion: We identified predictors independently impacting the prognosis after BCBM surgery. After external validation, the presented scores might become useful tools for the selection of proper candidates for BCBM surgery.

Site-Specific Metastasis and Survival in Papillary Thyroid Cancer: The Importance of Brain and Multi-Organ Disease

Introduction-heterogeneity in clinical outcomes and survival was observed in patients with papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) and distant metastases. Here, we investigated the effect of distant metastases sites on survival in PTC patients. Methods-patients with a diagnosis of PTC and known metastases were identified using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (1975-2016). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to analyze the effect of distant metastases sites on thyroid cancer-specific survival (TCSS) and overall survival (OS). Results-from 89,694 PTC patients, 1819 (2%) developed distant metastasis at the initial diagnosis, of whom 26.3% presented with the multiple-organ disease. The most common metastatic sites were lung (53.4%), followed by bone (28.1%), liver (8.3%), and brain (4.7%). In metastatic patients, thyroid cancer-specific death accounted for 73.2%. Kaplan-Meier curves showed decreased OS in patients with metastases to the brain (median OS = 5 months) and liver (median OS = 6 months) compared to lung (median OS = 10 months) and bone (median OS = 23 months). Moreover, multiple organ metastasis had a higher mortality rate (67.4%) compared to single organ metastasis (51.2%, p < 0.001). Using multivariate analysis, risk factors that significantly influence TCSS and OS were male gender (HR = 1.86, 95% CI = 1.17-2.94, p < 0.001, and HR = 1.90, 95% CI = 1.40-2.57, p = 0.009), higher tumor grade (HR = 7.31, 95% CI = 2.13-25.0, p < 0.001 and HR = 4.76, 95% CI = 3.93-5.76, p < 0.001), multiple organ involvement (HR = 6.52, 95% CI = 1.50-28.39, p = 0.026 and HR = 5.08, 95% CI = 1.21-21.30, p = 0.013), and brain metastasis (HR = 1.82, 95% CI = 1.15-2.89, p < 0.001 and HR = 4.21, 95% CI = 2.20-8.07, p = 0.010). Conclusion-the pattern of distant metastatic organ involvement was associated with variability in OS in PTC. Multi-organ metastasis and brain involvement are associated with lower survival rates in PTC. Knowledge of the patterns of distant metastasis is crucial to personalize the treatment and follow-up strategies.

Metastatic site discriminates survival benefit of primary tumor surgery for differentiated thyroid cancer with distant metastases: A real-world observational study

The role of primary tumor surgery in the management of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) with distant metastases (DM) remains controversial. We aimed to explore the survival benefit of primary tumor surgery in patients with different metastatic sites.A retrospective cohort study based on the SEER database was conducted to identify DTC patients with DM diagnosed between 2010 and 2016. Patients were divided into following 2 groups: surgery and non-surgery group. Propensity score weighting was employed to balance clinicopathologic factors between the 2 groups.Of 3537 DTC patients with DM, 956 (66.0%) patients underwent primary tumor surgery while 493 (34.0%) patients did not. There were 798 all-cause deaths and 704 DTC-specific deaths over a median follow-up of 22 months. The weighted 3-year overall survival (OS) for the surgery group was 55.2%, compared to 27.8% (P < .001) for the non-surgery group. The magnitude of the survival difference of surgery was significantly correlated with metastatic sites (Pinteraction <.001). Significant survival improvements in surgery group compared with non-surgery group were observed in patients with lung-only metastasis (adjusted HR = 0.45, P < .001), bone-only metastasis (adjusted HR = 0.40, P < .001), and liver-only metastasis (adjusted HR = 0.27, P < .001), whereas no survival improvement of surgery was found for patients with brain-only metastasis (adjusted HR = 0.57, P = .059) or multiply organ distant metastases (adjusted HR = 0.81, P = .099).The survival benefit from primary tumor surgery for DTC patients with DM varies by metastatic sites. Decisions for primary tumor surgery of DTC patients with DM should be tailored according to metastatic sites.

Operative and peri-operative considerations in the management of brain metastasis

The number of patients who develop metastatic brain lesions is increasing as the diagnosis and treatment of systemic cancers continues to improve, resulting in longer patient survival. The role of surgery in the management of brain metastasis (BM), particularly multiple and recurrent metastases, remains controversial and continues to evolve. However, with appropriate patient selection, outcomes after surgery are typically favorable. In addition, surgery is the only means to obtain a tissue diagnosis and is the only effective treatment modality to quickly relieve neurological complications or life-threatening symptoms related to significant mass effect, CSF obstruction, and peritumoral edema. As such, a thorough understanding of the role of surgery in patients with metastatic brain lesions, as well as the factors associated with surgical outcomes, is essential for the effective management of this unique and growing patient population.

Clinical manifestations and location of brain metastases as prognostic markers

BACKGROUND

Brain metastases (BM) are a frequent complication of cancer and are regularly seen in clinical practice. New treatment modalities are improving survival after diagnosis of BM. However, symptoms are rarely reported and their significance is not well established. The aim of the present study was to investigate neurologic indicators as prognostic markers in patients with brain metastases.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A prospectively acquired database from 2 referral centers was analyzed. All patients had had at least 2 neuro-oncologic consultations and magnetic resonance imaging to confirm the diagnosis. Patients were classified according to universally used prognostic scores, gender, primary tumor, localization of BM, and clinical complaints. Univariate and multivariate analysis was used to evaluate associations.

RESULTS

A total of 570 patients were included; 71% were female, and 91% had solid tumors. Median survival was 11 months (95% confidence interval 9.4-12.6). Of 1322 parenchymal lesions, 78% were supratentorial, and were most commonly in the frontal lobe. The most common symptoms were headache, vision changes, and weakness. Brain metastases in the brainstem were associated with a worse prognosis (P = 0.04). Visual complaints (P = 0.005), altered mental status, (P < 0.0001) and cranial neuropathy (P 0.001) were also associated with a poor outcome, as were poor performance status, more than 1 brain metastases, meningeal carcinomatosis, and uncontrolled primary cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

Both presenting symptoms and the location of brain metastases have prognostic significance and should be further studied, both as independent prognostic predictors and in conjunction with other factors used in prognostic scores.

Epidemiology and prognosis of brain metastases

A substantial, but uncertain, number of patients with cancer develop brain metastases. Risk of brain metastasis is recognized to vary with type of primary cancer. Within specific types of primary cancer, prognostic factors for development of brain metastases are being recognized. Recent data suggest that molecular biomarkers that relate to cellular function can predict risk of developing brain metastases. Such information could optimize surveillance standards and/or be used to select patients for preventive interventions. Though average survival for patients with brain metastases is typically less than 6 months, it is well-recognized that subgroups of patients have significant probability of longer survival. Multiple prognostic models have been proposed, validated, and compared without clearly demonstrating superiority of one model over another. However, some factors show consistency as predictive variables across models, and performance status is almost universally significant. Application of predictive models to specific treatments has been difficult. Tumor-specific prognostic models are evolving, and combinations of biological and clinical factors may be used to optimize models for particular primary tumor types.

Metabolic profiles of brain metastases

Metastasis to the brain is a feared complication of systemic cancer, associated with significant morbidity and poor prognosis. A better understanding of the tumor metabolism might help us meet the challenges in controlling brain metastases. The study aims to characterize the metabolic profile of brain metastases of different origin using high resolution magic angle spinning (HR-MAS) magnetic resonance spectroscopy (MRS) to correlate the metabolic profiles to clinical and pathological information. Biopsy samples of human brain metastases (n = 49) were investigated. A significant correlation between lipid signals and necrosis in brain metastases was observed (p < 0.01), irrespective of their primary origin. The principal component analysis (PCA) showed that brain metastases from malignant melanomas cluster together, while lung carcinomas were metabolically heterogeneous and overlap with other subtypes. Metastatic melanomas have higher amounts of glycerophosphocholine than other brain metastases. A significant correlation between microscopically visible lipid droplets estimated by Nile Red staining and MR visible lipid signals was observed in metastatic lung carcinomas (p = 0.01), indicating that the proton MR visible lipid signals arise from cytoplasmic lipid droplets. MRS-based metabolomic profiling is a useful tool for exploring the metabolic profiles of metastatic brain tumors.