Can the Monte Carlo method predict the toxicity of binary mixtures?

Risk Assessment Models to Improve Environmental Safety in the Field of the Economy and Organization of Construction: A Case Study of Russia

This article assesses risks in order to substantiate the economic and organizational efficiency of housing and industrial construction. This topic is relevant because it is necessary for sustainable development. In Russia, environmental safety in construction and housing, as well as communal services, is poorly developed and not regulated by the legal system. As building construction, housing, and communal services should be based on environmental safety, this topic requires rapid development. Methods related to quantifying environmental risk and making decisions under conditions of uncertainty were studied. A quantitative risk assessment was performed using the Monte Carlo method for pessimistic and optimistic options to prevent environmental damage. The model reproduced the distribution derived from the evidence-based fit. The results of sensitivity analysis are also presented to prove the hypothesis. The selection of the most appropriate probability density functions for each of the input quantities was implemented through settings in a computer program. The simulation modeling results clearly illustrate the choice of the general principle of assessment and the adoption of the optimal decision. In conditions of uncertainty, the decision to choose the optimistic options with high cost (to maintain the reliability of the technical system) but less risk plays a decisive role in the future environmental safety strategies of construction projects. The Monte Carlo method is preferable for environmental impact assessments. In the future, the amended methodology can be applied to raise environmental safety in the field of construction.

Prediction of power conversion efficiency of phenothiazine-based dye-sensitized solar cells using Monte Carlo method with index of ideality of correlation

Simplified molecular-input line-entry system (SMILES) notation and inbuilt Monte Carlo algorithm of CORAL software were employed to construct generative and prediction QSPR models for the analysis of the power conversion efficiency (PCE) of 215 phenothiazine derivatives. The dataset was divided into four splits and each split was further divided into four sets. A hybrid descriptor, a combination of SMILES and hydrogen suppressed graph (HSG), was employed to build reliable and robust QSPR models. The role of the index of ideality of correlation (IIC) was also studied in depth. We performed a comparative study to predict PCE using two target functions (TF₁ without IIC and TF₂ with IIC). Eight QSPR models were developed and the models developed with TF₂ was shown robust and reliable. The QSPR model generated from split 4 was considered a leading model. The different statistical benchmarks were computed for the lead model and these were rtraining set2=0.7784; rinvisible training set2=0.7955; rcalibration set2=0.7738; rvalidation set2=0.7506; Qtraining set2=0.7691; Qinvisible training set2=0.7850; Qcalibration set2=0.7501;  Qvalidation set2=0.7085; IIC_{training set} = 0.8590; IIC_{invisible training set} = 0.8297; IIC_{calibration set} = 0.8796; IIC_{validation set} = 0.8293, etc. The promoters of increase and decrease of endpoint PCE were also extracted.