Modeling spatio-temporal assessment of land use land cover of Lahore and its impact on land surface temperature using multi-spectral remote sensing data

The use of Multispectral Radio-Meter (MSR5) data for wheat crop genotypes identification using machine learning models

Satellite remote sensing is widely being used by the researchers and geospatial scientists due to its free data access for land observation and agricultural activities monitoring. The world is suffering from food shortages due to the dramatic increase in population and climate change. Various crop genotypes can survive in harsh climatic conditions and give more production with less disease infection. Remote sensing can play an essential role in crop genotype identification using computer vision. In many studies, different objects, crops, and land cover classification is done successfully, while crop genotypes classification is still a gray area. Despite the importance of genotype identification for production planning, a significant method has yet to be developed to detect the genotypes varieties of crop yield using multispectral radiometer data. In this study, three genotypes of wheat crop (Aas-'2011', 'Miraj-'08', and 'Punjnad-1) fields are prepared for the investigation of multispectral radio meter band properties. Temporal data (every 15 days from the height of 10 feet covering 5 feet in the circle in one scan) is collected using an efficient multispectral Radio Meter (MSR5 five bands). Two hundred yield samples of each wheat genotype are acquired and manually labeled accordingly for the training of supervised machine learning models. To find the strength of features (five bands), Principle Component Analysis (PCA), Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA), and Nonlinear Discernment Analysis (NDA) are performed besides the machine learning models of the Extra Tree Classifier (ETC), Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Decision Tree (DT), Logistic Regression (LR), k Nearest Neighbor (KNN) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) with detailed of configuration settings. ANN and random forest algorithm have achieved approximately maximum accuracy of 97% and 96% on the test dataset. It is recommended that digital policymakers from the agriculture department can use ANN and RF to identify the different genotypes at farmer's fields and research centers. These findings can be used for precision identification and management of the crop specific genotypes for optimized resource use efficiency.

Spatio-temporal change analysis and prediction of land use and land cover changes using CA-ANN model

The spatial and temporal representation of land use and land cover (LULC) changes helps to understand the interactions between natural habitats and other areas and to plan for sustainability. Research on the models used to determine the spatio-temporal change of LULC and simulation of possible future scenarios provides a perspective for future planning and development strategies. Landsat 5 TM for 1990, Landsat 7 ETM + for 2006, and Landsat 8 OLI for 2022 satellite imageries were used to estimate spatial and temporal variations of transition potentials and future LULC simulation. Independent variables (DEM, slope, and distances to roads and buildings) and the cellular automata-artificial neural network (CA-ANN) model integrated in the MOLUSCE plugin of QGIS were used. The CA-ANN model was used to predict the LULC maps for 2038 and 2054, and the results suggest that artificial surfaces will continue to increase. The Düzce City center's artificial surfaces grew by 100% between 1990 and 2022, from 16.04 to 33.10 km2, and are projected to be 41.13 km2 and 50.32 km2 in 2038 and 2054, respectively. Artificial surfaces, which covered 20% of the study area in 1990, are estimated to cover 64.07% in 2054. If this trend continues, most of the 1st-class agricultural lands may be lost. The study's results can assist local governments in their land management strategies and aid them in planning for the future. The results suggest that policies are necessary to control the expansion of artificial surfaces, ensuring a balanced distribution of land use.

Identification of time-varying wetlands neglected in Pakistan through remote sensing techniques

Aside from Ramsar Convention awareness programs, the concept of wetlands is mostly ignored in developing countries. Wetland ecosystems are essential to hydrological cycles, ecosystem diversity, climatic change, and economic activity. Under the Ramsar Convention, there are 2414 wetlands that are internationally recognized, and Pakistan is home to 19 of them. The major goal of this study is to use the satellite image technology to locate Pakistan's underutilized wetlands (Borith, Phander, Upper Kachura, Satpara, and Rama Lakes). The other goals are to understand how these wetlands are affected by climate change, ecosystem change, and water quality. We used analytical techniques including supervised classification and Tasseled Cap Wetness to identify the wetlands. To find changes caused by climate change, Quick Bird high-resolution images was used to create the change detection index. Tasseled Cap Greenness and the Normalized Difference Turbidity Index were also used to assess the water quality and changes in the ecology in these wetlands. Sentinel-2 was used to analyze data from 2010 and 2020. ASTER DEM was also used to do a watershed analysis. The land surface temperature (°C) of a few selected wetlands was calculated using Modis data. Rainfall (mm) data was taken from PERSIANN (precipitation estimation from remotely sensed information using artificial neural networks) databases. Results indicated that in 2010, the water content of Borith, Phander, Upper Kachura, Satpara, and Rama Lakes was 22.83%, 20.82%, 22.26%, 24.40%, and 22.91%. While in 2020, these lakes' water ratios are 21.33%, 20.65%, 21.76%, 23.85%, and 22.59%, respectively. Therefore, the competent authorities must take precautions to ensure that these wetlands are preserved in the future in order to improve the dynamics of the ecosystem.

Evaluating land use/cover change associations with urban surface temperature via machine learning and spatial modeling: Past trends and future simulations in Dera Ghazi Khan, Pakistan

While urbanization puts lots of pressure on green areas, the transition of green-to-grey surfaces under land use land cover change is directly related to increased land surface temperature–compromising livability and comfort in cities due to the heat island effect. In this context, we evaluate historical and future associations between land use land cover changes and land surface temperature in Dera Ghazi Khan–one of the top cities in Pakistan–using multi-temporal Landsat data over two decades (2002–2022). After assessing current land use changes and future predictions, their impact on land surface temperature and urban heat island effect is measured using machine learning via Multi-Layer Perceptron-Markov Chain, Artificial Neural Network and Cellular Automata. Significant changes in land use land cover were observed in the last two decades. The built-up area expanded greatly (874 ha) while agriculture land (−687 ha) and barren land (−253 ha) show decreasing trend. The water bodies were found the lowest changes (57 ha) and vegetation cover got the largest proportion in all the years. This green-grey conversion in the last two decades (8.7%) and prospect along the main corridors show the gravity of unplanned urban growth at the cost of vegetation and agricultural land (−6.8%). The land surface temperature and urban heat island effect shows a strong positive correlation between urbanization and vegetation removal. The simulation results presented in this study confirm that by 2032, the city will face a 5° C high mean temperature based on historical patterns, which could potentially lead to more challenges associated with urban heat island if no appropriate measures are taken. It is expected that due to land cover changes by 2032, ~60% of urban and peri-urban areas will experience very hot to hot temperatures (> 31.5°C). Our results provide baseline information to urban managers and planners to understand the increasing trends of land surface temperature in response to land cover changes. The study is important for urban resource management, sustainable development policies, and actions to mitigate the heat island effect. It will further asset the broader audience to understand the impact of land use land cover changes on the land surface temperature and urban heat island effect in the light of historic pattern and machine learning approach.

Land subsidence analysis using synthetic aperture radar data

Land subsidence is considered a threat to developing cities and is triggered by several natural (geological and seismic) and human (mining, groundwater withdrawal, oil and gas extraction, constructions) factors. This research has gathered datasets consisting of 80 Sentinel-1A ascending and descending SLC images from July 2017 to July 2019. This dataset, concerning InSAR and PS-InSAR, is processed with SARPROZ software to determine the land subsidence in Gwadar City, Balochistan, Pakistan. Later, the maps were created with ArcGIS 10.8. Due to InSAR’s limitations in measuring millimeter-scale surface deformation, Multi-Temporal InSAR techniques, like PS-InSAR, are introduced to provide better accuracy, consistency, and fewer errors of deformation analysis. This remote-based SAR technique is helpful in the Gwadar area; for researchers, city mobility is constrained and has become more restricted post-Covid-19. This technique requires multiple images acquired of the same place at different times for estimating surface deformation per year, along with surface uplifting and subsidence. The InSAR results showed maximum deformation in the Koh-i-Mehdi Mountain from 2017 to 2019. The PS-InSAR results showed subsidence up to −92 mm/year in ascending track and −66 mm/year in descending track in the area of Koh-i-Mehdi Mountain, and up to −48 mm/year in ascending track and −32 mm/year in descending track in the area of the deep seaport. From our experimental results, a high subsidence rate has been found in the newly evolving Gwadar City. This city is very beneficial to the country’s economic development because of its deep-sea port, developed by the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC). The research is associated with a detailed analysis of Gwadar City, identifying the areas with significant subsidence, and enlisting the possible causes that are needed to be resolved before further developments. Our findings are helpful to urban development and disaster monitoring as the city is being promoted as the next significant deep seaport with the start of CPEC.

Spatio-temporal assessment of land use land cover based on trajectories and cellular automata Markov modelling and its impact on land surface temperature of Lahore district Pakistan

This research aims to assess the urban growth and impact on land surface temperature (LST) of Lahore, the second biggest city in Pakistan. In this research, various geographical information system (GIS) and remote sensing (RS) techniques (maximum likelihood classification (MLC)) LST, and different normalized satellite indices have been implemented to analyse the spatio-temporal trends of Lahore city; by using Landsat for 1990, 2004, and 2018. The development of integrated use of RS and GIS and combined cellular automata-Markov models has provided new means of assessing changes in land use and land cover and has enabled the projection of trajectories into the future. Results indicate that the built-up area and bare area increased from 15,541 (27%) to 23,024 km² (40%) and 5756 km² (10%) to 13,814 km² (24%). Meanwhile, water area and vegetation were decreased from 2302 km² (4%) to 1151 km² (2%) and 33,961 km² (59%) to 19,571 km² (34%) respectively. Under this urbanization, the LST of the city was also got affected. In 1990, the mean LST of most of the area was between 14 and 28 ℃, which rose to 22-28 ℃ in 2004 and 34 to 36 ℃ in 2018. Because of the shift of vegetation and built-up land, the surface reflectance and roughness of each land use land cover (LULC) class are different. The analysis established a direct correlation between Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI), Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) with LST and an indirect correlation among Soil Adjusted Vegetation Index (SAVI), Normalized Difference Built-up Index (NDBI), and Built-up Index (BI) with LST. The results are important for the planning and development department since they may be used to guarantee the sustainable utilization of land resources for future urbanization expansion projects.